


| Conference: | Sum |
| Expected RPI: | 181.7 |
| Current RPI: | 205 |
| Expected SOS: | 185 |
| Current SOS: | 259 |
| Current Record: | 10-9 |
| Expected Record: | 12-13 |
| Current Conf Record: | 7-6 |
| Expected Conf Record: | 9-9 |
| Probability of Auto Bid: | 3.00% |
| Expected Record vs RPI 1-25: | 0-1 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 26-50: | 0-3 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 51-100: | 0-3 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 101-200: | 2-3 |
| Expected Record vs RPI 200+: | 9-5 |
| Current OOC Record: | 3-3 |
| Expected OOC Record: | 3-4 |
| Expected OOC RPI: | 168 |
| Expected OOC SOS: | 253 |
| Final Record | Expected RPI | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 16-9 | 115.7 | 0.03% |
| 15-10 | 128.8 | 1.14% |
| 14-11 | 143.0 | 7.14% |
| 13-12 | 162.9 | 23.74% |
| 12-13 | 183.4 | 38.83% |
| 11-14 | 203.5 | 24.67% |
| 10-15 | 222.5 | 4.44% |
| Date | Opponent (Expected RPI) | Conf | Loc | Score | Outcome | Prob(W) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-12 | Dayton (77.8) | A10 | A | 87-58 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-17 | Michigan (26.8) | B10 | A | 59-55 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 11-26 | North Dakota (265.8) | GWC | A | 62-65 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-1 | North Dakota St. (127.4) | Sum | H | 55-51 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-3 | South Dakota St. (58.0) | Sum | H | 66-67 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-10 | Eastern Illinois (293.1) | OVC | H | 64-48 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-19 | Illinois Chicago (292.7) | Horz | A | 57-56 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 12-22 | North Dakota (265.8) | GWC | H | 68-46 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 12-30 | IUPUI (246.0) | Sum | A | 75-68 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-3 | South Dakota (281.9) | Sum | H | 67-44 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-5 | Oakland (138.0) | Sum | A | 61-71 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-7 | IUPU Fort Wayne (270.8) | Sum | A | 65-75 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-12 | Oral Roberts (45.1) | Sum | H | 70-71 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-14 | Southern Utah (233.2) | Sum | H | 55-65 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-19 | Missouri Kansas City (242.4) | Sum | A | 72-50 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 1-21 | South Dakota (281.9) | Sum | A | 45-47 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 1-28 | IUPUI (246.0) | Sum | H | 57-55 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 2-2 | IUPU Fort Wayne (270.8) | Sum | H | 62-52 | W | 100% | 0.0 |
| 2-4 | Oakland (138.0) | Sum | H | 70-74 | L | 0% | 0.0 |
| 2-9 | Southern Utah (233.2) | Sum | A | 0-0 | 53% | 0.8 | |
| 2-11 | Oral Roberts (45.1) | Sum | A | 0-0 | 14% | -11.8 | |
| 2-15 | Missouri Kansas City (242.4) | Sum | H | 0-0 | 79% | 8.8 | |
| 2-18 | Evansville (145.2) | MVC | A | 0-0 | 25% | -7.4 | |
| 2-23 | South Dakota St. (58.0) | Sum | A | 0-0 | 14% | -11.8 | |
| 2-25 | North Dakota St. (127.4) | Sum | A | 0-0 | 23% | -7.9 |

| Team | Conf | Curr Wgt | Fut Wgt | Curr W/L | Exp W/L | Curr Impact | Exp Impact |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Western Illinois | Sum | 26.79 | 26.62 | 51.69 | 50.80 | 0.90 | 0.43 |
| South Dakota St. | Sum | 3.98 | 5.31 | 72.73 | 74.17 | 1.81 | 2.57 |
| Missouri Kansas City | Sum | 3.85 | 5.23 | 31.82 | 33.32 | -1.40 | -1.74 |
| North Dakota St. | Sum | 3.83 | 5.22 | 65.00 | 65.55 | 1.15 | 1.62 |
| Oakland | Sum | 6.27 | 5.19 | 47.83 | 50.30 | -0.27 | 0.03 |
| Oral Roberts | Sum | 3.77 | 5.16 | 80.00 | 79.92 | 2.26 | 3.09 |
| IUPUI | Sum | 6.21 | 5.15 | 33.33 | 34.45 | -2.07 | -1.60 |
| Southern Utah | Sum | 3.78 | 5.14 | 42.86 | 41.93 | -0.54 | -0.83 |
| IUPU Fort Wayne | Sum | 6.20 | 5.13 | 36.84 | 34.86 | -1.63 | -1.55 |
| South Dakota | Sum | 6.06 | 5.13 | 29.41 | 31.33 | -2.50 | -1.91 |
| North Dakota | GWC | 5.50 | 4.28 | 37.50 | 44.89 | -1.37 | -0.44 |
| Illinois Chicago | Horz | 2.69 | 2.11 | 25.00 | 26.32 | -1.34 | -1.00 |
| Michigan | B10 | 2.74 | 2.07 | 68.18 | 65.17 | 1.00 | 0.63 |
| Dayton | A10 | 2.69 | 2.04 | 59.09 | 59.61 | 0.49 | 0.39 |
| Eastern Illinois | OVC | 2.63 | 2.04 | 35.00 | 35.87 | -0.79 | -0.58 |
