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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Cal St. Fullerton

Conference:BW
Expected RPI:157.0
Current RPI:157
Expected SOS:316
Current Record:19-9
Expected Record:19-9
Current Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Record:12-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-6
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:171
Expected OOC SOS:313


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-967.86%157.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Fullerton.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Nicholls St. (298.0)SlndN63-73W100%0.0
11-19Louisiana Lafayette (185.0)SBA63-69W100%0.0
11-20Houston Baptist (324.0)GWCN83-88L0%0.0
11-26Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indH66-73L0%0.0
12-1Wichita St. (12.0)MVCA75-60L0%0.0
12-3SIU Edwardsville (300.0)OVCA57-79W100%0.0
12-7Utah (274.0)P12A50-81W100%0.0
12-11Eastern Washington (209.0)BSkyH91-76W100%0.0
12-22Portland St. (187.0)BSkyH92-86W100%0.0
12-29UC Davis (338.0)BWH65-64W100%0.0
1-2Pacific (288.0)BWH78-73W100%0.0
1-5UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWA77-64L0%0.0
1-7Cal Poly (219.0)BWA73-67L0%0.0
1-14Cal St. Bakersfield (213.0)indA67-65L0%0.0
1-18UC Riverside (253.0)BWH72-61W100%0.0
1-21UC Irvine (254.0)BWA84-92W100%0.0
1-26Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWA68-70W100%0.0
1-28Long Beach St. (34.0)BWA75-61L0%0.0
2-2Cal Poly (219.0)BWH83-61W100%0.0
2-4UC Santa Barbara (119.0)BWH99-86W100%0.0
2-9UC Irvine (254.0)BWH100-94W100%0.0
2-15UC Riverside (253.0)BWA64-77W100%0.0
2-18Montana St. (275.0)BSkyH80-66W100%0.0
2-23Pacific (288.0)BWA68-69W100%0.0
2-25UC Davis (338.0)BWA78-75L0%0.0
2-29Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH87-76W100%0.0
3-3Long Beach St. (34.0)BWH77-74W100%0.0
3-8UC Irvine (254.0)BWN59-65L0%0.0