The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Mississippi St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Mississippi St.

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		55.0
Current RPI:		55
Expected SOS:		74
Current SOS:		74
Current Record:		23-11
Expected Record:		23-11
Current Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Conf Record:		11-8
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		5-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		8-0
Current OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		65
Expected OOC SOS:		208

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
23-11		55.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Rider (139.0)	MAAC	H	74-88	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Southeastern Louisiana (193.0)	Slnd	H	82-67	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Bethune Cookman (259.0)	MEAC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Texas Pan American (336.0)	GWC	H	75-50	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Richmond (25.0)	A10	N	62-63	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Old Dominion (27.0)	CAA	N	69-55	W	100%	0.0
12-5	St. Bonaventure (155.0)	A10	H	105-53	W	100%	0.0
12-10	DePaul (212.0)	BE	N	76-45	W	100%	0.0
12-12	UCLA (137.0)	P10	N	72-54	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Wright St. (80.0)	Horz	H	80-69	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	A	70-64	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Centenary (314.0)	Sum	N	88-51	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Mississippi Valley St. (325.0)	SWAC	H	73-45	W	100%	0.0
12-31	San Diego (230.0)	WCC	A	77-68	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Western Kentucky (133.0)	SB	A	52-55	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	A	80-75	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	H	82-80	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Georgia (106.0)	SEC	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	A	57-62	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Arkansas (159.0)	SEC	A	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Florida (56.0)	SEC	A	62-69	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	H	71-63	W	100%	0.0
2-13	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	H	85-75	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	H	75-81	L	0%	0.0
2-20	Louisiana St. (224.0)	SEC	A	60-59	W	100%	0.0
2-24	Alabama (102.0)	SEC	H	74-66	W	100%	0.0
2-27	South Carolina (93.0)	SEC	A	76-63	W	100%	0.0
3-3	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	A	80-89	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Tennessee (13.0)	SEC	H	59-75	L	0%	0.0
3-12	Florida (56.0)	SEC	N	75-69	W	100%	0.0
3-13	Vanderbilt (26.0)	SEC	N	62-52	W	100%	0.0
3-14	Kentucky (2.0)	SEC	N	74-75	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Mississippi St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mississippi St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mississippi St.	SEC	26.16	26.16	67.33	67.33	9.07	9.07
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.59	3.59	37.93	37.93	-0.87	-0.87
Alabama	SEC	3.59	3.59	53.33	53.33	0.24	0.24
Kentucky	SEC	3.59	3.59	93.75	93.75	3.14	3.14
Arkansas	SEC	3.57	3.57	43.33	43.33	-0.48	-0.48
Mississippi	SEC	3.57	3.57	72.41	72.41	1.60	1.60
Florida	SEC	3.57	3.57	64.52	64.52	1.04	1.04
Auburn	SEC	3.56	3.56	44.83	44.83	-0.37	-0.37
Vanderbilt	SEC	3.56	3.56	75.86	75.86	1.84	1.84
Tennessee	SEC	2.23	2.23	75.00	75.00	1.12	1.12
Georgia	SEC	2.16	2.16	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
South Carolina	SEC	2.16	2.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	1.61	1.61	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
Richmond	A10	1.59	1.59	75.76	75.76	0.82	0.82
DePaul	BE	1.54	1.54	26.67	26.67	-0.72	-0.72
Centenary	Sum	1.52	1.52	23.08	23.08	-0.82	-0.82
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.52	1.52	57.69	57.69	0.23	0.23
Old Dominion	CAA	1.52	1.52	78.79	78.79	0.87	0.87
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.52	1.52	26.67	26.67	-0.71	-0.71
Houston	CUSA	1.52	1.52	56.25	56.25	0.19	0.19
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	1.51	1.51	48.28	48.28	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	1.51	1.51	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.50	1.50	18.75	18.75	-0.93	-0.93
San Diego	WCC	1.49	1.49	33.33	33.33	-0.50	-0.50
St. Bonaventure	A10	1.49	1.49	48.28	48.28	-0.05	-0.05
UCLA	P10	1.47	1.47	45.16	45.16	-0.14	-0.14
Wright St.	Horz	1.47	1.47	64.52	64.52	0.43	0.43
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.21	0.21	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Troy	SB	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	25.93	25.93	-0.07	-0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.14	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.14	0.14	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.14	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	28.00	28.00	-0.06	-0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.12	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.12	34.78	34.78	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.12	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.11	81.25	81.25	0.07	0.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.09	0.09	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.09	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.09	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.07	0.07	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Southern California	P10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.05	21.88	21.88	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.05	32.00	32.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.02	0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.05	31.82	31.82	-0.02	-0.02
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.05	34.62	34.62	-0.01	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.05	0.05	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.00	0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	75.76	75.76	0.02	0.02
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.05	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.05	67.65	67.65	0.02	0.02
