The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated South Alabama page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

South Alabama

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		209.5
Current RPI:		211
Expected SOS:		246
Current SOS:		244
Current Record:		15-15
Expected Record:		15-15
Current Conf Record:		9-11
Expected Conf Record:		9-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-4
Current OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC Record:		6-4
Expected OOC RPI:		179
Expected OOC SOS:		284

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
15-15		209.5		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for South Alabama.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Houston Baptist (332.8)	GWC	A	76-64	W	100%	0.0
11-14	Rice (309.2)	CUSA	A	69-71	L	0%	0.0
11-15	Sacramento St. (297.6)	BSky	N	70-58	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Tulsa (71.5)	CUSA	A	62-84	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Alcorn St. (346.3)	SWAC	H	83-67	W	100%	0.0
11-26	Georgia St. (246.8)	CAA	H	70-66	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Arkansas (144.9)	SEC	A	74-61	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Southern Mississippi (123.1)	CUSA	H	54-66	L	0%	0.0
12-16	Arkansas Little Rock (299.8)	SB	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
12-19	UAB (40.3)	CUSA	H	54-72	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Florida (52.8)	SEC	A	67-66	W	100%	0.0
12-31	Florida International (295.6)	SB	A	71-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	A	96-93	W	100%	0.0
1-7	Western Kentucky (131.0)	SB	H	64-67	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Arkansas St. (202.8)	SB	H	63-69	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Louisiana Monroe (275.8)	SB	A	58-61	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Troy (102.3)	SB	H	69-67	W	100%	0.0
1-21	North Texas (107.1)	SB	A	78-86	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Denver (164.5)	SB	A	48-71	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	H	59-70	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Troy (102.3)	SB	A	66-73	L	0%	0.0
2-4	New Orleans (325.9)	SB	A	59-51	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Middle Tennessee (179.1)	SB	H	68-80	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Florida International (295.6)	SB	H	69-65	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Louisiana Lafayette (244.5)	SB	H	67-65	W	100%	0.0
2-18	Western Kentucky (131.0)	SB	A	69-99	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Middle Tennessee (179.1)	SB	A	54-81	L	0%	0.0
2-25	Denver (164.5)	SB	H	54-52	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Florida Atlantic (217.2)	SB	N	52-51	W	100%	0.0
3-7	Troy (102.3)	SB	N	55-67	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

