The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Northern Arizona page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 8, 2010.

Northern Arizona

Conference:		BSky
Expected RPI:		200.1
Current RPI:		199
Expected SOS:		235
Current SOS:		232
Current Record:		12-14
Expected Record:		12-14
Current Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Conf Record:		8-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		12-2
Current OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC Record:		4-5
Expected OOC RPI:		174
Expected OOC SOS:		212

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-14		200.1		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Northern Arizona.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-15	Arizona (86.4)	P10	A	70-87	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Fresno St. (184.4)	WAC	H	59-65	L	0%	0.0
11-25	Santa Clara (234.0)	WCC	A	88-72	W	100%	0.0
11-28	San Diego St. (34.3)	MWC	A	48-89	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Montana (114.5)	BSky	A	54-71	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Montana St. (200.9)	BSky	A	50-62	L	0%	0.0
12-13	UC Riverside (256.8)	BW	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
12-16	New Mexico (7.1)	MWC	A	57-96	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Air Force (256.0)	MWC	A	60-52	W	100%	0.0
12-20	Colorado St. (115.3)	MWC	A	56-64	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Texas Pan American (336.8)	GWC	A	64-59	W	100%	0.0
1-2	Northern Colorado (111.6)	BSky	H	66-75	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Idaho St. (304.5)	BSky	H	68-56	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Weber St. (80.1)	BSky	H	62-87	L	0%	0.0
1-15	Eastern Washington (275.0)	BSky	A	73-69	W	100%	0.0
1-17	Portland St. (219.4)	BSky	A	93-86	W	100%	0.0
1-24	Sacramento St. (297.6)	BSky	H	75-71	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Montana St. (200.9)	BSky	H	71-58	W	100%	0.0
1-30	Montana (114.5)	BSky	H	64-84	L	0%	0.0
2-7	Northern Colorado (111.6)	BSky	A	63-70	L	0%	0.0
2-12	Weber St. (80.1)	BSky	A	66-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Idaho St. (304.5)	BSky	A	71-73	L	0%	0.0
2-18	Portland St. (219.4)	BSky	H	86-85	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Eastern Washington (275.0)	BSky	H	74-71	W	100%	0.0
2-26	Sacramento St. (297.6)	BSky	A	73-59	W	100%	0.0
3-6	Montana (114.5)	BSky	A	60-81	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Northern Arizona's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Northern Arizona's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Northern Arizona.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.59	26.56	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Montana	BSky	6.84	6.89	62.50	62.29	1.71	1.69
Portland St.	BSky	4.97	5.02	40.74	39.79	-0.92	-1.03
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.97	5.05	77.78	76.53	2.76	2.68
Montana St.	BSky	4.96	4.93	48.00	48.00	-0.20	-0.20
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.93	4.91	26.92	26.92	-2.28	-2.27
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.90	4.87	26.92	26.92	-2.26	-2.25
Idaho St.	BSky	4.89	4.87	16.00	16.00	-3.33	-3.31
Weber St.	BSky	4.88	4.93	62.50	63.43	1.22	1.33
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	2.35	50.00	48.79	0.00	-0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	2.25	2.28	70.37	70.90	0.92	0.95
Air Force	MWC	2.22	2.21	26.92	27.36	-1.02	-1.00
New Mexico	MWC	2.16	2.16	90.00	90.00	1.73	1.73
UC Riverside	BW	2.16	2.16	38.46	38.46	-0.50	-0.50
Fresno St.	WAC	2.13	2.12	43.33	42.98	-0.28	-0.30
Santa Clara	WCC	1.99	1.99	31.03	31.03	-0.75	-0.75
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.96	1.96	16.67	16.67	-1.31	-1.30
Arizona	P10	1.96	1.96	51.72	52.12	0.07	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.55	0.53	87.10	87.42	0.40	0.40
Seattle	ind	0.51	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.45	0.44	46.67	45.46	-0.03	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.41	0.40	46.67	45.48	-0.03	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.40	75.86	76.33	0.21	0.21
Texas Christian	MWC	0.37	0.36	37.93	36.75	-0.09	-0.09
Oregon	P10	0.35	0.34	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.34	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.33	0.36	28.57	29.70	-0.14	-0.15
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.31	0.31	65.38	65.38	0.10	0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.27	80.00	80.34	0.17	0.17
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	66.67	66.67	0.09	0.09
San Jose St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	44.83	44.76	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.24	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Washington	P10	0.24	0.23	70.00	70.55	0.09	0.09
North Dakota	GWC	0.24	0.23	22.22	22.22	-0.13	-0.13
