The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated South Alabama page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

South Alabama

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		209.0
Current RPI:		209
Expected SOS:		247
Current SOS:		247
Current Record:		15-15
Expected Record:		15-15
Current Conf Record:		9-11
Expected Conf Record:		9-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-9
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-4
Current OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC RPI:		182
Expected OOC SOS:		282

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
15-15		209.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Houston Baptist (328.0)	GWC	A	76-64	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	N	70-58	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	A	62-84	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Alcorn St. (344.0)	SWAC	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	A	74-61	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	H	54-66	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Arkansas Little Rock (301.0)	SB	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
12-19	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	H	54-72	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Florida (56.0)	SEC	A	67-66	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Florida International (296.0)	SB	A	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Florida Atlantic (216.0)	SB	A	96-93	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Arkansas St. (202.0)	SB	H	63-69	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Louisiana Monroe (273.0)	SB	A	58-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Troy (109.0)	SB	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-21	North Texas (104.0)	SB	A	78-86	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Denver (165.0)	SB	A	48-71	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Florida Atlantic (216.0)	SB	H	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Troy (109.0)	SB	A	66-73	L	0%	0.0
2-4	New Orleans (323.0)	SB	A	59-51	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Florida International (296.0)	SB	H	69-65	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Louisiana Lafayette (245.0)	SB	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	A	69-99	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Middle Tennessee (178.0)	SB	A	54-81	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Denver (165.0)	SB	H	54-52	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Florida Atlantic (216.0)	SB	N	52-51	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Troy (109.0)	SB	N	55-67	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

South Alabama's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

South Alabama's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against South Alabama.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Alabama	SB	26.39	26.39	50.69	50.69	0.37	0.37
Troy	SB	5.88	5.88	57.69	57.69	0.90	0.90
Florida Atlantic	SB	5.75	5.75	44.00	44.00	-0.69	-0.69
Western Kentucky	SB	4.30	4.30	59.38	59.38	0.81	0.81
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Florida International	SB	4.23	4.23	20.69	20.69	-2.48	-2.48
Denver	SB	4.13	4.13	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
North Texas	SB	2.62	2.62	72.41	72.41	1.17	1.17
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.54	2.54	44.44	44.44	-0.28	-0.28
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.54	2.54	32.14	32.14	-0.91	-0.91
New Orleans	SB	2.52	2.52	22.22	22.22	-1.40	-1.40
Arkansas St.	SB	2.50	2.50	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.45	2.45	22.22	22.22	-1.36	-1.36
UAB	CUSA	1.97	1.97	73.33	73.33	0.92	0.92
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.89	1.89	53.57	53.57	0.13	0.13
Tulsa	CUSA	1.86	1.86	65.62	65.62	0.58	0.58
Rice	CUSA	1.86	1.86	20.69	20.69	-1.09	-1.09
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.84	1.84	37.50	37.50	-0.46	-0.46
Florida	SEC	1.78	1.78	65.62	65.62	0.56	0.56
Arkansas	SEC	1.75	1.75	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.72	1.72	6.67	6.67	-1.49	-1.49
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.72	1.72	25.93	25.93	-0.83	-0.83
Georgia St.	CAA	1.67	1.67	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.41	68.97	68.97	0.16	0.16
Tulane	CUSA	0.33	0.33	26.67	26.67	-0.15	-0.15
Houston	CUSA	0.30	0.30	54.55	54.55	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.27	0.27	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.27	0.27	81.25	81.25	0.17	0.17
Georgia	SEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.21	0.21	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.21	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Lamar	Slnd	0.19	0.19	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.19	0.19	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.17	0.17	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.16	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.14	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
American	Pat	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Alabama	SB	26.39	26.39	50.69	50.69	0.37	0.37
Troy	SB	5.88	5.88	57.69	57.69	0.90	0.90
Florida Atlantic	SB	5.75	5.75	44.00	44.00	-0.69	-0.69
Western Kentucky	SB	4.30	4.30	59.38	59.38	0.81	0.81
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Florida International	SB	4.23	4.23	20.69	20.69	-2.48	-2.48
Denver	SB	4.13	4.13	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
North Texas	SB	2.62	2.62	72.41	72.41	1.17	1.17
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.54	2.54	44.44	44.44	-0.28	-0.28
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.54	2.54	32.14	32.14	-0.91	-0.91
New Orleans	SB	2.52	2.52	22.22	22.22	-1.40	-1.40
Arkansas St.	SB	2.50	2.50	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.45	2.45	22.22	22.22	-1.36	-1.36
UAB	CUSA	1.97	1.97	73.33	73.33	0.92	0.92
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.89	1.89	53.57	53.57	0.13	0.13
Tulsa	CUSA	1.86	1.86	65.62	65.62	0.58	0.58
Rice	CUSA	1.86	1.86	20.69	20.69	-1.09	-1.09
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.84	1.84	37.50	37.50	-0.46	-0.46
Florida	SEC	1.78	1.78	65.62	65.62	0.56	0.56
Arkansas	SEC	1.75	1.75	45.16	45.16	-0.17	-0.17
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.72	1.72	6.67	6.67	-1.49	-1.49
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.72	1.72	25.93	25.93	-0.83	-0.83
Georgia St.	CAA	1.67	1.67	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.41	68.97	68.97	0.16	0.16
Tulane	CUSA	0.33	0.33	26.67	26.67	-0.15	-0.15
Houston	CUSA	0.30	0.30	54.55	54.55	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.27	0.27	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.27	0.27	81.25	81.25	0.17	0.17
Georgia	SEC	0.25	0.25	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.21	0.21	35.48	35.48	-0.06	-0.06
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.21	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Lamar	Slnd	0.19	0.19	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.19	0.19	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.19	0.19	41.38	41.38	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.17	0.17	25.00	25.00	-0.08	-0.08
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.16	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.14	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.13	0.13	26.67	26.67	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
American	Pat	0.11	0.11	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.10	0.10	30.77	30.77	-0.04	-0.04
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.05	-0.05
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.08	0.08	25.00	25.00	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.67	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	34.78	34.78	-0.02	-0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.05	0.05	18.18	18.18	-0.03	-0.03
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	44.83	44.83	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
North Texas	SB	2.62	2.62	72.41	72.41	1.17	1.17
UAB	CUSA	1.97	1.97	73.33	73.33	0.92	0.92
Troy	SB	5.88	5.88	57.69	57.69	0.90	0.90
Denver	SB	4.13	4.13	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
Western Kentucky	SB	4.30	4.30	59.38	59.38	0.81	0.81
Tulsa	CUSA	1.86	1.86	65.62	65.62	0.58	0.58
Florida	SEC	1.78	1.78	65.62	65.62	0.56	0.56
South Alabama	SB	26.39	26.39	50.69	50.69	0.37	0.37
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.25	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.27	0.27	81.25	81.25	0.17	0.17
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.41	68.97	68.97	0.16	0.16
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.89	1.89	53.57	53.57	0.13	0.13
Memphis	CUSA	0.27	0.27	71.88	71.88	0.12	0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.21	0.21	74.19	74.19	0.10	0.10
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	76.67	76.67	0.07	0.07
Tennessee	SEC	0.13	0.13	75.76	75.76	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.16	67.74	67.74	0.06	0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.15	0.15	67.65	67.65	0.05	0.05
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	73.33	73.33	0.04	0.04
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.30	0.30	54.55	54.55	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.08	0.08	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	64.29	64.29	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	79.41	79.41	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	76.47	76.47	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	55.56	55.56	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01