Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Boise St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Boise St.

Conference:WAC
Expected RPI:202.8
Current RPI:203
Expected SOS:177
Current Record:14-17
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Record:5-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-4
Current OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC RPI:192
Expected OOC SOS:306


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1745.16%202.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boise St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Loyola Marymount (174.0)WCCN90-87W100%0.0
11-14Montana (97.3)BSkyA82-95L0%0.0
11-15North Dakota (339.3)GWCN75-60W100%0.0
11-21Wyoming (227.6)MWCA61-87L0%0.0
11-24Eastern Washington (277.8)BSkyA82-69W100%0.0
11-28North Texas (103.0)SBH79-73W100%0.0
12-5Illinois (71.9)B10A77-84L0%0.0
12-9Idaho St. (303.8)BSkyA79-67W100%0.0
12-12San Diego (230.7)WCCH56-59L0%0.0
12-19Houston Baptist (326.8)GWCH96-59W100%0.0
12-21Portland St. (221.5)BSkyH69-62W100%0.0
12-23Montana St. (200.5)BSkyH58-56W100%0.0
1-2Fresno St. (190.4)WACA68-71L0%0.0
1-4Hawaii (253.2)WACA68-76L0%0.0
1-9New Mexico St. (58.1)WACH85-88L0%0.0
1-11Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACH64-79L0%0.0
1-14San Jose St. (177.2)WACA74-76L0%0.0
1-16Utah St. (24.4)WACA59-81L0%0.0
1-20Nevada (72.9)WACH82-88L0%0.0
1-25Idaho (173.2)WACA77-67W100%0.0
1-30Fresno St. (190.4)WACH65-49W100%0.0
2-6Idaho (173.2)WACH55-79L0%0.0
2-11Utah St. (24.4)WACH67-72L0%0.0
2-13Nevada (72.9)WACA80-88L0%0.0
2-17Cal St. Bakersfield (317.0)indH81-62W100%0.0
2-20UC Davis (244.0)BWH74-82L0%0.0
2-25Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA72-59W100%0.0
2-27New Mexico St. (58.1)WACA92-95L0%0.0
3-4Hawaii (253.2)WACH82-63W100%0.0
3-6San Jose St. (177.2)WACH85-56W100%0.0
3-11Utah St. (24.4)WACN60-84L0%0.0