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Cal Poly	BW	0.21	0.21	37.93	38.30	-0.05	-0.05
Denver	SB	0.21	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	62.07	62.71	0.05	0.05
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	46.43	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.21	70.97	70.87	0.08	0.09
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.18	0.18	48.15	48.41	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.18	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	46.67	45.57	-0.01	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.16	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.16	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	24.14	23.59	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.13	0.13	43.33	42.55	-0.02	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	70.97	71.28	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.13	43.33	43.11	-0.01	-0.02
California	P10	0.10	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.77	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.70	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.84	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.07	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.06	46.43	47.07	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.06	64.52	63.14	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.06	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.04	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	12.00	12.75	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.04	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.41	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.76	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	32.00	31.07	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.76	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.31	42.12	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.59	26.56	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Montana	BSky	6.84	6.89	62.50	62.29	1.71	1.69
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.97	5.05	77.78	76.53	2.76	2.68
Portland St.	BSky	4.97	5.02	40.74	39.79	-0.92	-1.03
Montana St.	BSky	4.96	4.93	48.00	48.00	-0.20	-0.20
Weber St.	BSky	4.88	4.93	62.50	63.43	1.22	1.33
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.93	4.91	26.92	26.92	-2.28	-2.27
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.90	4.87	26.92	26.92	-2.26	-2.25
Idaho St.	BSky	4.89	4.87	16.00	16.00	-3.33	-3.31
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	2.35	50.00	48.79	0.00	-0.06
San Diego St.	MWC	2.25	2.28	70.37	70.90	0.92	0.95
Air Force	MWC	2.22	2.21	26.92	27.36	-1.02	-1.00
UC Riverside	BW	2.16	2.16	38.46	38.46	-0.50	-0.50
New Mexico	MWC	2.16	2.16	90.00	90.00	1.73	1.73
Fresno St.	WAC	2.13	2.12	43.33	42.98	-0.28	-0.30
Santa Clara	WCC	1.99	1.99	31.03	31.03	-0.75	-0.75
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.96	1.96	16.67	16.67	-1.31	-1.30
Arizona	P10	1.96	1.96	51.72	52.12	0.07	0.08
Brigham Young	MWC	0.55	0.53	87.10	87.42	0.40	0.40
Seattle	ind	0.51	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Boise St.	WAC	0.45	0.44	46.67	45.46	-0.03	-0.04
Utah	MWC	0.41	0.40	46.67	45.48	-0.03	-0.04
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.40	75.86	76.33	0.21	0.21
Wyoming	MWC	0.33	0.36	28.57	29.70	-0.14	-0.15
Texas Christian	MWC	0.37	0.36	37.93	36.75	-0.09	-0.09
Oregon	P10	0.35	0.34	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.34	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.31	0.31	65.38	65.38	0.10	0.10
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.27	80.00	80.34	0.17	0.17
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	66.67	66.67	0.09	0.09
San Jose St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	44.83	44.76	-0.03	-0.03
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.24	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.24	0.23	22.22	22.22	-0.13	-0.13
Washington	P10	0.24	0.23	70.00	70.55	0.09	0.09
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.21	70.97	70.87	0.08	0.09
Cal Poly	BW	0.21	0.21	37.93	38.30	-0.05	-0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	62.07	62.71	0.05	0.05
Denver	SB	0.21	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	46.43	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.18	0.18	48.15	48.41	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.18	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.16	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	46.67	45.57	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.16	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	24.14	23.59	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
Stanford	P10	0.13	0.13	43.33	42.55	-0.02	-0.02
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.13	43.33	43.11	-0.01	-0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	70.97	71.28	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
