The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated NC Asheville page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

NC Asheville

Conference:		BSth
Expected RPI:		246.7
Current RPI:		233
Expected SOS:		210
Current SOS:		158
Current Record:		7-14
Expected Record:		10-16
Current Conf Record:		7-6
Expected Conf Record:		10-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-6
Current OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC RPI:		267
Expected OOC SOS:		6

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
12-14	210.6	2.86%
11-15	229.2	21.16%
10-16	244.6	39.11%
9-17	258.0	27.51%
8-18	271.9	8.35%
7-19	286.5	1.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Asheville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Charlotte (47.1)	A10	A	70-86	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	A	49-124	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Campbell (190.8)	ASun	H	66-85	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	A	58-79	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Furman (266.7)	SC	H	66-72	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	N	57-94	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Gardner Webb (308.9)	BSth	A	58-56	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Wofford (100.2)	SC	H	42-68	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Western Carolina (101.2)	SC	A	76-87	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Radford (173.0)	BSth	A	74-82	L	0%	0.0
1-4	High Point (269.4)	BSth	A	62-66	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Coastal Carolina (129.1)	BSth	H	57-58	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Charleston Southern (268.6)	BSth	H	74-77	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Virginia Military Inst (316.7)	BSth	A	97-84	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Liberty (252.2)	BSth	A	74-70	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Winthrop (181.1)	BSth	H	66-53	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	H	99-89	W	100%	0.0
1-28	High Point (269.4)	BSth	H	83-69	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Radford (173.0)	BSth	H	92-84	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Charleston Southern (268.6)	BSth	A	54-62	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Coastal Carolina (129.1)	BSth	A	62-98	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Liberty (252.2)	BSth	H	0-0		63%	3.8
2-13	Virginia Military Inst (316.7)	BSth	H	0-0		74%	7.2
2-16	Presbyterian (326.0)	BSth	A	0-0		50%	-0.1
2-23	Winthrop (181.1)	BSth	A	0-0		15%	-11.4
2-27	Gardner Webb (308.9)	BSth	H	0-0		78%	8.4

