Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

The results on this page include CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED WEEKLY

For the daily updated  Air Force   page without conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2010.

Air Force

Conference:MWC
Expected RPI:244.3
Current RPI:244
Expected SOS:101
Current Record:8-21
Expected Record:8-21
Current Conf Record:2-16
Expected Conf Record:2-16
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-1
Current OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC Record:6-5
Expected OOC RPI:207
Expected OOC SOS:196


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability
8-2127.59%244.3100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Air Force.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-21Northern Colorado (116.7)BSkyH46-70L0%0.0
11-28Charleston Southern (285.0)BSthH68-58W100%0.0
12-2North Carolina Central (347.0)indH61-49W100%0.0
12-5Missouri St. (90.5)MVCA48-58L0%0.0
12-8Prairie View A&M (273.1)SWACH75-41W100%0.0
12-12Washington St. (162.6)P10N68-75L0%0.0
12-19Northern Arizona (198.2)BSkyH52-60L0%0.0
12-22UC Davis (244.0)BWH69-57W100%0.0
12-28Niagara (129.0)MAACN77-71W100%0.0
12-29Texas El Paso (32.8)CUSAA47-58L0%0.0
1-2Texas Pan American (336.0)GWCH72-65W100%0.0
1-6Texas Christian (188.1)MWCA50-59L0%0.0
1-9Colorado St. (119.8)MWCA48-70L0%0.0
1-13Brigham Young (21.9)MWCH49-67L0%0.0
1-20New Mexico (10.5)MWCH50-73L0%0.0
1-23Utah (156.1)MWCA54-71L0%0.0
1-26Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCA50-60L0%0.0
1-30Wyoming (227.6)MWCH70-63W100%0.0
2-2San Diego St. (24.6)MWCA48-70L0%0.0
2-6Texas Christian (188.1)MWCH51-65L0%0.0
2-9Colorado St. (119.8)MWCH47-51L0%0.0
2-13Brigham Young (21.9)MWCA48-91L0%0.0
2-20New Mexico (10.5)MWCA56-59L0%0.0
2-24Utah (156.1)MWCH43-54L0%0.0
2-27Nevada Las Vegas (40.1)MWCH47-77L0%0.0
3-2Wyoming (227.6)MWCA49-58L0%0.0
3-6San Diego St. (24.6)MWCH42-61L0%0.0
3-10Wyoming (227.6)MWCN59-40W100%0.0
3-11New Mexico (10.5)MWCN69-75L0%0.0