- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Cal St. Fullerton

Expected RPI:290.0
Current RPI:290
Expected SOS:257
Current Record:8-20
Expected Record:8-20
Current Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-10
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-9
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:236
Expected OOC SOS:334


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Fullerton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCA79-74L0%0.0
11-17Pacific (268.0)WCCA76-77W100%0.0
11-21San Diego (302.0)WCCH67-55W100%0.0
11-24Southern Utah (336.0)BSkyA66-80W100%0.0
11-28Nevada (118.0)MWCH75-66W100%0.0
12-4Seattle (287.0)WACA61-70W100%0.0
12-6Washington (83.0)P12A87-69L0%0.0
12-12Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH70-82L0%0.0
12-18Oregon St. (33.0)P12A82-69L0%0.0
12-19Portland (249.0)WCCA65-60L0%0.0
12-29Portland St. (282.0)BSkyA89-82L0%0.0
1-7UC Riverside (267.0)BWA73-79W100%0.0
1-9Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH75-85L0%0.0
1-16Hawaii (80.0)BWH79-86L0%0.0
1-20UC Irvine (75.0)BWA72-59L0%0.0
1-23Cal Poly (236.0)BWH75-83L0%0.0
1-27UC Davis (281.0)BWA69-64L0%0.0
1-30UC Riverside (267.0)BWH71-81L0%0.0
2-4UC Davis (281.0)BWH61-57W100%0.0
2-6UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA81-68L0%0.0
2-10Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA75-67L0%0.0
2-13Hawaii (80.0)BWA76-59L0%0.0
2-17UC Irvine (75.0)BWH77-96L0%0.0
2-20Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA70-57L0%0.0
2-25Cal Poly (236.0)BWA77-78W100%0.0
2-27UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH62-80L0%0.0
3-2Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH73-75L0%0.0
3-10Hawaii (80.0)BWN75-44L0%0.0