The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Maryland Eastern Shore page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Maryland Eastern Shore

Conference:		MEAC
Expected RPI:		313.8
Current RPI:		307
Expected SOS:		316
Current SOS:		283
Current Record:		6-16
Expected Record:		9-21
Current Conf Record:		4-5
Expected Conf Record:		6-10
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		0-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-12
Current OOC Record:		2-11
Expected OOC Record:		2-12
Expected OOC RPI:		327
Expected OOC SOS:		260

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
14-16	248.3	0.03%
13-17	260.5	0.14%
12-18	274.3	1.21%
11-19	289.5	7.40%
10-20	303.3	18.92%
9-21	313.3	31.58%
8-22	322.0	26.12%
7-23	329.3	12.53%
6-24	335.5	2.06%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Maryland Eastern Shore.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Stony Brook (148.3)	AE	H	57-75	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Marquette (55.4)	BE	A	60-86	L	0%	0.0
11-20	Missouri St. (85.5)	MVC	A	53-70	L	0%	0.0
11-21	Eastern Michigan (213.6)	MAC	N	51-76	L	0%	0.0
11-22	The Citadel (209.3)	SC	N	62-88	L	0%	0.0
11-28	American (306.9)	Pat	H	65-58	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	H	53-50	W	100%	0.0
12-9	Navy (269.1)	Pat	H	80-72	W	100%	0.0
12-19	Wright St. (82.9)	Horz	A	46-87	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Northern Illinois (250.0)	MAC	A	69-87	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Ball St. (210.1)	MAC	A	47-56	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Nebraska (127.1)	B12	A	60-74	L	0%	0.0
1-4	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	54-88	L	0%	0.0
1-9	South Carolina St. (214.2)	MEAC	H	67-80	L	0%	0.0
1-11	Winston Salem St. (314.2)	ind	H	70-75	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Florida A&M (325.5)	MEAC	A	67-51	W	100%	0.0
1-18	Bethune Cookman (229.3)	MEAC	A	51-63	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Coppin St. (332.1)	MEAC	A	70-62	W	100%	0.0
1-25	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	A	54-91	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Howard (313.9)	MEAC	H	67-66	W	100%	0.0
2-1	Hampton (286.6)	MEAC	H	65-79	L	0%	0.0
2-6	Norfolk St. (309.1)	MEAC	A	62-64	L	0%	0.0
2-8	North Carolina A&T (267.9)	MEAC	A	0-0		14%	-11.7
2-10	North Carolina Central (345.5)	ind	A	0-0		43%	-1.9
2-13	Florida A&M (325.5)	MEAC	H	0-0		65%	4.1
2-15	Bethune Cookman (229.3)	MEAC	H	0-0		39%	-3.1
2-20	Coppin St. (332.1)	MEAC	H	0-0		59%	2.3
2-22	Morgan St. (106.3)	MEAC	H	0-0		10%	-13.7
2-27	Howard (313.9)	MEAC	A	0-0		36%	-3.9
3-4	Delaware St. (236.6)	MEAC	A	0-0		16%	-10.7

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Maryland Eastern Shore's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Maryland Eastern Shore's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Maryland Eastern Shore.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	26.18	26.24	27.66	29.54	-11.70	-10.74
Howard	MEAC	2.83	4.05	26.09	26.28	-1.35	-1.92
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.78	4.05	11.76	20.94	-2.13	-2.35
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.74	4.05	52.63	51.54	0.14	0.12
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.74	4.04	69.57	72.45	1.07	1.82
South Carolina St.	MEAC	2.73	2.46	50.00	54.55	0.00	0.22
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.73	4.06	20.00	23.32	-1.64	-2.16
Hampton	MEAC	2.73	2.44	28.57	40.25	-1.17	-0.48
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.73	2.49	25.00	26.82	-1.36	-1.16
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.73	4.03	50.00	51.44	0.00	0.12
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.73	2.43	20.00	24.69	-1.64	-1.23
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.48	1.84	45.00	44.82	-0.25	-0.19
Navy	Pat	2.43	1.84	50.00	46.33	0.00	-0.14
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.38	1.79	33.33	35.14	-0.79	-0.53
Ball St.	MAC	2.38	1.82	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Missouri St.	MVC	2.38	1.73	65.22	63.40	0.72	0.46
The Citadel	SC	2.37	1.72	42.86	43.80	-0.34	-0.21
American	Pat	2.37	1.78	31.82	33.54	-0.86	-0.59
Nebraska	B12	2.32	1.69	54.55	48.77	0.21	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.69	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Marquette	BE	2.27	1.67	63.64	64.92	0.62	0.50
Stony Brook	AE	2.27	1.67	66.67	67.56	0.76	0.59
Wright St.	Horz	2.27	1.67	60.87	64.13	0.49	0.47
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.58	2.43	25.00	32.78	-0.29	-0.84
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.21	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.07
Arkansas	SEC	0.21	0.18	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.20	8.70	11.46	-0.17	-0.16
Akron	MAC	0.21	0.14	69.57	66.00	0.08	0.05
Central Michigan	MAC	0.21	0.20	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.12	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.21	0.20	8.70	10.09	-0.17	-0.16
