The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated NC Asheville page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 9, 2010.

NC Asheville

Conference:		BSth
Expected RPI:		218.1
Current RPI:		218
Expected SOS:		196
Current SOS:		196
Current Record:		12-16
Expected Record:		12-16
Current Conf Record:		12-8
Expected Conf Record:		12-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		2-7
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		10-4
Current OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC Record:		0-8
Expected OOC RPI:		270
Expected OOC SOS:		10

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
12-16		218.1		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for NC Asheville.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Charlotte (76.7)	A10	A	70-86	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Tennessee (15.6)	SEC	A	49-124	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Campbell (182.3)	ASun	H	66-85	L	0%	0.0
11-24	Georgia (102.7)	SEC	A	58-79	L	0%	0.0
11-27	Furman (279.0)	SC	H	66-72	L	0%	0.0
11-30	Kentucky (3.1)	SEC	N	57-94	L	0%	0.0
12-4	Gardner Webb (318.1)	BSth	A	58-56	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Wofford (67.1)	SC	H	42-68	L	0%	0.0
12-30	Western Carolina (118.7)	SC	A	76-87	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Radford (169.0)	BSth	A	74-82	L	0%	0.0
1-4	High Point (254.7)	BSth	A	62-66	L	0%	0.0
1-7	Coastal Carolina (136.6)	BSth	H	57-58	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Charleston Southern (283.4)	BSth	H	74-77	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Virginia Military Inst (308.4)	BSth	A	97-84	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Liberty (231.6)	BSth	A	74-70	W	100%	0.0
1-21	Winthrop (161.9)	BSth	H	66-53	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Presbyterian (328.5)	BSth	H	99-89	W	100%	0.0
1-28	High Point (254.7)	BSth	H	83-69	W	100%	0.0
1-31	Radford (169.0)	BSth	H	92-84	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Charleston Southern (283.4)	BSth	A	54-62	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Coastal Carolina (136.6)	BSth	A	62-98	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Liberty (231.6)	BSth	H	75-72	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Virginia Military Inst (308.4)	BSth	H	114-97	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Presbyterian (328.5)	BSth	A	69-66	W	100%	0.0
2-23	Winthrop (161.9)	BSth	A	65-68	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Gardner Webb (318.1)	BSth	H	89-86	W	100%	0.0
3-2	High Point (254.7)	BSth	H	84-73	W	100%	0.0
3-4	Coastal Carolina (136.6)	BSth	A	73-92	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

NC Asheville's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

NC Asheville's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against NC Asheville.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
NC Asheville	BSth	26.70	26.70	42.62	42.62	-3.94	-3.94
Coastal Carolina	BSth	6.59	6.59	77.78	77.78	3.66	3.66
High Point	BSth	6.44	6.44	48.00	48.00	-0.26	-0.26
Winthrop	BSth	4.97	4.97	57.14	57.14	0.71	0.71
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	4.79	4.79	26.09	26.09	-2.29	-2.29
Liberty	BSth	4.78	4.78	46.15	46.15	-0.37	-0.37
Charleston Southern	BSth	4.77	4.77	29.17	29.17	-1.99	-1.99
Gardner Webb	BSth	4.77	4.77	20.83	20.83	-2.78	-2.78
Presbyterian	BSth	4.76	4.76	14.29	14.29	-3.40	-3.40
Western Carolina	SC	1.97	1.97	62.07	62.07	0.48	0.48
Charlotte	A10	1.94	1.94	60.00	60.00	0.39	0.39
Wofford	SC	1.94	1.94	75.00	75.00	0.97	0.97
Tennessee	SEC	1.93	1.93	75.86	76.49	1.00	1.02
Georgia	SEC	1.93	1.93	42.86	43.33	-0.28	-0.26
Furman	SC	1.93	1.93	37.04	37.04	-0.50	-0.50
Kentucky	SEC	1.91	1.90	93.33	93.33	1.65	1.65
Campbell	ASun	1.82	1.82	59.26	59.26	0.34	0.34
College of Charleston	SC	0.39	0.39	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Elon	SC	0.39	0.39	25.81	25.81	-0.19	-0.19
Georgia Southern	SC	0.36	0.36	23.33	23.33	-0.19	-0.19
North Carolina Central	ind	0.28	0.28	12.00	12.74	-0.21	-0.21
Auburn	SEC	0.25	0.25	46.67	45.97	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.25	83.87	83.87	0.17	0.17
Clemson	ACC	0.24	0.24	70.00	70.29	0.10	0.10
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.23	64.52	64.84	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.24	0.23	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.24	0.24	64.52	64.52	0.07	0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.24	0.24	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.20	76.67	76.67	0.11	0.11
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.20	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.17	75.86	75.86	0.09	0.09
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.11	0.01	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.60	0.04	0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.78	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.13	0.13	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	58.06	56.87	0.02	0.02
