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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Boise St.

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:45.0
Current RPI:45
Expected SOS:53
Current Record:19-10
Expected Record:19-10
Current Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Record:9-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:3-5
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:7-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-0
Current OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC Record:10-2
Expected OOC RPI:36
Expected OOC SOS:202


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1065.52%45.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Boise St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Texas Southern (184.0)SWACH81-63W100%0.0
11-13Oakland (152.0)SumH88-80W100%0.0
11-18Louisiana Lafayette (221.0)SBH63-57W100%0.0
11-20Michigan St. (9.0)B10A74-70L0%0.0
11-24UC Santa Barbara (244.0)BWH72-56W100%0.0
11-28Creighton (25.0)MVCA70-83W100%0.0
12-2Seattle (303.0)WACA64-87W100%0.0
12-5Utah (161.0)P12A76-55L0%0.0
12-14Louisiana St. (86.0)SECH89-70W100%0.0
12-20Idaho (195.0)WACN78-68W100%0.0
12-23New Orleans (346.0)indN67-51W100%0.0
1-2Texas Arlington (119.0)WACA46-64W100%0.0
1-9Wyoming (75.0)MWCA61-63W100%0.0
1-16New Mexico (2.0)MWCH74-79L0%0.0
1-19Air Force (80.0)MWCA91-80L0%0.0
1-23Fresno St. (135.0)MWCH74-67W100%0.0
1-26Nevada (171.0)MWCA75-59L0%0.0
1-30Colorado St. (18.0)MWCA77-57L0%0.0
2-2Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCH77-72W100%0.0
2-6San Diego St. (30.0)MWCA63-62L0%0.0
2-9Wyoming (75.0)MWCH68-61W100%0.0
2-16New Mexico (2.0)MWCA60-50L0%0.0
2-20Air Force (80.0)MWCH77-65W100%0.0
2-23Fresno St. (135.0)MWCA63-72W100%0.0
2-27Nevada (171.0)MWCH73-47W100%0.0
3-2Colorado St. (18.0)MWCH78-65W100%0.0
3-5Nevada Las Vegas (23.0)MWCA68-64L0%0.0
3-9San Diego St. (30.0)MWCH69-65W100%0.0
3-13San Diego St. (30.0)MWCN73-67L0%0.0