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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Arkansas St.

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:163.0
Current RPI:163
Expected SOS:239
Current Record:18-12
Expected Record:18-12
Current Conf Record:13-9
Expected Conf Record:13-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:6-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:11-4
Current OOC Record:5-3
Expected OOC Record:5-3
Expected OOC RPI:198
Expected OOC SOS:328


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
18-1260.00%163.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Dayton (114.0)A10A74-61L0%0.0
11-16Tennessee Martin (312.0)OVCA73-77W100%0.0
11-21Central Arkansas (286.0)SlndA72-73W100%0.0
11-25Lamar (335.0)SlndH93-53W100%0.0
11-29Florida International (111.0)SBA80-61L0%0.0
12-1Florida Atlantic (218.0)SBA72-65L0%0.0
12-8St. Bonaventure (139.0)A10H73-70W100%0.0
12-16Austin Peay (319.0)OVCH69-57W100%0.0
12-19Murray St. (110.0)OVCH54-61L0%0.0
12-22Kent St. (131.0)MACA73-69L0%0.0
12-27Louisiana Lafayette (221.0)SBH87-70W100%0.0
12-29South Alabama (154.0)SBA54-63W100%0.0
1-3Middle Tennessee (28.0)SBH66-60W100%0.0
1-5Western Kentucky (150.0)SBH75-61W100%0.0
1-10Florida International (111.0)SBH64-66L0%0.0
1-12Louisiana Lafayette (221.0)SBA61-56L0%0.0
1-19Louisiana Monroe (305.0)SBH63-39W100%0.0
1-24Troy (279.0)SBA74-67L0%0.0
1-26Florida Atlantic (218.0)SBH63-38W100%0.0
1-31South Alabama (154.0)SBH74-62W100%0.0
2-2North Texas (247.0)SBH75-66W100%0.0
2-7Middle Tennessee (28.0)SBA73-60L0%0.0
2-9Western Kentucky (150.0)SBA49-67W100%0.0
2-14Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBH86-62W100%0.0
2-16Louisiana Monroe (305.0)SBA54-87W100%0.0
2-23Troy (279.0)SBH58-50W100%0.0
2-28North Texas (247.0)SBA74-50L0%0.0
3-2Arkansas Little Rock (176.0)SBA78-71L0%0.0
3-9Troy (279.0)SBN68-63W100%0.0
3-10Western Kentucky (150.0)SBN56-58L0%0.0