The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated South Alabama page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

South Alabama

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		221.2
Current RPI:		218
Expected SOS:		251
Current SOS:		263
Current Record:		11-12
Expected Record:		13-15
Current Conf Record:		5-8
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-3
Current OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC RPI:		169
Expected OOC SOS:		264

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
16-12	180.2	0.98%
15-13	195.8	10.23%
14-14	211.8	31.35%
13-15	226.8	37.50%
12-16	239.3	17.53%
11-17	250.4	2.40%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Houston Baptist (342.5)	GWC	A	76-64	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Rice (288.1)	CUSA	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Sacramento St. (287.6)	BSky	N	70-58	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Tulsa (63.1)	CUSA	A	62-84	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Alcorn St. (345.0)	SWAC	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Georgia St. (231.8)	CAA	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	74-61	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	54-66	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
12-19	UAB (34.4)	CUSA	H	54-72	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	67-66	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Florida International (286.4)	SB	A	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	96-93	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	H	63-69	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	A	58-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-21	North Texas (158.4)	SB	A	78-86	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	48-71	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	H	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Troy (170.2)	SB	A	66-73	L	0%	0.0
2-4	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	A	59-51	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	0-0		83%	10.2
2-13	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	H	0-0		53%	0.8
2-18	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	0-0		19%	-9.6
2-20	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	A	0-0		23%	-8.1
2-25	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	0-0		54%	1.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

