The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Mississippi St. page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Mississippi St.

Conference:		SEC
Expected RPI:		64.8
Current RPI:		69
Expected SOS:		102
Current SOS:		124
Current Record:		16-7
Expected Record:		21-10
Current Conf Record:		4-4
Expected Conf Record:		9-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		1-2
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		2-2
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		3-2
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		8-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-0
Current OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC Record:		12-3
Expected OOC RPI:		68
Expected OOC SOS:		214

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
24-7	36.2	2.90%
23-8	47.2	13.38%
22-9	57.0	25.97%
21-10	66.5	29.18%
20-11	76.7	19.70%
19-12	87.9	6.82%
18-13	101.0	1.73%
17-14	116.4	0.29%
16-15	129.5	0.02%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Mississippi St..
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Rider (159.5)	MAAC	H	74-88	L	0%	0.0
11-19	Southeastern Louisiana (204.5)	Slnd	H	82-67	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Bethune Cookman (229.3)	MEAC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
11-24	Texas Pan American (326.2)	GWC	H	75-50	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Richmond (38.1)	A10	N	62-63	L	0%	0.0
11-28	Old Dominion (35.4)	CAA	N	69-55	W	100%	0.0
12-5	St. Bonaventure (184.1)	A10	H	105-53	W	100%	0.0
12-10	DePaul (180.2)	BE	N	76-45	W	100%	0.0
12-12	UCLA (146.7)	P10	N	72-54	W	100%	0.0
12-16	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	H	80-69	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Houston (144.5)	CUSA	A	70-64	W	100%	0.0
12-22	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	N	88-51	W	100%	0.0
12-28	Mississippi Valley St. (319.2)	SWAC	H	73-45	W	100%	0.0
12-31	San Diego (225.4)	WCC	A	77-68	W	100%	0.0
1-4	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	52-55	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	80-75	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	H	82-80	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Georgia (101.8)	SEC	H	72-69	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	A	57-62	L	0%	0.0
1-28	Arkansas (126.3)	SEC	A	62-67	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	H	67-51	W	100%	0.0
2-3	Vanderbilt (21.8)	SEC	A	72-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Florida (50.5)	SEC	A	62-69	L	0%	0.0
2-11	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	H	0-0		62%	3.2
2-13	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	H	0-0		89%	13.1
2-16	Kentucky (6.1)	SEC	H	0-0		46%	-1.1
2-20	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	0-0		80%	9.1
2-24	Alabama (106.5)	SEC	H	0-0		76%	7.7
2-27	South Carolina (74.3)	SEC	A	0-0		50%	-0.1
3-3	Auburn (163.8)	SEC	A	0-0		68%	5.1
3-6	Tennessee (14.8)	SEC	H	0-0		53%	0.8

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Mississippi St.'s RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Mississippi St.'s winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Mississippi St..