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.05	0.05	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.05	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	86.21	86.21	0.03	0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	28.57	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Liberty	BSth	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	87.50	87.50	0.03	0.03
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	94.12	94.12	0.04	0.04
Northeastern	CAA	0.04	0.04	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Chicago St.	GWC	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.04	0.04	36.36	36.36	-0.01	-0.01
Iona	MAAC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.04	0.04	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.04	0.04	3.33	3.33	-0.04	-0.04
Michigan St.	B10	0.04	0.04	75.00	75.00	0.02	0.02
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.04	25.00	25.00	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.04	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.04	0.04	13.33	13.33	-0.03	-0.03
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.04	0.04	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Stetson	ASun	0.04	0.04	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.04	0.04	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.04	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.04	0.04	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.04	0.04	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
Delaware	CAA	0.04	0.04	22.58	22.58	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.04	0.04	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.04	54.84	54.84	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.04	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.04	0.04	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.04	39.39	39.39	-0.01	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.04	0.04	67.74	67.74	0.02	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.04	0.04	29.03	29.03	-0.02	-0.02
North Carolina	ACC	0.04	0.04	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.03	0.03	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.02	-0.02
Illinois St.	MVC	0.02	0.02	68.75	68.75	0.01	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Boston College	ACC	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Clemson	ACC	0.02	0.02	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Columbia	Ivy	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Fresno St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00
Furman	SC	0.02	0.02	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	63.64	63.64	0.01	0.01
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.02	0.02	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.02	0.02	87.88	87.88	0.02	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.02	0.02	64.52	64.52	0.01	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.02	0.02	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.02	0.02	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.02	0.02	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.02	0.02	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.02	0.02	58.82	58.82	0.00	0.00
Portland St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.02	0.02	65.62	65.62	0.01	0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.02	0.02	13.33	13.33	-0.02	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.02	0.02	38.71	38.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.02	0.02	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.02	0.02	46.15	46.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.02	0.02	60.61	60.61	0.00	0.00
The Citadel	SC	0.02	0.02	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Denver	SB	0.02	0.02	59.38	59.38	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.02	0.02	27.59	27.59	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.02	0.02	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.02	0.02	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.02	0.02	24.00	24.00	-0.01	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.02	0.02	65.52	65.52	0.01	0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mississippi St.	SEC	26.16	26.16	67.33	67.33	9.07	9.07
Louisiana St.	SEC	3.59	3.59	37.93	37.93	-0.87	-0.87
Alabama	SEC	3.59	3.59	53.33	53.33	0.24	0.24
Kentucky	SEC	3.59	3.59	93.75	93.75	3.14	3.14
Arkansas	SEC	3.57	3.57	43.33	43.33	-0.48	-0.48
Mississippi	SEC	3.57	3.57	72.41	72.41	1.60	1.60
Florida	SEC	3.57	3.57	64.52	64.52	1.04	1.04
Auburn	SEC	3.56	3.56	44.83	44.83	-0.37	-0.37
Vanderbilt	SEC	3.56	3.56	75.86	75.86	1.84	1.84
Tennessee	SEC	2.23	2.23	75.00	75.00	1.12	1.12
Georgia	SEC	2.16	2.16	46.67	46.67	-0.14	-0.14
South Carolina	SEC	2.16	2.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	1.61	1.61	60.61	60.61	0.34	0.34
Richmond	A10	1.59	1.59	75.76	75.76	0.82	0.82
DePaul	BE	1.54	1.54	26.67	26.67	-0.72	-0.72
Centenary	Sum	1.52	1.52	23.08	23.08	-0.82	-0.82
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	1.52	1.52	57.69	57.69	0.23	0.23
Old Dominion	CAA	1.52	1.52	78.79	78.79	0.87	0.87
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	1.52	1.52	26.67	26.67	-0.71	-0.71
Houston	CUSA	1.52	1.52	56.25	56.25	0.19	0.19
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	1.51	1.51	48.28	48.28	-0.05	-0.05
Rider	MAAC	1.51	1.51	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	1.50	1.50	18.75	18.75	-0.93	-0.93
San Diego	WCC	1.49	1.49	33.33	33.33	-0.50	-0.50
St. Bonaventure	A10	1.49	1.49	48.28	48.28	-0.05	-0.05
UCLA	P10	1.47	1.47	45.16	45.16	-0.14	-0.14
Wright St.	Horz	1.47	1.47	64.52	64.52	0.43	0.43
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.21	0.21	46.43	46.43	-0.02	-0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.19	0.19	75.00	75.00	0.10	0.10
Troy	SB	0.18	0.18	58.62	58.62	0.03	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.08	-0.08
Central Florida	CUSA	0.16	0.16	45.16	45.16	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.16	0.16	75.00	75.00	0.08	0.08
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.15	25.93	25.93	-0.07	-0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.14	0.14	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.14	0.14	34.48	34.48	-0.04	-0.04
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.14	0.14	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.14	0.14	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.14	0.14	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.14	0.14	70.97	70.97	0.06	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.14	0.14	68.75	68.75	0.05	0.05
