Team Forecasts - Conf Forecasts - Simulation Results - Tourney Projections - Bracket Busters - Blog

New! RPI broken down by contributions of individual teams and winning percentages (scroll down past graphs)

The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated  NC Asheville   page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.


NC Asheville

Conference:BSth
Expected RPI:246.7
Current RPI:233
Expected SOS:210
Current SOS:158
Current Record:7-14
Expected Record:10-16
Current Conf Record:7-6
Expected Conf Record:10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:8-6
Current OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC Record:0-8
Expected OOC RPI:267
Expected OOC SOS:6



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
12-14210.62.86%
11-15229.221.16%
10-16244.639.11%
9-17258.027.51%
8-18271.98.35%
7-19286.51.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Asheville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-13Charlotte (47.1)A10A70-86L0%0.0
11-17Tennessee (14.8)SECA49-124L0%0.0
11-21Campbell (190.8)ASunH66-85L0%0.0
11-24Georgia (101.8)SECA58-79L0%0.0
11-27Furman (266.7)SCH66-72L0%0.0
11-30Kentucky (6.1)SECN57-94L0%0.0
12-4Gardner Webb (308.9)BSthA58-56W100%0.0
12-21Wofford (100.2)SCH42-68L0%0.0
12-30Western Carolina (101.2)SCA76-87L0%0.0
1-2Radford (173.0)BSthA74-82L0%0.0
1-4High Point (269.4)BSthA62-66L0%0.0
1-7Coastal Carolina (129.1)BSthH57-58L0%0.0
1-9Charleston Southern (268.6)BSthH74-77L0%0.0
1-14Virginia Military Inst (316.7)BSthA97-84W100%0.0
1-16Liberty (252.2)BSthA74-70W100%0.0
1-21Winthrop (181.1)BSthH66-53W100%0.0
1-23Presbyterian (326.0)BSthH99-89W100%0.0
1-28High Point (269.4)BSthH83-69W100%0.0
1-31Radford (173.0)BSthH92-84W100%0.0
2-4Charleston Southern (268.6)BSthA54-62L0%0.0
2-6Coastal Carolina (129.1)BSthA62-98L0%0.0
2-11Liberty (252.2)BSthH0-063%3.8
2-13Virginia Military Inst (316.7)BSthH0-074%7.2
2-16Presbyterian (326.0)BSthA0-050%-0.1
2-23Winthrop (181.1)BSthA0-015%-11.4
2-27Gardner Webb (308.9)BSthH0-078%8.4


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

NC Asheville's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

NC Asheville's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  NC Asheville.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
NC AshevilleBSth26.6426.5734.0237.30-8.51-6.75
RadfordBSth5.635.0152.6356.730.300.67
High PointBSth5.575.0142.1143.92-0.88-0.61
Coastal CarolinaBSth5.565.0178.9580.643.223.07
Charleston SouthernBSth5.554.9933.3334.88-1.85-1.51
Gardner WebbBSth3.635.0721.0524.63-2.10-2.57
PresbyterianBSth3.485.0613.0414.61-2.58-3.58
WinthropBSth3.475.0455.0055.780.350.58
Virginia Military InstBSth3.344.9922.2223.31-1.86-2.66
LibertyBSth3.245.0145.0043.37-0.32-0.66
Western CarolinaSC2.602.1070.0068.381.040.77
CharlotteA102.552.1077.2770.751.390.87
WoffordSC2.552.0665.2266.840.780.69
FurmanSC2.542.0940.0038.79-0.51-0.47
GeorgiaSEC2.542.0845.0043.49-0.25-0.27
TennesseeSEC2.492.0880.9574.821.541.03
CampbellASun2.441.9655.0057.180.240.28
KentuckySEC2.442.0595.4588.292.221.57
College of CharlestonSC0.510.4266.6765.620.170.13
