The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated NC Wilmington page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

NC Wilmington

Conference:		CAA
Expected RPI:		237.0
Current RPI:		237
Expected SOS:		145
Current SOS:		145
Current Record:		9-22
Expected Record:		9-22
Current Conf Record:		5-14
Expected Conf Record:		5-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-7
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		3-8
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		5-4
Current OOC Record:		4-8
Expected OOC Record:		4-8
Expected OOC RPI:		213
Expected OOC SOS:		107

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
9-22		237.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Wilmington.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Appalachian St. (101.0)	SC	A	68-79	L	0%	0.0
11-15	George Washington (148.0)	A10	H	71-76	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Penn St. (194.0)	B10	N	80-69	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Miami FL (99.0)	ACC	N	60-67	L	0%	0.0
11-22	South Florida (71.0)	BE	N	66-74	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Virginia Military Inst (310.0)	BSth	H	115-95	W	100%	0.0
11-29	Elon (269.0)	SC	A	86-56	W	100%	0.0
12-5	George Mason (158.0)	CAA	H	52-57	L	0%	0.0
12-14	Campbell (183.0)	ASun	H	79-59	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Wake Forest (40.0)	ACC	H	69-80	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Richmond (25.0)	A10	A	64-66	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Virginia Commonwealth (66.0)	CAA	A	57-91	L	0%	0.0
1-4	William & Mary (59.0)	CAA	A	62-61	W	100%	0.0
1-6	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	H	57-50	W	100%	0.0
1-9	George Mason (158.0)	CAA	A	46-59	L	0%	0.0
1-13	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	H	52-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Northeastern (75.0)	CAA	A	56-79	L	0%	0.0
1-18	Virginia (127.0)	ACC	A	67-69	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Georgia St. (248.0)	CAA	A	74-79	L	0%	0.0
1-23	James Madison (241.0)	CAA	H	67-64	W	100%	0.0
1-27	Hofstra (145.0)	CAA	A	54-93	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Towson (264.0)	CAA	H	53-58	L	0%	0.0
2-3	Virginia Commonwealth (66.0)	CAA	H	60-73	L	0%	0.0
2-8	Delaware (239.0)	CAA	A	62-69	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Towson (264.0)	CAA	A	80-72	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Hofstra (145.0)	CAA	H	70-87	L	0%	0.0
2-16	Northeastern (75.0)	CAA	H	56-65	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Radford (169.0)	BSth	A	68-76	L	0%	0.0
2-24	Drexel (146.0)	CAA	A	75-69	W	100%	0.0
2-27	William & Mary (59.0)	CAA	H	51-62	L	0%	0.0
3-5	Towson (264.0)	CAA	N	74-91	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

