The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated St. Mary's page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

St. Mary's

Conference:		WCC
Expected RPI:		42.1
Current RPI:		45
Expected SOS:		140
Current SOS:		131
Current Record:		20-3
Expected Record:		24-4
Current Conf Record:		8-1
Expected Conf Record:		12-2
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		4-0
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		34
Expected OOC SOS:		65

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
25-3	32.5	16.41%
24-4	39.8	43.93%
23-5	47.3	33.08%
22-6	55.4	6.27%
21-7	66.2	0.30%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Mary's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	New Mexico St. (82.7)	WAC	H	100-68	W	100%	0.0
11-16	San Diego St. (44.0)	MWC	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	H	70-72	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Cal Poly (272.8)	BW	H	92-67	W	100%	0.0
11-30	San Jose St. (141.9)	WAC	A	78-71	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Utah St. (33.6)	WAC	A	68-63	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Oregon (152.1)	P10	A	81-76	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Portland St. (210.1)	BSky	H	101-80	W	100%	0.0
12-18	Pacific (115.6)	BW	H	80-65	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Northeastern (49.2)	CAA	N	78-67	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Southern California (81.0)	P10	N	49-60	L	0%	0.0
12-25	Hawaii (234.4)	WAC	A	84-75	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Binghamton (237.3)	AE	H	85-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Howard (313.9)	MEAC	H	94-46	W	100%	0.0
1-8	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	A	83-62	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Santa Clara (220.8)	WCC	A	80-72	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	H	82-89	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Portland (84.3)	WCC	H	77-72	W	100%	0.0
1-21	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	H	71-56	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	A	88-71	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	A	85-67	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Santa Clara (220.8)	WCC	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
2-6	San Francisco (222.5)	WCC	H	73-57	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Gonzaga (35.5)	WCC	A	0-0		37%	-3.5
2-13	Portland (84.3)	WCC	A	0-0		54%	1.1
2-18	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	A	0-0		84%	11.0
2-25	Pepperdine (283.4)	WCC	H	0-0		98%	23.3
2-27	Loyola Marymount (205.0)	WCC	H	0-0		95%	18.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

