The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Western Illinois page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

Western Illinois

Conference:		Sum
Expected RPI:		279.3
Current RPI:		278
Expected SOS:		297
Current SOS:		297
Current Record:		10-17
Expected Record:		10-17
Current Conf Record:		6-13
Expected Conf Record:		6-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-8
Current OOC Record:		4-4
Expected OOC Record:		4-4
Expected OOC RPI:		228
Expected OOC SOS:		325

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
10-17		279.3		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Western Illinois.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Arizona St. (54.8)	P10	A	35-87	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Kansas St. (6.0)	B12	A	50-82	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Central Arkansas (320.6)	Slnd	A	56-46	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Savannah St. (316.5)	ind	A	48-52	L	0%	0.0
12-3	North Dakota St. (268.8)	Sum	H	55-60	L	0%	0.0
12-5	South Dakota St. (232.4)	Sum	H	74-80	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Eastern Illinois (167.5)	OVC	H	41-44	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Central Arkansas (320.6)	Slnd	H	55-44	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Oakland (57.5)	Sum	A	63-75	L	0%	0.0
1-2	IUPU Fort Wayne (224.6)	Sum	A	49-53	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Savannah St. (316.5)	ind	H	55-51	W	100%	0.0
1-9	IUPUI (81.6)	Sum	A	54-67	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Centenary (314.5)	Sum	H	70-51	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Oral Roberts (123.1)	Sum	H	62-74	L	0%	0.0
1-21	Missouri Kansas City (282.0)	Sum	A	57-61	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Southern Utah (326.7)	Sum	A	67-54	W	100%	0.0
1-28	IUPU Fort Wayne (224.6)	Sum	H	58-63	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Oakland (57.5)	Sum	H	64-68	L	0%	0.0
2-2	North Carolina Central (345.2)	ind	A	53-50	W	100%	0.0
2-6	IUPUI (81.6)	Sum	H	42-70	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Oral Roberts (123.1)	Sum	A	64-62	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Centenary (314.5)	Sum	A	64-55	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Southern Utah (326.7)	Sum	H	63-49	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Missouri Kansas City (282.0)	Sum	H	64-59	W	100%	0.0
2-25	South Dakota St. (232.4)	Sum	A	53-66	L	0%	0.0
2-27	North Dakota St. (268.8)	Sum	A	59-63	L	0%	0.0
3-6	IUPUI (81.6)	Sum	N	68-77	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Western Illinois's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Western Illinois's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Western Illinois.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Illinois	Sum	26.75	26.73	38.17	38.17	-6.33	-6.33
IUPUI	Sum	6.72	6.77	67.86	67.58	2.40	2.38
Oakland	Sum	5.00	5.08	72.41	71.33	2.24	2.17
Oral Roberts	Sum	4.96	4.95	60.00	60.00	0.99	0.99
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	4.92	4.91	34.62	34.62	-1.51	-1.51
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	4.92	4.91	44.44	44.44	-0.55	-0.55
South Dakota St.	Sum	4.85	4.84	38.46	38.46	-1.12	-1.12
North Dakota St.	Sum	4.84	4.83	28.00	28.00	-2.13	-2.13
Centenary	Sum	4.78	4.78	24.00	24.00	-2.49	-2.48
Southern Utah	Sum	4.78	4.78	20.00	20.00	-2.87	-2.87
Central Arkansas	Slnd	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Savannah St.	ind	3.78	3.77	30.00	30.00	-1.51	-1.51
North Carolina Central	ind	2.02	2.02	12.50	13.26	-1.52	-1.48
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.94	1.94	57.14	57.14	0.28	0.28
Kansas St.	B12	1.94	1.94	78.57	78.57	1.11	1.11
Arizona St.	P10	1.85	1.85	70.00	70.35	0.74	0.75
Missouri	B12	0.27	0.27	70.97	71.48	0.11	0.12
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.10
Austin Peay	OVC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.21	0.21	25.93	25.93	-0.10	-0.10
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.21	0.21	28.00	28.00	-0.09	-0.09
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.20	45.16	44.15	-0.02	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.19	93.55	93.55	0.17	0.17
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.17	51.72	51.15	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.15	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	32.00	31.07	-0.05	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.14	0.14	56.00	56.26	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.14	0.14	69.23	69.22	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.14	7.41	7.41	-0.12	-0.12
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	72.00	72.78	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.76	0.07	0.07
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.12	0.12	80.00	80.00	0.07	0.07
Oregon	P10	0.12	0.12	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.12	0.14	43.33	42.55	-0.02	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.10	25.93	25.50	-0.05	-0.05
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	42.31	42.12	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.86	76.33	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.43	47.09	-0.01	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	61.54	60.97	0.02	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.76	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	20.00	19.80	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.87	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.31	78.09	0.04	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.34	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	65.38	66.14	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	37.93	38.30	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.71	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	86.67	86.67	0.05	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	28.57	29.70	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.04	