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

NC Asheville's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

NC Asheville's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against NC Asheville.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
NC Asheville	BSth	26.64	26.57	34.02	37.30	-8.51	-6.75
Radford	BSth	5.63	5.01	52.63	56.73	0.30	0.67
High Point	BSth	5.57	5.01	42.11	43.92	-0.88	-0.61
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.56	5.01	78.95	80.64	3.22	3.07
Charleston Southern	BSth	5.55	4.99	33.33	34.88	-1.85	-1.51
Gardner Webb	BSth	3.63	5.07	21.05	24.63	-2.10	-2.57
Presbyterian	BSth	3.48	5.06	13.04	14.61	-2.58	-3.58
Winthrop	BSth	3.47	5.04	55.00	55.78	0.35	0.58
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	3.34	4.99	22.22	23.31	-1.86	-2.66
Liberty	BSth	3.24	5.01	45.00	43.37	-0.32	-0.66
Western Carolina	SC	2.60	2.10	70.00	68.38	1.04	0.77
Charlotte	A10	2.55	2.10	77.27	70.75	1.39	0.87
Wofford	SC	2.55	2.06	65.22	66.84	0.78	0.69
Furman	SC	2.54	2.09	40.00	38.79	-0.51	-0.47
Georgia	SEC	2.54	2.08	45.00	43.49	-0.25	-0.27
Tennessee	SEC	2.49	2.08	80.95	74.82	1.54	1.03
Campbell	ASun	2.44	1.96	55.00	57.18	0.24	0.28
Kentucky	SEC	2.44	2.05	95.45	88.29	2.22	1.57
College of Charleston	SC	0.51	0.42	66.67	65.62	0.17	0.13
Georgia Southern	SC	0.45	0.35	17.39	20.11	-0.29	-0.21
Elon	SC	0.43	0.38	19.05	23.26	-0.27	-0.20
Auburn	SEC	0.34	0.24	45.45	42.62	-0.03	-0.04
Duke	ACC	0.34	0.25	82.61	82.33	0.22	0.16
Appalachian St.	SC	0.33	0.24	55.00	60.15	0.03	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.30	0.23	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.10
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.28	0.18	52.94	56.30	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.28	0.28	69.57	66.88	0.11	0.09
Louisville	BE	0.27	0.17	65.22	62.07	0.08	0.04
NC Greensboro	SC	0.27	0.20	21.74	24.84	-0.15	-0.10
South Carolina	SEC	0.27	0.26	59.09	54.41	0.05	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.23	0.22	62.50	57.74	0.06	0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.23	0.15	14.29	15.65	-0.17	-0.10
North Carolina Central	ind	0.23	0.21	4.76	9.78	-0.21	-0.17
The Citadel	SC	0.23	0.25	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.02
Florida	SEC	0.21	0.26	73.91	67.72	0.10	0.09
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.15	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.17	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.04
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.17	0.21	18.18	21.04	-0.11	-0.12
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.10	95.65	91.32	0.15	0.09
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.20	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.10	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.16	0.10	20.00	21.94	-0.10	-0.06
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.10	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.04
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.16	0.19	76.19	73.20	0.09	0.09
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.16	0.13	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.12	0.19	30.43	32.32	-0.05	-0.07
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.08	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.03
Texas	B12	0.12	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.08	0.06
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.14	75.00	71.23	0.06	0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.07	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.07	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
Samford	SC	0.11	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.07	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.07	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.03
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.10	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.07	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.02
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.10	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.10	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.14	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.10	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.06	0.08	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.07	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.03
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.07	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.04	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.07	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.10	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.10	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.07	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.04	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.04	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.04	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.03
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.10	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
NC Asheville	BSth	26.64	26.57	34.02	37.30	-8.51	-6.75
Gardner Webb	BSth	3.63	5.07	21.05	24.63	-2.10	-2.57
Presbyterian	BSth	3.48	5.06	13.04	14.61	-2.58	-3.58
Winthrop	BSth	3.47	5.04	55.00	55.78	0.35	0.58
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.56	5.01	78.95	80.64	3.22	3.07
High Point	BSth	5.57	5.01	42.11	43.92	-0.88	-0.61
Liberty	BSth	3.24	5.01	45.00	43.37	-0.32	-0.66
Radford	BSth	5.63	5.01	52.63	56.73	0.30	0.67
Charleston Southern	BSth	5.55	4.99	33.33	34.88	-1.85	-1.51
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	3.34	4.99	22.22	23.31	-1.86	-2.66
Charlotte	A10	2.55	2.10	77.27	70.75	1.39	0.87
Western Carolina	SC	2.60	2.10	70.00	68.38	1.04	0.77
Furman	SC	2.54	2.09	40.00	38.79	-0.51	-0.47
Tennessee	SEC	2.49	2.08	80.95	74.82	1.54	1.03
Georgia	SEC	2.54	2.08	45.00	43.49	-0.25	-0.27
Wofford	SC	2.55	2.06	65.22	66.84	0.78	0.69
Kentucky	SEC	2.44	2.05	95.45	88.29	2.22	1.57
Campbell	ASun	2.44	1.96	55.00	57.18	0.24	0.28
