Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Appalachian St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 11, 2010.

Appalachian St.

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:99.5
Current RPI:100
Expected SOS:183
Current Record:20-11
Expected Record:20-11
Current Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Record:15-6
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:2-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:8-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-3
Current OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC Record:5-5
Expected OOC RPI:102
Expected OOC SOS:64


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
20-1164.52%99.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Appalachian St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13NC Wilmington (236.9)CAAH79-68W100%0.0
11-14East Tennessee St. (122.0)ASunA58-62L0%0.0
11-20Arkansas (158.6)SECA72-81L0%0.0
11-23Louisville (38.3)BEA53-80L0%0.0
11-28Morgan St. (104.0)MEACH93-92W100%0.0
11-30Winthrop (160.7)BSthH70-51W100%0.0
12-3Furman (280.2)SCH82-85L0%0.0
12-7Wofford (68.5)SCA77-76W100%0.0
12-19Robert Morris (130.4)NECA65-52W100%0.0
12-21Dayton (49.6)A10A49-65L0%0.0
12-30Campbell (181.8)ASunA63-92L0%0.0
1-6The Citadel (199.4)SCH58-62L0%0.0
1-9Davidson (179.7)SCA78-68W100%0.0
1-13Elon (269.7)SCH89-65W100%0.0
1-16NC Greensboro (249.0)SCH72-64W100%0.0
1-20Georgia Southern (288.4)SCA65-68L0%0.0
1-23Western Carolina (122.0)SCH87-74W100%0.0
1-28Samford (262.5)SCA68-55W100%0.0
1-30Chattanooga (238.1)SCA80-85L0%0.0
2-6Western Carolina (122.0)SCA89-77W100%0.0
2-8NC Greensboro (249.0)SCA75-69W100%0.0
2-11Davidson (179.7)SCH66-56W100%0.0
2-13Georgia Southern (288.4)SCH111-83W100%0.0
2-17College of Charleston (91.1)SCA72-73L0%0.0
2-20Tennessee Tech (196.8)OVCH81-68W100%0.0
2-22Elon (269.7)SCA58-54W100%0.0
2-25Chattanooga (238.1)SCH80-74W100%0.0
2-27Samford (262.5)SCH82-68W100%0.0
3-6The Citadel (199.4)SCN71-61W100%0.0
3-7College of Charleston (91.1)SCN77-54W100%0.0
3-8Wofford (68.5)SCN51-56L0%0.0