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mississippi St.	SEC	26.21	26.11	71.58	68.40	11.31	9.61
Arkansas	SEC	4.59	3.84	52.38	48.37	0.22	-0.13
Florida	SEC	2.51	2.18	72.73	66.65	1.14	0.72
Alabama	SEC	2.51	3.81	54.55	53.58	0.23	0.27
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.47	3.87	40.91	37.19	-0.45	-0.99
Mississippi	SEC	2.46	3.84	77.27	76.33	1.34	2.02
Georgia	SEC	2.41	2.15	50.00	47.06	0.00	-0.13
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.41	2.20	75.00	72.24	1.21	0.98
Old Dominion	CAA	2.27	1.67	75.00	75.99	1.14	0.87
Western Kentucky	SB	2.27	1.75	52.17	54.53	0.10	0.16
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.27	1.66	23.81	28.23	-1.19	-0.73
Richmond	A10	2.26	1.72	73.91	70.27	1.08	0.70
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.26	1.66	57.89	55.60	0.36	0.19
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.23	1.64	12.50	19.44	-1.67	-1.00
DePaul	BE	2.23	1.67	36.36	35.06	-0.61	-0.50
San Diego	WCC	2.23	1.64	34.78	34.62	-0.68	-0.50
Centenary	Sum	2.22	1.67	28.57	28.24	-0.95	-0.73
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.22	1.67	52.94	57.67	0.13	0.26
Houston	CUSA	2.22	1.67	50.00	52.64	0.00	0.09
Rider	MAAC	2.17	1.64	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.17	1.64	42.11	44.22	-0.34	-0.19
UCLA	P10	2.17	1.61	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.15
Wright St.	Horz	2.17	1.61	65.22	67.58	0.66	0.57
Kentucky	SEC	0.38	2.18	95.65	89.82	0.35	1.73
Tennessee	SEC	0.34	2.18	81.82	76.64	0.22	1.16
South Carolina	SEC	0.34	2.20	59.09	54.56	0.06	0.20
Auburn	SEC	0.29	3.81	45.45	44.12	-0.03	-0.45
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.29	0.24	33.33	39.38	-0.10	-0.05
St. Louis	A10	0.25	0.14	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.24	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.05	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	0.24	0.14	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.24	0.13	73.91	70.60	0.11	0.06
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.20	0.11	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.20	0.14	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.19	0.14	19.05	22.94	-0.12	-0.07
Troy	SB	0.19	0.16	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.16	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.19	0.16	63.64	58.79	0.05	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.12	0.06
South Alabama	SB	0.19	0.13	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.19	0.17	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.11	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.07
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.16	0.11	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.16	0.14	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	23.53	26.10	-0.08	-0.07
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.17	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.06
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.15	0.12	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.15	0.19	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.15	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.11	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.08
Syracuse	BE	0.15	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.14	0.07
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.10	0.06
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.11	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.14	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.14	-0.09
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.13	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.06
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.14	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.14	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.14	0.11	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.06
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.03
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.11	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.02
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.14	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.04
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.08	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.05
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.08	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.03
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.05	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Massachusetts	A10	0.10	0.05	31.82	31.64	-0.04	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.04
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.08	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.04
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.10	0.05	39.13	38.63	-0.02	-0.01
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
New Orleans	SB	0.10	0.05	22.73	22.86	-0.05	-0.03
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.08	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.13	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.08	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.10	0.05	40.91	38.27	-0.02	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.06
American	Pat	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.39	-0.04	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.09	0.05	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
California	P10	0.09	0.05	65.22	68.42	0.03	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.11	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.08	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.05
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.06
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