St. Mary's's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

St. Mary's's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against St. Mary's.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	26.31	26.31	83.19	82.87	17.46	17.30
Santa Clara	WCC	4.98	4.48	36.36	36.81	-1.36	-1.18
San Francisco	WCC	4.83	4.39	35.00	34.90	-1.45	-1.32
San Diego	WCC	2.85	4.39	34.78	35.33	-0.87	-1.29
Pepperdine	WCC	2.81	4.45	28.57	27.19	-1.20	-2.03
Portland	WCC	2.71	4.39	65.00	69.10	0.81	1.68
San Jose St.	WAC	2.66	2.13	52.38	49.86	0.13	-0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.66	4.36	50.00	47.50	0.00	-0.22
Pacific	BW	2.65	2.19	71.43	70.45	1.14	0.90
Gonzaga	WCC	2.61	4.33	80.95	83.78	1.61	2.93
Cal Poly	BW	2.47	2.04	38.10	37.34	-0.59	-0.52
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.42	2.06	65.00	58.39	0.73	0.35
Hawaii	WAC	2.37	2.00	38.10	35.01	-0.56	-0.60
Utah St.	WAC	2.37	2.00	77.27	79.31	1.29	1.17
San Diego St.	MWC	2.36	1.94	70.00	70.25	0.94	0.79
Portland St.	BSky	2.32	1.95	40.00	41.11	-0.46	-0.35
Northeastern	CAA	2.31	1.88	69.57	70.46	0.90	0.77
Oregon	P10	2.27	1.91	57.14	50.49	0.32	0.02
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.91	59.09	58.22	0.41	0.31
Binghamton	AE	2.17	1.79	40.91	40.01	-0.40	-0.36
Howard	MEAC	2.17	1.79	26.09	27.53	-1.04	-0.80
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.17	1.79	75.00	72.24	1.09	0.79
Fresno St.	WAC	0.53	0.49	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.48	0.46	22.73	21.40	-0.26	-0.27
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.44	0.34	60.00	59.64	0.09	0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.39	0.34	36.36	40.08	-0.11	-0.07
Idaho	WAC	0.35	0.38	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
Washington	P10	0.35	0.31	69.57	68.86	0.14	0.12
Nevada	WAC	0.35	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.05	0.07
Boise St.	WAC	0.34	0.40	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.30	0.22	87.50	83.52	0.23	0.15
UC Riverside	BW	0.29	0.28	33.33	36.45	-0.10	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.29	0.24	43.48	43.10	-0.04	-0.03
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.25	0.21	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.25	0.28	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.25	0.22	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.25	0.18	30.43	29.01	-0.10	-0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.25	0.27	82.61	75.26	0.16	0.14
Arizona St.	P10	0.25	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.25	0.19	87.50	87.42	0.19	0.14
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.07	0.05
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.24	0.19	81.82	80.91	0.15	0.11
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.19	18.18	19.18	-0.13	-0.12
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.18	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.25	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.15	35.00	33.21	-0.06	-0.05
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.22	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.09
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.19	0.16	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.01
California	P10	0.19	0.15	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.05
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.28	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.16	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.19	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.07
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.13	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.04
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.12	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.13	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.13	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.14	0.12	35.00	38.23	-0.04	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.05
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.07	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.01
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.12	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.09	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.06
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.03
Army	Pat	0.05	0.07	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.00	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	26.31	26.31	83.19	82.87	17.46	17.30
Santa Clara	WCC	4.98	4.48	36.36	36.81	-1.36	-1.18
Pepperdine	WCC	2.81	4.45	28.57	27.19	-1.20	-2.03
San Diego	WCC	2.85	4.39	34.78	35.33	-0.87	-1.29
Portland	WCC	2.71	4.39	65.00	69.10	0.81	1.68
San Francisco	WCC	4.83	4.39	35.00	34.90	-1.45	-1.32
Loyola Marymount	WCC	2.66	4.36	50.00	47.50	0.00	-0.22
Gonzaga	WCC	2.61	4.33	80.95	83.78	1.61	2.93
Pacific	BW	2.65	2.19	71.43	70.45	1.14	0.90
San Jose St.	WAC	2.66	2.13	52.38	49.86	0.13	-0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.42	2.06	65.00	58.39	0.73	0.35
Cal Poly	BW	2.47	2.04	38.10	37.34	-0.59	-0.52
Utah St.	WAC	2.37	2.00	77.27	79.31	1.29	1.17
Hawaii	WAC	2.37	2.00	38.10	35.01	-0.56	-0.60
Portland St.	BSky	2.32	1.95	40.00	41.11	-0.46	-0.35
San Diego St.	MWC	2.36	1.94	70.00	70.25	0.94	0.79
Oregon	P10	2.27	1.91	57.14	50.49	0.32	0.02
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.91	59.09	58.22	0.41	0.31
Northeastern	CAA	2.31	1.88	69.57	70.46	0.90	0.77
Binghamton	AE	2.17	1.79	40.91	40.01	-0.40	-0.36
Howard	MEAC	2.17	1.79	26.09	27.53	-1.04	-0.80
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.17	1.79	75.00	72.24	1.09	0.79
Fresno St.	WAC	0.53	0.49	47.83	48.98	-0.02	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.48	0.46	22.73	21.40	-0.26	-0.27
Boise St.	WAC	0.34	0.40	45.45	45.95	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho	WAC	0.35	0.38	45.00	48.32	-0.03	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.44	0.34	60.00	59.64	0.09	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.35	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.05	0.07
UC Irvine	BW	0.39	0.34	36.36	40.08	-0.11	-0.07
Washington	P10	0.35	0.31	69.57	68.86	0.14	0.12
UCLA	P10	0.25	0.28	47.83	43.79	-0.01	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.19	0.28	42.86	45.66	-0.03	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.29	0.28	33.33	36.45	-0.10	-0.07
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.07	0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.25	0.27	82.61	75.26	0.16	0.14
Seattle	ind	0.20	0.25	45.83	48.87	-0.02	-0.01
Stanford	P10	0.29	0.24	43.48	43.10	-0.04	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.25	0.22	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.30	0.22	87.50	83.52	0.23	0.15
Arizona St.	P10	0.25	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.22	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.09
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.25	0.21	45.00	48.63	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.20	0.19	18.18	19.18	-0.13	-0.12
Brigham Young	MWC	0.25	0.19	87.50	87.42	0.19	0.14
Wyoming	MWC	0.15	0.19	33.33	30.72	-0.05	-0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.24	0.19	81.82	80.91	0.15	0.11
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.25	0.18	30.43	29.01	-0.10	-0.08
