Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

New! RPI broken down by contributions of individual teams and winning percentages (scroll down past graphs)

The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated  Northern Arizona   page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.


Northern Arizona

Conference:BSky
Expected RPI:204.1
Current RPI:187
Expected SOS:221
Current SOS:179
Current Record:9-11
Expected Record:11-14
Current Conf Record:5-6
Expected Conf Record:7-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-2
Current OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC Record:4-5
Expected OOC RPI:168
Expected OOC SOS:196



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
14-11157.30.93%
13-12174.310.73%
12-13191.931.68%
11-14210.537.06%
10-15228.717.57%
9-16243.02.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Arizona.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-15Arizona (81.7)P10A70-87L0%0.0
11-17Fresno St. (160.9)WACH59-65L0%0.0
11-25Santa Clara (220.8)WCCA88-72W100%0.0
11-28San Diego St. (44.0)MWCA48-89L0%0.0
12-4Montana (102.5)BSkyA54-71L0%0.0
12-5Montana St. (192.5)BSkyA50-62L0%0.0
12-13UC Riverside (264.2)BWH68-56W100%0.0
12-16New Mexico (14.3)MWCA57-96L0%0.0
12-19Air Force (235.8)MWCA60-52W100%0.0
12-20Colorado St. (113.5)MWCA56-64L0%0.0
12-28Texas Pan American (326.2)GWCA64-59W100%0.0
1-2Northern Colorado (103.7)BSkyH66-75L0%0.0
1-7Idaho St. (275.5)BSkyH68-56W100%0.0
1-9Weber St. (80.8)BSkyH62-87L0%0.0
1-15Eastern Washington (293.2)BSkyA73-69W100%0.0
1-17Portland St. (210.1)BSkyA93-86W100%0.0
1-24Sacramento St. (287.6)BSkyH75-71W100%0.0
1-28Montana St. (192.5)BSkyH71-58W100%0.0
1-30Montana (102.5)BSkyH64-84L0%0.0
2-7Northern Colorado (103.7)BSkyA63-70L0%0.0
2-12Weber St. (80.8)BSkyA0-011%-13.5
2-13Idaho St. (275.5)BSkyA0-040%-2.8
2-18Portland St. (210.1)BSkyH0-056%1.5
2-20Eastern Washington (293.2)BSkyH0-080%9.3
2-26Sacramento St. (287.6)BSkyA0-049%-0.4


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Arizona's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Arizona's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  Northern Arizona.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
Northern ArizonaBSky26.4626.4948.9649.37-0.55-0.34
MontanaBSky5.915.1365.0067.881.771.83
Northern ColoradoBSky5.875.1177.2776.403.202.70
Montana St.BSky5.735.0247.3748.54-0.30-0.15
Sacramento St.BSky3.375.0731.8229.26-1.22-2.10
Idaho St.BSky3.355.0320.0023.51-2.01-2.66
Weber St.BSky3.355.0260.0062.580.671.26
Eastern WashingtonBSky3.185.0319.0519.90-1.97-3.03
Portland St.BSky3.185.0340.0040.99-0.64-0.91
Colorado St.MWC2.952.3957.1451.160.420.06
San Diego St.MWC2.942.3465.0066.550.880.78
Air ForceMWC2.822.3136.8431.76-0.74-0.84
New MexicoMWC2.802.2586.9682.972.071.48
Fresno St.WAC2.782.1845.4547.28-0.25-0.12
UC RiversideBW2.782.2235.0037.85-0.83-0.54
Santa ClaraWCC2.612.0734.7835.49-0.80-0.60
Texas Pan AmericanGWC2.562.0412.5019.44-1.92-1.24
ArizonaP102.562.0450.0052.060.000.08
Boise St.WAC0.520.4445.4545.95-0.05-0.04
Brigham YoungMWC0.520.5787.5087.420.390.42
Texas ChristianMWC0.450.3840.9138.27-0.08-0.09
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.410.3360.0059.640.080.06
