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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Bowling Green

Expected RPI:200.0
Current RPI:200
Expected SOS:175
Current Record:14-18
Expected Record:14-18
Current Conf Record:7-14
Expected Conf Record:7-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-3
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:212
Expected OOC SOS:347


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Bowling Green.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14New Orleans (343.0)SlndH79-61W100%0.0
11-18Cincinnati (48.0)AmerH50-83L0%0.0
11-21North Dakota (218.0)BSkyN59-77L0%0.0
11-22Youngstown St. (275.0)HorzN72-79W100%0.0
11-23Florida Gulf Coast (209.0)ASunA77-82W100%0.0
12-2UMBC (335.0)AEH72-64W100%0.0
12-5Drake (325.0)MVCH75-63W100%0.0
12-8Southeast Missouri St. (342.0)OVCA52-79W100%0.0
12-12Detroit (204.0)HorzA95-80L0%0.0
12-20Wright St. (146.0)HorzA83-47L0%0.0
12-23Cleveland St. (278.0)HorzA47-62W100%0.0
1-6Miami OH (195.0)MACH73-62W100%0.0
1-9Central Michigan (156.0)MACH67-79L0%0.0
1-12Ohio (81.0)MACA75-91W100%0.0
1-16Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA79-84W100%0.0
1-19Toledo (182.0)MACH74-81L0%0.0
1-23Kent St. (124.0)MACH59-62L0%0.0
1-26Western Michigan (202.0)MACA78-79W100%0.0
1-30Central Michigan (156.0)MACA77-65L0%0.0
2-2Ball St. (179.0)MACH64-72L0%0.0
2-6Miami OH (195.0)MACA55-51L0%0.0
2-9Akron (34.0)MACH68-83L0%0.0
2-13Western Michigan (202.0)MACH68-74L0%0.0
2-16Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA71-60L0%0.0
2-20Buffalo (90.0)MACA88-74L0%0.0
2-23Ohio (81.0)MACH87-82W100%0.0
2-26Akron (34.0)MACA89-54L0%0.0
3-1Kent St. (124.0)MACA70-54L0%0.0
3-4Buffalo (90.0)MACH83-87L0%0.0
3-7Kent St. (124.0)MACA69-70W100%0.0
3-10Central Michigan (156.0)MACN59-62W100%0.0
3-11Akron (34.0)MACN80-66L0%0.0