Bradley	MVC	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.50	0.05	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.10	71.43	71.43	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	67.86	67.53	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.08	0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.49	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.12	45.16	45.10	-0.01	-0.01
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.12	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.03
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.77	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	64.52	63.58	0.03	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	17.24	17.24	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	63.33	62.81	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	75.86	75.86	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.14	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.22	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.27	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.60	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.15	0.01	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.45	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.78	0.01	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	36.67	35.84	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.30	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.04	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	24.14	23.58	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	65.38	65.38	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.38	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.15	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	28.57	29.71	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.01	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	72.00	72.79	0.01	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.10	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.54	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.97	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.42	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
NC Asheville	BSth	26.70	26.70	42.62	42.62	-3.94	-3.94
Coastal Carolina	BSth	6.59	6.59	77.78	77.78	3.66	3.66
High Point	BSth	6.44	6.44	48.00	48.00	-0.26	-0.26
Winthrop	BSth	4.97	4.97	57.14	57.14	0.71	0.71
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	4.79	4.79	26.09	26.09	-2.29	-2.29
Liberty	BSth	4.78	4.78	46.15	46.15	-0.37	-0.37
Charleston Southern	BSth	4.77	4.77	29.17	29.17	-1.99	-1.99
Gardner Webb	BSth	4.77	4.77	20.83	20.83	-2.78	-2.78
Presbyterian	BSth	4.76	4.76	14.29	14.29	-3.40	-3.40
Western Carolina	SC	1.97	1.97	62.07	62.07	0.48	0.48
Charlotte	A10	1.94	1.94	60.00	60.00	0.39	0.39
Wofford	SC	1.94	1.94	75.00	75.00	0.97	0.97
Tennessee	SEC	1.93	1.93	75.86	76.49	1.00	1.02
Furman	SC	1.93	1.93	37.04	37.04	-0.50	-0.50
Georgia	SEC	1.93	1.93	42.86	43.33	-0.28	-0.26
Kentucky	SEC	1.91	1.90	93.33	93.33	1.65	1.65
Campbell	ASun	1.82	1.82	59.26	59.26	0.34	0.34
College of Charleston	SC	0.39	0.39	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Elon	SC	0.39	0.39	25.81	25.81	-0.19	-0.19
Georgia Southern	SC	0.36	0.36	23.33	23.33	-0.19	-0.19
North Carolina Central	ind	0.28	0.28	12.00	12.74	-0.21	-0.21
Auburn	SEC	0.25	0.25	46.67	45.97	-0.02	-0.02
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.25	83.87	83.87	0.17	0.17
Clemson	ACC	0.24	0.24	70.00	70.29	0.10	0.10
Appalachian St.	SC	0.24	0.24	64.52	64.52	0.07	0.07
NC Greensboro	SC	0.24	0.24	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.23	64.52	64.84	0.07	0.07
South Carolina	SEC	0.24	0.23	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.20	76.67	76.67	0.11	0.11
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.20	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.17	75.86	75.86	0.09	0.09
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.11	0.01	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.60	0.04	0.04
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Richmond	A10	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.78	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.13	0.13	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.12	45.16	45.10	-0.01	-0.01
Bradley	MVC	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	58.06	56.87	0.02	0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.12	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.03
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.50	0.05	0.05
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.10	71.43	71.43	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	67.86	67.53	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.08	0.08