OregonP100.400.3354.5548.810.04-0.01
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.400.4281.8280.910.250.26
WyomingMWC0.390.3533.3330.72-0.13-0.13
UtahMWC0.350.4345.4544.32-0.03-0.05
Seattleind0.340.5445.8348.87-0.03-0.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.330.2947.8344.39-0.01-0.03
PacificBW0.330.2868.1868.100.120.10
San DiegoWCC0.330.2133.3333.43-0.11-0.07
UC DavisBW0.290.2535.0033.21-0.09-0.08
Washington St.P100.290.2563.6458.790.080.04
WashingtonP100.280.2269.5768.860.110.08
DenverSB0.270.1860.8759.580.060.03
San Jose St.WAC0.270.2850.0048.140.00-0.01
North DakotaGWC0.270.2115.7927.84-0.18-0.09
HawaiiWAC0.260.1736.3633.80-0.07-0.05
Louisiana TechWAC0.260.1982.6175.260.170.10
Cal PolyBW0.240.2236.3636.06-0.06-0.06
Cal St. FullertonBW0.240.1945.0048.63-0.02-0.01
Utah St.WAC0.230.2973.9176.660.110.16
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.230.2522.7321.40-0.13-0.15
NevadaWAC0.230.2157.1460.540.030.04
San FranciscoWCC0.230.1831.8232.31-0.08-0.06
Southern CaliforniaP100.230.2560.8759.610.050.05
Southern UtahSum0.220.1819.0520.55-0.14-0.11
St. Mary'sWCC0.220.1886.9684.620.160.12
PortlandWCC0.170.2161.9065.680.040.07
PepperdineWCC0.170.1727.2725.31-0.08-0.09
IdahoWAC0.170.2145.0048.32-0.02-0.01
Oregon St.P100.160.1745.4540.28-0.01-0.03
RiceCUSA0.160.1431.8230.34-0.06-0.05
New Mexico St.WAC0.160.1361.9056.370.040.02
OklahomaB120.160.1059.0951.130.030.00
Chicago St.GWC0.160.1420.0020.57-0.09-0.08
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.0739.1343.30-0.03-0.01
MemphisCUSA0.120.0869.5769.990.050.03
Southern MississippiCUSA0.120.0855.5655.850.010.01
Arizona St.P100.110.1066.6767.740.040.04
StanfordP100.110.1443.4843.10-0.01-0.02
ColoradoB120.110.0742.8640.56-0.02-0.01
UCLAP100.110.1047.8343.79-0.00-0.01
GonzagaWCC0.110.1481.8283.610.070.09
CaliforniaP100.110.1065.2268.420.030.04
Houston BaptistGWC0.110.1722.7324.05-0.06-0.09
Louisiana MonroeSB0.100.0736.3636.18-0.03-0.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.100.0726.3231.51-0.05-0.03
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.0745.0054.19-0.010.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.100.0647.3752.55-0.010.00
Texas San AntonioSlnd0.100.0655.5658.320.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.060.0440.0040.09-0.01-0.01
Missouri St.MVC0.060.0466.6764.620.020.01
NiagaraMAAC0.060.0452.0051.840.000.00
North Carolina Centralind0.060.044.769.78-0.06-0.03
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.060.0447.0653.78-0.000.00
Texas El PasoCUSA0.060.0477.2775.690.030.02
BelmontASun0.060.0760.0063.830.010.02
BradleyMVC0.060.0752.1750.210.000.00
DrakeMVC0.060.0444.0043.20-0.01-0.00
Iowa St.B120.060.0756.5250.470.010.00
Long Beach St.BW0.060.0742.8645.66-0.01-0.01
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.060.0738.1038.08-0.01-0.02
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0868.1867.880.020.03
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
UC IrvineBW0.060.0736.3640.08-0.02-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.060.0762.5065.320.010.02
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0356.5254.460.010.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0747.6249.36-0.00-0.00
