Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Alcorn St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Alcorn St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:345.5
Current RPI:345
Expected SOS:303
Current Record:2-29
Expected Record:2-29
Current Conf Record:2-16
Expected Conf Record:2-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:2-16
Current OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC Record:0-13
Expected OOC RPI:318
Expected OOC SOS:108


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
2-296.45%345.5100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alcorn St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-9Ohio St. (25.9)B10A60-100L0%0.0
11-13Arkansas (159.8)SECA68-130L0%0.0
11-15Louisiana Monroe (273.3)SBA66-82L0%0.0
11-20Albany (301.3)AEA55-71L0%0.0
11-21Robert Morris (128.6)NECN76-107L0%0.0
11-22Detroit (167.4)HorzN59-79L0%0.0
11-25South Alabama (209.4)SBA67-83L0%0.0
11-26Utah Valley (342.0)GWCN53-68L0%0.0
11-30Wichita St. (42.8)MVCA52-87L0%0.0
12-2Kansas (1.0)B12A31-98L0%0.0
12-19Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA41-101L0%0.0
12-21New Mexico St. (58.1)WACA72-97L0%0.0
12-30Central Michigan (195.1)MACH64-68L0%0.0
1-4Texas Southern (222.1)SWACA56-89L0%0.0
1-6Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACA60-82L0%0.0
1-11Grambling (339.7)SWACH74-82L0%0.0
1-16Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACA70-80L0%0.0
1-18Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACA59-93L0%0.0
1-23Alabama St. (275.4)SWACH62-69L0%0.0
1-25Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACH70-84L0%0.0
1-27Jackson St. (197.2)SWACH51-63L0%0.0
1-30Southern (343.0)SWACA75-84L0%0.0
2-6Jackson St. (197.2)SWACA64-85L0%0.0
2-8Grambling (339.7)SWACA58-73L0%0.0
2-13Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACH55-54W100%0.0
2-15Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACH45-59L0%0.0
2-20Alabama St. (275.4)SWACA64-91L0%0.0
2-22Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACA60-72L0%0.0
2-27Southern (343.0)SWACH57-60L0%0.0
3-4Texas Southern (222.1)SWACH67-84L0%0.0
3-6Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACH69-67W100%0.0