The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northern Arizona page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Northern Arizona

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		197.0
Current RPI:		197
Expected SOS:		228
Current SOS:		228
Current Record:		12-14
Expected Record:		12-14
Current Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		11-1
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		174
Expected OOC SOS:		209

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-14		197.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Arizona.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Arizona (96.0)	P10	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Fresno St. (190.0)	WAC	H	59-65	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Santa Clara (233.0)	WCC	A	88-72	W	100%	0.0
11-28	San Diego St. (18.0)	MWC	A	48-89	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Montana (97.0)	BSky	A	54-71	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	A	50-62	L	0%	0.0
12-13	UC Riverside (255.0)	BW	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
12-16	New Mexico (10.0)	MWC	A	57-96	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Air Force (246.0)	MWC	A	60-52	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Colorado St. (120.0)	MWC	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	A	64-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Northern Colorado (117.0)	BSky	H	66-75	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Weber St. (85.0)	BSky	H	62-87	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Eastern Washington (279.0)	BSky	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	A	93-86	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	H	75-71	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Montana St. (200.0)	BSky	H	71-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Montana (97.0)	BSky	H	64-84	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Northern Colorado (117.0)	BSky	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Weber St. (85.0)	BSky	A	66-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Idaho St. (305.0)	BSky	A	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Portland St. (221.0)	BSky	H	86-85	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Eastern Washington (279.0)	BSky	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
2-26	Sacramento St. (297.0)	BSky	A	73-59	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Montana (97.0)	BSky	A	60-81	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Arizona's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Arizona's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northern Arizona.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.54	26.54	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Montana	BSky	6.95	6.95	65.38	65.38	2.14	2.14
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.03	5.03	75.00	75.00	2.52	2.52
Weber St.	BSky	5.02	5.02	61.54	61.54	1.16	1.16
Portland St.	BSky	5.01	5.01	39.29	39.29	-1.07	-1.07
Montana St.	BSky	4.92	4.92	48.00	48.00	-0.20	-0.20
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.90	4.90	26.92	26.92	-2.26	-2.26
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.86	4.86	26.92	26.92	-2.24	-2.24
Idaho St.	BSky	4.86	4.86	16.00	16.00	-3.30	-3.30
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	2.33	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	2.30	2.30	73.33	73.33	1.07	1.07
Air Force	MWC	2.23	2.23	28.57	28.57	-0.96	-0.96
New Mexico	MWC	2.22	2.22	87.50	87.50	1.66	1.66
UC Riverside	BW	2.15	2.15	38.46	38.46	-0.50	-0.50
Fresno St.	WAC	2.12	2.12	41.94	41.94	-0.34	-0.34
Santa Clara	WCC	1.98	1.98	31.03	31.03	-0.75	-0.75
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.96	1.96	18.75	18.75	-1.22	-1.22
Arizona	P10	1.95	1.95	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.52	0.52	84.85	84.85	0.36	0.36
Seattle	ind	0.50	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.41	75.00	75.00	0.21	0.21
Utah	MWC	0.39	0.39	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.35	0.35	27.59	27.59	-0.16	-0.16
Texas Christian	MWC	0.34	0.34	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Oregon	P10	0.34	0.34	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.33	0.33	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.23	0.23	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.22	0.22	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.22	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.21	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Cal Poly	BW	0.21	0.21	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Denver	SB	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.16	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.16	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.54	26.54	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Montana	BSky	6.95	6.95	65.38	65.38	2.14	2.14
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.03	5.03	75.00	75.00	2.52	2.52
Weber St.	BSky	5.02	5.02	61.54	61.54	1.16	1.16
Portland St.	BSky	5.01	5.01	39.29	39.29	-1.07	-1.07
Montana St.	BSky	4.92	4.92	48.00	48.00	-0.20	-0.20
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.90	4.90	26.92	26.92	-2.26	-2.26
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.86	4.86	26.92	26.92	-2.24	-2.24
Idaho St.	BSky	4.86	4.86	16.00	16.00	-3.30	-3.30
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	2.33	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
San Diego St.	MWC	2.30	2.30	73.33	73.33	1.07	1.07
Air Force	MWC	2.23	2.23	28.57	28.57	-0.96	-0.96
New Mexico	MWC	2.22	2.22	87.50	87.50	1.66	1.66
UC Riverside	BW	2.15	2.15	38.46	38.46	-0.50	-0.50
Fresno St.	WAC	2.12	2.12	41.94	41.94	-0.34	-0.34
Santa Clara	WCC	1.98	1.98	31.03	31.03	-0.75	-0.75
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.96	1.96	18.75	18.75	-1.22	-1.22
Arizona	P10	1.95	1.95	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.52	0.52	84.85	84.85	0.36	0.36
Seattle	ind	0.50	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.41	75.00	75.00	0.21	0.21
