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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Appalachian St.

Expected RPI:259.0
Current RPI:259
Expected SOS:150
Current Record:9-22
Expected Record:9-22
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-7
Current OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC Record:2-9
Expected OOC RPI:258
Expected OOC SOS:67


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Appalachian St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Jacksonville (289.0)ASunH76-68W100%0.0
11-17Furman (167.0)SCH70-79L0%0.0
11-20Hampton (155.0)MEACA82-61L0%0.0
11-22Tulane (227.0)AmerA76-48L0%0.0
11-26Liberty (264.0)BSthN62-73W100%0.0
11-27Mercer (194.0)SCN71-70L0%0.0
11-29Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndN84-94L0%0.0
12-6Hofstra (54.0)CAAN86-80L0%0.0
12-15Texas (27.0)B12A67-55L0%0.0
12-19Charlotte (234.0)CUSAH66-82L0%0.0
12-21North Carolina (5.0)ACCA94-70L0%0.0
12-31Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBA72-56L0%0.0
1-2Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBA79-58L0%0.0
1-7UT Arlington (105.0)SBH67-71L0%0.0
1-9Texas St. (238.0)SBH76-56W100%0.0
1-14Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBA81-55L0%0.0
1-16Arkansas St. (285.0)SBA72-86W100%0.0
1-21Georgia St. (180.0)SBH76-67W100%0.0
1-25Georgia Southern (243.0)SBH100-101L0%0.0
1-28Troy (293.0)SBA71-75W100%0.0
1-30South Alabama (240.0)SBA73-60L0%0.0
2-4Louisiana Lafayette (157.0)SBH76-87L0%0.0
2-6Louisiana Monroe (95.0)SBH90-91L0%0.0
2-11Texas St. (238.0)SBA69-68L0%0.0
2-13UT Arlington (105.0)SBA91-60L0%0.0
2-18South Alabama (240.0)SBH71-75L0%0.0
2-20Troy (293.0)SBH78-74W100%0.0
2-25Georgia Southern (243.0)SBA88-63L0%0.0
2-27Georgia St. (180.0)SBA83-70L0%0.0
3-3Arkansas Little Rock (42.0)SBH69-63W100%0.0
3-5Arkansas St. (285.0)SBH80-73W100%0.0