Georgia SouthernSC0.450.3517.3920.11-0.29-0.21
ElonSC0.430.3819.0523.26-0.27-0.20
AuburnSEC0.340.2445.4542.62-0.03-0.04
DukeACC0.340.2582.6182.330.220.16
Appalachian St.SC0.330.2455.0060.150.030.05
Virginia TechACC0.300.2381.8272.570.190.10
South Carolina St.MEAC0.280.1852.9456.300.020.02
ClemsonACC0.280.2869.5766.880.110.09
LouisvilleBE0.270.1765.2262.070.080.04
NC GreensboroSC0.270.2021.7424.84-0.15-0.10
South CarolinaSEC0.270.2659.0954.410.050.02
George MasonCAA0.230.2262.5057.740.060.03
StetsonASun0.230.1514.2915.65-0.17-0.10
North Carolina Centralind0.230.214.769.78-0.21-0.17
The CitadelSC0.230.2545.4545.80-0.02-0.02
FloridaSEC0.210.2673.9167.720.100.09
James MadisonCAA0.170.1543.4839.98-0.02-0.03
DuquesneA100.170.1450.0049.780.00-0.00
Longwoodind0.170.1123.8129.40-0.09-0.04
South Carolina UpstateASun0.170.2118.1821.04-0.11-0.12
KansasB120.170.1095.6591.320.150.09
DavidsonSC0.160.2047.6250.81-0.010.00
NavyPat0.160.1047.8344.73-0.01-0.01
East CarolinaCUSA0.160.1020.0021.94-0.10-0.06
MississippiSEC0.160.1073.9172.520.080.04
VanderbiltSEC0.160.1976.1973.200.090.09
North CarolinaACC0.160.1756.5251.960.020.01
BradleyMVC0.160.1352.1750.210.010.00
IllinoisB100.160.1366.6759.010.050.02
NC WilmingtonCAA0.120.1930.4332.32-0.05-0.07
Air ForceMWC0.120.0835.0030.59-0.04-0.03
MarylandACC0.120.0871.4367.850.050.03
TexasB120.120.1182.6178.760.080.06
RichmondA100.110.1475.0071.230.060.06
BelmontASun0.110.0760.0063.830.020.02
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.110.0739.1343.30-0.02-0.01
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.110.0729.1728.85-0.05-0.03
Indiana St.MVC0.110.0756.5254.460.010.01
LipscombASun0.110.0752.1756.480.000.01
MarshallCUSA0.110.0766.6765.540.040.02
SamfordSC0.110.1428.5731.03-0.05-0.05
Savannah St.ind0.110.0730.0031.19-0.05-0.03
Wake ForestACC0.110.0776.1971.140.060.03
William & MaryCAA0.110.0768.1866.650.040.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.110.0728.5727.72-0.05-0.03
East Tennessee St.ASun0.110.1050.0053.750.000.01
ArkansasSEC0.110.1052.1748.470.00-0.00
Georgia TechACC0.110.0772.7368.130.050.02
MercerASun0.110.1042.8642.46-0.02-0.02
Old DominionCAA0.110.1072.0073.540.050.05
St. LouisA100.110.0761.9056.120.030.01
ChattanoogaSC0.110.1447.8346.11-0.00-0.01
Austin PeayOVC0.110.0652.1755.040.000.01
Louisiana St.SEC0.110.1039.1335.38-0.02-0.03
Seattleind0.100.1045.8348.87-0.01-0.00
SouthernSWAC0.100.1019.0520.58-0.06-0.06
ArmyPat0.060.0857.1459.040.010.01
Seton HallBE0.060.0857.1457.470.010.01
Penn St.B100.060.0734.7832.23-0.02-0.03
BinghamtonAE0.060.0339.1338.63-0.01-0.01
BuffaloMAC0.060.0755.0052.000.010.00
Central FloridaCUSA0.060.0747.6244.47-0.00-0.01
CincinnatiBE0.060.0760.8755.540.010.01
DartmouthIvy0.060.0415.7917.64-0.04-0.02
Florida AtlanticSB0.060.0345.4547.48-0.01-0.00
JacksonvilleASun0.060.0756.5259.890.010.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.060.1038.1041.29-0.01-0.02
Kennesaw St.ASun0.060.0743.4839.42-0.01-0.02
Mississippi St.SEC0.060.1069.5768.480.020.04
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.060.0722.7327.28-0.03-0.03