NC Wilmington's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

NC Wilmington's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against NC Wilmington.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
NC Wilmington	CAA	26.27	26.27	29.41	29.41	-10.82	-10.82
Towson	CAA	5.50	5.50	28.57	28.57	-2.36	-2.36
Hofstra	CAA	4.07	4.07	53.33	53.33	0.27	0.27
William & Mary	CAA	4.04	4.04	68.97	68.97	1.53	1.53
George Mason	CAA	4.03	4.03	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Northeastern	CAA	4.02	4.02	60.00	60.00	0.80	0.80
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	4.01	4.01	68.97	68.97	1.52	1.52
Georgia St.	CAA	3.99	3.99	34.48	34.48	-1.24	-1.24
Old Dominion	CAA	2.62	2.62	75.76	75.76	1.35	1.35
James Madison	CAA	2.51	2.51	40.62	40.62	-0.47	-0.47
Delaware	CAA	2.46	2.46	20.00	20.00	-1.47	-1.47
Drexel	CAA	2.43	2.43	51.61	51.61	0.08	0.08
Richmond	A10	1.85	1.85	75.76	75.76	0.96	0.96
Wake Forest	ACC	1.84	1.84	64.29	64.29	0.53	0.53
Radford	BSth	1.81	1.81	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
George Washington	A10	1.79	1.79	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Virginia	ACC	1.77	1.77	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Miami FL	ACC	1.75	1.75	58.06	58.06	0.28	0.28
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	1.74	1.74	25.00	25.00	-0.87	-0.87
Elon	SC	1.74	1.74	26.67	26.67	-0.81	-0.81
Appalachian St.	SC	1.69	1.69	63.33	63.33	0.45	0.45
Campbell	ASun	1.64	1.64	62.96	62.96	0.42	0.42
Penn St.	B10	1.64	1.64	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
South Florida	BE	1.64	1.64	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.27	74.19	74.19	0.13	0.13
Hampton	MEAC	0.26	0.26	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.26	0.26	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.21	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.21	0.21	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.20	0.20	19.23	19.23	-0.12	-0.12
Liberty	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.18	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.18	29.63	29.63	-0.07	-0.07
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.18	0.18	80.00	80.00	0.11	0.11
Rhode Island	A10	0.18	0.18	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Winthrop	BSth	0.17	0.17	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.16	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.16	85.29	85.29	0.11	0.11
Maryland	ACC	0.16	0.16	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.16	0.16	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.16	0.16	13.33	13.33	-0.11	-0.11
Tulane	CUSA	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.15	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.15	0.15	34.62	34.62	-0.05	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.13	0.13	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Chattanooga	SC	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.13	0.13	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.02	0.02	19.35	19.35	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.02	0.02	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
NC Wilmington	CAA	26.27	26.27	29.41	29.41	-10.82	-10.82
Towson	CAA	5.50	5.50	28.57	28.57	-2.36	-2.36
Hofstra	CAA	4.07	4.07	53.33	53.33	0.27	0.27
William & Mary	CAA	4.04	4.04	68.97	68.97	1.53	1.53
George Mason	CAA	4.03	4.03	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Northeastern	CAA	4.02	4.02	60.00	60.00	0.80	0.80
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	4.01	4.01	68.97	68.97	1.52	1.52
Georgia St.	CAA	3.99	3.99	34.48	34.48	-1.24	-1.24
Old Dominion	CAA	2.62	2.62	75.76	75.76	1.35	1.35
James Madison	CAA	2.51	2.51	40.62	40.62	-0.47	-0.47
Delaware	CAA	2.46	2.46	20.00	20.00	-1.47	-1.47
Drexel	CAA	2.43	2.43	51.61	51.61	0.08	0.08
Richmond	A10	1.85	1.85	75.76	75.76	0.96	0.96
Wake Forest	ACC	1.84	1.84	64.29	64.29	0.53	0.53
Radford	BSth	1.81	1.81	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
George Washington	A10	1.79	1.79	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Virginia	ACC	1.77	1.77	46.67	46.67	-0.12	-0.12
Miami FL	ACC	1.75	1.75	58.06	58.06	0.28	0.28
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	1.74	1.74	25.00	25.00	-0.87	-0.87
Elon	SC	1.74	1.74	26.67	26.67	-0.81	-0.81
Appalachian St.	SC	1.69	1.69	63.33	63.33	0.45	0.45
Campbell	ASun	1.64	1.64	62.96	62.96	0.42	0.42
Penn St.	B10	1.64	1.64	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
South Florida	BE	1.64	1.64	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.27	74.19	74.19	0.13	0.13
Hampton	MEAC	0.26	0.26	43.75	43.75	-0.03	-0.03
Dayton	A10	0.26	0.26	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.21	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
Davidson	SC	0.21	0.21	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.20	0.20	19.23	19.23	-0.12	-0.12
Liberty	BSth	0.20	0.20	42.86	42.86	-0.03	-0.03
Manhattan	MAAC	0.18	0.18	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.18	0.18	29.63	29.63	-0.07	-0.07
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.18	0.18	80.00	80.00	0.11	0.11
Rhode Island	A10	0.18	0.18	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Winthrop	BSth	0.17	0.17	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.16	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.16	43.33	43.33	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.16	85.29	85.29	0.11	0.11
Maryland	ACC	0.16	0.16	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.16	0.16	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.16	0.16	25.81	25.81	-0.08	-0.08
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.16	0.16	13.33	13.33	-0.11	-0.11
Tulane	CUSA	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.15	0.15	35.48	35.48	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.15	0.15	42.86	42.86	-0.02	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.15	0.15	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.15	0.15	34.62	34.62	-0.05	-0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.14	0.14	25.00	25.00	-0.07	-0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.13	0.13	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.13	0.13	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.13	0.13	23.33	23.33	-0.07	-0.07
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Chattanooga	SC	0.13	0.13	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.13	0.13	38.71	38.71	-0.03	-0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.13	0.13	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.13	0.13	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Presbyterian	BSth	0.12	0.12	13.33	13.33	-0.09	-0.09
