Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Ball St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Ball St.

Conference:MAC
Expected RPI:218.5
Current RPI:217
Expected SOS:216
Current Record:14-15
Expected Record:14-15
Current Conf Record:8-9
Expected Conf Record:8-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:6-5
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:219
Expected OOC SOS:219


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
14-1548.28%218.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Ball St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Valparaiso (185.4)HorzH88-78W100%0.0
11-21SIU Edwardsville (321.4)OVCH57-47W100%0.0
11-24Temple (15.6)A10A46-66L0%0.0
11-28UC Davis (244.0)BWH58-60L0%0.0
12-2Butler (11.9)HorzH38-59L0%0.0
12-9Indiana St. (87.5)MVCA68-63W100%0.0
12-12Tennessee Tech (196.0)OVCA81-86L0%0.0
12-19Purdue (12.0)B10N49-69L0%0.0
12-21North Carolina Central (347.0)indH59-45W100%0.0
12-28Maryland Eastern Shore (307.8)MEACH56-47W100%0.0
1-5Dayton (51.2)A10A35-59L0%0.0
1-9Northern Illinois (262.5)MACH48-62L0%0.0
1-13Central Michigan (195.1)MACA38-53L0%0.0
1-17Toledo (324.5)MACH71-43W100%0.0
1-20Western Michigan (149.7)MACH75-68W100%0.0
1-23Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACA53-57L0%0.0
1-26Miami OH (145.1)MACH65-59W100%0.0
1-28Buffalo (108.3)MACA75-69W100%0.0
1-31Ohio (99.9)MACA67-66W100%0.0
2-4Bowling Green (188.3)MACH64-59W100%0.0
2-6Akron (84.2)MACH70-75L0%0.0
2-10Kent St. (46.7)MACA42-76L0%0.0
2-13Northern Illinois (262.5)MACA71-66W100%0.0
2-17Central Michigan (195.1)MACH69-63W100%0.0
2-20Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH68-52W100%0.0
2-24Eastern Michigan (201.8)MACH67-72L0%0.0
2-27Toledo (324.5)MACA42-45L0%0.0
3-4Western Michigan (149.7)MACA52-67L0%0.0
3-7Ohio (99.9)MACH77-85L0%0.0