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.060.0747.0643.53-0.00-0.01
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0329.4129.63-0.02-0.01
YaleIvy0.060.0336.3638.12-0.02-0.01
LipscombASun0.050.0352.1756.480.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0358.3354.320.010.00
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0333.3333.96-0.02-0.01
South AlabamaSB0.050.0747.8347.55-0.00-0.00
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0376.1973.200.030.02
WisconsinB100.050.0378.2678.920.030.02
CreightonMVC0.050.0350.0050.680.000.00
DaytonA100.050.0372.7371.910.020.01
HarvardIvy0.050.0373.6875.410.020.02
Miami OHMAC0.050.0343.4847.68-0.01-0.00
New HampshireAE0.050.0335.0038.23-0.02-0.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0322.2226.51-0.03-0.02
NortheasternCAA0.050.0366.6768.110.020.01
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0354.1758.550.000.01
Texas A&MB120.050.0372.7366.850.020.01
Texas TechB120.050.0368.1859.300.020.01
WoffordSC0.050.0366.6767.940.020.01
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.050.0355.0053.610.010.00
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0347.8346.11-0.00-0.00
LamarSlnd0.050.0347.6244.73-0.00-0.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.050.0369.5768.480.020.01
MissouriB120.050.0373.9170.600.020.01
NebraskaB120.050.0356.5250.420.010.00
NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.050.0622.2227.56-0.03-0.03
NorthwesternB100.050.0369.5767.930.020.01
South DakotaGWC0.050.0650.0060.530.000.01
TexasB120.050.0382.6178.760.030.02
Texas St.Slnd0.050.0336.8436.82-0.01-0.01
Utah ValleyGWC0.050.0636.8439.02-0.01-0.01
VirginiaACC0.050.0366.6757.290.020.00
Youngstown St.Horz0.000.0428.5727.72-0.00-0.02


BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
Northern ArizonaBSky26.4626.4948.9649.37-0.55-0.34
MontanaBSky5.915.1365.0067.881.771.83
Northern ColoradoBSky5.875.1177.2776.403.202.70
Sacramento St.BSky3.375.0731.8229.26-1.22-2.10
Eastern WashingtonBSky3.185.0319.0519.90-1.97-3.03
Portland St.BSky3.185.0340.0040.99-0.64-0.91
Idaho St.BSky3.355.0320.0023.51-2.01-2.66
Montana St.BSky5.735.0247.3748.54-0.30-0.15
Weber St.BSky3.355.0260.0062.580.671.26
Colorado St.MWC2.952.3957.1451.160.420.06
San Diego St.MWC2.942.3465.0066.550.880.78
Air ForceMWC2.822.3136.8431.76-0.74-0.84
New MexicoMWC2.802.2586.9682.972.071.48
UC RiversideBW2.782.2235.0037.85-0.83-0.54
Fresno St.WAC2.782.1845.4547.28-0.25-0.12
Santa ClaraWCC2.612.0734.7835.49-0.80-0.60
Texas Pan AmericanGWC2.562.0412.5019.44-1.92-1.24
ArizonaP102.562.0450.0052.060.000.08
Brigham YoungMWC0.520.5787.5087.420.390.42
Seattleind0.340.5445.8348.87-0.03-0.01
Boise St.WAC0.520.4445.4545.95-0.05-0.04
UtahMWC0.350.4345.4544.32-0.03-0.05
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.400.4281.8280.910.250.26
Texas ChristianMWC0.450.3840.9138.27-0.08-0.09
WyomingMWC0.390.3533.3330.72-0.13-0.13
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.410.3360.0059.640.080.06
OregonP100.400.3354.5548.810.04-0.01
Loyola MarymountWCC0.330.2947.8344.39-0.01-0.03
Utah St.WAC0.230.2973.9176.660.110.16
PacificBW0.330.2868.1868.100.120.10
San Jose St.WAC0.270.2850.0048.140.00-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.230.2522.7321.40-0.13-0.15
