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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Boise St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:173.0
Current RPI:173
Expected SOS:87
Current Record:12-17
Expected Record:12-17
Current Conf Record:3-12
Expected Conf Record:3-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-1
Current OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC Record:9-5
Expected OOC RPI:151
Expected OOC SOS:297


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
12-1741.38%173.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boise St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Utah (274.0)P12H80-59W100%0.0
11-19Cal St. Northridge (323.0)BWH103-61W100%0.0
11-22Long Beach St. (34.0)BWA72-62L0%0.0
11-26Northern Illinois (334.0)MACH71-57W100%0.0
11-30Drake (133.0)MVCH108-64W100%0.0
12-3Indiana St. (129.0)MVCH74-65W100%0.0
12-5Idaho St. (290.0)BSkyH79-55W100%0.0
12-7Portland (238.0)WCCH92-70W100%0.0
12-10Louisiana St. (84.0)SECA64-45L0%0.0
12-17Denver (94.0)SBA79-62L0%0.0
12-19Fresno St. (229.0)WACH70-63W100%0.0
12-22Iowa (130.0)B10A81-72L0%0.0
12-31Idaho (146.0)WACN76-73W100%0.0
1-2Fresno St. (229.0)WACA72-59L0%0.0
1-14Air Force (168.0)MWCH59-74L0%0.0
1-17Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA66-55L0%0.0
1-21Texas Christian (114.0)MWCA54-52L0%0.0
1-25Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCH72-77L0%0.0
1-28Wyoming (83.0)MWCH64-75L0%0.0
2-1San Diego St. (26.0)MWCA58-56L0%0.0
2-4New Mexico (27.0)MWCH49-65L0%0.0
2-11Air Force (168.0)MWCA61-72W100%0.0
2-15Colorado St. (29.0)MWCH70-69W100%0.0
2-18Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH65-64W100%0.0
2-22Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA75-58L0%0.0
2-25Wyoming (83.0)MWCA64-54L0%0.0
2-29San Diego St. (26.0)MWCH53-66L0%0.0
3-3New Mexico (27.0)MWCA76-61L0%0.0
3-8San Diego St. (26.0)MWCN65-62L0%0.0