South Alabama's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

South Alabama's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against South Alabama.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Alabama	SB	26.41	26.40	50.69	50.69	0.37	0.37
Troy	SB	5.86	5.88	60.00	59.60	1.17	1.13
Florida Atlantic	SB	5.75	5.75	44.00	44.00	-0.69	-0.69
Western Kentucky	SB	4.31	4.30	59.38	59.38	0.81	0.81
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.26	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Florida International	SB	4.24	4.23	20.69	20.69	-2.48	-2.48
Denver	SB	4.13	4.13	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.55	2.54	44.44	44.44	-0.28	-0.28
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.55	2.54	32.14	32.14	-0.91	-0.91
North Texas	SB	2.54	2.62	71.43	70.70	1.09	1.09
New Orleans	SB	2.53	2.53	22.22	22.22	-1.41	-1.40
Arkansas St.	SB	2.50	2.50	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.46	2.45	22.22	22.22	-1.36	-1.36
UAB	CUSA	1.96	1.95	75.86	75.86	1.01	1.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.87	1.87	52.00	53.08	0.07	0.11
Rice	CUSA	1.84	1.86	21.43	20.96	-1.05	-1.08
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.84	1.84	34.48	34.48	-0.57	-0.57
Tulsa	CUSA	1.84	1.86	65.52	66.41	0.57	0.61
Florida	SEC	1.78	1.78	66.67	66.92	0.59	0.60
Arkansas	SEC	1.75	1.75	46.67	46.57	-0.12	-0.12
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.72	1.72	25.93	25.93	-0.83	-0.83
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.72	1.72	6.67	6.67	-1.49	-1.49
Georgia St.	CAA	1.67	1.67	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.40	71.43	71.43	0.17	0.17
Tulane	CUSA	0.31	0.34	27.59	27.33	-0.14	-0.15
Memphis	CUSA	0.29	0.29	74.19	74.19	0.14	0.14
Houston	CUSA	0.28	0.28	48.28	49.53	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.26	0.25	82.76	82.76	0.17	0.17
Georgia	SEC	0.23	0.25	44.83	45.21	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.22	0.21	75.86	75.86	0.11	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.22	0.21	36.67	35.66	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.20	0.20	42.86	43.51	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.19	0.19	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.18	0.17	25.93	25.50	-0.09	-0.08
Central Florida	CUSA	0.17	0.17	44.83	44.60	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.17	70.00	70.00	0.07	0.07
Auburn	SEC	0.17	0.19	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.14	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	79.31	78.09	0.08	0.08
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.13	76.67	77.24	0.07	0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.13	27.59	27.61	-0.06	-0.06
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	56.00	56.26	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
American	Pat	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.33	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.84	0.03	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.24	-0.05	-0.05
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.11	32.00	32.00	-0.04	-0.04
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.77	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.06	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.84	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	72.00	72.78	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	20.00	19.80	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	47.07	-0.01	-0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	22.58	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	47.05	-0.01	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.14	-0.01	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	65.38	66.14	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.87	0.02	0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.05	70.00	70.11	0.02	0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.05	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.05	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	25.00	26.79	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.07	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.75	-0.04	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.50	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	28.57	29.70	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	37.93	38.30	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.31	42.12	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.14	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	37.93	36.75	-0.01	-0.01
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.10	86.86	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	53.33	54.26	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.03	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	45.99	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.62	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	61.91	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.74	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	69.23	69.22	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.32	0.02	0.02
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
South Alabama	SB	26.41	26.40	50.69	50.69	0.37	0.37
Troy	SB	5.86	5.88	60.00	59.60	1.17	1.13
Florida Atlantic	SB	5.75	5.75	44.00	44.00	-0.69	-0.69
Western Kentucky	SB	4.31	4.30	59.38	59.38	0.81	0.81
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.26	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Florida International	SB	4.24	4.23	20.69	20.69	-2.48	-2.48
Denver	SB	4.13	4.13	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
North Texas	SB	2.54	2.62	71.43	70.70	1.09	1.09
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.55	2.54	44.44	44.44	-0.28	-0.28
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.55	2.54	32.14	32.14	-0.91	-0.91
New Orleans	SB	2.53	2.53	22.22	22.22	-1.41	-1.40
Arkansas St.	SB	2.50	2.50	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	2.46	2.45	22.22	22.22	-1.36	-1.36
UAB	CUSA	1.96	1.95	75.86	75.86	1.01	1.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.87	1.87	52.00	53.08	0.07	0.11
Rice	CUSA	1.84	1.86	21.43	20.96	-1.05	-1.08
Tulsa	CUSA	1.84	1.86	65.52	66.41	0.57	0.61
Houston Baptist	GWC	1.84	1.84	34.48	34.48	-0.57	-0.57
Florida	SEC	1.78	1.78	66.67	66.92	0.59	0.60
Arkansas	SEC	1.75	1.75	46.67	46.57	-0.12	-0.12
Sacramento St.	BSky	1.72	1.72	25.93	25.93	-0.83	-0.83
Alcorn St.	SWAC	1.72	1.72	6.67	6.67	-1.49	-1.49
Georgia St.	CAA	1.67	1.67	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.40	71.43	71.43	0.17	0.17
Tulane	CUSA	0.31	0.34	27.59	27.33	-0.14	-0.15
Memphis	CUSA	0.29	0.29	74.19	74.19	0.14	0.14
Houston	CUSA	0.28	0.28	48.28	49.53	-0.01	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.26	0.25	82.76	82.76	0.17	0.17
Georgia	SEC	0.23	0.25	44.83	45.21	-0.02	-0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.22	0.21	75.86	75.86	0.11	0.11
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.22	0.21	36.67	35.66	-0.06	-0.06
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.20	0.20	42.86	43.51	-0.03	-0.03
Lamar	Slnd	0.19	0.19	35.71	35.71	-0.06	-0.06
Auburn	SEC	0.17	0.19	46.67	45.99	-0.01	-0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.18	0.17	25.93	25.50	-0.09	-0.08
Central Florida	CUSA	0.17	0.17	44.83	44.60	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.17	70.00	70.00	0.07	0.07
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	79.31	78.09	0.08	0.08
Georgia Southern	SC	0.14	0.14	23.33	23.33	-0.08	-0.07
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.14	0.13	27.59	27.61	-0.06	-0.06
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.13	76.67	77.24	0.07	0.07
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
South Carolina	SEC	0.13	0.13	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	56.00	56.26	0.01	0.01
Albany	AE	0.12	0.12	21.88	21.88	-0.07	-0.07
American	Pat	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.33	0.04	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.11	0.11	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.11	32.00	32.00	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	26.67	26.24	-0.05	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.84	0.03	0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.11	39.39	39.39	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.11	0.11	48.28	49.55	-0.00	-0.00