Notre Dame	BE	0.09	0.05	70.83	63.39	0.04	0.01
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.05
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Liberty	BSth	0.09	0.05	42.86	41.51	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.08	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.06
Washington	P10	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.09	0.05	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.11	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.05	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
San Francisco	WCC	0.09	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.03	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.09	0.05	54.55	54.05	0.01	0.00
Valparaiso	Horz	0.09	0.05	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Lehigh	Pat	0.09	0.05	65.22	65.74	0.03	0.02
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.09	0.05	30.43	32.32	-0.03	-0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.09	0.05	66.67	68.11	0.03	0.02
Chicago St.	GWC	0.09	0.05	20.00	20.57	-0.05	-0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.09	0.05	26.09	26.91	-0.04	-0.02
Iona	MAAC	0.09	0.05	72.00	70.73	0.04	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.09	0.05	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.00
Marist	MAAC	0.09	0.05	4.17	4.73	-0.08	-0.05
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	11.11	20.93	-0.04	-0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Illinois St.	MVC	0.05	0.03	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.53	-0.01	-0.00
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.82	-0.02	-0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.05	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.05	0.05	20.00	21.94	-0.03	-0.03
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	72.73	68.13	0.02	0.01
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.03	52.17	56.48	0.00	0.00
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Nevada	WAC	0.05	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.80	-0.00	-0.00
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.03	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.05	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.03	0.01
Wofford	SC	0.05	0.05	66.67	67.94	0.02	0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.13	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.04
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.04
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.42	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.05	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.05	0.03	22.73	21.40	-0.03	-0.02
Cal St. Fullerton	BW	0.05	0.03	45.00	48.63	-0.00	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Columbia	Ivy	0.05	0.03	40.00	39.13	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.05	0.05	85.71	85.57	0.03	0.04
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.11	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.06
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.08	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Kansas	B12	0.05	0.05	95.65	91.32	0.04	0.04
Long Beach St.	BW	0.05	0.05	42.86	45.66	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.05	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.05	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.05
Samford	SC	0.05	0.05	28.57	31.03	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.08	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.02
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.03	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.05	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.06
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.05	0.03	37.50	39.23	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.05	0.03	39.13	43.30	-0.01	-0.00
Central Michigan	MAC	0.05	0.03	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
Denver	SB	0.05	0.03	60.87	59.58	0.01	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.02	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	24.00	23.74	-0.02	-0.03
Fresno St.	WAC	0.05	0.03	47.83	48.98	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.05	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.03	0.02
NC Greensboro	SC	0.05	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.03	-0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	83.52	0.03	0.02
Pacific	BW	0.05	0.03	68.18	68.10	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.02
Temple	A10	0.05	0.05	79.17	77.57	0.03	0.03
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.05	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.02
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.03	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.05	0.03	21.05	22.43	-0.03	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.05	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.05	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.04	0.03	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.04	0.05	56.00	55.91	0.01	0.01
Fairfield	MAAC	0.04	0.05	69.57	64.51	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.04	0.05	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.04	0.05	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Hofstra	CAA	0.04	0.05	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
James Madison	CAA	0.04	0.05	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.04	0.03	8.70	11.46	-0.04	-0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.04	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.04	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.04	0.05	22.22	27.56	-0.02	-0.02
North Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.05	15.79	27.84	-0.03	-0.02
