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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Ball St.

Expected RPI:179.0
Current RPI:179
Expected SOS:226
Current Record:18-13
Expected Record:18-13
Current Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Record:10-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-2
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:215
Expected OOC SOS:345


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ball St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Bradley (306.0)MVCA54-53L0%0.0
11-16Eastern Illinois (271.0)OVCH73-56W100%0.0
11-20Eastern Kentucky (211.0)OVCA89-81L0%0.0
11-21Longwood (323.0)BSthN67-78W100%0.0
11-22South Carolina St. (203.0)MEACN72-60W100%0.0
11-28Valparaiso (49.0)HorzH69-66W100%0.0
12-1IUPUI (189.0)SumH61-58W100%0.0
12-5New Orleans (343.0)SlndH66-52W100%0.0
12-12Pepperdine (129.0)WCCH63-72L0%0.0
12-22Indiana St. (172.0)MVCA73-61L0%0.0
12-29Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH63-62W100%0.0
12-31Chicago St. (348.0)WACH73-48W100%0.0
1-6Toledo (182.0)MACH87-69W100%0.0
1-9Ohio (81.0)MACA79-73L0%0.0
1-12Western Michigan (202.0)MACA64-74W100%0.0
1-16Miami OH (195.0)MACH48-46W100%0.0
1-19Kent St. (124.0)MACH68-76L0%0.0
1-23Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACA87-88W100%0.0
1-26Buffalo (90.0)MACA76-64L0%0.0
1-30Akron (34.0)MACH64-73L0%0.0
2-2Bowling Green (200.0)MACA64-72W100%0.0
2-6Western Michigan (202.0)MACH75-71W100%0.0
2-9Ohio (81.0)MACH69-72L0%0.0
2-13Central Michigan (156.0)MACA63-75W100%0.0
2-16Miami OH (195.0)MACA56-73W100%0.0
2-19Northern Illinois (136.0)MACH63-59W100%0.0
2-23Toledo (182.0)MACA77-67L0%0.0
2-27Eastern Michigan (113.0)MACH115-79W100%0.0
3-1Central Michigan (156.0)MACH57-65L0%0.0
3-4Northern Illinois (136.0)MACA80-69L0%0.0
3-7Miami OH (195.0)MACH47-49L0%0.0