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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Cal Poly

Expected RPI:236.0
Current RPI:236
Expected SOS:132
Current Record:8-20
Expected Record:8-20
Current Conf Record:4-13
Expected Conf Record:4-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-11
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-5
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:139
Expected OOC SOS:51


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Cal Poly.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13UNLV (147.0)MWCA74-72L0%0.0
11-15UCLA (102.0)P12A88-83L0%0.0
11-21Austin Peay (184.0)OVCN73-64W100%0.0
11-22UMBC (335.0)AEN65-78W100%0.0
12-3IPFW (71.0)SumH73-75L0%0.0
12-5Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH77-65W100%0.0
12-14Saint Mary's (38.0)WCCA93-63L0%0.0
12-17USC (51.0)P12A101-82L0%0.0
12-20Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA80-74L0%0.0
12-22UTSA (347.0)CUSAA73-88W100%0.0
12-29Texas A&M (18.0)SECA82-63L0%0.0
1-6Hawaii (80.0)BWA86-73L0%0.0
1-14UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWH73-76L0%0.0
1-16Long Beach St. (79.0)BWH96-92W100%0.0
1-21Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWA76-74L0%0.0
1-23Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWA75-83W100%0.0
1-28UC Riverside (267.0)BWH68-72L0%0.0
1-30UC Davis (281.0)BWA66-52L0%0.0
2-3UC Irvine (75.0)BWH72-78L0%0.0
2-6Hawaii (80.0)BWH60-75L0%0.0
2-11Long Beach St. (79.0)BWA73-70L0%0.0
2-13UC Riverside (267.0)BWA78-86W100%0.0
2-18UC Davis (281.0)BWH58-53W100%0.0
2-20Cal St. Northridge (280.0)BWH71-75L0%0.0
2-25Cal St. Fullerton (290.0)BWH77-78L0%0.0
3-3UC Irvine (75.0)BWA72-62L0%0.0
3-5UC Santa Barbara (97.0)BWA69-50L0%0.0
3-10UC Irvine (75.0)BWN84-64L0%0.0