Northern Arizona	BSky	0.04	0.03	45.00	45.40	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.04	0.03	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.01
Siena	MAAC	0.04	0.05	83.33	81.25	0.03	0.03
South Dakota	GWC	0.04	0.05	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.04	0.05	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Towson	CAA	0.04	0.05	22.73	23.47	-0.02	-0.03
Utah Valley	GWC	0.04	0.05	36.84	39.02	-0.01	-0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.00	0.05	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.00	0.03	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.00	0.05	40.00	40.09	-0.00	-0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.00	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.00	0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.62	0.00	0.01
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.07
Furman	SC	0.00	0.03	42.86	41.05	-0.00	-0.00
Hartford	AE	0.00	0.03	30.43	32.48	-0.00	-0.01
High Point	BSth	0.00	0.05	42.86	44.37	-0.00	-0.01
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.00	0.05	22.73	24.05	-0.00	-0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.00	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.00	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Ohio	MAC	0.00	0.03	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Rhode Island	A10	0.00	0.05	86.36	81.50	0.00	0.03
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.00	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Mississippi St.	SEC	26.21	26.11	71.58	68.40	11.31	9.61
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.47	3.87	40.91	37.19	-0.45	-0.99
Arkansas	SEC	4.59	3.84	52.38	48.37	0.22	-0.13
Mississippi	SEC	2.46	3.84	77.27	76.33	1.34	2.02
Alabama	SEC	2.51	3.81	54.55	53.58	0.23	0.27
Auburn	SEC	0.29	3.81	45.45	44.12	-0.03	-0.45
South Carolina	SEC	0.34	2.20	59.09	54.56	0.06	0.20
Vanderbilt	SEC	2.41	2.20	75.00	72.24	1.21	0.98
Florida	SEC	2.51	2.18	72.73	66.65	1.14	0.72
Kentucky	SEC	0.38	2.18	95.65	89.82	0.35	1.73
Tennessee	SEC	0.34	2.18	81.82	76.64	0.22	1.16
Georgia	SEC	2.41	2.15	50.00	47.06	0.00	-0.13
Western Kentucky	SB	2.27	1.75	52.17	54.53	0.10	0.16
Richmond	A10	2.26	1.72	73.91	70.27	1.08	0.70
Old Dominion	CAA	2.27	1.67	75.00	75.99	1.14	0.87
DePaul	BE	2.23	1.67	36.36	35.06	-0.61	-0.50
Houston	CUSA	2.22	1.67	50.00	52.64	0.00	0.09
Centenary	Sum	2.22	1.67	28.57	28.24	-0.95	-0.73
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	2.22	1.67	52.94	57.67	0.13	0.26
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.26	1.66	57.89	55.60	0.36	0.19
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	2.27	1.66	23.81	28.23	-1.19	-0.73
Texas Pan American	GWC	2.23	1.64	12.50	19.44	-1.67	-1.00
San Diego	WCC	2.23	1.64	34.78	34.62	-0.68	-0.50
Rider	MAAC	2.17	1.64	50.00	47.65	0.00	-0.08
St. Bonaventure	A10	2.17	1.64	42.11	44.22	-0.34	-0.19
UCLA	P10	2.17	1.61	50.00	45.30	0.00	-0.15
Wright St.	Horz	2.17	1.61	65.22	67.58	0.66	0.57
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.29	0.24	33.33	39.38	-0.10	-0.05
Central Florida	CUSA	0.15	0.19	47.62	44.47	-0.01	-0.02
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.15	0.17	26.32	31.51	-0.07	-0.06
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.19	0.17	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.15	0.16	70.59	72.98	0.06	0.08
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.19	0.16	36.36	36.18	-0.05	-0.05
Washington St.	P10	0.19	0.16	63.64	58.79	0.05	0.03
Troy	SB	0.19	0.16	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	23.53	26.10	-0.08	-0.07
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.16	0.15	22.22	26.51	-0.09	-0.07
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.16	0.14	47.62	49.36	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma	B12	0.24	0.14	59.09	51.13	0.04	0.00
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.19	0.14	19.05	22.94	-0.12	-0.07
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.20	0.14	47.06	50.65	-0.01	0.00
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.24	0.14	39.13	36.57	-0.05	-0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.25	0.14	61.90	56.12	0.06	0.02
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.13	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.13	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.05	0.13	28.57	36.52	-0.02	-0.04
Charlotte	A10	0.14	0.13	78.26	71.72	0.08	0.06
Missouri	B12	0.24	0.13	73.91	70.60	0.11	0.06
Florida St.	ACC	0.09	0.13	73.91	69.49	0.05	0.05
Baylor	B12	0.14	0.13	76.19	72.73	0.07	0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.13	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.14	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.04	0.03
South Alabama	SB	0.19	0.13	47.83	47.55	-0.01	-0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.15	0.12	68.42	67.04	0.06	0.04
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.16	0.11	38.10	41.29	-0.04	-0.02
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.11	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.16	0.11	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.20	0.11	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.02
St. John's	BE	0.15	0.11	54.55	49.24	0.01	-0.00
Pepperdine	WCC	0.14	0.11	27.27	25.31	-0.07	-0.05
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.19	0.11	82.61	75.26	0.12	0.06
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.14	0.11	47.62	48.61	-0.01	-0.00
Duquesne	A10	0.14	0.11	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.15	0.11	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Rice	CUSA	0.10	0.11	31.82	30.34	-0.04	-0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.15	0.11	77.27	75.69	0.08	0.06
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.09	0.11	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.01