College of Charleston	SC	0.51	0.42	66.67	65.62	0.17	0.13
Elon	SC	0.43	0.38	19.05	23.26	-0.27	-0.20
Georgia Southern	SC	0.45	0.35	17.39	20.11	-0.29	-0.21
Clemson	ACC	0.28	0.28	69.57	66.88	0.11	0.09
South Carolina	SEC	0.27	0.26	59.09	54.41	0.05	0.02
Florida	SEC	0.21	0.26	73.91	67.72	0.10	0.09
Duke	ACC	0.34	0.25	82.61	82.33	0.22	0.16
The Citadel	SC	0.23	0.25	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.34	0.24	45.45	42.62	-0.03	-0.04
Appalachian St.	SC	0.33	0.24	55.00	60.15	0.03	0.05
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.30	0.23	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.10
George Mason	CAA	0.23	0.22	62.50	57.74	0.06	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.23	0.21	4.76	9.78	-0.21	-0.17
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.17	0.21	18.18	21.04	-0.11	-0.12
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.20	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
NC Greensboro	SC	0.27	0.20	21.74	24.84	-0.15	-0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.16	0.19	76.19	73.20	0.09	0.09
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.12	0.19	30.43	32.32	-0.05	-0.07
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.28	0.18	52.94	56.30	0.02	0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Louisville	BE	0.27	0.17	65.22	62.07	0.08	0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.23	0.15	14.29	15.65	-0.17	-0.10
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.15	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.14	75.00	71.23	0.06	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.14	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.11	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
Bradley	MVC	0.16	0.13	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Texas	B12	0.12	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.08	0.06
Longwood	ind	0.17	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.04
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.10	95.65	91.32	0.15	0.09
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.10	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.10	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.10	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.05
East Carolina	CUSA	0.16	0.10	20.00	21.94	-0.10	-0.06
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.10	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.10	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.10	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.10	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.10	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.04
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.10	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.06	0.08	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.08	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.03
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.07	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.07	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.07	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.07	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.07	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.07	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.07	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.07	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.02
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.07	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.04	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.04	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.04	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.04	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.56	5.01	78.95	80.64	3.22	3.07
Kentucky	SEC	2.44	2.05	95.45	88.29	2.22	1.57
Tennessee	SEC	2.49	2.08	80.95	74.82	1.54	1.03
Charlotte	A10	2.55	2.10	77.27	70.75	1.39	0.87
Western Carolina	SC	2.60	2.10	70.00	68.38	1.04	0.77
Wofford	SC	2.55	2.06	65.22	66.84	0.78	0.69
Winthrop	BSth	3.47	5.04	55.00	55.78	0.35	0.58
Radford	BSth	5.63	5.01	52.63	56.73	0.30	0.67
Campbell	ASun	2.44	1.96	55.00	57.18	0.24	0.28
Duke	ACC	0.34	0.25	82.61	82.33	0.22	0.16
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.30	0.23	81.82	72.57	0.19	0.10
College of Charleston	SC	0.51	0.42	66.67	65.62	0.17	0.13
Kansas	B12	0.17	0.10	95.65	91.32	0.15	0.09
Clemson	ACC	0.28	0.28	69.57	66.88	0.11	0.09
Florida	SEC	0.21	0.26	73.91	67.72	0.10	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.16	0.19	76.19	73.20	0.09	0.09
Louisville	BE	0.27	0.17	65.22	62.07	0.08	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.16	0.10	73.91	72.52	0.08	0.04
Texas	B12	0.12	0.11	82.61	78.76	0.08	0.06
Wake Forest	ACC	0.11	0.07	76.19	71.14	0.06	0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.23	0.22	62.50	57.74	0.06	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.11	0.14	75.00	71.23	0.06	0.06
Illinois	B10	0.16	0.13	66.67	59.01	0.05	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.12	0.08	71.43	67.85	0.05	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.11	0.07	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.27	0.26	59.09	54.41	0.05	0.02
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.10	72.00	73.54	0.05	0.05
William & Mary	CAA	0.11	0.07	68.18	66.65	0.04	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Marshall	CUSA	0.11	0.07	66.67	65.54	0.04	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.06	0.03	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.33	0.24	55.00	60.15	0.03	0.05
Temple	A10	0.05	0.03	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Missouri	B12	0.06	0.03	73.91	70.60	0.03	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.11	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.03	0.01
Ohio St.	B10	0.05	0.06	75.00	73.72	0.02	0.03
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.07	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.11	0.07	60.00	63.83	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.10	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.06	0.10	69.57	68.48	0.02	0.04