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.11	-0.01	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.55	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.61	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.49	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.53	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	25.93	26.38	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.04	0.04	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.04	0.04	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.04	0.04	32.26	31.89	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.04	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.74	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.04	0.04	58.62	58.06	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.04	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.04	0.04	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.04	42.86	43.51	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.04	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.58	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.00	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.10	87.42	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.66	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.90	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	37.93	36.75	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	65.38	65.38	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.04	32.00	33.41	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Western Illinois	Sum	26.75	26.73	38.17	38.17	-6.33	-6.33
IUPUI	Sum	6.72	6.77	67.86	67.58	2.40	2.38
Oakland	Sum	5.00	5.08	72.41	71.33	2.24	2.17
Oral Roberts	Sum	4.96	4.95	60.00	60.00	0.99	0.99
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	4.92	4.91	34.62	34.62	-1.51	-1.51
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	4.92	4.91	44.44	44.44	-0.55	-0.55
South Dakota St.	Sum	4.85	4.84	38.46	38.46	-1.12	-1.12
North Dakota St.	Sum	4.84	4.83	28.00	28.00	-2.13	-2.13
Centenary	Sum	4.78	4.78	24.00	24.00	-2.49	-2.48
Southern Utah	Sum	4.78	4.78	20.00	20.00	-2.87	-2.87
Central Arkansas	Slnd	3.83	3.83	25.00	25.00	-1.91	-1.91
Savannah St.	ind	3.78	3.77	30.00	30.00	-1.51	-1.51
North Carolina Central	ind	2.02	2.02	12.50	13.26	-1.52	-1.48
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.94	1.94	57.14	57.14	0.28	0.28
Kansas St.	B12	1.94	1.94	78.57	78.57	1.11	1.11
Arizona St.	P10	1.85	1.85	70.00	70.35	0.74	0.75
Missouri	B12	0.27	0.27	70.97	71.48	0.11	0.12
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.03
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.25	0.25	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.24	0.24	29.63	29.63	-0.10	-0.10
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.10
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.21	0.21	25.93	25.93	-0.10	-0.10
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.21	0.21	28.00	28.00	-0.09	-0.09
Austin Peay	OVC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.20	0.20	45.16	44.15	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.19	0.19	11.54	11.54	-0.15	-0.15
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.19	93.55	93.55	0.17	0.17
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.17	51.72	51.15	0.01	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.15	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.12	0.14	43.33	42.55	-0.02	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.14	0.14	32.00	31.07	-0.05	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.14	0.14	56.00	56.26	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.14	0.14	69.23	69.22	0.05	0.05
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.14	0.14	7.41	7.41	-0.12	-0.12
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
North Dakota	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	72.00	72.78	0.06	0.06
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.76	0.07	0.07
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.12	0.12	80.00	80.00	0.07	0.07
Oregon	P10	0.12	0.12	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.10	25.93	25.50	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.86	76.33	0.05	0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	42.31	42.12	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.10	0.10	9.68	9.68	-0.08	-0.08
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.09	0.09	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.08	0.08	46.43	47.09	-0.01	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	61.54	60.97	0.02	0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	45.16	44.76	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	20.00	19.80	-0.04	-0.04
Hawaii	WAC	0.07	0.07	31.03	31.03	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.07	0.07	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.07	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.87	0.03	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.31	78.09	0.04	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.07	0.07	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.07	0.07	37.04	37.04	-0.02	-0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.34	0.04	0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	65.38	66.14	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.07	0.07	37.93	38.30	-0.02	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Denver	SB	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.07	0.07	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.71	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	86.67	86.67	0.05	0.05
Wyoming	MWC	0.07	0.07	28.57	29.70	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	20.69	20.69	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.06	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.04	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.06	0.06	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.61	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.49	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.06	0.06	43.33	43.11	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.53	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.55	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.04	25.93	26.38	-0.02	-0.02
