Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Boston University   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Boston University

Conference:AE
Expected RPI:136.7
Current RPI:139
Expected SOS:203
Current Record:19-12
Expected Record:19-13
Current Conf Record:13-5
Expected Conf Record:13-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:36.71%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-0
Current OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC Record:6-7
Expected OOC RPI:175
Expected OOC SOS:150


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1262.50%124.236.71%
19-1359.38%143.963.29%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boston University.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Iona (88.6)MAACA73-82L0%0.0
11-17George Washington (149.3)A10H59-69L0%0.0
11-19Kansas St. (5.5)B12N70-80L0%0.0
11-20Indiana (221.7)B10N71-67W100%0.0
11-22Georgia Tech (36.8)ACCN67-85L0%0.0
11-25Northeastern (74.0)CAAH69-64W100%0.0
11-29Harvard (98.9)IvyH70-78L0%0.0
12-2Connecticut (62.3)BEA64-92L0%0.0
12-6Bucknell (258.5)PatH63-53W100%0.0
12-12Marist (334.0)MAACA88-72W100%0.0
12-22Mount St. Mary's (171.3)NECH86-77W100%0.0
12-29Dayton (51.2)A10A60-74L0%0.0
1-2Stony Brook (141.4)AEH75-84L0%0.0
1-7New Hampshire (242.9)AEA60-56W100%0.0
1-9Hartford (304.5)AEA84-70W100%0.0
1-12MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEH75-63W100%0.0
1-14Binghamton (228.9)AEA63-55W100%0.0
1-17Vermont (123.5)AEA58-78L0%0.0
1-19Albany (301.3)AEH79-58W100%0.0
1-24MD Baltimore County (333.0)AEA79-61W100%0.0
1-27Maine (153.1)AEA54-56L0%0.0
1-30Stony Brook (141.4)AEA55-71L0%0.0
2-4New Hampshire (242.9)AEH69-47W100%0.0
2-6Albany (301.3)AEA68-53W100%0.0
2-9Vermont (123.5)AEH75-76L0%0.0
2-13Hartford (304.5)AEH58-55W100%0.0
2-17Binghamton (228.9)AEH93-51W100%0.0
2-20Delaware (238.8)CAAA78-65W100%0.0
2-27Maine (153.1)AEH76-56W100%0.0
3-6Hartford (304.5)AEA87-46W100%0.0
3-7Stony Brook (141.4)AEN70-63W100%0.0