MissouriB120.060.0373.9170.600.030.01
New OrleansSB0.060.0322.7322.86-0.03-0.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.060.0758.3354.320.010.01
North FloridaASun0.060.0743.4845.31-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.060.0769.5767.930.020.03
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
PepperdineWCC0.060.0327.2725.31-0.03-0.02
RiceCUSA0.060.0431.8230.34-0.02-0.01
St. John'sBE0.060.0354.5549.240.01-0.00
Tennessee St.OVC0.060.0720.0024.04-0.03-0.04
UABCUSA0.060.0382.6178.560.040.02
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.060.0460.0059.640.010.01
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0436.8439.02-0.01-0.01
AlabamaSEC0.050.1056.5254.140.010.01
DePaulBE0.050.0334.7833.89-0.02-0.01
MemphisCUSA0.050.0369.5769.990.020.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0352.1754.940.000.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0325.0034.68-0.03-0.01
PurdueB100.050.0386.3681.800.040.02
Southern CaliforniaP100.050.0360.8759.610.010.01
WyomingMWC0.050.0333.3330.72-0.02-0.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0345.4546.81-0.00-0.00
ConnecticutBE0.050.0360.8756.490.010.00
DrexelCAA0.050.0356.0055.910.010.00
FordhamA100.050.039.528.87-0.04-0.03
George WashingtonA100.050.0654.5555.070.000.01
HartfordAE0.050.0330.4332.48-0.02-0.01
HofstraCAA0.050.0345.8347.77-0.00-0.00
IndianaB100.050.0340.9134.84-0.01-0.01
La SalleA100.050.0347.8346.36-0.00-0.00
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0342.8645.66-0.01-0.00
MassachusettsA100.050.0331.8231.64-0.02-0.01
Miami OHMAC0.050.0343.4847.68-0.01-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.050.0368.1867.880.020.01
RiderMAAC0.050.0352.0049.340.00-0.00
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0370.5972.980.020.01
St. BonaventureA100.050.0340.0042.64-0.01-0.00
StanfordP100.050.0343.4843.10-0.01-0.00
TempleA100.050.0379.1777.570.030.02
Winston Salem St.ind0.050.0329.4129.63-0.02-0.01
XavierA100.050.0669.5771.430.020.03
YaleIvy0.050.0336.3638.12-0.01-0.01
DaytonA100.050.1072.7371.910.020.04
Kent St.MAC0.050.0769.5770.290.020.03
MarquetteBE0.050.0665.2266.090.020.02
Michigan St.B100.050.0379.1776.610.030.02
Ohio St.B100.050.0675.0073.720.020.03
PittsburghBE0.050.0373.9170.800.020.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0333.3334.27-0.02-0.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.000.0765.2264.710.000.02
Rhode IslandA100.000.0386.3681.500.000.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.000.0339.1336.57-0.00-0.01


BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
NC AshevilleBSth26.6426.5734.0237.30-8.51-6.75
Gardner WebbBSth3.635.0721.0524.63-2.10-2.57
PresbyterianBSth3.485.0613.0414.61-2.58-3.58
WinthropBSth3.475.0455.0055.780.350.58
Coastal CarolinaBSth5.565.0178.9580.643.223.07
High PointBSth5.575.0142.1143.92-0.88-0.61
LibertyBSth3.245.0145.0043.37-0.32-0.66
RadfordBSth5.635.0152.6356.730.300.67
Charleston SouthernBSth5.554.9933.3334.88-1.85-1.51
Virginia Military InstBSth3.344.9922.2223.31-1.86-2.66
CharlotteA102.552.1077.2770.751.390.87