| Evansville | MVC | 0.06 | 2.04 | 47.83 | 46.03 | -0.00 | -0.16 |
| Utah Valley | GWC | 0.31 | 0.30 | 54.55 | 57.71 | 0.03 | 0.05 |
| Valparaiso | Horz | 0.41 | 0.29 | 65.22 | 63.55 | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| Bradley | MVC | 0.26 | 0.25 | 24.00 | 24.86 | -0.14 | -0.13 |
| Chicago St. | GWC | 0.27 | 0.24 | 9.09 | 12.82 | -0.22 | -0.18 |
| Canisius | MAAC | 0.33 | 0.23 | 17.39 | 19.76 | -0.22 | -0.14 |
| Minnesota | B10 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 70.83 | 62.75 | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| Western Michigan | MAC | 0.16 | 0.21 | 40.91 | 42.97 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Xavier | A10 | 0.23 | 0.21 | 65.22 | 63.69 | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| Houston Baptist | GWC | 0.21 | 0.20 | 25.00 | 28.48 | -0.10 | -0.08 |
| Nebraska | B10 | 0.20 | 0.18 | 50.00 | 44.98 | 0.00 | -0.02 |
| Idaho St. | BSky | 0.29 | 0.16 | 31.82 | 32.98 | -0.11 | -0.05 |
| NJ Inst of Technology | GWC | 0.15 | 0.16 | 33.33 | 38.39 | -0.05 | -0.04 |
| Texas Pan American | GWC | 0.15 | 0.16 | 19.05 | 24.60 | -0.09 | -0.08 |
| Morehead St. | OVC | 0.20 | 0.15 | 45.45 | 47.09 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Eastern Kentucky | OVC | 0.06 | 0.15 | 50.00 | 51.75 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Tennessee Martin | OVC | 0.19 | 0.15 | 4.35 | 9.74 | -0.17 | -0.12 |
| Longwood | ind | 0.06 | 0.15 | 28.57 | 25.79 | -0.02 | -0.07 |
| New Mexico | MWC | 0.20 | 0.15 | 81.82 | 81.02 | 0.13 | 0.09 |
| Troy | SB | 0.12 | 0.15 | 28.57 | 30.17 | -0.05 | -0.06 |
| UC Davis | BW | 0.12 | 0.15 | 0.00 | 5.31 | -0.12 | -0.13 |
| Wisconsin Green Bay | Horz | 0.13 | 0.15 | 35.00 | 39.40 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Purdue | B10 | 0.18 | 0.14 | 62.50 | 60.78 | 0.05 | 0.03 |
| Southeast Missouri St. | OVC | 0.18 | 0.14 | 47.62 | 47.19 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Wisconsin Milwaukee | Horz | 0.18 | 0.14 | 56.52 | 57.81 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Wright St. | Horz | 0.13 | 0.14 | 41.67 | 40.47 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| Illinois St. | MVC | 0.00 | 0.14 | 62.50 | 62.07 | 0.00 | 0.03 |
| Ball St. | MAC | 0.23 | 0.14 | 55.00 | 57.42 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Missouri St. | MVC | 0.05 | 0.14 | 54.17 | 57.11 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Michigan St. | B10 | 0.17 | 0.14 | 77.27 | 73.50 | 0.09 | 0.06 |
| Arkansas Little Rock | SB | 0.17 | 0.13 | 43.48 | 44.26 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Loyola Chicago | Horz | 0.13 | 0.11 | 18.18 | 19.91 | -0.08 | -0.07 |
| Iowa | B10 | 0.18 | 0.11 | 54.17 | 49.41 | 0.02 | -0.00 |
| Butler | Horz | 0.06 | 0.11 | 50.00 | 50.81 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Indiana St. | MVC | 0.06 | 0.11 | 56.52 | 54.28 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Murray St. | OVC | 0.18 | 0.11 | 100.00 | 94.58 | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| Eastern Michigan | MAC | 0.18 | 0.11 | 40.91 | 38.38 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Northwestern | B10 | 0.12 | 0.10 | 63.64 | 57.79 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Indiana | B10 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 75.00 | 75.73 | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| Buffalo | MAC | 0.06 | 0.10 | 68.42 | 66.51 | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| Wisconsin | B10 | 0.11 | 0.10 | 75.00 | 74.01 | 0.06 | 0.05 |
| Austin Peay | OVC | 0.11 | 0.10 | 32.00 | 35.39 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Alabama | SEC | 0.16 | 0.10 | 69.57 | 70.16 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Arkansas | SEC | 0.16 | 0.10 | 69.57 | 65.18 | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| Arkansas Pine Bluff | SWAC | 0.11 | 0.10 | 20.83 | 25.85 | -0.06 | -0.05 |
| Florida International | SB | 0.11 | 0.10 | 33.33 | 37.11 | -0.04 | -0.03 |
| Eastern Washington | BSky | 0.14 | 0.08 | 40.91 | 44.29 | -0.03 | -0.01 |
| Kansas | B12 | 0.15 | 0.08 | 78.26 | 78.42 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Louisiana Tech | WAC | 0.00 | 0.08 | 42.86 | 43.52 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Montana | BSky | 0.15 | 0.08 | 71.43 | 73.99 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Sacramento St. | BSky | 0.15 | 0.08 | 30.00 | 33.22 | -0.06 | -0.03 |