UC DavisBW0.290.2535.0033.21-0.09-0.08
Southern CaliforniaP100.230.2560.8759.610.050.05
Washington St.P100.290.2563.6458.790.080.04
Cal PolyBW0.240.2236.3636.06-0.06-0.06
WashingtonP100.280.2269.5768.860.110.08
NevadaWAC0.230.2157.1460.540.030.04
PortlandWCC0.170.2161.9065.680.040.07
North DakotaGWC0.270.2115.7927.84-0.18-0.09
IdahoWAC0.170.2145.0048.32-0.02-0.01
San DiegoWCC0.330.2133.3333.43-0.11-0.07
Louisiana TechWAC0.260.1982.6175.260.170.10
Cal St. FullertonBW0.240.1945.0048.63-0.02-0.01
Southern UtahSum0.220.1819.0520.55-0.14-0.11
DenverSB0.270.1860.8759.580.060.03
San FranciscoWCC0.230.1831.8232.31-0.08-0.06
St. Mary'sWCC0.220.1886.9684.620.160.12
PepperdineWCC0.170.1727.2725.31-0.08-0.09
Houston BaptistGWC0.110.1722.7324.05-0.06-0.09
Oregon St.P100.160.1745.4540.28-0.01-0.03
HawaiiWAC0.260.1736.3633.80-0.07-0.05
GonzagaWCC0.110.1481.8283.610.070.09
RiceCUSA0.160.1431.8230.34-0.06-0.05
StanfordP100.110.1443.4843.10-0.01-0.02
Chicago St.GWC0.160.1420.0020.57-0.09-0.08
New Mexico St.WAC0.160.1361.9056.370.040.02
Arizona St.P100.110.1066.6767.740.040.04
OklahomaB120.160.1059.0951.130.030.00
UCLAP100.110.1047.8343.79-0.00-0.01
CaliforniaP100.110.1065.2268.420.030.04
MemphisCUSA0.120.0869.5769.990.050.03
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0868.1867.880.020.03
Southern MississippiCUSA0.120.0855.5655.850.010.01
BradleyMVC0.060.0752.1750.210.000.00
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.0739.1343.30-0.03-0.01
Iowa St.B120.060.0756.5250.470.010.00
Long Beach St.BW0.060.0742.8645.66-0.01-0.01
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.060.0738.1038.08-0.01-0.02
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
UC IrvineBW0.060.0736.3640.08-0.02-0.01
BelmontASun0.060.0760.0063.830.010.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0747.6249.36-0.00-0.00
South AlabamaSB0.050.0747.8347.55-0.00-0.00
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.060.0747.0643.53-0.00-0.01
Wright St.Horz0.060.0762.5065.320.010.02
Louisiana MonroeSB0.100.0736.3636.18-0.03-0.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.100.0726.3231.51-0.05-0.03
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.0745.0054.19-0.010.01
ColoradoB120.110.0742.8640.56-0.02-0.01
NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.050.0622.2227.56-0.03-0.03
South DakotaGWC0.050.0650.0060.530.000.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.100.0647.3752.55-0.010.00
Texas San AntonioSlnd0.100.0655.5658.320.010.01
Utah ValleyGWC0.050.0636.8439.02-0.01-0.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.060.0440.0040.09-0.01-0.01
Missouri St.MVC0.060.0466.6764.620.020.01
NiagaraMAAC0.060.0452.0051.840.000.00
North Carolina Centralind0.060.044.769.78-0.06-0.03
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.060.0447.0653.78-0.000.00
Texas El PasoCUSA0.060.0477.2775.690.030.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.000.0428.5727.72-0.00-0.02
DrakeMVC0.060.0444.0043.20-0.01-0.00
HarvardIvy0.050.0373.6875.410.020.02
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0356.5254.460.010.00
New HampshireAE0.050.0335.0038.23-0.02-0.01
NortheasternCAA0.050.0366.6768.110.020.01