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.07	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.03	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.17	56.52	51.96	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.06	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.07	69.57	70.29	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.28	0.18	52.94	56.30	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.11	0.07	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.07	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.06	0.04	60.00	59.64	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.07	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.08	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.06	0.08	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.07	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.05	0.10	56.52	54.14	0.01	0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.16	0.13	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.05	0.03	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.00
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.07	55.00	52.00	0.01	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.06	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.11	0.07	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.11	0.10	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
George Washington	A10	0.05	0.06	54.55	55.07	0.00	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.11	0.06	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.03	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.17	0.14	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.11	0.10	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.00	0.07	65.22	64.71	0.00	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.00	0.03	39.13	36.57	-0.00	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.07	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.03	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.11	0.14	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	45.45	46.81	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.06	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.03	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.16	0.10	47.83	44.73	-0.01	-0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.07	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.03	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.16	0.20	47.62	50.81	-0.01	0.00
Seattle	ind	0.10	0.10	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.03	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.06	0.03	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.06	0.10	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.02
Yale	Ivy	0.05	0.03	36.36	38.12	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.06	0.04	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.11	0.10	42.86	42.46	-0.02	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.05	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.02	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.03	33.33	34.27	-0.02	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.06	0.07	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.05	0.03	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.02	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.23	0.25	45.45	45.80	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.06	0.04	31.82	30.34	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.03	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.17	0.15	43.48	39.98	-0.02	-0.03
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.11	0.10	39.13	35.38	-0.02	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.11	0.07	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.06	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.03	-0.02
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.01
Auburn	SEC	0.34	0.24	45.45	42.62	-0.03	-0.04
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
New Orleans	SB	0.06	0.03	22.73	22.86	-0.03	-0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.04
Air Force	MWC	0.12	0.08	35.00	30.59	-0.04	-0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.06	0.04	15.79	17.64	-0.04	-0.02
Fordham	A10	0.05	0.03	9.52	8.87	-0.04	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.07	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.03
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.12	0.19	30.43	32.32	-0.05	-0.07
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.11	0.07	29.17	28.85	-0.05	-0.03
Samford	SC	0.11	0.14	28.57	31.03	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.11	0.07	28.57	27.72	-0.05	-0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.10	0.10	19.05	20.58	-0.06	-0.06
Longwood	ind	0.17	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.09	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.16	0.10	20.00	21.94	-0.10	-0.06
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.17	0.21	18.18	21.04	-0.11	-0.12
NC Greensboro	SC	0.27	0.20	21.74	24.84	-0.15	-0.10
Stetson	ASun	0.23	0.15	14.29	15.65	-0.17	-0.10
North Carolina Central	ind	0.23	0.21	4.76	9.78	-0.21	-0.17
Georgia	SEC	2.54	2.08	45.00	43.49	-0.25	-0.27
Elon	SC	0.43	0.38	19.05	23.26	-0.27	-0.20
Georgia Southern	SC	0.45	0.35	17.39	20.11	-0.29	-0.21
Liberty	BSth	3.24	5.01	45.00	43.37	-0.32	-0.66
Furman	SC	2.54	2.09	40.00	38.79	-0.51	-0.47
High Point	BSth	5.57	5.01	42.11	43.92	-0.88	-0.61
Charleston Southern	BSth	5.55	4.99	33.33	34.88	-1.85	-1.51
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	3.34	4.99	22.22	23.31	-1.86	-2.66
Gardner Webb	BSth	3.63	5.07	21.05	24.63	-2.10	-2.57
Presbyterian	BSth	3.48	5.06	13.04	14.61	-2.58	-3.58
NC Asheville	BSth	26.64	26.57	34.02	37.30	-8.51	-6.75

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	5.56	5.01	78.95	80.64	3.22	3.07
Kentucky	SEC	2.44	2.05	95.45	88.29	2.22	1.57
Tennessee	SEC	2.49	2.08	80.95	74.82	1.54	1.03
Charlotte	A10	2.55	2.10	77.27	70.75	1.39	0.87