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.49	-0.04	-0.04
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.77	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	64.52	63.58	0.03	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	17.24	17.24	-0.06	-0.06
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	63.33	62.81	0.02	0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	75.86	75.86	0.04	0.04
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.14	-0.02	-0.02
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.22	-0.03	-0.03
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.27	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.15	0.01	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.45	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.78	0.01	0.00
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.60	0.02	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	36.67	35.84	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.30	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.04	0.03	0.03
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	24.14	23.58	-0.02	-0.02
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	65.38	65.38	0.01	0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.38	0.00	0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.01	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.15	-0.01	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	72.00	72.79	0.01	0.01
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.10	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.54	-0.00	-0.00
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.97	0.02	0.02
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.42	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	28.57	29.71	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	6.59	6.59	77.78	77.78	3.66	3.66
Kentucky	SEC	1.91	1.90	93.33	93.33	1.65	1.65
Tennessee	SEC	1.93	1.93	75.86	76.49	1.00	1.02
Wofford	SC	1.94	1.94	75.00	75.00	0.97	0.97
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
Winthrop	BSth	4.97	4.97	57.14	57.14	0.71	0.71
Western Carolina	SC	1.97	1.97	62.07	62.07	0.48	0.48
Charlotte	A10	1.94	1.94	60.00	60.00	0.39	0.39
Campbell	ASun	1.82	1.82	59.26	59.26	0.34	0.34
Duke	ACC	0.25	0.25	83.87	83.87	0.17	0.17
College of Charleston	SC	0.39	0.39	65.62	65.62	0.12	0.12
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.20	0.20	76.67	76.67	0.11	0.11
Clemson	ACC	0.24	0.24	70.00	70.29	0.10	0.10
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.18	0.17	75.86	75.86	0.09	0.09
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	93.55	93.55	0.08	0.08
Richmond	A10	0.13	0.13	77.42	77.78	0.07	0.07
Florida	SEC	0.24	0.23	64.52	64.84	0.07	0.07
Appalachian St.	SC	0.24	0.24	64.52	64.52	0.07	0.07
Old Dominion	CAA	0.09	0.09	76.47	76.47	0.05	0.05
Texas	B12	0.10	0.10	74.19	74.50	0.05	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.15	0.15	64.52	64.60	0.04	0.04
Marshall	CUSA	0.10	0.10	71.43	71.43	0.04	0.04
Mississippi	SEC	0.09	0.09	70.00	70.00	0.04	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.07	75.86	75.86	0.04	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.10	0.10	67.86	67.53	0.03	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.06	0.06	77.42	77.42	0.03	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Xavier	A10	0.06	0.06	76.67	76.30	0.03	0.03
Kent St.	MAC	0.06	0.06	73.33	73.04	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.09	0.09	64.52	63.58	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.27	0.02	0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.06	0.06	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.03	0.03	86.67	86.67	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.06	0.06	66.67	66.45	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	83.87	83.97	0.02	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.07	0.07	63.33	62.81	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.20	0.20	54.84	54.84	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.13	0.12	57.58	57.58	0.02	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.12	0.12	58.06	56.87	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.06	0.06	65.52	64.60	0.02	0.02
UAB	CUSA	0.03	0.03	76.67	76.67	0.02	0.02
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northwestern	B10	0.06	0.06	61.29	61.78	0.01	0.02
Memphis	CUSA	0.03	0.03	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.06	0.06	62.07	62.15	0.01	0.01
Buffalo	MAC	0.06	0.06	60.71	60.18	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.03	0.03	73.33	72.97	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.03	0.03	70.97	71.49	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	72.00	72.79	0.01	0.01
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.06	0.06	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
UC Santa Barbara	BW	0.03	0.03	65.38	65.38	0.01	0.01
