Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Cal St. Fullerton   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Cal St. Fullerton

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:205.2
Current RPI:204
Expected SOS:235
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-6
Current OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC Record:5-6
Expected OOC RPI:179
Expected OOC SOS:189


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%205.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Fullerton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16UCLA (137.1)P10A68-65W100%0.0
11-24New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH84-73W100%0.0
12-4Central Arkansas (320.1)SlndN49-69L0%0.0
12-5Stephen F. Austin (143.1)SlndA61-62L0%0.0
12-9San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA68-82L0%0.0
12-21Weber St. (84.7)BSkyN71-82L0%0.0
12-22Utah St. (24.4)WACA60-83L0%0.0
12-23Morehead St. (84.2)OVCN62-69L0%0.0
12-28Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH77-70W100%0.0
1-2UC Davis (244.0)BWA63-67L0%0.0
1-7Long Beach St. (105.3)BWH85-75W100%0.0
1-9UC Riverside (255.6)BWA69-56W100%0.0
1-14Cal Poly (255.8)BWH68-54W100%0.0
1-16Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWH72-78L0%0.0
1-21Pacific (128.6)BWA73-80L0%0.0
1-23UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWA80-85L0%0.0
1-26Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indA92-84W100%0.0
1-30UC Irvine (275.6)BWH74-68W100%0.0
2-4Long Beach St. (105.3)BWA81-75W100%0.0
2-6UC Riverside (255.6)BWH59-76L0%0.0
2-10UC Irvine (275.6)BWA72-61W100%0.0
2-13Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWA113-112W100%0.0
2-17UC Santa Barbara (101.7)BWH65-73L0%0.0
2-20SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH78-74W100%0.0
2-24Cal Poly (255.8)BWA70-68W100%0.0
3-4Pacific (128.6)BWH64-70L0%0.0
3-6UC Davis (244.0)BWH86-92L0%0.0
3-10Cal St. Northridge (251.7)BWN84-76W100%0.0
3-11UC Davis (244.0)BWN65-68L0%0.0