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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Arizona St.

Conference:P12
Expected RPI:252.0
Current RPI:252
Expected SOS:132
Current Record:10-21
Expected Record:10-21
Current Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Record:6-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:4-4
Current OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:274
Expected OOC SOS:192


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
10-2132.26%252.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Arizona St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Montana St. (275.0)BSkyH78-72W100%0.0
11-15Pepperdine (271.0)WCCH60-66L0%0.0
11-18New Mexico (27.0)MWCH71-76L0%0.0
11-24Fairfield (115.0)MAACN55-44L0%0.0
11-25Wake Forest (183.0)ACCN84-56W100%0.0
11-27DePaul (198.0)BEN68-64L0%0.0
12-3Tulsa (120.0)CUSAA64-67W100%0.0
12-7Nevada (65.0)WACH61-69L0%0.0
12-10North Dakota St. (184.0)SumH60-57W100%0.0
12-17Northern Arizona (337.0)BSkyH68-69L0%0.0
12-19Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAH61-64L0%0.0
12-21Fresno St. (229.0)WACH65-68L0%0.0
12-31Arizona (79.0)P12A68-51L0%0.0
1-5Southern California (270.0)P12A53-62W100%0.0
1-7UCLA (117.0)P12N75-58L0%0.0
1-12Oregon (67.0)P12H58-67L0%0.0
1-14Oregon St. (135.0)P12H76-66W100%0.0
1-19Colorado (62.0)P12A69-54L0%0.0
1-21Utah (274.0)P12A64-43L0%0.0
1-26Washington (71.0)P12H54-60L0%0.0
1-28Washington St. (175.0)P12H71-67W100%0.0
2-2Stanford (97.0)P12A68-44L0%0.0
2-4California (37.0)P12A68-47L0%0.0
2-9Utah (274.0)P12H57-52W100%0.0
2-11Colorado (62.0)P12H49-63L0%0.0
2-16Washington (71.0)P12A77-69L0%0.0
2-18Washington St. (175.0)P12A72-50L0%0.0
2-23UCLA (117.0)P12H57-66L0%0.0
2-25Southern California (270.0)P12H56-52W100%0.0
3-4Arizona (79.0)P12H87-80W100%0.0
3-7Stanford (97.0)P12N85-65L0%0.0