Arizona	P10	0.20	0.18	52.17	53.65	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Utah	MWC	0.15	0.16	45.45	44.32	-0.01	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.19	0.16	45.00	45.40	-0.02	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.20	0.15	19.05	24.00	-0.12	-0.08
UC Davis	BW	0.20	0.15	35.00	33.21	-0.06	-0.05
California	P10	0.19	0.15	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.05
Colorado	B12	0.15	0.13	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.13	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.14	0.13	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.14	0.12	35.00	38.23	-0.04	-0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.09	0.12	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.09	0.12	31.82	42.24	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.09	0.12	19.05	22.94	-0.06	-0.06
Oregon St.	P10	0.15	0.12	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	55.54	0.02	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.09	0.09	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.10	0.09	22.73	27.28	-0.05	-0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.09	25.00	34.68	-0.05	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.09	0.09	37.50	38.45	-0.02	-0.02
Army	Pat	0.05	0.07	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Denver	SB	0.05	0.07	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.10	0.07	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Minnesota	B10	0.05	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.01	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.06	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.10	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.10	0.06	62.50	65.32	0.02	0.02
Albany	AE	0.09	0.06	23.08	25.77	-0.05	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.09	0.06	22.73	24.05	-0.05	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Maine	AE	0.09	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.06	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.05
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.06	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.06	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.06	31.82	30.34	-0.03	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.05	0.06	68.18	68.72	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.10	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.06	-0.04
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.06	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.10	0.06	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.06	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.09	0.06	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.06	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.09	0.06	11.11	20.93	-0.07	-0.03
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.09	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.04	-0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.06	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.02	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.03	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.05	0.03	23.81	28.38	-0.03	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.03	20.00	20.57	-0.03	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.02	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.03	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.00	0.03	39.13	35.38	-0.00	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.03	4.17	4.73	-0.04	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.05	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.02	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.05	0.03	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.00	0.03	73.91	72.52	0.00	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.05	0.03	55.56	55.85	0.01	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.05	0.03	54.17	55.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.03	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.05	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.03	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.00	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.00	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.00	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.00	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	66.00	0.02	0.01
American	Pat	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.05	0.03	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.03	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.05	0.03	47.83	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	26.31	26.31	83.19	82.87	17.46	17.30
Gonzaga	WCC	2.61	4.33	80.95	83.78	1.61	2.93
Utah St.	WAC	2.37	2.00	77.27	79.31	1.29	1.17
Pacific	BW	2.65	2.19	71.43	70.45	1.14	0.90
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.17	1.79	75.00	72.24	1.09	0.79
San Diego St.	MWC	2.36	1.94	70.00	70.25	0.94	0.79
Northeastern	CAA	2.31	1.88	69.57	70.46	0.90	0.77
Portland	WCC	2.71	4.39	65.00	69.10	0.81	1.68
New Mexico St.	WAC	2.42	2.06	65.00	58.39	0.73	0.35
Southern California	P10	2.27	1.91	59.09	58.22	0.41	0.31
Oregon	P10	2.27	1.91	57.14	50.49	0.32	0.02
New Mexico	MWC	0.30	0.22	87.50	83.52	0.23	0.15
Brigham Young	MWC	0.25	0.19	87.50	87.42	0.19	0.14
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.25	0.27	82.61	75.26	0.16	0.14
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.24	0.19	81.82	80.91	0.15	0.11
Washington	P10	0.35	0.31	69.57	68.86	0.14	0.12
San Jose St.	WAC	2.66	2.13	52.38	49.86	0.13	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.15	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.44	0.34	60.00	59.64	0.09	0.07
Arizona St.	P10	0.25	0.22	66.67	67.74	0.08	0.08
Montana	BSky	0.20	0.22	68.18	70.35	0.07	0.09
Washington St.	P10	0.24	0.27	63.64	58.79	0.07	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.09	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.05
California	P10	0.19	0.15	65.22	68.42	0.06	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.10	0.09	78.26	78.92	0.06	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.35	0.34	57.14	60.54	0.05	0.07
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.06	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
South Florida	BE	0.14	0.13	65.22	62.18	0.04	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.09	0.06	73.68	75.41	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.07	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.04
Colorado St.	MWC	0.20	0.16	59.09	52.85	0.04	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.15	0.12	61.90	65.04	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.09	0.06	68.42	67.04	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.09	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.03	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.05	0.06	82.61	82.33	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.03	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.05	0.03	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.09	0.06	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.06	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.03	0.03
Maine	AE	0.09	0.06	63.64	61.86	0.03	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02