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Tweet Through games of Mar 13, 2016.

Abilene Christian

Expected RPI:321.0
Current RPI:321
Expected SOS:331
Current Record:9-18
Expected Record:9-18
Current Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Record:8-10
Expected Conf Tourney Record:0-0
Probability of Auto Bid:0.00%
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:0-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:9-6
Current OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC Record:1-8
Expected OOC RPI:349
Expected OOC SOS:335


Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:
Note that for results with very small probabilities, the estimate of the RPI is less precise.

Final RecordW-L pctg.Expected RPIProbability

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Abilene Christian.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-22Portland (249.0)WCCA87-57L0%0.0
11-24Colorado St. (181.0)MWCA108-100L0%0.0
11-27Florida A&M (349.0)MEACN62-72W100%0.0
11-28Oakland (116.0)HorzN57-85L0%0.0
12-3New Hampshire (177.0)AEH75-86L0%0.0
12-5Nebraska (165.0)B10A73-63L0%0.0
12-18UC Riverside (267.0)BWH56-60L0%0.0
12-20TCU (174.0)B12A80-69L0%0.0
12-22Drake (325.0)MVCA87-70L0%0.0
1-2Central Arkansas (339.0)SlndA61-62W100%0.0
1-9Nicholls St. (313.0)SlndA63-62L0%0.0
1-12Northwestern St. (344.0)SlndH87-72W100%0.0
1-16Stephen F. Austin (61.0)SlndA97-62L0%0.0
1-19McNeese St. (341.0)SlndH75-67W100%0.0
1-23Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndA74-60L0%0.0
1-25Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndA72-51L0%0.0
1-30Lamar (337.0)SlndH80-71W100%0.0
2-2Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndH79-72W100%0.0
2-6Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndA81-60L0%0.0
2-8Lamar (337.0)SlndA67-71W100%0.0
2-15Sam Houston St. (178.0)SlndH71-84L0%0.0
2-18Houston Baptist (224.0)SlndA73-71L0%0.0
2-21Southeastern Louisiana (331.0)SlndH91-80W100%0.0
2-23Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndA65-59L0%0.0
2-27New Orleans (343.0)SlndH87-84W100%0.0
3-3Incarnate Word (163.0)SlndH70-74L0%0.0
3-5Texas A&M Corpus Chris (84.0)SlndH69-74L0%0.0