Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Alabama St.   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Alabama St.

Conference:SWAC
Expected RPI:275.4
Current RPI:276
Expected SOS:341
Current Record:13-15
Expected Record:13-15
Current Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Record:13-7
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:12-6
Current OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC RPI:347
Expected OOC SOS:325


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
13-1546.43%275.4100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Alabama St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Mississippi (59.5)SECA53-90L0%0.0
11-21Belmont (136.8)ASunA42-78L0%0.0
11-30Tulane (281.1)CUSAA55-82L0%0.0
12-2DePaul (212.2)BEA50-58L0%0.0
12-4Evansville (249.4)MVCA57-61L0%0.0
12-12Southern Illinois (170.6)MVCA63-82L0%0.0
12-16Arkansas (159.8)SECA51-76L0%0.0
12-22Auburn (156.5)SECA78-94L0%0.0
1-4Grambling (339.7)SWACA70-55W100%0.0
1-6Jackson St. (197.2)SWACA62-63L0%0.0
1-9Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACH73-76L0%0.0
1-11Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACH75-73W100%0.0
1-16Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACH83-69W100%0.0
1-23Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACA69-62W100%0.0
1-25Southern (343.0)SWACA77-60W100%0.0
1-30Texas Southern (222.1)SWACH62-61W100%0.0
2-1Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACH55-56L0%0.0
2-6Mississippi Valley St. (325.7)SWACA71-82L0%0.0
2-8Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACA42-47L0%0.0
2-13Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACA80-76W100%0.0
2-20Alcorn St. (345.5)SWACH91-64W100%0.0
2-22Southern (343.0)SWACH73-64W100%0.0
2-27Texas Southern (222.1)SWACA69-61W100%0.0
3-1Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACA52-43W100%0.0
3-4Grambling (339.7)SWACH81-76W100%0.0
3-6Jackson St. (197.2)SWACH59-60L0%0.0
3-11Alabama A&M (331.0)SWACN56-45W100%0.0
3-12Arkansas Pine Bluff (185.5)SWACN44-46L0%0.0