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Through games of Mar 11, 2012.

Air Force

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:168.0
Current RPI:168
Expected SOS:63
Current Record:11-16
Expected Record:11-16
Current Conf Record:3-12
Expected Conf Record:3-12
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:1-6
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:1-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-0
Current OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC Record:8-4
Expected OOC RPI:184
Expected OOC SOS:280


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
11-1640.74%168.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Air Force.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-11Army (301.0)PatH87-71W100%0.0
11-12Virginia Military Inst (259.0)BSthH75-65W100%0.0
11-23Colorado (62.0)P12H73-76L0%0.0
12-3Drake (133.0)MVCA62-60L0%0.0
12-7Wright St. (224.0)HorzH55-34W100%0.0
12-10Arkansas Pine Bluff (302.0)SWACH63-51W100%0.0
12-17Maryland Eastern Shore (320.0)MEACH64-60W100%0.0
12-22Gonzaga (25.0)WCCA70-60L0%0.0
12-29Wagner (93.0)NECN61-72L0%0.0
12-30Eastern Michigan (243.0)MACN37-42W100%0.0
1-6Chicago St. (336.0)GWCH68-54W100%0.0
1-9Texas Pan American (314.0)GWCH67-50W100%0.0
1-14Boise St. (173.0)MWCA59-74W100%0.0
1-18Wyoming (83.0)MWCH53-64L0%0.0
1-21San Diego St. (26.0)MWCA57-44L0%0.0
1-25Texas Christian (114.0)MWCA59-56L0%0.0
1-28Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCH63-65L0%0.0
1-31New Mexico (27.0)MWCH42-81L0%0.0
2-4Colorado St. (29.0)MWCA67-49L0%0.0
2-11Boise St. (173.0)MWCH61-72L0%0.0
2-15Wyoming (83.0)MWCA53-58W100%0.0
2-18San Diego St. (26.0)MWCH58-56W100%0.0
2-22Texas Christian (114.0)MWCH62-65L0%0.0
2-25Nevada Las Vegas (21.0)MWCA68-58L0%0.0
2-29New Mexico (27.0)MWCA86-56L0%0.0
3-3Colorado St. (29.0)MWCH65-75L0%0.0
3-8New Mexico (27.0)MWCN79-64L0%0.0