- Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - - Blog

Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Expected RPI:311.0
Current RPI:311
Expected SOS:304
Current Record:8-25
Expected Record:8-25
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-12
Current OOC Record:2-12
Expected OOC Record:2-12
Expected OOC RPI:222
Expected OOC SOS:78


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Pine Bluff.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Seattle (287.0)WACA56-58W100%0.0
11-16Oklahoma St. (170.0)B12A86-72L0%0.0
11-20Michigan St. (12.0)B10A92-46L0%0.0
11-22Cincinnati (48.0)AmerA99-50L0%0.0
11-24Nebraska (165.0)B10A67-44L0%0.0
11-27Army (214.0)PatA81-60L0%0.0
11-28Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndN62-60W100%0.0
12-2Hawaii (80.0)BWA75-47L0%0.0
12-5Virginia Tech (89.0)ACCA80-45L0%0.0
12-13Iowa St. (23.0)B12A78-64L0%0.0
12-15Santa Clara (251.0)WCCA69-57L0%0.0
12-19Texas Tech (36.0)B12A94-54L0%0.0
12-21Ohio (81.0)MACA65-58L0%0.0
12-29Missouri (222.0)SECA78-25L0%0.0
1-4Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACA66-60L0%0.0
1-9Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACA85-70L0%0.0
1-11Alabama St. (265.0)SWACA55-59W100%0.0
1-16Southern (186.0)SWACH55-69L0%0.0
1-18Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACH65-73L0%0.0
1-23Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACA44-45W100%0.0
1-25Texas Southern (190.0)SWACA78-49L0%0.0
1-30Grambling St. (350.0)SWACH63-59W100%0.0
2-1Jackson St. (221.0)SWACH53-66L0%0.0
2-6Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACH66-71L0%0.0
2-8Alabama St. (265.0)SWACH75-70W100%0.0
2-13Southern (186.0)SWACA66-58L0%0.0
2-15Alcorn St. (253.0)SWACA79-60L0%0.0
2-20Prairie View A&M (334.0)SWACH55-57L0%0.0
2-22Texas Southern (190.0)SWACH52-54L0%0.0
2-27Grambling St. (350.0)SWACA51-53W100%0.0
2-29Jackson St. (221.0)SWACA67-56L0%0.0
3-5Mississippi Valley St. (330.0)SWACH78-71W100%0.0
3-8Alabama A&M (332.0)SWACN61-53L0%0.0