Western CarolinaSC2.602.1070.0068.381.040.77
FurmanSC2.542.0940.0038.79-0.51-0.47
TennesseeSEC2.492.0880.9574.821.541.03
GeorgiaSEC2.542.0845.0043.49-0.25-0.27
WoffordSC2.552.0665.2266.840.780.69
KentuckySEC2.442.0595.4588.292.221.57
CampbellASun2.441.9655.0057.180.240.28
College of CharlestonSC0.510.4266.6765.620.170.13
ElonSC0.430.3819.0523.26-0.27-0.20
Georgia SouthernSC0.450.3517.3920.11-0.29-0.21
ClemsonACC0.280.2869.5766.880.110.09
South CarolinaSEC0.270.2659.0954.410.050.02
FloridaSEC0.210.2673.9167.720.100.09
DukeACC0.340.2582.6182.330.220.16
The CitadelSC0.230.2545.4545.80-0.02-0.02
AuburnSEC0.340.2445.4542.62-0.03-0.04
Appalachian St.SC0.330.2455.0060.150.030.05
Virginia TechACC0.300.2381.8272.570.190.10
George MasonCAA0.230.2262.5057.740.060.03
North Carolina Centralind0.230.214.769.78-0.21-0.17
South Carolina UpstateASun0.170.2118.1821.04-0.11-0.12
DavidsonSC0.160.2047.6250.81-0.010.00
NC GreensboroSC0.270.2021.7424.84-0.15-0.10
VanderbiltSEC0.160.1976.1973.200.090.09
NC WilmingtonCAA0.120.1930.4332.32-0.05-0.07
South Carolina St.MEAC0.280.1852.9456.300.020.02
North CarolinaACC0.160.1756.5251.960.020.01
LouisvilleBE0.270.1765.2262.070.080.04
StetsonASun0.230.1514.2915.65-0.17-0.10
James MadisonCAA0.170.1543.4839.98-0.02-0.03
RichmondA100.110.1475.0071.230.060.06
DuquesneA100.170.1450.0049.780.00-0.00
ChattanoogaSC0.110.1447.8346.11-0.00-0.01
SamfordSC0.110.1428.5731.03-0.05-0.05
BradleyMVC0.160.1352.1750.210.010.00
IllinoisB100.160.1366.6759.010.050.02
TexasB120.120.1182.6178.760.080.06
Longwoodind0.170.1123.8129.40-0.09-0.04
East Tennessee St.ASun0.110.1050.0053.750.000.01
KansasB120.170.1095.6591.320.150.09
MercerASun0.110.1042.8642.46-0.02-0.02
NavyPat0.160.1047.8344.73-0.01-0.01
Old DominionCAA0.110.1072.0073.540.050.05
East CarolinaCUSA0.160.1020.0021.94-0.10-0.06
Jacksonville St.OVC0.060.1038.1041.29-0.01-0.02
AlabamaSEC0.050.1056.5254.140.010.01
ArkansasSEC0.110.1052.1748.470.00-0.00
Louisiana St.SEC0.110.1039.1335.38-0.02-0.03
MississippiSEC0.160.1073.9172.520.080.04
Mississippi St.SEC0.060.1069.5768.480.020.04
DaytonA100.050.1072.7371.910.020.04
Seattleind0.100.1045.8348.87-0.01-0.00
SouthernSWAC0.100.1019.0520.58-0.06-0.06
ArmyPat0.060.0857.1459.040.010.01
Seton HallBE0.060.0857.1457.470.010.01
Air ForceMWC0.120.0835.0030.59-0.04-0.03
MarylandACC0.120.0871.4367.850.050.03
Penn St.B100.060.0734.7832.23-0.02-0.03
BelmontASun0.110.0760.0063.830.020.02
BuffaloMAC0.060.0755.0052.000.010.00
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.110.0739.1343.30-0.02-0.01
Central FloridaCUSA0.060.0747.6244.47-0.00-0.01
CincinnatiBE0.060.0760.8755.540.010.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.000.0765.2264.710.000.02
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.110.0729.1728.85-0.05-0.03
Indiana St.MVC0.110.0756.5254.460.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.060.0756.5259.890.010.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.060.0743.4839.42-0.01-0.02
LipscombASun0.110.0752.1756.480.000.01
MarshallCUSA0.110.0766.6765.540.040.02
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.060.0722.7327.28-0.03-0.03