Arkansas St.	SB	0.14	0.14	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Louisville	BE	0.13	0.13	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.13	0.13	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.13	0.13	28.00	28.00	-0.06	-0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.12	0.12	30.77	30.77	-0.05	-0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.12	0.12	60.00	60.00	0.02	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	0.12	0.12	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.12	0.12	34.78	34.78	-0.04	-0.04
Duquesne	A10	0.12	0.12	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.12	0.12	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
Niagara	MAAC	0.12	0.12	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Arizona	P10	0.12	0.12	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.12	0.12	23.33	23.33	-0.06	-0.06
Baylor	B12	0.12	0.12	77.42	77.42	0.06	0.06
St. Louis	A10	0.12	0.12	63.33	63.33	0.03	0.03
Connecticut	BE	0.11	0.11	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Rutgers	BE	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.11	81.25	81.25	0.07	0.07
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.11	0.11	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.02	0.02
Stanford	P10	0.11	0.11	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Texas St.	Slnd	0.10	0.10	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.10	0.10	68.97	68.97	0.04	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.10	0.10	32.14	32.14	-0.04	-0.04
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.10	0.10	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.09	0.09	83.33	83.33	0.06	0.06
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Pepperdine	WCC	0.09	0.09	20.69	20.69	-0.06	-0.06
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.09	65.52	65.52	0.03	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.09	0.09	69.70	69.70	0.04	0.04
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.09	0.09	59.26	59.26	0.02	0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.09	0.09	6.45	6.45	-0.08	-0.08
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.09	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.09	78.12	78.12	0.05	0.05
Mercer	ASun	0.09	0.09	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.09	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.09	0.09	28.12	28.12	-0.04	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.09	0.09	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Syracuse	BE	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.09	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Temple	A10	0.09	0.09	85.29	85.29	0.07	0.07
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.09	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.09	21.43	21.43	-0.05	-0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.09	0.09	35.48	35.48	-0.03	-0.03
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.09	0.09	55.88	55.88	0.01	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.09	0.09	23.33	23.33	-0.05	-0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.09	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.09	0.09	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.09	0.09	87.50	87.50	0.07	0.07
Longwood	ind	0.09	0.09	29.63	29.63	-0.04	-0.04
Indiana	B10	0.09	0.09	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.09	0.09	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Memphis	CUSA	0.09	0.09	71.88	71.88	0.04	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.07	0.07	22.22	22.22	-0.04	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	17.24	17.24	-0.05	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.07	0.07	34.38	34.38	-0.02	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Santa Clara	WCC	0.07	0.07	30.00	30.00	-0.03	-0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.07	0.07	54.55	54.55	0.01	0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.07	0.07	80.65	80.65	0.04	0.04
Illinois	B10	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Villanova	BE	0.07	0.07	77.42	77.42	0.04	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Fordham	A10	0.07	0.07	7.14	7.14	-0.06	-0.06
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.07	0.07	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.07	0.07	24.14	24.14	-0.04	-0.04
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.07	0.07	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.07	0.07	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
California	P10	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.07	0.07	9.68	9.68	-0.06	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.07	0.07	68.97	68.97	0.03	0.03
American	Pat	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.07	0.07	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.07	0.07	84.38	84.38	0.05	0.05
Southern California	P10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.07	0.07	72.73	72.73	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.07	0.07	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.07	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.07	0.07	41.94	41.94	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.07	0.07	56.25	56.25	0.01	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.07	0.07	21.43	21.43	-0.04	-0.04
East Carolina	CUSA	0.07	0.07	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.04	0.04
South Dakota	GWC	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.07	0.07	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Utah Valley	GWC	0.07	0.07	30.77	30.77	-0.03	-0.03
Long Beach St.	BW	0.07	0.07	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.07	0.07	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.07	0.07	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Drexel	CAA	0.06	0.06	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Towson	CAA	0.06	0.06	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.05	0.05	23.08	23.08	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	33.33	33.33	-0.02	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.05	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.05	37.04	37.04	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.05	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.05	43.75	43.75	-0.01	-0.01