Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Austin Peay   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Austin Peay

Conference:OVC
Expected RPI:163.8
Current RPI:164
Expected SOS:154
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:15-15
Current Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Record:11-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-1
Current OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC Record:4-7
Expected OOC RPI:120
Expected OOC SOS:23


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1550.00%163.8100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Austin Peay.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Tennessee (15.4)SECA54-83L0%0.0
11-15Akron (89.7)MACA80-77W100%0.0
11-20IUPUI (86.4)SumN63-77L0%0.0
11-21North Carolina St. (99.3)ACCN59-66L0%0.0
11-22Niagara (130.2)MAACN69-67W100%0.0
11-28Drake (181.6)MVCH72-78L0%0.0
12-3Southeast Missouri St. (312.6)OVCH76-71W100%0.0
12-5Eastern Illinois (169.2)OVCH73-60W100%0.0
12-9Ohio (106.4)MACA68-66W100%0.0
12-19Kentucky (3.3)SECA69-90L0%0.0
12-22Evansville (248.4)MVCH71-68W100%0.0
12-27Missouri (45.7)B12A79-94L0%0.0
1-2Morehead St. (84.2)OVCA65-68L0%0.0
1-4Eastern Kentucky (154.1)OVCA71-76L0%0.0
1-7Tennessee Martin (338.5)OVCH90-72W100%0.0
1-9Murray St. (55.8)OVCH53-69L0%0.0
1-16Tennessee St. (259.8)OVCH79-77W100%0.0
1-21Tennessee Tech (196.8)OVCA90-94L0%0.0
1-23Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCA66-64W100%0.0
1-28Eastern Kentucky (154.1)OVCH80-76W100%0.0
1-31Morehead St. (84.2)OVCH56-55W100%0.0
2-4Tennessee Martin (338.5)OVCA74-69W100%0.0
2-6Murray St. (55.8)OVCA63-65L0%0.0
2-13Tennessee St. (259.8)OVCA67-76L0%0.0
2-15Jacksonville St. (297.8)OVCH83-63W100%0.0
2-18Tennessee Tech (196.8)OVCH77-72W100%0.0
2-20Oral Roberts (124.8)SumH80-89L0%0.0
2-25Eastern Illinois (169.2)OVCA73-83L0%0.0
2-27Southeast Missouri St. (312.6)OVCA71-68W100%0.0
3-2Tennessee Tech (196.8)OVCH65-68L0%0.0