South Alabama's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

South Alabama's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against South Alabama.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Alabama	SB	26.33	26.25	49.58	48.27	-0.22	-0.91
Troy	SB	4.97	4.41	47.37	50.42	-0.26	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	4.89	4.36	45.00	47.28	-0.49	-0.24
New Orleans	SB	2.92	2.65	23.81	23.73	-1.53	-1.39
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.91	2.62	33.33	33.73	-0.97	-0.85
Florida International	SB	2.87	4.40	25.00	24.81	-1.44	-2.22
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.86	4.43	50.00	52.45	0.00	0.22
North Texas	SB	2.86	2.61	60.00	62.29	0.57	0.64
Western Kentucky	SB	2.82	4.38	52.17	53.61	0.12	0.32
Denver	SB	2.77	4.25	59.09	58.60	0.50	0.73
Arkansas St.	SB	2.71	2.58	55.00	55.45	0.27	0.28
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.71	2.58	25.00	29.48	-1.36	-1.06
UAB	CUSA	2.53	2.07	81.82	77.82	1.61	1.15
Rice	CUSA	2.42	1.97	28.57	27.85	-1.04	-0.87
Tulsa	CUSA	2.37	1.97	76.19	69.92	1.24	0.79
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.88	77.27	69.98	1.27	0.75
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.32	1.98	23.81	24.88	-1.22	-0.99
Arkansas	SEC	2.32	1.87	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.27	1.85	31.82	30.08	-0.83	-0.74
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.27	1.85	0.00	5.32	-2.27	-1.65
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.27	2.00	52.94	54.08	0.13	0.16
Georgia St.	CAA	2.17	1.79	39.13	39.77	-0.47	-0.37
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.81	2.65	47.62	48.66	-0.04	-0.07
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.38	66.67	65.54	0.14	0.12
Tulane	CUSA	0.35	0.34	31.82	29.58	-0.13	-0.14
Memphis	CUSA	0.31	0.31	69.57	69.99	0.12	0.13
Georgia	SEC	0.29	0.22	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.26	0.28	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.26	0.28	77.27	75.69	0.14	0.14
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.26	0.21	45.00	43.95	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.19	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.08
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.24	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.11
Missouri St.	MVC	0.20	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.07	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.20	0.13	17.39	20.11	-0.13	-0.08
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.20	0.12	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.22	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.24	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.07	0.05
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.18	0.15	19.05	22.94	-0.11	-0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.16	0.19	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.11
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.16	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.09	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.15	0.19	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.12	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.05
Albany	AE	0.15	0.09	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.05
American	Pat	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.09
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.12	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.12	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.10	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.07	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.07	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.04
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.05
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.12	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.13	68.18	70.35	0.03	0.05
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.13	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.15	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.08
Weber St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.08
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.03
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.00	-0.04
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Alabama	SB	26.33	26.25	49.58	48.27	-0.22	-0.91
Middle Tennessee	SB	2.86	4.43	50.00	52.45	0.00	0.22
Troy	SB	4.97	4.41	47.37	50.42	-0.26	0.04
Florida International	SB	2.87	4.40	25.00	24.81	-1.44	-2.22
Western Kentucky	SB	2.82	4.38	52.17	53.61	0.12	0.32
Florida Atlantic	SB	4.89	4.36	45.00	47.28	-0.49	-0.24
Denver	SB	2.77	4.25	59.09	58.60	0.50	0.73
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.81	2.65	47.62	48.66	-0.04	-0.07
New Orleans	SB	2.92	2.65	23.81	23.73	-1.53	-1.39
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.91	2.62	33.33	33.73	-0.97	-0.85
North Texas	SB	2.86	2.61	60.00	62.29	0.57	0.64
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.71	2.58	25.00	29.48	-1.36	-1.06
Arkansas St.	SB	2.71	2.58	55.00	55.45	0.27	0.28
UAB	CUSA	2.53	2.07	81.82	77.82	1.61	1.15
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.27	2.00	52.94	54.08	0.13	0.16
Houston Baptist	GWC	2.32	1.98	23.81	24.88	-1.22	-0.99
Rice	CUSA	2.42	1.97	28.57	27.85	-1.04	-0.87
Tulsa	CUSA	2.37	1.97	76.19	69.92	1.24	0.79
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.88	77.27	69.98	1.27	0.75
Arkansas	SEC	2.32	1.87	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Alcorn St.	SWAC	2.27	1.85	0.00	5.32	-2.27	-1.65
Sacramento St.	BSky	2.27	1.85	31.82	30.08	-0.83	-0.74
Georgia St.	CAA	2.17	1.79	39.13	39.77	-0.47	-0.37
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.38	66.67	65.54	0.14	0.12
Tulane	CUSA	0.35	0.34	31.82	29.58	-0.13	-0.14
Memphis	CUSA	0.31	0.31	69.57	69.99	0.12	0.13
Houston	CUSA	0.26	0.28	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.26	0.28	77.27	75.69	0.14	0.14
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.19	0.24	39.13	35.38	-0.04	-0.07
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.24	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.11
Lamar	Slnd	0.20	0.22	47.62	44.73	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.29	0.22	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.26	0.21	45.00	43.95	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.16	0.19	20.00	21.94	-0.09	-0.11
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.19	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.08
Central Florida	CUSA	0.15	0.19	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.09
Auburn	SEC	0.15	0.16	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.15	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.08
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.18	0.15	19.05	22.94	-0.11	-0.08
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.07	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.09	0.14	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.20	0.13	17.39	20.11	-0.13	-0.08
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.13	68.18	70.35	0.03	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.13	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri St.	MVC	0.20	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.07	0.04
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.20	0.12	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.15	0.12	22.73	27.28	-0.08	-0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.09	0.12	33.33	46.80	-0.03	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.12	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.09	0.12	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.12	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.14	0.12	36.84	39.02	-0.04	-0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.08
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.15	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Montana St.	BSky	0.11	0.10	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.10	0.10	45.83	47.77	-0.01	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.15	0.09	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.05
American	Pat	0.15	0.09	30.43	32.39	-0.06	-0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.15	0.09	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.09	0.09	25.00	26.64	-0.05	-0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.09	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.09	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.15	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	33.33	39.38	-0.03	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Valparaiso	Horz	0.10	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.11	0.07	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.11	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.05	0.07	27.27	27.20	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.07	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.07	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.05	0.06	26.32	31.51	-0.02	-0.02
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.09	0.06	18.18	19.18	-0.06	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	19.05	24.00	-0.06	-0.03
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.05	0.06	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	38.10	39.65	-0.02	-0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.10	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.10	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.06	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.02	-0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.06	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.05
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.04	0.06	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.04	0.06	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.04	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.06	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.06	30.43	32.32	-0.04	-0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.06	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.06	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.06	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.06	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.06	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.00	0.06	12.00	18.82	-0.00	-0.04
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.06	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.06	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.06	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.06	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.06	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.03	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	36.84	36.82	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.32	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.05	0.03	35.00	33.21	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware	CAA	0.05	0.03	26.09	26.91	-0.02	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.03	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.00	0.03	82.61	82.33	0.00	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.05	0.03	33.33	33.00	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.03	65.22	67.00	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.03	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	23.53	26.10	-0.03	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.00	0.03	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	47.06	50.65	-0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.03	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.03	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.00	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.00	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
UAB	CUSA	2.53	2.07	81.82	77.82	1.61	1.15
Florida	SEC	2.32	1.88	77.27	69.98	1.27	0.75
Tulsa	CUSA	2.37	1.97	76.19	69.92	1.24	0.79
North Texas	SB	2.86	2.61	60.00	62.29	0.57	0.64
Denver	SB	2.77	4.25	59.09	58.60	0.50	0.73
Arkansas St.	SB	2.71	2.58	55.00	55.45	0.27	0.28
Arkansas	SEC	2.32	1.87	54.55	50.09	0.21	0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.26	0.28	77.27	75.69	0.14	0.14
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.38	66.67	65.54	0.14	0.12
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.27	2.00	52.94	54.08	0.13	0.16
Western Kentucky	SB	2.82	4.38	52.17	53.61	0.12	0.32
Memphis	CUSA	0.31	0.31	69.57	69.99	0.12	0.13
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.20	0.24	76.19	73.20	0.10	0.11
Mississippi	SEC	0.21	0.19	73.91	72.52	0.10	0.08
Kentucky	SEC	0.09	0.09	95.65	88.67	0.09	0.07
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.16	79.17	78.03	0.08	0.09
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.19	0.14	69.57	68.48	0.07	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.20	0.12	66.67	64.62	0.07	0.04
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.10	0.07	82.61	75.26	0.07	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.09	0.12	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.08
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.12	73.91	69.49	0.07	0.05
Texas	B12	0.10	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.06	0.03
Tennessee	SEC	0.09	0.15	81.82	75.66	0.06	0.08
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.09	0.06	77.27	77.12	0.05	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.04	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.03	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.10	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.04	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.10	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.10	0.07	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.09	0.13	68.18	70.35	0.03	0.05
Butler	Horz	0.05	0.03	83.33	83.91	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.10	0.07	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.09	0.12	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.03	76.19	72.73	0.02	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.14	0.09	58.33	54.32	0.02	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.03	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.05	0.03	72.73	66.85	0.02	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.05	0.03	73.68	75.41	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.09	0.06	62.50	57.74	0.02	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.09	0.06	61.90	65.04	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.10	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.02	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.14	0.12	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.03	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.04	0.09	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.06	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.03	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.01