The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated St. Mary's page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

St. Mary's

Conference:		WCC
Expected RPI:		35.0
Current RPI:		35
Expected SOS:		120
Current SOS:		120
Current Record:		25-5
Expected Record:		25-5
Current Conf Record:		13-3
Expected Conf Record:		13-3
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		13-0
Current OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC Record:		12-2
Expected OOC RPI:		35
Expected OOC SOS:		72

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
25-5		35.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for St. Mary's.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	New Mexico St. (51.0)	WAC	H	100-68	W	100%	0.0
11-16	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	H	80-58	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	H	70-72	L	0%	0.0
11-23	Cal Poly (256.0)	BW	H	92-67	W	100%	0.0
11-30	San Jose St. (177.0)	WAC	A	78-71	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Utah St. (30.0)	WAC	A	68-63	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Oregon (138.0)	P10	A	81-76	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	H	101-80	W	100%	0.0
12-18	Pacific (128.0)	BW	H	80-65	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Northeastern (75.0)	CAA	N	78-67	W	100%	0.0
12-23	Southern California (113.0)	P10	N	49-60	L	0%	0.0
12-25	Hawaii (253.0)	WAC	A	84-75	W	100%	0.0
12-29	Binghamton (229.0)	AE	H	85-57	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Howard (330.0)	MEAC	H	94-46	W	100%	0.0
1-8	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	A	83-62	W	100%	0.0
1-10	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	A	80-72	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	H	82-89	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Portland (79.0)	WCC	H	77-72	W	100%	0.0
1-21	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	H	71-56	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	A	88-71	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	A	85-67	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	H	74-62	W	100%	0.0
2-6	San Francisco (205.0)	WCC	H	73-57	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	A	61-80	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Portland (79.0)	WCC	A	75-80	L	0%	0.0
2-18	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	A	61-49	W	100%	0.0
2-25	Pepperdine (303.0)	WCC	H	76-49	W	100%	0.0
2-27	Loyola Marymount (174.0)	WCC	H	88-80	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Portland (79.0)	WCC	N	69-55	W	100%	0.0
3-8	Gonzaga (36.0)	WCC	N	81-62	W	100%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