North Carolina St.ACC0.060.0758.3354.320.010.01
North FloridaASun0.060.0743.4845.31-0.01-0.01
NorthwesternB100.060.0769.5767.930.020.03
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
Savannah St.ind0.110.0730.0031.19-0.05-0.03
Tennessee St.OVC0.060.0720.0024.04-0.03-0.04
Wake ForestACC0.110.0776.1971.140.060.03
William & MaryCAA0.110.0768.1866.650.040.02
Youngstown St.Horz0.110.0728.5727.72-0.05-0.03
Kent St.MAC0.050.0769.5770.290.020.03
Georgia TechACC0.110.0772.7368.130.050.02
St. LouisA100.110.0761.9056.120.030.01
George WashingtonA100.050.0654.5555.070.000.01
MarquetteBE0.050.0665.2266.090.020.02
Ohio St.B100.050.0675.0073.720.020.03
XavierA100.050.0669.5771.430.020.03
Austin PeayOVC0.110.0652.1755.040.000.01
DartmouthIvy0.060.0415.7917.64-0.04-0.02
RiceCUSA0.060.0431.8230.34-0.02-0.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.060.0460.0059.640.010.01
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0436.8439.02-0.01-0.01
BinghamtonAE0.060.0339.1338.63-0.01-0.01
Florida AtlanticSB0.060.0345.4547.48-0.01-0.00
MissouriB120.060.0373.9170.600.030.01
New OrleansSB0.060.0322.7322.86-0.03-0.02
PepperdineWCC0.060.0327.2725.31-0.03-0.02
St. John'sBE0.060.0354.5549.240.01-0.00
UABCUSA0.060.0382.6178.560.040.02
DePaulBE0.050.0334.7833.89-0.02-0.01
FordhamA100.050.039.528.87-0.04-0.03
HofstraCAA0.050.0345.8347.77-0.00-0.00
La SalleA100.050.0347.8346.36-0.00-0.00
MassachusettsA100.050.0331.8231.64-0.02-0.01
MemphisCUSA0.050.0369.5769.990.020.01
Michigan St.B100.050.0379.1776.610.030.02
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0352.1754.940.000.00
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0325.0034.68-0.03-0.01
PittsburghBE0.050.0373.9170.800.020.01
PurdueB100.050.0386.3681.800.040.02
Rhode IslandA100.000.0386.3681.500.000.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.000.0339.1336.57-0.00-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0333.3334.27-0.02-0.01
Southern CaliforniaP100.050.0360.8759.610.010.01
St. BonaventureA100.050.0340.0042.64-0.01-0.00
TempleA100.050.0379.1777.570.030.02
Winston Salem St.ind0.050.0329.4129.63-0.02-0.01
WyomingMWC0.050.0333.3330.72-0.02-0.01
YaleIvy0.050.0336.3638.12-0.01-0.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0345.4546.81-0.00-0.00
ConnecticutBE0.050.0360.8756.490.010.00
DrexelCAA0.050.0356.0055.910.010.00
HartfordAE0.050.0330.4332.48-0.02-0.01
IndianaB100.050.0340.9134.84-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0342.8645.66-0.01-0.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0343.4847.68-0.01-0.00
Morehead St.OVC0.050.0368.1867.880.020.01
RiderMAAC0.050.0352.0049.340.00-0.00
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0370.5972.980.020.01
StanfordP100.050.0343.4843.10-0.01-0.00


BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
Coastal CarolinaBSth5.565.0178.9580.643.223.07
KentuckySEC2.442.0595.4588.292.221.57
TennesseeSEC2.492.0880.9574.821.541.03
CharlotteA102.552.1077.2770.751.390.87
Western CarolinaSC2.602.1070.0068.381.040.77
WoffordSC2.552.0665.2266.840.780.69
