Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Arkansas Pine Bluff   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Arkansas Pine Bluff

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:190.0
Current RPI:191
Expected SOS:274
Current Record:15-15
Expected Record:16-16
Current Conf Record:15-4
Expected Conf Record:16-5
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:43.37%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:16-3
Current OOC Record:0-11
Expected OOC Record:0-11
Expected OOC RPI:273
Expected OOC SOS:24


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
17-1553.12%183.443.37%
16-1650.00%192.327.72%
15-1648.39%197.828.90%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Pine Bluff.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Colorado (119.6)B12A72-88L0%0.0
11-15Denver (164.3)SBA56-75L0%0.0
11-18Texas El Paso (35.2)CUSAA52-70L0%0.0
11-27Akron (89.7)MACA65-68L0%0.0
11-30Arizona St. (63.4)P10A57-74L0%0.0
12-5Michigan (130.0)B10A53-67L0%0.0
12-13Oklahoma St. (29.8)B12A66-81L0%0.0
12-16Georgia Tech (41.2)ACCA53-65L0%0.0
12-19Missouri (45.7)B12A70-88L0%0.0
12-21Kansas St. (6.5)B12A76-90L0%0.0
12-28Oregon (139.0)P10A53-73L0%0.0
1-4Mississippi Valley St. (325.6)SWACN69-68W100%0.0
1-9Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACA82-72W100%0.0
1-11Alabama St. (270.0)SWACA73-75L0%0.0
1-16Southern (342.8)SWACH64-51W100%0.0
1-18Alcorn St. (345.8)SWACH93-59W100%0.0
1-23Prairie View A&M (274.4)SWACA62-54W100%0.0
1-25Texas Southern (224.0)SWACA67-70L0%0.0
1-30Grambling (339.5)SWACH92-69W100%0.0
2-1Jackson St. (197.1)SWACH67-72L0%0.0
2-6Alabama A&M (330.8)SWACH62-55W100%0.0
2-8Alabama St. (270.0)SWACH47-42W100%0.0
2-13Southern (342.8)SWACA66-62W100%0.0
2-15Alcorn St. (345.8)SWACA59-45W100%0.0
2-20Prairie View A&M (274.4)SWACH57-55W100%0.0
2-22Texas Southern (224.0)SWACH57-53W100%0.0
2-27Grambling (339.5)SWACA68-56W100%0.0
3-1Jackson St. (197.1)SWACA54-57L0%0.0
3-4Mississippi Valley St. (325.6)SWACH84-68W100%0.0
3-10Mississippi Valley St. (325.6)SWACN69-66W100%0.0