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.04	0.04	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.04	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.04	0.04	19.35	19.35	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.02	-0.01	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.04	0.04	32.26	31.89	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.04	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.04	0.04	33.33	33.74	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.04	0.04	58.62	58.06	0.01	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.04	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.04	0.04	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.04	42.86	43.51	-0.01	-0.00
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.04	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.04	32.00	33.41	-0.00	-0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.58	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.02	-0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Northern Illinois	MAC	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.00	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.10	87.42	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	35.66	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.90	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	37.93	36.75	-0.01	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	65.38	65.38	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
IUPUI	Sum	6.72	6.77	67.86	67.58	2.40	2.38
Oakland	Sum	5.00	5.08	72.41	71.33	2.24	2.17
Kansas St.	B12	1.94	1.94	78.57	78.57	1.11	1.11
Oral Roberts	Sum	4.96	4.95	60.00	60.00	0.99	0.99
Arizona St.	P10	1.85	1.85	70.00	70.35	0.74	0.75
Eastern Illinois	OVC	1.94	1.94	57.14	57.14	0.28	0.28
Kansas	B12	0.19	0.19	93.55	93.55	0.17	0.17
Missouri	B12	0.27	0.27	70.97	71.48	0.11	0.12
Memphis	CUSA	0.22	0.22	74.19	74.19	0.11	0.10
Murray St.	OVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.12	0.12	80.00	80.00	0.07	0.07
Michigan St.	B10	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Wisconsin	B10	0.12	0.12	76.67	76.76	0.07	0.07
Wichita St.	MVC	0.13	0.13	72.73	72.73	0.06	0.06
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	72.00	72.78	0.06	0.06
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.14	0.14	69.23	69.22	0.05	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.10	0.10	75.86	76.33	0.05	0.05
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	86.67	86.67	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
New Mexico	MWC	0.06	0.06	90.32	90.32	0.05	0.05
Utah St.	WAC	0.07	0.07	80.00	80.34	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.10	0.10	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.07	0.07	79.31	78.09	0.04	0.04
Gonzaga	WCC	0.06	0.06	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Baylor	B12	0.06	0.06	79.31	79.31	0.04	0.04
Georgetown	BE	0.08	0.08	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.10	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.13	0.13	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.07	0.07	70.97	70.87	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.55	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Brigham Young	MWC	0.03	0.03	87.10	87.42	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.07	0.07	65.38	66.14	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	67.86	67.53	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.04	0.04	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.06	0.06	66.67	67.49	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.10	0.10	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.08	0.08	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.14	0.14	56.00	56.26	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.06	0.06	64.52	64.52	0.02	0.02
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.07	0.07	61.54	60.97	0.02	0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.71	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.61	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.03	0.03	71.43	71.90	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	70.00	70.11	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.07	0.07	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.15	0.14	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	65.38	65.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	64.00	64.00	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.03	0.03	61.29	60.58	0.01	0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.04	0.04	58.62	58.06	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.17	51.72	51.15	0.01	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.16	0.15	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.04	0.04	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.08	0.08	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.43	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.61	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.06	0.06	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.04	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.21	0.21	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.16	0.00	0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.07	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.12	0.12	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.00	0.04	32.00	33.41	-0.00	-0.01
Ball St.	MAC	0.04	0.04	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.41	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.13	0.13	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.07	0.07	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.04	42.86	43.51	-0.01	-0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.09	0.09	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.01