Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Arkansas St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Arkansas St.

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:200.9
Current RPI:201
Expected SOS:245
Current Record:15-14
Expected Record:15-14
Current Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Record:12-8
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC Record:3-6
Expected OOC RPI:257
Expected OOC SOS:236


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
15-1451.72%200.9100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Southeast Missouri St. (312.9)OVCA73-49W100%0.0
11-21Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA56-82L0%0.0
11-25Tennessee Martin (338.0)OVCH80-66W100%0.0
11-29Indiana St. (87.5)MVCH72-77L0%0.0
12-2Mississippi (59.5)SECH57-79L0%0.0
12-5Memphis (56.3)CUSAA55-74L0%0.0
12-12Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH64-75L0%0.0
12-20Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBH69-61W100%0.0
12-22Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACN71-64W100%0.0
12-31Denver (164.4)SBA55-64L0%0.0
1-2North Texas (103.0)SBH71-56W100%0.0
1-4Lamar (292.7)SlndA68-87L0%0.0
1-7Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBH69-67W100%0.0
1-9South Alabama (209.4)SBA69-63W100%0.0
1-16North Texas (103.0)SBA83-70W100%0.0
1-21Florida International (296.0)SBA76-61W100%0.0
1-23Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA63-78L0%0.0
1-28Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH62-60W100%0.0
1-30Denver (164.4)SBH73-62W100%0.0
2-4Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBA77-79L0%0.0
2-6New Orleans (323.2)SBA66-52W100%0.0
2-11Western Kentucky (133.5)SBA68-79L0%0.0
2-15Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBH69-52W100%0.0
2-18Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBA54-56L0%0.0
2-20Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH76-78L0%0.0
2-25New Orleans (323.2)SBH63-56W100%0.0
2-27Troy (109.6)SBH57-64L0%0.0
3-6Arkansas Little Rock (300.2)SBN89-82W100%0.0
3-7Western Kentucky (133.5)SBN64-65L0%0.0