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Through games of Feb 7, 2012.

Arkansas Little Rock

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:187.9
Current RPI:182
Expected SOS:145
Current Record:10-13
Expected Record:14-17
Current Conf Record:8-2
Expected Conf Record:12-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:1-1
Probability of Auto Bid:3.48%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:4-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-5
Current OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC Record:2-11
Expected OOC RPI:274
Expected OOC SOS:48


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
19-1359.38%97.00.01%
18-1456.25%113.50.34%
17-1454.84%135.10.14%
16-1453.33%155.40.20%
17-1553.12%126.51.80%
16-1551.61%149.82.19%
16-1650.00%142.84.07%
15-1550.00%169.22.31%
15-1648.39%165.08.37%
15-1746.88%157.34.94%
14-1646.67%185.69.77%
15-1845.45%155.00.03%
14-1745.16%179.911.85%
14-1843.75%173.02.23%
13-1743.33%200.216.81%
14-1942.42%175.10.07%
13-1841.94%191.39.68%
13-1940.62%192.80.58%
12-1840.00%213.614.59%
13-2039.39%192.20.09%
12-1938.71%208.33.37%
12-2037.50%213.30.18%
11-1936.67%228.25.39%
11-2035.48%225.90.46%
10-2033.33%245.50.52%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Little Rock.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Tulsa (106.2)CUSAA65-49L0%0.0
11-13Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndH72-66W100%0.0
11-15IUPUI (246.0)SumH75-70W100%0.0
11-18Eastern Michigan (253.1)MACA62-51L0%0.0
11-20Michigan St. (9.7)B10A69-47L0%0.0
11-26Wisconsin Milwaukee (127.0)HorzH54-59L0%0.0
11-29Northwestern St. (179.3)SlndA80-65L0%0.0
12-4Southern Methodist (217.6)CUSAH63-69L0%0.0
12-10Missouri St. (82.9)MVCH60-68L0%0.0
12-12Oral Roberts (40.9)SumH55-58L0%0.0
12-17Louisiana Tech (205.7)WACA71-68L0%0.0
12-20Illinois St. (109.7)MVCA72-65L0%0.0
12-29North Texas (198.8)SBA66-69W100%0.0
12-31Denver (82.1)SBA59-66W100%0.0
1-3Kentucky (3.5)SECN73-51L0%0.0
1-7Florida Atlantic (177.8)SBH40-38W100%0.0
1-12Louisiana Monroe (324.7)SBA51-72W100%0.0
1-14Arkansas St. (229.8)SBA62-63W100%0.0
1-19Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBH49-68L0%0.0
1-21Western Kentucky (240.9)SBA65-53L0%0.0
1-26South Alabama (196.9)SBH75-50W100%0.0
1-28Denver (82.1)SBH64-57W100%0.0
2-4Louisiana Monroe (324.7)SBH70-66W100%0.0
2-9Louisiana Lafayette (158.5)SBA0-033%-4.8
2-11Middle Tennessee (40.8)SBA0-08%-15.3
2-16Florida International (213.6)SBH0-064%3.8
2-18Troy (271.6)SBA0-053%0.8
2-23North Texas (198.8)SBH0-056%1.6
2-25Arkansas St. (229.8)SBH0-070%5.7