California	P10	0.10	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.77	-0.02	-0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.70	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.84	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.07	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.06	46.43	47.07	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.06	64.52	63.14	0.02	0.02
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.06	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.04	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	12.00	12.75	-0.03	-0.03
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.04	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.41	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	32.00	31.07	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.76	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.31	42.12	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.76	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.97	5.05	77.78	76.53	2.76	2.68
New Mexico	MWC	2.16	2.16	90.00	90.00	1.73	1.73
Montana	BSky	6.84	6.89	62.50	62.29	1.71	1.69
Weber St.	BSky	4.88	4.93	62.50	63.43	1.22	1.33
San Diego St.	MWC	2.25	2.28	70.37	70.90	0.92	0.95
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.59	26.56	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Brigham Young	MWC	0.55	0.53	87.10	87.42	0.40	0.40
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.40	75.86	76.33	0.21	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.27	80.00	80.34	0.17	0.17
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.31	0.31	65.38	65.38	0.10	0.10
Washington	P10	0.24	0.23	70.00	70.55	0.09	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	66.67	66.67	0.09	0.09
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.21	70.97	70.87	0.08	0.09
Arizona	P10	1.96	1.96	51.72	52.12	0.07	0.08
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Seattle	ind	0.51	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	62.07	62.71	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	70.97	71.28	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.21	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.10	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.04	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.34	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.06	64.52	63.14	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.76	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.84	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.76	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	2.33	2.35	50.00	48.79	0.00	-0.06
Oregon	P10	0.35	0.34	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	48.39	47.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.06	0.06	48.15	48.35	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.00	47.35	-0.00	-0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.03	0.03	45.16	44.15	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado	B12	0.07	0.06	46.43	46.54	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.06	46.43	47.07	-0.00	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	42.31	42.12	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.03	0.03	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Drake	MVC	0.03	0.03	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.03	0.03	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.18	0.18	48.15	48.41	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.33	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.16	0.16	46.67	45.57	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.04	0.03	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	32.00	31.07	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.41	-0.01	-0.01
UC Irvine	BW	0.07	0.07	41.38	41.70	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.10	0.13	43.33	43.11	-0.01	-0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	43.33	42.80	-0.01	-0.01
Idaho	WAC	0.20	0.20	46.43	45.47	-0.01	-0.02
Stanford	P10	0.13	0.13	43.33	42.55	-0.02	-0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.07	0.07	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.07	0.06	34.48	34.48	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.77	-0.02	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.06	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina Central	ind	0.04	0.03	12.00	12.75	-0.03	-0.03
Utah	MWC	0.41	0.40	46.67	45.48	-0.03	-0.04
San Jose St.	WAC	0.27	0.26	44.83	44.76	-0.03	-0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.45	0.44	46.67	45.46	-0.03	-0.04
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.07	0.06	25.93	25.93	-0.03	-0.03
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.06	0.06	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