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0329.4129.63-0.02-0.01
WoffordSC0.050.0366.6767.940.020.01
YaleIvy0.060.0336.3638.12-0.02-0.01
LipscombASun0.050.0352.1756.480.000.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0358.3354.320.010.00
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0376.1973.200.030.02
WisconsinB100.050.0378.2678.920.030.02
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.050.0355.0053.610.010.00
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0347.8346.11-0.00-0.00
CreightonMVC0.050.0350.0050.680.000.00
DaytonA100.050.0372.7371.910.020.01
LamarSlnd0.050.0347.6244.73-0.00-0.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0343.4847.68-0.01-0.00
Mississippi St.SEC0.050.0369.5768.480.020.01
MissouriB120.050.0373.9170.600.020.01
NebraskaB120.050.0356.5250.420.010.00
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0322.2226.51-0.03-0.02
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0333.3333.96-0.02-0.01
NorthwesternB100.050.0369.5767.930.020.01
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0354.1758.550.000.01
TexasB120.050.0382.6178.760.030.02
Texas A&MB120.050.0372.7366.850.020.01
Texas St.Slnd0.050.0336.8436.82-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.050.0368.1859.300.020.01
VirginiaACC0.050.0366.6757.290.020.00


BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
Northern ColoradoBSky5.875.1177.2776.403.202.70
New MexicoMWC2.802.2586.9682.972.071.48
MontanaBSky5.915.1365.0067.881.771.83
San Diego St.MWC2.942.3465.0066.550.880.78
Weber St.BSky3.355.0260.0062.580.671.26
Colorado St.MWC2.952.3957.1451.160.420.06
Brigham YoungMWC0.520.5787.5087.420.390.42
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.400.4281.8280.910.250.26
Louisiana TechWAC0.260.1982.6175.260.170.10
St. Mary'sWCC0.220.1886.9684.620.160.12
PacificBW0.330.2868.1868.100.120.10
Utah St.WAC0.230.2973.9176.660.110.16
WashingtonP100.280.2269.5768.860.110.08
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.410.3360.0059.640.080.06
Washington St.P100.290.2563.6458.790.080.04
GonzagaWCC0.110.1481.8283.610.070.09
DenverSB0.270.1860.8759.580.060.03
Southern CaliforniaP100.230.2560.8759.610.050.05
MemphisCUSA0.120.0869.5769.990.050.03
PortlandWCC0.170.2161.9065.680.040.07
Arizona St.P100.110.1066.6767.740.040.04
New Mexico St.WAC0.160.1361.9056.370.040.02
OregonP100.400.3354.5548.810.04-0.01
Texas El PasoCUSA0.060.0477.2775.690.030.02
NevadaWAC0.230.2157.1460.540.030.04
TexasB120.050.0382.6178.760.030.02
CaliforniaP100.110.1065.2268.420.030.04
WisconsinB100.050.0378.2678.920.030.02
OklahomaB120.160.1059.0951.130.030.00
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0376.1973.200.030.02
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
HarvardIvy0.050.0373.6875.410.020.02
MissouriB120.050.0373.9170.600.020.01
DaytonA100.050.0372.7371.910.020.01
Texas A&MB120.050.0372.7366.850.020.01
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0868.1867.880.020.03
Missouri St.MVC0.060.0466.6764.620.020.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.050.0369.5768.480.020.01
NorthwesternB100.050.0369.5767.930.020.01
Texas TechB120.050.0368.1859.300.020.01
NortheasternCAA0.050.0366.6768.110.020.01