Creighton	MVC	0.20	0.14	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Maine	AE	0.17	0.16	63.64	61.86	0.05	0.04
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.12	0.08
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.16	0.12	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.06
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.12	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.05
Ohio	MAC	0.16	0.15	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
Western Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.18	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.16	0.17	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.03
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.17	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Long Island	NEC	0.15	0.14	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.02
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.16	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.07
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.11	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.04
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.18	27.27	31.08	-0.07	-0.07
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.14	26.09	31.05	-0.07	-0.05
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.06
Valparaiso	Horz	0.15	0.09	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.15	0.14	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.07
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.08	-0.06
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.08	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.15	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.06
High Point	BSth	0.13	0.13	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.12	0.15	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.04
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.03
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.12	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.04	-0.02
College of Charleston	SC	0.12	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.04	0.03
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.10	26.09	26.91	-0.06	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.12	0.09	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.15	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.15	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.03
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.18	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.07
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.05
Iona	MAAC	0.11	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.05	0.02
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.03
Temple	A10	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.09	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.04
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.11	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.05
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.08	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Army	Pat	0.10	0.11	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.11	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.05	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.07	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
Oregon	P10	0.07	0.03	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.07	0.03	76.19	71.14	0.04	0.01
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.04
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.03	0.03
Dayton	A10	0.05	0.03	72.73	71.91	0.02	0.01
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.05
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	1.73	4.76	7.90	-0.05	-1.46
Oakland	Sum	0.05	0.03	66.67	69.41	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Purdue	B10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.80	0.04	0.02
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.02
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.03	-0.00	-0.00
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	41.19	-0.01	-0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.05	0.03	40.00	40.09	-0.01	-0.01
Gonzaga	WCC	0.05	0.03	81.82	83.61	0.03	0.02
Illinois	B10	0.05	0.03	66.67	59.01	0.02	0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Louisiana Monroe	SB	0.05	0.03	36.36	36.18	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.05	0.03	79.17	76.61	0.03	0.02
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	22.22	26.51	-0.03	-0.01
NJ Inst of Technology	GWC	0.05	0.03	22.22	27.56	-0.03	-0.01
North Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	15.79	27.84	-0.04	-0.01
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.05	0.03	79.17	78.03	0.03	0.02
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Pepperdine	WCC	0.05	0.03	27.27	25.31	-0.02	-0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.03	86.36	81.50	0.04	0.02
Sacred Heart	NEC	0.05	0.03	52.17	53.84	0.00	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.04