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.11	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.11	0.11	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Samford	SC	0.10	0.10	28.57	28.57	-0.04	-0.04
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.10	59.38	59.38	0.02	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.10	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Western Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.10	0.10	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.10	0.10	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.08	0.08	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.08	0.08	27.59	27.59	-0.04	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.08	0.08	20.69	20.69	-0.05	-0.05
Stetson	ASun	0.08	0.08	18.52	18.52	-0.05	-0.05
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.08	0.08	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
Howard	MEAC	0.08	0.08	21.88	21.88	-0.04	-0.04
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Bowling Green	MAC	0.08	0.08	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Furman	SC	0.08	0.08	39.29	39.29	-0.02	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.08	0.08	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Miami OH	MAC	0.08	0.08	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.08	0.08	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.08	0.08	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Rider	MAAC	0.08	0.08	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Yale	Ivy	0.08	0.08	36.67	36.67	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.08	0.08	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.08	0.08	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.08	0.08	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.07	0.07	63.33	63.33	0.02	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.06	0.06	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Akron	MAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.05	0.05	14.81	14.81	-0.04	-0.04
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.05	42.42	42.42	-0.01	-0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.05	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.05	0.05	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.05	58.82	58.82	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.05	0.05	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.05	25.81	25.81	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.05	12.00	12.00	-0.04	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Army	Pat	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Oregon St.	P10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Princeton	Ivy	0.03	0.03	70.37	70.37	0.01	0.01
American	Pat	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.03	0.03	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.03	0.03	53.85	53.85	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.03	0.03	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Lafayette	Pat	0.03	0.03	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.03	0.03	25.00	25.00	-0.01	-0.01
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.03	0.03	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.03	0.03	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.03	0.03	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.03	0.03	54.55	54.55	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.03	0.03	32.26	32.26	-0.01	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.03	0.03	9.68	9.68	-0.02	-0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.03	0.03	81.82	81.82	0.02	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.02	0.02	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Florida International	SB	0.02	0.02	19.35	19.35	-0.01	-0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Florida	SEC	0.02	0.02	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.02	0.02	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
William & Mary	CAA	4.04	4.04	68.97	68.97	1.53	1.53
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	4.01	4.01	68.97	68.97	1.52	1.52
Old Dominion	CAA	2.62	2.62	75.76	75.76	1.35	1.35
Richmond	A10	1.85	1.85	75.76	75.76	0.96	0.96
Northeastern	CAA	4.02	4.02	60.00	60.00	0.80	0.80
Wake Forest	ACC	1.84	1.84	64.29	64.29	0.53	0.53
Appalachian St.	SC	1.69	1.69	63.33	63.33	0.45	0.45
Campbell	ASun	1.64	1.64	62.96	62.96	0.42	0.42
South Florida	BE	1.64	1.64	61.29	61.29	0.37	0.37
Miami FL	ACC	1.75	1.75	58.06	58.06	0.28	0.28
Hofstra	CAA	4.07	4.07	53.33	53.33	0.27	0.27
Radford	BSth	1.81	1.81	57.14	57.14	0.26	0.26
George Mason	CAA	4.03	4.03	51.72	51.72	0.14	0.14
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.27	0.27	74.19	74.19	0.13	0.13
Duke	ACC	0.16	0.16	85.29	85.29	0.11	0.11
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.18	0.18	80.00	80.00	0.11	0.11
Temple	A10	0.13	0.13	85.29	85.29	0.09	0.09
Drexel	CAA	2.43	2.43	51.61	51.61	0.08	0.08
Rhode Island	A10	0.18	0.18	71.88	71.88	0.08	0.08
Maryland	ACC	0.16	0.16	73.33	73.33	0.07	0.07
Villanova	BE	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.42	0.07	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Florida St.	ACC	0.16	0.16	70.97	70.97	0.07	0.07
Dayton	A10	0.26	0.26	62.50	62.50	0.06	0.06
George Washington	A10	1.79	1.79	51.72	51.72	0.06	0.06
Purdue	B10	0.08	0.08	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.10	75.76	75.76	0.05	0.05
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Xavier	A10	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Siena	MAAC	0.08	0.08	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Charlotte	A10	0.20	0.20	61.29	61.29	0.05	0.05
Ohio St.	B10	0.08	0.08	79.41	79.41	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.16	0.16	63.64	63.64	0.04	0.04
Western Carolina	SC	0.16	0.16	63.33	63.33	0.04	0.04
College of Charleston	SC	0.13	0.13	65.62	65.62	0.04	0.04
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	83.33	83.33	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.08	0.08	70.97	70.97	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.05	0.05	78.79	78.79	0.03	0.03
Clemson	ACC	0.08	0.08	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.05	74.19	74.19	0.03	0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.21	0.21	55.88	55.88	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02