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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Cal St. Bakersfield

Conference:ind
Expected RPI:215.3
Current RPI:223
Expected SOS:263
Current Record:11-12
Expected Record:13-14
Current Conf Record:0-0
Expected Conf Record:0-0
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-7
Current OOC Record:11-12
Expected OOC Record:13-14
Expected OOC RPI:216
Expected OOC SOS:275


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1255.56%177.62.24%
14-1351.85%196.124.24%
13-1448.15%214.042.89%
12-1544.44%231.825.30%
11-1640.74%250.25.32%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal St. Bakersfield.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-12Oregon St. (108.9)P12A86-62L0%0.0
11-16Cal Poly (182.0)BWA58-60W100%0.0
11-19Pepperdine (252.4)WCCH79-70W100%0.0
11-26Cal St. Fullerton (159.2)BWA66-73W100%0.0
11-30Cal St. Northridge (307.7)BWA67-74W100%0.0
12-3Montana St. (262.2)BSkyA71-67L0%0.0
12-7Sacramento St. (305.3)BSkyH63-60W100%0.0
12-10Northern Arizona (329.4)BSkyA80-67L0%0.0
12-15Portland St. (206.9)BSkyA91-87L0%0.0
12-17Idaho (164.8)WACA72-44L0%0.0
12-19Colorado (78.1)P12A70-64L0%0.0
12-22Pacific (263.1)BWH83-53W100%0.0
12-27Texas Tech (244.3)B12A74-58L0%0.0
1-2New Mexico St. (67.9)WACH72-73L0%0.0
1-5Nevada Las Vegas (14.8)MWCH57-89L0%0.0
1-7Texas Pan American (304.9)GWCH72-57W100%0.0
1-10NJ Inst of Technology (290.3)GWCH71-70W100%0.0
1-14Cal St. Fullerton (159.2)BWH67-65W100%0.0
1-17Pacific (263.1)BWA73-76W100%0.0
1-23San Jose St. (278.3)WACA78-70L0%0.0
1-28Cal St. Northridge (307.7)BWH68-76L0%0.0
2-1New Mexico St. (67.9)WACA78-57L0%0.0
2-4Cal Poly (182.0)BWH69-66W100%0.0
2-8Texas Pan American (304.9)GWCA0-060%2.9
2-14Nevada (62.8)WACA0-011%-13.3
2-18San Diego (217.4)WCCH0-061%3.1
2-22NJ Inst of Technology (290.3)GWCA0-060%2.7