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.03	58.33	58.93	0.01	0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	20.00	24.04	-0.03	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.08	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.03	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.00
Wagner	NEC	0.05	0.03	16.00	21.62	-0.04	-0.02
William & Mary	CAA	0.05	0.03	68.18	66.65	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.03	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.01
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.03	87.50	87.42	0.04	0.02
Brown	Ivy	0.05	0.03	23.81	27.31	-0.03	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.03	45.45	47.48	-0.00	-0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.05	0.03	23.53	25.88	-0.03	-0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.05
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.03	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Oregon St.	P10	0.05	0.03	45.45	40.28	-0.00	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.05	0.03	16.67	19.94	-0.03	-0.02
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.78	0.02	0.01
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.03	18.18	21.04	-0.03	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.05	0.03	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.55	-0.03	-0.02
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.05	0.03	30.43	30.27	-0.02	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.05	0.03	95.83	91.37	0.05	0.02
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
Wisconsin	B10	0.05	0.03	78.26	78.92	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
Arkansas St.	SB	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.00
Auburn	SEC	0.05	0.03	45.45	42.62	-0.00	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.02
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.05	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.02	0.01
Portland St.	BSky	0.05	0.03	38.10	39.65	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.05	0.03	70.59	72.98	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Washington	P10	0.05	0.03	69.57	68.86	0.02	0.01
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.04
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.00	0.03	47.62	49.08	-0.00	-0.00
Lamar	Slnd	0.00	0.03	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.00
Marshall	CUSA	0.00	0.03	66.67	65.54	0.00	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.00	0.06
NC Greensboro	SC	0.00	0.03	21.74	24.84	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.00	0.03	57.14	60.54	0.00	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.00	0.03	61.90	56.37	0.00	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.00	0.03	45.00	43.95	-0.00	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.00	0.03	81.82	75.66	0.00	0.02
Tulane	CUSA	0.00	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.00	-0.01
Virginia Tech	ACC	0.00	0.03	81.82	72.57	0.00	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.00	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.00	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.00	0.03	30.00	31.79	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	26.18	26.24	27.66	29.54	-11.70	-10.74
Florida A&M	MEAC	2.73	4.06	20.00	23.32	-1.64	-2.16
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	2.74	4.05	52.63	51.54	0.14	0.12
Coppin St.	MEAC	2.78	4.05	11.76	20.94	-2.13	-2.35
Howard	MEAC	2.83	4.05	26.09	26.28	-1.35	-1.92
Morgan St.	MEAC	2.74	4.04	69.57	72.45	1.07	1.82
Delaware St.	MEAC	2.73	4.03	50.00	51.44	0.00	0.12
Winston Salem St.	ind	2.73	2.49	25.00	26.82	-1.36	-1.16
South Carolina St.	MEAC	2.73	2.46	50.00	54.55	0.00	0.22
Hampton	MEAC	2.73	2.44	28.57	40.25	-1.17	-0.48
Norfolk St.	MEAC	2.73	2.43	20.00	24.69	-1.64	-1.23
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.58	2.43	25.00	32.78	-0.29	-0.84
Navy	Pat	2.43	1.84	50.00	46.33	0.00	-0.14
Eastern Michigan	MAC	2.48	1.84	45.00	44.82	-0.25	-0.19
Ball St.	MAC	2.38	1.82	50.00	49.84	0.00	-0.01
Northern Illinois	MAC	2.38	1.79	33.33	35.14	-0.79	-0.53
American	Pat	2.37	1.78	31.82	33.54	-0.86	-0.59
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	1.73	4.76	7.90	-0.05	-1.46
Missouri St.	MVC	2.38	1.73	65.22	63.40	0.72	0.46
The Citadel	SC	2.37	1.72	42.86	43.80	-0.34	-0.21
Nebraska	B12	2.32	1.69	54.55	48.77	0.21	-0.04
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.69	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Marquette	BE	2.27	1.67	63.64	64.92	0.62	0.50
Stony Brook	AE	2.27	1.67	66.67	67.56	0.76	0.59
Wright St.	Horz	2.27	1.67	60.87	64.13	0.49	0.47
Lehigh	Pat	0.27	0.21	65.22	65.74	0.08	0.07
Central Michigan	MAC	0.21	0.20	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.21	0.20	8.70	10.09	-0.17	-0.16
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.21	0.20	8.70	11.46	-0.17	-0.16
Longwood	ind	0.11	0.18	23.81	29.40	-0.06	-0.07
Colgate	Pat	0.15	0.18	27.27	31.08	-0.07	-0.07