Longwood	ind	0.14	0.11	23.81	29.40	-0.07	-0.04
UAB	CUSA	0.15	0.11	82.61	78.56	0.10	0.06
Stanford	P10	0.14	0.11	43.48	43.10	-0.02	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.09	0.11	66.67	67.74	0.03	0.04
Kansas St.	B12	0.09	0.11	81.82	79.60	0.06	0.06
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.14	0.11	77.27	77.12	0.08	0.06
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.14	0.11	52.17	54.94	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.11	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.05
Connecticut	BE	0.09	0.11	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.05	0.11	17.39	20.11	-0.03	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.14	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.14	-0.09
Missouri St.	MVC	0.09	0.11	66.67	64.62	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.09	0.11	66.67	57.29	0.03	0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.09	0.11	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.02
Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	19.05	20.58	-0.07	-0.05
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.11	0.09	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.15	0.09	36.84	36.82	-0.04	-0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.08	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Grambling	SWAC	0.10	0.08	23.53	25.88	-0.05	-0.04
Marquette	BE	0.14	0.08	65.22	66.09	0.04	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.00	0.08	9.52	8.87	-0.00	-0.07
St. Mary's	WCC	0.10	0.08	86.96	84.62	0.07	0.06
Marshall	CUSA	0.15	0.08	66.67	65.54	0.05	0.03
Gonzaga	WCC	0.09	0.08	81.82	83.61	0.06	0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.05	0.08	69.57	69.99	0.02	0.03
Portland	WCC	0.09	0.08	61.90	65.68	0.02	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.15	0.08	95.83	91.37	0.14	0.07
Jacksonville	ASun	0.10	0.08	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.02
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.08	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.10	0.08	42.86	42.46	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.10	0.08	20.00	24.04	-0.06	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.18	0.01	0.02
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Dayton	A10	0.10	0.08	72.73	71.91	0.04	0.04
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.09	0.08	70.83	73.80	0.04	0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.05	0.08	33.33	37.71	-0.02	-0.02
Butler	Horz	0.14	0.08	83.33	83.91	0.09	0.05
Detroit	Horz	0.09	0.08	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.14	0.08	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.04
Oregon	P10	0.10	0.08	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.10	0.08	45.45	40.28	-0.01	-0.02
Providence	BE	0.09	0.08	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.08	86.36	81.80	0.03	0.05
Southern California	P10	0.05	0.08	60.87	59.61	0.01	0.02
Toledo	MAC	0.09	0.08	8.70	10.09	-0.08	-0.06
Villanova	BE	0.09	0.08	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.05
Washington	P10	0.09	0.08	69.57	68.86	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.09	0.08	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.05
Manhattan	MAAC	0.14	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.05	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.08	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.09	0.08	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.08	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.09	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Chattanooga	SC	0.14	0.08	47.83	46.11	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.09	0.08	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.01
Texas	B12	0.14	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.09	0.04
William & Mary	CAA	0.13	0.08	68.18	66.65	0.05	0.03
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.06	0.06	21.05	24.96	-0.03	-0.03
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.10	0.06	42.86	45.31	-0.01	-0.01
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.06	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.96	-0.03	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.10	0.06	66.67	69.41	0.03	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.10	0.06	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.06	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.04
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.06	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Lamar	Slnd	0.10	0.06	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nebraska	B12	0.10	0.06	56.52	50.42	0.01	0.00
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.06	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.02
Hampton	MEAC	0.05	0.06	31.82	42.24	-0.02	-0.01
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.03
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.11	0.06	23.81	27.28	-0.06	-0.03
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.05	0.06	52.94	56.30	0.00	0.01
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.05	0.06	29.41	29.63	-0.02	-0.02
Savannah St.	ind	0.10	0.06	30.00	31.19	-0.04	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.10	0.06	29.17	28.85	-0.04	-0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.06	68.18	62.73	0.02	0.01
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.05	0.06	25.00	34.68	-0.03	-0.02
Illinois	B10	0.10	0.06	66.67	59.01	0.03	0.01
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.05	0.06	47.83	44.39	-0.00	-0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.09	0.06	31.82	32.31	-0.03	-0.02
Santa Clara	WCC	0.09	0.06	33.33	34.27	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.06	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.01