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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Boise St.

Expected RPI:101.0
Current RPI:101
Expected SOS:117
Current Record:18-12
Expected Record:18-12
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-2
Current OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC Record:7-4
Expected OOC RPI:82
Expected OOC SOS:81


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boise St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Montana (145.0)BSkyA74-72L0%0.0
11-16Northern Arizona (333.0)BSkyH101-81W100%0.0
11-19Arizona (26.0)P12A88-76L0%0.0
11-26UC Irvine (75.0)BWN71-64W100%0.0
11-27Michigan St. (12.0)B10N77-67L0%0.0
11-29Arizona (26.0)P12N68-59L0%0.0
12-5Portland (249.0)WCCA71-81W100%0.0
12-9Loyola Marymount (223.0)WCCH67-66W100%0.0
12-12Oregon (2.0)P12H74-72W100%0.0
12-20Bradley (306.0)MVCH90-70W100%0.0
12-30UC Davis (281.0)BWH64-56W100%0.0
1-2Colorado St. (181.0)MWCH84-80W100%0.0
1-5Utah St. (151.0)MWCA61-76W100%0.0
1-9Fresno St. (66.0)MWCH81-70W100%0.0
1-13Nevada (118.0)MWCA67-74W100%0.0
1-16San Diego St. (41.0)MWCH53-56L0%0.0
1-20San Jose St. (301.0)MWCH94-69W100%0.0
1-23Wyoming (187.0)MWCA71-81W100%0.0
1-27UNLV (147.0)MWCA87-77L0%0.0
1-30New Mexico (141.0)MWCH83-88L0%0.0
2-2Utah St. (151.0)MWCH70-67W100%0.0
2-6Air Force (226.0)MWCA61-53L0%0.0
2-10Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA97-93L0%0.0
2-13Wyoming (187.0)MWCH94-71W100%0.0
2-17New Mexico (141.0)MWCA80-78L0%0.0
2-23UNLV (147.0)MWCH81-69W100%0.0
2-27San Diego St. (41.0)MWCA63-66W100%0.0
3-2Nevada (118.0)MWCH76-57W100%0.0
3-5San Jose St. (301.0)MWCA68-63L0%0.0
3-10Colorado St. (181.0)MWCN81-88L0%0.0