| Texas St. | Slnd | 0.00 | 0.08 | 22.22 | 27.56 | -0.00 | -0.04 |
| Wyoming | MWC | 0.14 | 0.08 | 76.19 | 70.71 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Dartmouth | Ivy | 0.13 | 0.08 | 14.29 | 17.12 | -0.09 | -0.05 |
| Arizona St. | P12 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 30.43 | 31.40 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| Bryant | NEC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 8.33 | 10.84 | -0.05 | -0.06 |
| Cleveland St. | Horz | 0.13 | 0.07 | 82.61 | 81.41 | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| Detroit | Horz | 0.13 | 0.07 | 47.83 | 48.88 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Fresno St. | WAC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 39.13 | 44.46 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Louisiana Lafayette | SB | 0.06 | 0.07 | 54.17 | 54.76 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Maine | AE | 0.13 | 0.07 | 47.62 | 48.01 | -0.01 | -0.00 |
| Northern Arizona | BSky | 0.06 | 0.07 | 13.64 | 16.23 | -0.05 | -0.05 |
| Northern Illinois | MAC | 0.13 | 0.07 | 5.26 | 7.29 | -0.11 | -0.06 |
| San Diego St. | MWC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 85.71 | 78.11 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| San Francisco | WCC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 56.52 | 53.76 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| SIU Edwardsville | OVC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 26.32 | 29.64 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| UC Riverside | BW | 0.00 | 0.07 | 42.86 | 39.66 | -0.00 | -0.02 |
| Utah St. | WAC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 50.00 | 52.95 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Weber St. | BSky | 0.06 | 0.07 | 80.00 | 76.71 | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| Youngstown St. | Horz | 0.13 | 0.07 | 52.38 | 53.29 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Tennessee Tech | OVC | 0.00 | 0.07 | 60.87 | 59.85 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Creighton | MVC | 0.00 | 0.07 | 84.00 | 82.62 | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| Drake | MVC | 0.00 | 0.07 | 52.17 | 50.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Northern Iowa | MVC | 0.00 | 0.07 | 62.50 | 61.43 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Southern Illinois | MVC | 0.00 | 0.07 | 34.78 | 32.10 | -0.00 | -0.03 |
| Wichita St. | MVC | 0.00 | 0.07 | 82.61 | 80.50 | 0.00 | 0.04 |
| Miami OH | MAC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 30.00 | 34.18 | -0.02 | -0.02 |
| Georgetown | BE | 0.11 | 0.07 | 80.95 | 77.45 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Georgia | SEC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 45.45 | 41.17 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Louisville | BE | 0.11 | 0.07 | 79.17 | 74.20 | 0.07 | 0.03 |
| Mercer | ASun | 0.06 | 0.07 | 72.00 | 72.22 | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| Niagara | MAAC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 36.00 | 40.36 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Nicholls St. | Slnd | 0.00 | 0.07 | 25.00 | 23.73 | -0.00 | -0.04 |
| Sam Houston St. | Slnd | 0.06 | 0.07 | 26.32 | 29.85 | -0.03 | -0.03 |
| Texas Southern | SWAC | 0.11 | 0.07 | 31.82 | 42.18 | -0.04 | -0.01 |
| Washington | P12 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 69.57 | 66.59 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Western Kentucky | SB | 0.11 | 0.07 | 34.78 | 34.46 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Wofford | SC | 0.06 | 0.07 | 56.52 | 57.20 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Arizona | P12 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 66.67 | 68.55 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Duquesne | A10 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 59.09 | 56.38 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Grambling | SWAC | 0.11 | 0.07 | 14.29 | 14.31 | -0.08 | -0.05 |
| Houston | CUSA | 0.11 | 0.07 | 47.62 | 44.58 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Illinois | B10 | 0.00 | 0.07 | 69.57 | 61.84 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Ohio | MAC | 0.11 | 0.07 | 81.82 | 77.18 | 0.07 | 0.04 |
| Ohio St. | B10 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 87.50 | 85.41 | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| Penn St. | B10 | 0.06 | 0.07 | 41.67 | 38.63 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
