Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Cal St. Bakersfield   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Conference:ind
Expected RPI:315.6
Current RPI:316
Expected SOS:282
Current Record:7-22
Expected Record:7-22
Current Conf Record:0-2
Expected Conf Record:0-2
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-10
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-9
Current OOC Record:7-20
Expected OOC Record:7-20
Expected OOC RPI:298
Expected OOC SOS:277


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2224.14%315.6100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Bakersfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Santa Clara (234.6)WCCH81-84L0%0.0
11-17Utah Valley (338.7)GWCH58-51W100%0.0
11-20UCLA (150.3)P10A64-75L0%0.0
11-30Cal St. Northridge (244.9)BWA74-81L0%0.0
12-2UC Riverside (255.5)BWA47-87L0%0.0
12-6Oregon St. (183.7)P10A39-74L0%0.0
12-9San Jose St. (165.8)WACA80-84L0%0.0
12-16Utah St. (28.2)WACH51-68L0%0.0
12-19Loyola Marymount (175.3)WCCA71-84L0%0.0
12-23San Francisco (206.4)WCCA73-82L0%0.0
12-28Cal St. Fullerton (204.2)BWA70-77L0%0.0
12-31Cal Poly (260.1)BWH70-63W100%0.0
1-3Loyola Marymount (175.3)WCCH73-81L0%0.0
1-6Cincinnati (66.3)BEA58-87L0%0.0
1-9Longwood (284.5)indH81-82L0%0.0
1-12Southern Mississippi (123.6)CUSAA65-81L0%0.0
1-18Montana St. (201.2)BSkyH71-61W100%0.0
1-23Utah Valley (338.7)GWCA63-64L0%0.0
1-26Cal St. Fullerton (204.2)BWH84-92L0%0.0
1-30Cal Poly (260.1)BWA57-53W100%0.0
2-3UC Irvine (266.6)BWH68-55W100%0.0
2-6UC Irvine (266.6)BWA63-76L0%0.0
2-10Cal St. Northridge (244.9)BWH59-57W100%0.0
2-13Pacific (115.2)BWH44-71L0%0.0
2-15Idaho St. (304.3)BSkyA82-79W100%0.0
2-17Boise St. (205.2)WACA62-81L0%0.0
2-23Fresno St. (184.7)WACA68-79L0%0.0
2-27Seattle (191.8)indA72-76L0%0.0
3-2Gonzaga (37.1)WCCA59-78L0%0.0