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Through games of Mar 17, 2013.

Appalachian St.

Conference:SC
Expected RPI:265.0
Current RPI:265
Expected SOS:321
Current Record:13-16
Expected Record:13-16
Current Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Record:11-9
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-8
Current OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC Record:2-7
Expected OOC RPI:329
Expected OOC SOS:330


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1644.83%265.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Appalachian St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13High Point (249.0)BSthH64-86L0%0.0
11-16Campbell (289.0)BSthA101-82L0%0.0
11-20East Carolina (100.0)CUSAA82-72L0%0.0
11-23Virginia Tech (177.0)ACCA87-76L0%0.0
11-28Duquesne (229.0)A10H72-73L0%0.0
12-1Missouri (36.0)SECA72-56L0%0.0
12-8Western Carolina (243.0)SCA70-64L0%0.0
12-16Missouri Kansas City (284.0)SumA71-81W100%0.0
12-19South Carolina (222.0)SECA74-69L0%0.0
12-22Presbyterian (340.0)BSthH78-70W100%0.0
1-8Wofford (250.0)SCA49-50W100%0.0
1-12Elon (174.0)SCH80-70W100%0.0
1-14NC Greensboro (327.0)SCH83-70W100%0.0
1-17Chattanooga (292.0)SCA91-88L0%0.0
1-19Samford (291.0)SCA72-68L0%0.0
1-24Georgia Southern (266.0)SCH64-62W100%0.0
1-26Davidson (61.0)SCH56-79L0%0.0
1-30College of Charleston (133.0)SCA72-59L0%0.0
2-2Western Carolina (243.0)SCH74-65W100%0.0
2-7Georgia Southern (266.0)SCA86-91W100%0.0
2-9Davidson (61.0)SCA87-52L0%0.0
2-11Furman (343.0)SCH72-66W100%0.0
2-14Elon (174.0)SCA61-58L0%0.0
2-17NC Greensboro (327.0)SCA68-76W100%0.0
2-20The Citadel (330.0)SCH77-80L0%0.0
2-28Samford (291.0)SCH70-67W100%0.0
3-2Chattanooga (292.0)SCH86-60W100%0.0
3-9Furman (343.0)SCN74-60W100%0.0
3-10Davidson (61.0)SCN65-62L0%0.0