- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Arkansas St.

Expected RPI:285.0
Current RPI:285
Expected SOS:196
Current Record:9-20
Expected Record:9-20
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-11
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:314
Expected OOC SOS:232


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13SIU Edwardsville (305.0)OVCA79-70L0%0.0
11-18Savannah St. (277.0)MEACA76-75L0%0.0
11-22Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH78-69W100%0.0
11-25Oregon (2.0)P12A91-68L0%0.0
11-27Baylor (25.0)B12A94-72L0%0.0
12-1Missouri (222.0)SECA88-78L0%0.0
12-4North Dakota St. (120.0)SumH73-74L0%0.0
12-18Tennessee Martin (213.0)OVCA74-70L0%0.0
12-22Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndH77-67W100%0.0
12-30Troy (293.0)SBA81-84W100%0.0
1-2South Alabama (240.0)SBA67-89W100%0.0
1-7Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH68-65W100%0.0
1-9Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH71-69W100%0.0
1-16Appalachian St. (259.0)SBH72-86L0%0.0
1-18Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH76-73W100%0.0
1-21UT Arlington (105.0)SBA91-64L0%0.0
1-23Texas St. (238.0)SBA78-68L0%0.0
1-28Georgia St. (180.0)SBH75-69W100%0.0
1-30Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH66-71L0%0.0
2-4South Alabama (240.0)SBH79-73W100%0.0
2-6Troy (293.0)SBH70-71L0%0.0
2-11Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA83-73L0%0.0
2-13Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA78-73L0%0.0
2-18Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA90-59L0%0.0
2-20Georgia St. (180.0)SBA69-61L0%0.0
2-25Texas St. (238.0)SBH60-71L0%0.0
2-27UT Arlington (105.0)SBH75-79L0%0.0
3-1Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA89-80L0%0.0
3-5Appalachian St. (259.0)SBA80-73L0%0.0