Utah	MWC	0.39	0.39	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.35	0.35	27.59	27.59	-0.16	-0.16
Texas Christian	MWC	0.34	0.34	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Oregon	P10	0.34	0.34	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.33	0.33	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
San Jose St.	WAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington	P10	0.23	0.23	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
San Diego	WCC	0.22	0.22	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.22	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.21	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Cal Poly	BW	0.21	0.21	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Denver	SB	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.16	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.16	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.03	5.03	75.00	75.00	2.52	2.52
Montana	BSky	6.95	6.95	65.38	65.38	2.14	2.14
New Mexico	MWC	2.22	2.22	87.50	87.50	1.66	1.66
Weber St.	BSky	5.02	5.02	61.54	61.54	1.16	1.16
San Diego St.	MWC	2.30	2.30	73.33	73.33	1.07	1.07
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.54	26.54	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Brigham Young	MWC	0.52	0.52	84.85	84.85	0.36	0.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.41	75.00	75.00	0.21	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
Washington	P10	0.23	0.23	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.21	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Seattle	ind	0.50	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.33	0.33	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	1.95	1.95	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.34	0.34	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.06	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.00	-0.00
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	46.15	46.15	-0.01	-0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	40.74	40.74	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.17	0.17	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Colorado	B12	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.03	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	30.77	30.77	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.06	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	44.83	44.83	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.03	0.03	12.00	12.00	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.06	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.09	0.09	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
San Jose St.	WAC	0.26	0.26	43.33	43.33	-0.04	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.39	0.39	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Boise St.	WAC	0.43	0.43	45.16	45.16	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.16	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
Cal Poly	BW	0.21	0.21	38.71	38.71	-0.05	-0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.24	40.00	40.00	-0.05	-0.05
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.15	0.15	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	21.43	21.43	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.22	0.22	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	2.33	48.28	48.28	-0.08	-0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.34	0.34	36.67	36.67	-0.09	-0.09
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.16	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Southern Utah	Sum	0.17	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
North Dakota	GWC	0.22	0.22	21.43	21.43	-0.13	-0.13
Wyoming	MWC	0.35	0.35	27.59	27.59	-0.16	-0.16
Montana St.	BSky	4.92	4.92	48.00	48.00	-0.20	-0.20
Fresno St.	WAC	2.12	2.12	41.94	41.94	-0.34	-0.34
UC Riverside	BW	2.15	2.15	38.46	38.46	-0.50	-0.50
Santa Clara	WCC	1.98	1.98	31.03	31.03	-0.75	-0.75
Air Force	MWC	2.23	2.23	28.57	28.57	-0.96	-0.96
Portland St.	BSky	5.01	5.01	39.29	39.29	-1.07	-1.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.96	1.96	18.75	18.75	-1.22	-1.22
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.86	4.86	26.92	26.92	-2.24	-2.24
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.90	4.90	26.92	26.92	-2.26	-2.26
Idaho St.	BSky	4.86	4.86	16.00	16.00	-3.30	-3.30

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	5.03	5.03	75.00	75.00	2.52	2.52
Montana	BSky	6.95	6.95	65.38	65.38	2.14	2.14
New Mexico	MWC	2.22	2.22	87.50	87.50	1.66	1.66
Weber St.	BSky	5.02	5.02	61.54	61.54	1.16	1.16
San Diego St.	MWC	2.30	2.30	73.33	73.33	1.07	1.07
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.54	26.54	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Brigham Young	MWC	0.52	0.52	84.85	84.85	0.36	0.36
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.41	75.00	75.00	0.21	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.27	0.27	78.79	78.79	0.15	0.15
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.30	0.30	67.86	67.86	0.11	0.11
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
Washington	P10	0.23	0.23	72.73	72.73	0.10	0.10
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.21	0.21	69.70	69.70	0.08	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	64.52	64.52	0.08	0.08
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Seattle	ind	0.50	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.20	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	71.88	71.88	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.09	0.09	66.67	66.67	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.65	67.65	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.33	0.33	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.03	0.03	81.25	81.25	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	72.73	72.73	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	70.97	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Arizona	P10	1.95	1.95	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.34	0.34	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00