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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Expected RPI:117.0
Current RPI:117
Expected SOS:305
Current Record:21-8
Expected Record:21-8
Current Conf Record:14-3
Expected Conf Record:14-3
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:100.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:17-0
Current OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC Record:7-5
Expected OOC RPI:145
Expected OOC SOS:268


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Bakersfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17Idaho (191.0)BSkyH68-45W100%0.0
11-25Wyoming (187.0)MWCA68-64L0%0.0
11-29Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA94-59L0%0.0
12-2Idaho (191.0)BSkyA67-63L0%0.0
12-5Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH72-55W100%0.0
12-12South Dakota (197.0)SumA67-77W100%0.0
12-14Dartmouth (284.0)IvyH69-62W100%0.0
12-16Fresno St. (66.0)MWCA76-68L0%0.0
12-22Portland St. (282.0)BSkyH78-66W100%0.0
12-28Arizona St. (99.0)P12A75-59L0%0.0
12-31Morgan St. (327.0)MEACH80-68W100%0.0
1-2UC Riverside (267.0)BWA48-67W100%0.0
1-9UMKC (286.0)WACA72-83W100%0.0
1-11Chicago St. (348.0)WACA56-67W100%0.0
1-16Seattle (287.0)WACA52-79W100%0.0
1-21UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACH77-58W100%0.0
1-23New Mexico St. (111.0)WACH67-68L0%0.0
1-28Grand Canyon (91.0)WACA70-64L0%0.0
1-30Utah Valley (272.0)WACA74-78W100%0.0
2-4UMKC (286.0)WACH77-66W100%0.0
2-6Chicago St. (348.0)WACH71-48W100%0.0
2-13Utah Valley (272.0)WACH91-69W100%0.0
2-18New Mexico St. (111.0)WACA63-55L0%0.0
2-20UT Rio Grande Valley (338.0)WACA57-70W100%0.0
2-27Grand Canyon (91.0)WACH77-62W100%0.0
3-5Seattle (287.0)WACH93-71W100%0.0
3-10Chicago St. (348.0)WACN79-57W100%0.0
3-11Seattle (287.0)WACN72-47W100%0.0
3-12New Mexico St. (111.0)WACN54-57W100%0.0