Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Arkansas Little Rock   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Arkansas Little Rock

Conference:SB
Expected RPI:300.2
Current RPI:300
Expected SOS:166
Current Record:6-22
Expected Record:6-22
Current Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Record:4-15
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-8
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:220
Expected OOC SOS:30


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
6-2221.43%300.2100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arkansas Little Rock.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Mississippi (59.5)SECA64-92L0%0.0
11-17Tulsa (66.5)CUSAA45-59L0%0.0
11-22Creighton (114.4)MVCA65-80L0%0.0
11-25Louisiana Tech (77.1)WACA66-86L0%0.0
11-28Cal Poly (255.8)BWH71-62W100%0.0
11-30Oral Roberts (124.3)SumH73-68W100%0.0
12-2Missouri St. (90.5)MVCH62-75L0%0.0
12-12Memphis (56.3)CUSAN71-83L0%0.0
12-16South Alabama (209.4)SBA71-74L0%0.0
12-20Arkansas St. (200.9)SBA61-69L0%0.0
12-22Wright St. (80.6)HorzA47-69L0%0.0
12-31North Texas (103.0)SBH78-83L0%0.0
1-2Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA64-68L0%0.0
1-9Middle Tennessee (178.3)SBH52-66L0%0.0
1-14New Orleans (323.2)SBA66-67L0%0.0
1-16Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBH76-69W100%0.0
1-21Florida Atlantic (216.4)SBA74-77L0%0.0
1-23Florida International (296.0)SBA81-96L0%0.0
1-28Denver (164.4)SBH69-57W100%0.0
2-4Arkansas St. (200.9)SBH79-77W100%0.0
2-6Louisiana Lafayette (245.4)SBA51-77L0%0.0
2-11Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBH64-67L0%0.0
2-13Western Kentucky (133.5)SBH46-67L0%0.0
2-18Denver (164.4)SBA57-62L0%0.0
2-20North Texas (103.0)SBA65-83L0%0.0
2-25Troy (109.6)SBH73-76L0%0.0
2-27New Orleans (323.2)SBH77-71W100%0.0
3-6Arkansas St. (200.9)SBN82-89L0%0.0