St. Mary's's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

St. Mary's's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against St. Mary's.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	26.44	26.44	82.39	82.39	17.13	17.13
Portland	WCC	5.83	5.83	69.23	69.23	2.24	2.24
Gonzaga	WCC	5.78	5.78	82.14	82.14	3.72	3.72
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.35	4.35	56.67	56.67	0.58	0.58
San Diego	WCC	4.31	4.31	34.48	34.48	-1.34	-1.34
Santa Clara	WCC	4.30	4.30	32.14	32.14	-1.54	-1.54
Pepperdine	WCC	4.27	4.27	22.22	22.22	-2.37	-2.37
San Francisco	WCC	4.21	4.21	38.46	38.46	-0.97	-0.97
Pacific	BW	2.02	2.02	66.67	66.67	0.67	0.67
San Jose St.	WAC	1.99	1.99	44.83	44.83	-0.21	-0.21
New Mexico St.	WAC	1.97	1.97	67.74	67.74	0.70	0.70
Cal Poly	BW	1.89	1.89	40.00	40.00	-0.38	-0.38
Utah St.	WAC	1.88	1.88	81.25	81.25	1.18	1.18
Hawaii	WAC	1.85	1.85	32.14	32.14	-0.66	-0.66
Portland St.	BSky	1.84	1.84	37.93	37.93	-0.44	-0.44
Oregon	P10	1.81	1.81	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	1.80	1.80	76.67	76.67	0.96	0.96
Southern California	P10	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	1.75	1.75	64.52	64.52	0.51	0.51
Binghamton	AE	1.67	1.67	39.29	39.29	-0.36	-0.36
Howard	MEAC	1.67	1.67	22.58	22.58	-0.91	-0.91
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.67	1.67	73.33	73.33	0.78	0.78
Fresno St.	WAC	0.44	0.44	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.43	0.43	24.14	24.14	-0.22	-0.22
Idaho	WAC	0.39	0.39	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.35	0.35	61.29	61.29	0.08	0.08
UC Irvine	BW	0.33	0.33	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Washington	P10	0.31	0.31	72.73	72.73	0.14	0.14
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
Long Beach St.	BW	0.30	0.30	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.30	0.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Seattle	ind	0.25	0.25	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.24	0.24	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Montana St.	BSky	0.22	0.22	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.22	0.22	25.00	25.00	-0.11	-0.11
Stanford	P10	0.22	0.22	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.22	87.88	87.88	0.16	0.16
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.19	68.97	68.97	0.07	0.07
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.19	0.19	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.17	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
Colorado St.	MWC	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.16	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.16	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.16	0.16	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.14	0.14	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.14	0.14	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.09	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.06	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	26.44	26.44	82.39	82.39	17.13	17.13
Portland	WCC	5.83	5.83	69.23	69.23	2.24	2.24
Gonzaga	WCC	5.78	5.78	82.14	82.14	3.72	3.72
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.35	4.35	56.67	56.67	0.58	0.58
San Diego	WCC	4.31	4.31	34.48	34.48	-1.34	-1.34
Santa Clara	WCC	4.30	4.30	32.14	32.14	-1.54	-1.54
Pepperdine	WCC	4.27	4.27	22.22	22.22	-2.37	-2.37
San Francisco	WCC	4.21	4.21	38.46	38.46	-0.97	-0.97
Pacific	BW	2.02	2.02	66.67	66.67	0.67	0.67
San Jose St.	WAC	1.99	1.99	44.83	44.83	-0.21	-0.21
New Mexico St.	WAC	1.97	1.97	67.74	67.74	0.70	0.70
Cal Poly	BW	1.89	1.89	40.00	40.00	-0.38	-0.38
Utah St.	WAC	1.88	1.88	81.25	81.25	1.18	1.18
Hawaii	WAC	1.85	1.85	32.14	32.14	-0.66	-0.66
Portland St.	BSky	1.84	1.84	37.93	37.93	-0.44	-0.44
Oregon	P10	1.81	1.81	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	1.80	1.80	76.67	76.67	0.96	0.96
Southern California	P10	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Northeastern	CAA	1.75	1.75	64.52	64.52	0.51	0.51
Binghamton	AE	1.67	1.67	39.29	39.29	-0.36	-0.36
Howard	MEAC	1.67	1.67	22.58	22.58	-0.91	-0.91
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.67	1.67	73.33	73.33	0.78	0.78
Fresno St.	WAC	0.44	0.44	43.75	43.75	-0.05	-0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.43	0.43	24.14	24.14	-0.22	-0.22
Idaho	WAC	0.39	0.39	44.83	44.83	-0.04	-0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.37	0.37	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.35	0.35	61.29	61.29	0.08	0.08
UC Irvine	BW	0.33	0.33	40.00	40.00	-0.07	-0.07
Washington	P10	0.31	0.31	72.73	72.73	0.14	0.14
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
Long Beach St.	BW	0.30	0.30	48.39	48.39	-0.01	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.30	0.30	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
UCLA	P10	0.28	0.28	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Seattle	ind	0.25	0.25	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.24	0.24	37.04	37.04	-0.06	-0.06
Montana St.	BSky	0.22	0.22	48.15	48.15	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.22	0.22	25.00	25.00	-0.11	-0.11
Stanford	P10	0.22	0.22	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.22	87.88	87.88	0.16	0.16
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.19	68.97	68.97	0.07	0.07
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.19	0.19	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.17	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
Colorado St.	MWC	0.17	0.17	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.16	0.16	27.59	27.59	-0.07	-0.07
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.16	0.16	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Arizona	P10	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.61	0.01	0.01
California	P10	0.16	0.16	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Colorado	B12	0.14	0.14	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.14	0.14	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.14	0.14	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
Oklahoma	B12	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
UC Davis	BW	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.11	0.11	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.11	0.11	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Hampton	MEAC	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.11	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.11	0.11	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.10	0.10	26.67	26.67	-0.05	-0.05
Army	Pat	0.09	0.09	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.09	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Davidson	SC	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.08	0.08	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.08	0.08	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.06	0.06	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Hartford	AE	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
Maine	AE	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.07	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.06	0.06	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.06	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Drake	MVC	0.06	0.06	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.06	0.06	36.36	36.36	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.06	23.33	23.33	-0.03	-0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Western Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.05	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.05	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.05	22.58	22.58	-0.03	-0.03
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.05	0.05	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.03	0.03	3.33	3.33	-0.03	-0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	25.93	25.93	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Western Carolina	SC	0.03	0.03	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.03	0.03	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Western Kentucky	SB	0.03	0.03	61.76	61.76	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	6.45	6.45	-0.02	-0.02
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.03	0.03	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Fairfield	MAAC	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.03	0.03	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
St. Mary's	WCC	26.44	26.44	82.39	82.39	17.13	17.13
Gonzaga	WCC	5.78	5.78	82.14	82.14	3.72	3.72
Portland	WCC	5.83	5.83	69.23	69.23	2.24	2.24
Utah St.	WAC	1.88	1.88	81.25	81.25	1.18	1.18
San Diego St.	MWC	1.80	1.80	76.67	76.67	0.96	0.96
Vanderbilt	SEC	1.67	1.67	73.33	73.33	0.78	0.78
New Mexico St.	WAC	1.97	1.97	67.74	67.74	0.70	0.70
Pacific	BW	2.02	2.02	66.67	66.67	0.67	0.67
Loyola Marymount	WCC	4.35	4.35	56.67	56.67	0.58	0.58
Northeastern	CAA	1.75	1.75	64.52	64.52	0.51	0.51
New Mexico	MWC	0.22	0.22	87.88	87.88	0.16	0.16
Washington	P10	0.31	0.31	72.73	72.73	0.14	0.14
Brigham Young	MWC	0.17	0.17	84.85	84.85	0.12	0.12
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.27	0.27	69.70	69.70	0.11	0.11
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Nevada	WAC	0.35	0.35	61.29	61.29	0.08	0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.19	0.19	68.75	68.75	0.07	0.07
Montana	BSky	0.19	0.19	68.97	68.97	0.07	0.07
California	P10	0.16	0.16	69.70	69.70	0.06	0.06
Southern California	P10	1.77	1.77	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.11	0.11	76.67	76.67	0.06	0.06
Oregon	P10	1.81	1.81	51.61	51.61	0.06	0.06
Duke	ACC	0.08	0.08	85.29	85.29	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.09	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin	B10	0.11	0.11	74.19	74.19	0.05	0.05
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.05	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.08	0.08	75.76	75.76	0.04	0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Weber St.	BSky	0.13	0.13	64.29	64.29	0.04	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.11	0.11	67.65	67.65	0.04	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.08	0.08	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.05	0.05	81.25	81.25	0.03	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.06	0.06	75.76	75.76	0.03	0.03
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.06	0.06	73.53	73.53	0.03	0.03
Harvard	Ivy	0.06	0.06	74.07	74.07	0.03	0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.08	0.08	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.25	0.25	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.06	0.06	70.00	70.00	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.97	68.97	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.09	0.09	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.05	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Siena	MAAC	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Denver	SB	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02