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.10	35.48	35.77	-0.03	-0.03
Montana St.	BSky	0.09	0.09	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.06	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.84	0.02	0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.09	41.38	41.38	-0.02	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	72.00	72.78	0.04	0.04
Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.08	0.08	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.08	0.08	54.84	53.79	0.01	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.08	0.08	20.00	19.80	-0.05	-0.05
Chicago St.	GWC	0.08	0.08	22.22	22.22	-0.05	-0.05
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	22.58	22.60	-0.05	-0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.08	0.08	54.84	54.26	0.01	0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	47.07	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.15	47.05	-0.01	-0.00
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
Indiana St.	MVC	0.08	0.08	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.06	0.06	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Washington	BSky	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Idaho St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	18.52	18.52	-0.04	-0.04
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.06	0.06	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	37.93	37.14	-0.01	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	65.38	66.14	0.02	0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.87	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.06	0.06	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.06	0.06	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.06	0.06	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.06	46.67	45.46	-0.00	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.06	0.06	25.00	26.79	-0.03	-0.03
North Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	22.22	22.22	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.06	0.06	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.06	0.06	11.54	11.54	-0.04	-0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.06	16.13	16.13	-0.04	-0.04
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.06	0.05	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.05	70.00	70.11	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.06	0.05	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	36.36	36.07	-0.01	-0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.05	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.05	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.05	0.05	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.11	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.75	-0.04	-0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Towson	CAA	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.05	51.72	50.50	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.05	28.57	29.70	-0.02	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.05	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.02	-0.02
Cal Poly	BW	0.03	0.03	37.93	38.30	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	45.47	-0.00	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.57	-0.00	-0.00
Pacific	BW	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.31	42.12	-0.00	-0.00
UC Davis	BW	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.03	0.03	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	64.52	63.14	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.03	0.03	7.41	7.41	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.67	0.00	0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.10	86.86	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.03	0.03	53.33	54.26	0.00	0.00
Fairleigh Dickinson	NEC	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Furman	SC	0.03	0.03	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	32.14	32.14	-0.01	-0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.03	0.01	0.01
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	44.83	45.99	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	28.00	28.00	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas Christian	MWC	0.03	0.03	37.93	36.75	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	49.59	0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware	CAA	0.03	0.03	22.58	22.58	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	51.72	50.96	0.00	0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.62	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	62.71	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.03	0.03	62.07	61.91	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.03	0.03	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	54.17	54.17	0.00	0.00
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.03	0.03	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.03	0.03	46.67	45.74	-0.00	-0.00
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	69.23	69.22	0.01	0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.03	0.03	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.32	0.02	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Troy	SB	5.86	5.88	60.00	59.60	1.17	1.13
North Texas	SB	2.54	2.62	71.43	70.70	1.09	1.09
UAB	CUSA	1.96	1.95	75.86	75.86	1.01	1.01
Denver	SB	4.13	4.13	60.00	60.00	0.83	0.83
Western Kentucky	SB	4.31	4.30	59.38	59.38	0.81	0.81
Florida	SEC	1.78	1.78	66.67	66.92	0.59	0.60
Tulsa	CUSA	1.84	1.86	65.52	66.41	0.57	0.61
South Alabama	SB	26.41	26.40	50.69	50.69	0.37	0.37
Middle Tennessee	SB	4.26	4.25	53.57	53.57	0.30	0.30
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.40	71.43	71.43	0.17	0.17
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.26	0.25	82.76	82.76	0.17	0.17
Memphis	CUSA	0.29	0.29	74.19	74.19	0.14	0.14
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.22	0.21	75.86	75.86	0.11	0.11
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.14	0.14	79.31	78.09	0.08	0.08
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	87.50	87.50	0.08	0.08
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	1.87	1.87	52.00	53.08	0.07	0.11
Tennessee	SEC	0.14	0.13	76.67	77.24	0.07	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	93.55	93.55	0.07	0.07
Mississippi	SEC	0.17	0.17	70.00	70.00	0.07	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.11	0.11	73.33	73.33	0.05	0.05
Maryland	ACC	0.09	0.09	75.86	75.86	0.05	0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.13	0.13	67.74	67.74	0.05	0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.04	0.04
Montana	BSky	0.11	0.11	66.67	66.33	0.04	0.04
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.08	0.08	72.00	72.78	0.04	0.04
Louisville	BE	0.11	0.10	64.52	64.52	0.03	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.11	0.11	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Texas	B12	0.06	0.05	74.19	74.49	0.03	0.03
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.11	0.11	62.07	62.84	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.87	0.02	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	63.33	63.84	0.02	0.02
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	93.55	93.55	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.05	70.00	70.11	0.02	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	90.32	90.32	0.02	0.02
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.10	86.86	0.02	0.02
Duke	ACC	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.87	0.02	0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.06	0.06	65.38	66.14	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.14	0.14	56.25	56.25	0.02	0.02
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.05	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	79.31	79.31	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.09	0.09	58.62	58.06	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.01	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.12	56.00	56.26	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Kent St.	MAC	0.03	0.03	73.33	73.03	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01