| St. Louis | A10 | 0.11 | 0.07 | 77.27 | 77.70 | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| Tennessee | SEC | 0.11 | 0.07 | 45.45 | 44.56 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Akron | MAC | 0.00 | 0.06 | 68.18 | 67.98 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| Gonzaga | WCC | 0.05 | 0.06 | 81.82 | 81.50 | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| Oklahoma | B12 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 56.52 | 53.94 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Southern Methodist | CUSA | 0.05 | 0.06 | 38.10 | 37.80 | -0.01 | -0.02 |
| Texas San Antonio | Slnd | 0.05 | 0.06 | 57.14 | 60.72 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Texas Tech | B12 | 0.05 | 0.06 | 30.43 | 25.84 | -0.02 | -0.03 |
| West Virginia | BE | 0.05 | 0.06 | 66.67 | 65.98 | 0.02 | 0.02 |
| Central Arkansas | Slnd | 0.06 | 0.04 | 27.78 | 29.77 | -0.03 | -0.01 |
| Central Michigan | MAC | 0.06 | 0.04 | 28.57 | 34.11 | -0.03 | -0.01 |
| Jacksonville St. | OVC | 0.06 | 0.04 | 34.78 | 38.43 | -0.02 | -0.01 |
| Oregon St. | P12 | 0.06 | 0.04 | 63.64 | 63.17 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Stony Brook | AE | 0.06 | 0.04 | 68.18 | 68.98 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Tennessee St. | OVC | 0.06 | 0.04 | 56.52 | 53.06 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Toledo | MAC | 0.06 | 0.04 | 38.10 | 40.84 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Alabama St. | SWAC | 0.00 | 0.04 | 28.57 | 35.72 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| North Carolina | ACC | 0.00 | 0.04 | 86.96 | 83.30 | 0.00 | 0.02 |
| North Carolina A&T | MEAC | 0.00 | 0.04 | 31.82 | 34.86 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Texas Christian | MWC | 0.00 | 0.04 | 57.14 | 49.57 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Alabama A&M | SWAC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 16.67 | 26.81 | -0.04 | -0.02 |
| Charlotte | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 49.46 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Duke | ACC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 82.61 | 79.93 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Fairfield | MAAC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 56.52 | 54.88 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Fordham | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 40.91 | 34.45 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| George Washington | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 34.78 | 32.05 | -0.00 | -0.01 |
| Iowa St. | B12 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 70.83 | 66.50 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| La Salle | A10 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 70.83 | 68.83 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Massachusetts | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 73.91 | 68.65 | 0.00 | 0.01 |
| Memphis | CUSA | 0.06 | 0.03 | 69.57 | 71.58 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| Mississippi | SEC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 63.64 | 56.68 | 0.02 | 0.00 |
| NC Wilmington | CAA | 0.06 | 0.03 | 39.13 | 36.12 | -0.01 | -0.01 |
| Rhode Island | A10 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 20.83 | 20.61 | -0.03 | -0.02 |
| Richmond | A10 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 50.00 | 48.48 | 0.00 | -0.00 |
| Saint Joseph's | A10 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 62.50 | 62.42 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Seton Hall | BE | 0.06 | 0.03 | 65.22 | 63.65 | 0.02 | 0.01 |
| South Carolina Upstate | ASun | 0.06 | 0.03 | 56.52 | 56.80 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| St. Bonaventure | A10 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 60.00 | 59.09 | 0.01 | 0.01 |
| Temple | A10 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 77.27 | 75.07 | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| Towson | CAA | 0.06 | 0.03 | 4.00 | 5.27 | -0.05 | -0.03 |
| UCLA | P12 | 0.06 | 0.03 | 54.55 | 56.78 | 0.01 | 0.00 |
| Virginia | ACC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 81.82 | 76.80 | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| Wake Forest | ACC | 0.06 | 0.03 | 47.83 | 43.63 | -0.00 | -0.00 |