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.09	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.06	0.06	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.43	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.15	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.06	0.06	54.84	53.78	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.16	0.16	51.61	51.11	0.01	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.03	0.03	56.67	56.67	0.00	0.00
George Washington	A10	0.06	0.06	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.03	0.03	54.84	54.38	0.00	0.00
Southern California	P10	0.03	0.03	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.03	0.03	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.03	0.03	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
Austin Peay	OVC	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.24	0.23	50.00	49.80	0.00	-0.00
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.22	0.22	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.03	0.03	48.28	47.10	-0.00	-0.00
Long Beach St.	BW	0.03	0.03	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.70	-0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.03	0.03	43.33	42.54	-0.00	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Army	Pat	0.07	0.07	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Davidson	SC	0.18	0.18	48.28	48.28	-0.01	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.06	0.06	44.83	44.60	-0.01	-0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.09	0.12	45.16	45.10	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Indiana	B10	0.03	0.03	33.33	33.01	-0.01	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.03	0.03	32.00	33.42	-0.01	-0.01
Santa Clara	WCC	0.03	0.03	30.00	30.00	-0.01	-0.01
Utah Valley	GWC	0.03	0.03	32.00	32.00	-0.01	-0.01
Navy	Pat	0.09	0.09	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.06	0.06	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.03	0.03	28.57	29.71	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.03	0.03	27.59	27.15	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.03	0.03	26.67	26.67	-0.01	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.22	0.22	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.06	0.06	36.67	35.84	-0.02	-0.02
Rice	CUSA	0.03	0.03	24.14	23.58	-0.02	-0.02
Auburn	SEC	0.25	0.25	46.67	45.97	-0.02	-0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.02	-0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.02	-0.02
Penn St.	B10	0.07	0.07	36.67	36.14	-0.02	-0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.06	0.06	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Dartmouth	Ivy	0.03	0.03	14.81	14.81	-0.02	-0.02
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.09	0.12	36.67	35.65	-0.02	-0.03
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.77	-0.03	-0.03
James Madison	CAA	0.13	0.13	39.39	39.39	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.06	0.06	28.12	28.12	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.06	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.06	26.67	26.22	-0.03	-0.03
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	32.14	32.14	-0.03	-0.03
Savannah St.	ind	0.09	0.09	31.82	31.82	-0.03	-0.03
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	25.93	26.38	-0.03	-0.03
East Carolina	CUSA	0.09	0.09	25.93	25.49	-0.04	-0.04
Samford	SC	0.12	0.12	28.57	28.57	-0.05	-0.05
Longwood	ind	0.13	0.13	29.63	29.63	-0.05	-0.05
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Southern	SWAC	0.09	0.09	17.24	17.24	-0.06	-0.06
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.16	0.16	29.03	29.03	-0.07	-0.07
Stetson	ASun	0.13	0.13	18.52	18.52	-0.08	-0.08
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.18	0.18	20.69	20.69	-0.11	-0.11
NC Greensboro	SC	0.24	0.24	25.81	25.81	-0.11	-0.11
Georgia Southern	SC	0.36	0.36	23.33	23.33	-0.19	-0.19
Elon	SC	0.39	0.39	25.81	25.81	-0.19	-0.19
North Carolina Central	ind	0.28	0.28	12.00	12.74	-0.21	-0.21
High Point	BSth	6.44	6.44	48.00	48.00	-0.26	-0.26
Georgia	SEC	1.93	1.93	42.86	43.33	-0.28	-0.26
Liberty	BSth	4.78	4.78	46.15	46.15	-0.37	-0.37
Furman	SC	1.93	1.93	37.04	37.04	-0.50	-0.50
Charleston Southern	BSth	4.77	4.77	29.17	29.17	-1.99	-1.99
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	4.79	4.79	26.09	26.09	-2.29	-2.29
Gardner Webb	BSth	4.77	4.77	20.83	20.83	-2.78	-2.78
Presbyterian	BSth	4.76	4.76	14.29	14.29	-3.40	-3.40
NC Asheville	BSth	26.70	26.70	42.62	42.62	-3.94	-3.94

BY EXPECTED (END-OF-SEASON) HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Coastal Carolina	BSth	6.59	6.59	77.78	77.78	3.66	3.66
Kentucky	SEC	1.91	1.90	93.33	93.33	1.65	1.65
Tennessee	SEC	1.93	1.93	75.86	76.49	1.00	1.02
Wofford	SC	1.94	1.94	75.00	75.00	0.97	0.97
Radford	BSth	4.85	4.85	59.26	59.26	0.90	0.90
Winthrop	BSth	4.97	4.97	57.14	57.14	0.71	0.71
Western Carolina	SC	1.97	1.97	62.07	62.07	0.48	0.48