live-rpi.com - Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Bracket Busters - Blog


Through games of Mar 11, 2012.


Alcorn St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:335.0
Current RPI:335
Expected SOS:343
Current Record:7-21
Expected Record:7-21
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-12
Current OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC RPI:326
Expected OOC SOS:129



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
7-2125.00%335.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alcorn St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-17West Virginia (57.0)BEA97-62L0%0.0
11-19Kent St. (106.0)MACA77-58L0%0.0
11-25Tulane (250.0)CUSAA83-41L0%0.0
11-26San Diego (192.0)WCCN66-65L0%0.0
11-30Texas A&M (165.0)B12A56-44L0%0.0
12-11South Alabama (169.0)SBA102-62L0%0.0
12-17Nebraska (154.0)B10A60-46L0%0.0
12-29Southern Mississippi (20.0)CUSAA80-49L0%0.0
1-3Texas Southern (234.0)SWACA87-52L0%0.0
1-5Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACA55-47L0%0.0
1-7Jackson St. (322.0)SWACH63-60W100%0.0
1-9Grambling (341.0)SWACH71-72L0%0.0
1-14Mississippi Valley St. (144.0)SWACA85-66L0%0.0
1-16Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACA75-68L0%0.0
1-21Alabama St. (308.0)SWACH61-60W100%0.0
1-23Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACH64-65L0%0.0
1-28Southern (281.0)SWACA65-54L0%0.0
2-4Jackson St. (322.0)SWACA46-57W100%0.0
2-6Grambling (341.0)SWACA55-57W100%0.0
2-11Mississippi Valley St. (144.0)SWACH63-71L0%0.0
2-13Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACH66-58W100%0.0
2-18Alabama St. (308.0)SWACA78-63L0%0.0
2-20Alabama A&M (342.0)SWACA81-71L0%0.0
2-25Southern (281.0)SWACH60-40W100%0.0
3-1Texas Southern (234.0)SWACH51-54L0%0.0
3-3Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACH61-64L0%0.0
3-8Prairie View A&M (294.0)SWACN79-103W100%0.0
3-9Texas Southern (234.0)SWACN60-55L0%0.0