WinthropBSth3.475.0455.0055.780.350.58
RadfordBSth5.635.0152.6356.730.300.67
CampbellASun2.441.9655.0057.180.240.28
DukeACC0.340.2582.6182.330.220.16
Virginia TechACC0.300.2381.8272.570.190.10
College of CharlestonSC0.510.4266.6765.620.170.13
KansasB120.170.1095.6591.320.150.09
ClemsonACC0.280.2869.5766.880.110.09
FloridaSEC0.210.2673.9167.720.100.09
VanderbiltSEC0.160.1976.1973.200.090.09
LouisvilleBE0.270.1765.2262.070.080.04
MississippiSEC0.160.1073.9172.520.080.04
TexasB120.120.1182.6178.760.080.06
Wake ForestACC0.110.0776.1971.140.060.03
George MasonCAA0.230.2262.5057.740.060.03
RichmondA100.110.1475.0071.230.060.06
IllinoisB100.160.1366.6759.010.050.02
MarylandACC0.120.0871.4367.850.050.03
Georgia TechACC0.110.0772.7368.130.050.02
South CarolinaSEC0.270.2659.0954.410.050.02
Old DominionCAA0.110.1072.0073.540.050.05
William & MaryCAA0.110.0768.1866.650.040.02
PurdueB100.050.0386.3681.800.040.02
MarshallCUSA0.110.0766.6765.540.040.02
UABCUSA0.060.0382.6178.560.040.02
Appalachian St.SC0.330.2455.0060.150.030.05
TempleA100.050.0379.1777.570.030.02
Michigan St.B100.050.0379.1776.610.030.02
MissouriB120.060.0373.9170.600.030.01
St. LouisA100.110.0761.9056.120.030.01
Ohio St.B100.050.0675.0073.720.020.03
PittsburghBE0.050.0373.9170.800.020.01
Notre DameBE0.060.0770.8363.390.020.02
BelmontASun0.110.0760.0063.830.020.02
DaytonA100.050.1072.7371.910.020.04
Mississippi St.SEC0.060.1069.5768.480.020.04
NorthwesternB100.060.0769.5767.930.020.03
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.050.0370.5972.980.020.01
MemphisCUSA0.050.0369.5769.990.020.01
North CarolinaACC0.160.1756.5251.960.020.01
XavierA100.050.0669.5771.430.020.03
Kent St.MAC0.050.0769.5770.290.020.03
Morehead St.OVC0.050.0368.1867.880.020.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.280.1852.9456.300.020.02
MarquetteBE0.050.0665.2266.090.020.02
Indiana St.MVC0.110.0756.5254.460.010.01
CincinnatiBE0.060.0760.8755.540.010.01
Southern CaliforniaP100.050.0360.8759.610.010.01
UC Santa BarbaraBW0.060.0460.0059.640.010.01
ConnecticutBE0.050.0360.8756.490.010.00
North Carolina St.ACC0.060.0758.3354.320.010.01
ArmyPat0.060.0857.1459.040.010.01
Seton HallBE0.060.0857.1457.470.010.01
JacksonvilleASun0.060.0756.5259.890.010.01
AlabamaSEC0.050.1056.5254.140.010.01
BradleyMVC0.160.1352.1750.210.010.00
DrexelCAA0.050.0356.0055.910.010.00
BuffaloMAC0.060.0755.0052.000.010.00
St. John'sBE0.060.0354.5549.240.01-0.00
LipscombASun0.110.0752.1756.480.000.01
ArkansasSEC0.110.1052.1748.470.00-0.00
George WashingtonA100.050.0654.5555.070.000.01
Austin PeayOVC0.110.0652.1755.040.000.01
Middle TennesseeSB0.050.0352.1754.940.000.00
RiderMAAC0.050.0352.0049.340.00-0.00
DuquesneA100.170.1450.0049.780.00-0.00
East Tennessee St.ASun0.110.1050.0053.750.000.01
Eastern KentuckyOVC0.000.0765.2264.710.000.02
Rhode IslandA100.000.0386.3681.500.000.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.000.0339.1336.57-0.00-0.01
La SalleA100.050.0347.8346.36-0.00-0.00
Central FloridaCUSA0.060.0747.6244.47-0.00-0.01
HofstraCAA0.050.0345.8347.77-0.00-0.00
