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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Boston College

Conference:ACC
Expected RPI:250.9
Current RPI:235
Expected SOS:76
Current Record:7-16
Expected Record:8-23
Current Conf Record:2-7
Expected Conf Record:3-14
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-1
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-2
Current OOC Record:5-9
Expected OOC Record:5-9
Expected OOC RPI:273
Expected OOC SOS:174


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-2039.39%174.00.01%
12-1938.71%192.20.04%
12-2037.50%191.00.05%
12-2136.36%184.80.04%
11-2035.48%213.00.27%
11-2134.38%204.40.55%
11-2233.33%198.20.06%
10-2132.26%225.93.21%
10-2231.25%218.61.56%
10-2330.30%215.40.16%
10-2429.41%212.00.01%
9-2229.03%238.216.79%
9-2328.12%233.03.03%
9-2427.27%227.20.16%
8-2325.81%251.439.43%
8-2425.00%247.62.31%
7-2422.58%264.732.31%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boston College.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14New Hampshire (314.7)AEH67-64W100%0.0
11-18Holy Cross (226.6)PatN86-64L0%0.0
11-21Massachusetts (81.2)A10H46-82L0%0.0
11-24St. Louis (28.8)A10N62-51L0%0.0
11-25UC Riverside (257.2)BWN66-62W100%0.0
11-27New Mexico (26.0)MWCN57-75L0%0.0
11-30Penn St. (172.5)B10H54-62L0%0.0
12-3Boston University (159.1)AEH61-75L0%0.0
12-8Providence (160.2)BEA64-57L0%0.0
12-11Stony Brook (132.5)AEH66-51W100%0.0
12-18Bryant (335.4)NECH75-55W100%0.0
12-21Sacred Heart (237.3)NECH83-73W100%0.0
12-29Harvard (45.6)IvyH46-67L0%0.0
1-2Rhode Island (255.0)A10H72-78L0%0.0
1-7North Carolina (5.2)ACCA83-60L0%0.0
1-12Clemson (165.8)ACCH59-57W100%0.0
1-14Virginia Tech (95.1)ACCH61-59W100%0.0
1-19North Carolina St. (64.3)ACCA76-62L0%0.0
1-21Wake Forest (182.2)ACCH56-71L0%0.0
1-26Virginia (40.7)ACCA66-49L0%0.0
1-29Miami FL (57.7)ACCH54-76L0%0.0
2-1North Carolina St. (64.3)ACCH51-56L0%0.0
2-4Georgia Tech (172.1)ACCA51-47L0%0.0
2-8Florida St. (25.0)ACCH0-06%-16.7
2-12Virginia Tech (95.1)ACCA0-05%-18.0
2-16Maryland (111.0)ACCA0-015%-11.3
2-19Duke (8.8)ACCH0-04%-18.7
2-25Wake Forest (182.2)ACCA0-025%-7.5
2-29Georgia Tech (172.1)ACCH0-033%-4.9
3-3Miami FL (57.7)ACCA0-05%-18.1