San Francisco	WCC	0.17	0.17	35.71	35.71	-0.05	-0.05
Cal Poly	BW	0.21	0.21	37.93	38.30	-0.05	-0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.24	0.24	39.29	39.29	-0.05	-0.05
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.16	0.16	33.33	33.33	-0.05	-0.05
Hawaii	WAC	0.16	0.16	31.03	31.03	-0.06	-0.06
Rice	CUSA	0.13	0.13	24.14	23.59	-0.07	-0.07
Chicago St.	GWC	0.13	0.13	22.22	22.22	-0.07	-0.07
San Diego	WCC	0.23	0.23	32.26	32.26	-0.08	-0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.37	0.36	37.93	36.75	-0.09	-0.09
Pepperdine	WCC	0.16	0.16	20.69	20.69	-0.09	-0.09
Southern Utah	Sum	0.18	0.17	18.52	18.52	-0.11	-0.11
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.24	0.24	24.14	24.14	-0.12	-0.12
North Dakota	GWC	0.24	0.23	22.22	22.22	-0.13	-0.13
Wyoming	MWC	0.33	0.36	28.57	29.70	-0.14	-0.15
Montana St.	BSky	4.96	4.93	48.00	48.00	-0.20	-0.20
Fresno St.	WAC	2.13	2.12	43.33	42.98	-0.28	-0.30
UC Riverside	BW	2.16	2.16	38.46	38.46	-0.50	-0.50
Santa Clara	WCC	1.99	1.99	31.03	31.03	-0.75	-0.75
Portland St.	BSky	4.97	5.02	40.74	39.79	-0.92	-1.03
Air Force	MWC	2.22	2.21	26.92	27.36	-1.02	-1.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.96	1.96	16.67	16.67	-1.31	-1.30
Eastern Washington	BSky	4.90	4.87	26.92	26.92	-2.26	-2.25
Sacramento St.	BSky	4.93	4.91	26.92	26.92	-2.28	-2.27
Idaho St.	BSky	4.89	4.87	16.00	16.00	-3.33	-3.31

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Northern Colorado	BSky	4.97	5.05	77.78	76.53	2.76	2.68
New Mexico	MWC	2.16	2.16	90.00	90.00	1.73	1.73
Montana	BSky	6.84	6.89	62.50	62.29	1.71	1.69
Weber St.	BSky	4.88	4.93	62.50	63.43	1.22	1.33
San Diego St.	MWC	2.25	2.28	70.37	70.90	0.92	0.95
Northern Arizona	BSky	26.59	26.56	50.85	50.85	0.45	0.45
Brigham Young	MWC	0.55	0.53	87.10	87.42	0.40	0.40
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.41	0.40	75.86	76.33	0.21	0.21
Utah St.	WAC	0.28	0.27	80.00	80.34	0.17	0.17
St. Mary's	WCC	0.16	0.16	83.33	83.33	0.11	0.11
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.31	0.31	65.38	65.38	0.10	0.10
Washington	P10	0.24	0.23	70.00	70.55	0.09	0.09
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.21	70.97	70.87	0.08	0.09
Pacific	BW	0.27	0.27	66.67	66.67	0.09	0.09
Arizona	P10	1.96	1.96	51.72	52.12	0.07	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.13	0.13	80.65	80.65	0.08	0.08
Portland	WCC	0.20	0.20	65.52	65.52	0.06	0.06
Nevada	WAC	0.20	0.20	62.07	62.71	0.05	0.05
Seattle	ind	0.51	0.50	54.84	54.84	0.05	0.05
Arizona St.	P10	0.10	0.10	70.97	71.28	0.04	0.04
Denver	SB	0.21	0.20	59.38	59.38	0.04	0.04
California	P10	0.10	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.07	0.07	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.12	0.12	62.07	61.91	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.07	0.07	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.04	0.03	82.76	82.76	0.02	0.02
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.35	0.34	53.12	53.12	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	62.07	62.84	0.02	0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.06	0.06	64.00	64.00	0.02	0.02
Wright St.	Horz	0.07	0.06	64.52	63.14	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.76	0.02	0.02
Wofford	SC	0.03	0.03	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.03	0.03	75.86	75.86	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.24	0.24	53.33	53.33	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.03	0.03	74.07	74.07	0.02	0.02
Texas	B12	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.49	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.07	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.03	0.03	72.41	72.41	0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.06	0.06	61.54	60.97	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.48	0.01	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	63.33	64.12	0.01	0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.04	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.23	0.23	51.72	51.76	0.01	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.76	0.01	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.07	0.07	53.85	54.82	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.03	0.03	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Niagara	MAAC	0.04	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	54.84	53.79	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.07	0.07	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.23	0.00	0.00
Creighton	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
South Alabama	SB	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.35	0.34	50.00	49.91	0.00	-0.00
Virginia	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.17	-0.00	-0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.03	0.03	46.43	47.30	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.04	0.03	48.00	47.50	-0.00	-0.00