ChattanoogaSC0.110.1447.8346.11-0.00-0.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.050.0345.4546.81-0.00-0.00
Florida AtlanticSB0.060.0345.4547.48-0.01-0.00
Miami OHMAC0.050.0343.4847.68-0.01-0.00
StanfordP100.050.0343.4843.10-0.01-0.00
NavyPat0.160.1047.8344.73-0.01-0.01
Kennesaw St.ASun0.060.0743.4839.42-0.01-0.02
North FloridaASun0.060.0743.4845.31-0.01-0.01
Long Beach St.BW0.050.0342.8645.66-0.01-0.00
DavidsonSC0.160.2047.6250.81-0.010.00
Seattleind0.100.1045.8348.87-0.01-0.00
IndianaB100.050.0340.9134.84-0.01-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.050.0340.0042.64-0.01-0.00
BinghamtonAE0.060.0339.1338.63-0.01-0.01
Jacksonville St.OVC0.060.1038.1041.29-0.01-0.02
YaleIvy0.050.0336.3638.12-0.01-0.01
Utah ValleyGWC0.060.0436.8439.02-0.01-0.01
MercerASun0.110.1042.8642.46-0.02-0.02
DePaulBE0.050.0334.7833.89-0.02-0.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.050.0333.3334.27-0.02-0.01
WyomingMWC0.050.0333.3330.72-0.02-0.01
Penn St.B100.060.0734.7832.23-0.02-0.03
MassachusettsA100.050.0331.8231.64-0.02-0.01
HartfordAE0.050.0330.4332.48-0.02-0.01
The CitadelSC0.230.2545.4545.80-0.02-0.02
RiceCUSA0.060.0431.8230.34-0.02-0.01
Winston Salem St.ind0.050.0329.4129.63-0.02-0.01
James MadisonCAA0.170.1543.4839.98-0.02-0.03
Louisiana St.SEC0.110.1039.1335.38-0.02-0.03
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.110.0739.1343.30-0.02-0.01
PepperdineWCC0.060.0327.2725.31-0.03-0.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.050.0325.0034.68-0.03-0.01
AuburnSEC0.340.2445.4542.62-0.03-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.060.0722.7327.28-0.03-0.03
New OrleansSB0.060.0322.7322.86-0.03-0.02
Tennessee St.OVC0.060.0720.0024.04-0.03-0.04
Air ForceMWC0.120.0835.0030.59-0.04-0.03
DartmouthIvy0.060.0415.7917.64-0.04-0.02
FordhamA100.050.039.528.87-0.04-0.03
Savannah St.ind0.110.0730.0031.19-0.05-0.03
NC WilmingtonCAA0.120.1930.4332.32-0.05-0.07
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.110.0729.1728.85-0.05-0.03
SamfordSC0.110.1428.5731.03-0.05-0.05
Youngstown St.Horz0.110.0728.5727.72-0.05-0.03
SouthernSWAC0.100.1019.0520.58-0.06-0.06
Longwoodind0.170.1123.8129.40-0.09-0.04
East CarolinaCUSA0.160.1020.0021.94-0.10-0.06
South Carolina UpstateASun0.170.2118.1821.04-0.11-0.12
NC GreensboroSC0.270.2021.7424.84-0.15-0.10
StetsonASun0.230.1514.2915.65-0.17-0.10
North Carolina Centralind0.230.214.769.78-0.21-0.17
GeorgiaSEC2.542.0845.0043.49-0.25-0.27
ElonSC0.430.3819.0523.26-0.27-0.20
Georgia SouthernSC0.450.3517.3920.11-0.29-0.21
LibertyBSth3.245.0145.0043.37-0.32-0.66
FurmanSC2.542.0940.0038.79-0.51-0.47
High PointBSth5.575.0142.1143.92-0.88-0.61
Charleston SouthernBSth5.554.9933.3334.88-1.85-1.51
Virginia Military InstBSth3.344.9922.2223.31-1.86-2.66
Gardner WebbBSth3.635.0721.0524.63-2.10-2.57
PresbyterianBSth3.485.0613.0414.61-2.58-3.58
NC AshevilleBSth26.6426.5734.0237.30-8.51-6.75


BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr HelpExp Help
Coastal CarolinaBSth5.565.0178.9580.643.223.07
KentuckySEC2.442.0595.4588.292.221.57
TennesseeSEC2.492.0880.9574.821.541.03
CharlotteA102.552.1077.2770.751.390.87