WoffordSC0.050.0366.6767.940.020.01
VirginiaACC0.050.0366.6757.290.020.00
Wright St.Horz0.060.0762.5065.320.010.02
Southern MississippiCUSA0.120.0855.5655.850.010.01
BelmontASun0.060.0760.0063.830.010.02
Texas San AntonioSlnd0.100.0655.5658.320.010.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0358.3354.320.010.00
Iowa St.B120.060.0756.5250.470.010.00
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0356.5254.460.010.00
NebraskaB120.050.0356.5250.420.010.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.050.0355.0053.610.010.00
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0354.1758.550.000.01
BradleyMVC0.060.0752.1750.210.000.00
NiagaraMAAC0.060.0452.0051.840.000.00
LipscombASun0.050.0352.1756.480.000.00
ArizonaP102.562.0450.0052.060.000.08
CreightonMVC0.050.0350.0050.680.000.00
San Jose St.WAC0.270.2850.0048.140.00-0.01
South DakotaGWC0.050.0650.0060.530.000.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.000.0428.5727.72-0.00-0.02
ChattanoogaSC0.050.0347.8346.11-0.00-0.00
South AlabamaSB0.050.0747.8347.55-0.00-0.00
LamarSlnd0.050.0347.6244.73-0.00-0.00
Jackson St.SWAC0.060.0747.6249.36-0.00-0.00
Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.060.0747.0643.53-0.00-0.01
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.060.0447.0653.78-0.000.00
UCLAP100.110.1047.8343.79-0.00-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.100.0647.3752.55-0.010.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0343.4847.68-0.01-0.00
DrakeMVC0.060.0444.0043.20-0.01-0.00
Long Beach St.BW0.060.0742.8645.66-0.01-0.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.0745.0054.19-0.010.01
Charleston SouthernBSth0.060.0440.0040.09-0.01-0.01
Texas St.Slnd0.050.0336.8436.82-0.01-0.01
Utah ValleyGWC0.050.0636.8439.02-0.01-0.01
Missouri Kansas CitySum0.060.0738.1038.08-0.01-0.02
Loyola MarymountWCC0.330.2947.8344.39-0.01-0.03
Oregon St.P100.160.1745.4540.28-0.01-0.03
StanfordP100.110.1443.4843.10-0.01-0.02
YaleIvy0.060.0336.3638.12-0.02-0.01
New HampshireAE0.050.0335.0038.23-0.02-0.01
ColoradoB120.110.0742.8640.56-0.02-0.01
UC IrvineBW0.060.0736.3640.08-0.02-0.01
IdahoWAC0.170.2145.0048.32-0.02-0.01
North Dakota St.Sum0.050.0333.3333.96-0.02-0.01
Winston Salem St.ind0.060.0329.4129.63-0.02-0.01
Cal St. FullertonBW0.240.1945.0048.63-0.02-0.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.120.0739.1343.30-0.03-0.01
NJ Inst of TechnologyGWC0.050.0622.2227.56-0.03-0.03
Louisiana MonroeSB0.100.0736.3636.18-0.03-0.02
Seattleind0.340.5445.8348.87-0.03-0.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.050.0322.2226.51-0.03-0.02
UtahMWC0.350.4345.4544.32-0.03-0.05
Boise St.WAC0.520.4445.4545.95-0.05-0.04
McNeese St.Slnd0.100.0726.3231.51-0.05-0.03
North Carolina Centralind0.060.044.769.78-0.06-0.03
Houston BaptistGWC0.110.1722.7324.05-0.06-0.09
RiceCUSA0.160.1431.8230.34-0.06-0.05
Cal PolyBW0.240.2236.3636.06-0.06-0.06
HawaiiWAC0.260.1736.3633.80-0.07-0.05
PepperdineWCC0.170.1727.2725.31-0.08-0.09
Texas ChristianMWC0.450.3840.9138.27-0.08-0.09
San FranciscoWCC0.230.1831.8232.31-0.08-0.06
UC DavisBW0.290.2535.0033.21-0.09-0.08
Chicago St.GWC0.160.1420.0020.57-0.09-0.08
San DiegoWCC0.330.2133.3333.43-0.11-0.07
Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.230.2522.7321.40-0.13-0.15
WyomingMWC0.390.3533.3330.72-0.13-0.13
Southern UtahSum0.220.1819.0520.55-0.14-0.11
North DakotaGWC0.270.2115.7927.84-0.18-0.09
Fresno St.WAC2.782.1845.4547.28-0.25-0.12
Montana St.BSky5.735.0247.3748.54-0.30-0.15
Northern ArizonaBSky26.4626.4948.9649.37-0.55-0.34
Portland St.BSky3.185.0340.0040.99-0.64-0.91
Air ForceMWC2.822.3136.8431.76-0.74-0.84
Santa ClaraWCC2.612.0734.7835.49-0.80-0.60
UC RiversideBW2.782.2235.0037.85-0.83-0.54
Sacramento St.BSky3.375.0731.8229.26-1.22-2.10
Texas Pan AmericanGWC2.562.0412.5019.44-1.92-1.24
Eastern WashingtonBSky3.185.0319.0519.90-1.97-3.03
Idaho St.BSky3.355.0320.0023.51-2.01-2.66


BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
Northern ColoradoBSky5.875.1177.2776.403.202.70
MontanaBSky5.915.1365.0067.881.771.83
New MexicoMWC2.802.2586.9682.972.071.48
Weber St.BSky3.355.0260.0062.580.671.26
San Diego St.MWC2.942.3465.0066.550.880.78
Brigham YoungMWC0.520.5787.5087.420.390.42
Nevada Las VegasMWC0.400.4281.8280.910.250.26
Utah St.WAC0.230.2973.9176.660.110.16
St. Mary'sWCC0.220.1886.9684.620.160.12
PacificBW0.330.2868.1868.100.120.10
Louisiana TechWAC0.260.1982.6175.260.170.10
GonzagaWCC0.110.1481.8283.610.070.09
ArizonaP102.562.0450.0052.060.000.08
WashingtonP100.280.2269.5768.860.110.08
PortlandWCC0.170.2161.9065.680.040.07
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.410.3360.0059.640.080.06
Colorado St.MWC2.952.3957.1451.160.420.06
Southern CaliforniaP100.230.2560.8759.610.050.05
NevadaWAC0.230.2157.1460.540.030.04
Washington St.P100.290.2563.6458.790.080.04
CaliforniaP100.110.1065.2268.420.030.04
Arizona St.P100.110.1066.6767.740.040.04
DenverSB0.270.1860.8759.580.060.03
MemphisCUSA0.120.0869.5769.990.050.03
Morehead St.OVC0.060.0868.1867.880.020.03
Wright St.Horz0.060.0762.5065.320.010.02
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
BelmontASun0.060.0760.0063.830.010.02
WisconsinB100.050.0378.2678.920.030.02
Texas El PasoCUSA0.060.0477.2775.690.030.02
TexasB120.050.0382.6178.760.030.02
HarvardIvy0.050.0373.6875.410.020.02
New Mexico St.WAC0.160.1361.9056.370.040.02
VanderbiltSEC0.050.0376.1973.200.030.02
DaytonA100.050.0372.7371.910.020.01
South DakotaGWC0.050.0650.0060.530.000.01
MissouriB120.050.0373.9170.600.020.01
NortheasternCAA0.050.0366.6768.110.020.01
WoffordSC0.050.0366.6767.940.020.01
Mississippi St.SEC0.050.0369.5768.480.020.01
NorthwesternB100.050.0369.5767.930.020.01
Texas A&MB120.050.0372.7366.850.020.01
Missouri St.MVC0.060.0466.6764.620.020.01
Texas San AntonioSlnd0.100.0655.5658.320.010.01
Southern MississippiCUSA0.120.0855.5655.850.010.01
Texas TechB120.050.0368.1859.300.020.01
Texas SouthernSWAC0.100.0745.0054.19-0.010.01
Oral RobertsSum0.050.0354.1758.550.000.01
VirginiaACC0.050.0366.6757.290.020.00
LipscombASun0.050.0352.1756.480.000.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.100.0647.3752.55-0.010.00
Indiana St.MVC0.060.0356.5254.460.010.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.050.0358.3354.320.010.00
Prairie View A&MSWAC0.060.0447.0653.78-0.000.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.050.0355.0053.610.010.00
OklahomaB120.160.1059.0951.130.030.00
NiagaraMAAC0.060.0452.0051.840.000.00