Western Michigan	MAC	0.16	0.18	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.21	0.18	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.16	0.17	37.50	38.45	-0.04	-0.04
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.16	0.17	50.00	51.56	0.00	0.01
Baylor	B12	0.15	0.16	76.19	72.73	0.08	0.07
Maine	AE	0.17	0.16	63.64	61.86	0.05	0.04
Miami FL	ACC	0.12	0.15	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.04
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.11	0.15	69.57	63.55	0.04	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.16	0.15	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.11	0.15	42.86	40.56	-0.02	-0.03
Holy Cross	Pat	0.15	0.14	26.09	31.05	-0.07	-0.05
Akron	MAC	0.21	0.14	69.57	66.00	0.08	0.05
Creighton	MVC	0.20	0.14	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Albany	AE	0.15	0.14	23.08	25.77	-0.08	-0.07
Long Island	NEC	0.15	0.14	39.13	41.53	-0.03	-0.02
High Point	BSth	0.13	0.13	42.86	44.37	-0.02	-0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.16	0.12	86.36	82.20	0.12	0.08
Buffalo	MAC	0.16	0.12	55.00	52.00	0.02	0.00
Kent St.	MAC	0.16	0.12	69.57	70.29	0.06	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.21	0.12	43.48	47.68	-0.03	-0.01
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.16	0.12	77.27	77.12	0.09	0.06
Army	Pat	0.10	0.11	57.14	59.04	0.01	0.02
Bucknell	Pat	0.15	0.11	37.50	39.23	-0.04	-0.02
Lafayette	Pat	0.10	0.11	60.87	59.16	0.02	0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.10	0.11	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.10	0.11	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.15	0.11	72.73	66.85	0.07	0.04
Towson	CAA	0.15	0.11	22.73	23.47	-0.08	-0.06
Ohio St.	B10	0.12	0.10	75.00	73.72	0.06	0.05
Delaware	CAA	0.12	0.10	26.09	26.91	-0.06	-0.04
Savannah St.	ind	0.05	0.09	30.00	31.19	-0.02	-0.04
Michigan	B10	0.11	0.09	45.45	44.00	-0.01	-0.01
College of Charleston	SC	0.12	0.09	66.67	65.62	0.04	0.03
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.06	0.09	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.04
Furman	SC	0.12	0.09	42.86	41.05	-0.02	-0.02
Southern California	P10	0.11	0.09	60.87	59.61	0.02	0.02
James Madison	CAA	0.11	0.09	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.09	24.00	23.74	-0.03	-0.05
Georgia Tech	ACC	0.12	0.09	72.73	68.13	0.05	0.03
Samford	SC	0.16	0.09	28.57	31.03	-0.07	-0.03
Bowling Green	MAC	0.11	0.09	47.62	45.68	-0.01	-0.01
Wofford	SC	0.10	0.09	66.67	67.94	0.03	0.03
Youngstown St.	Horz	0.05	0.09	28.57	27.72	-0.02	-0.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.10	0.09	69.57	68.48	0.04	0.03
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.16	0.09	27.27	25.82	-0.07	-0.04
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.11	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.08	-0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.11	0.09	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.09	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.03
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.09	40.91	34.84	-0.01	-0.03
Chicago St.	GWC	0.16	0.09	20.00	20.57	-0.09	-0.05
Butler	Horz	0.15	0.09	83.33	83.91	0.10	0.06
Detroit	Horz	0.05	0.09	56.52	58.43	0.01	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.09	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.15	0.09	40.91	43.37	-0.03	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.15	0.09	39.13	47.65	-0.03	-0.00
San Diego	WCC	0.11	0.09	33.33	33.43	-0.04	-0.03
Bradley	MVC	0.15	0.08	52.17	50.21	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.08	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Illinois Chicago	Horz	0.15	0.08	22.73	22.57	-0.08	-0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.10	0.08	66.67	63.46	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.15	0.08	91.30	88.21	0.12	0.06
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.08	44.00	45.15	-0.01	-0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.05	0.08	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.10	0.08	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.00	0.08	86.96	85.47	0.00	0.06
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.08	69.57	64.51	0.04	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.10	0.08	54.55	55.07	0.01	0.01
Niagara	MAAC	0.10	0.08	52.00	51.84	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.08	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.05
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.08	68.18	59.30	0.02	0.02
Iowa St.	B12	0.10	0.08	56.52	50.47	0.01	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.10	0.08	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.05	0.08	81.82	79.60	0.03	0.05
Missouri	B12	0.10	0.08	73.91	70.60	0.05	0.03
Appalachian St.	SC	0.10	0.08	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.10	0.08	33.33	35.33	-0.03	-0.02
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.08	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Louisville	BE	0.05	0.08	65.22	62.07	0.01	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.07	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.02
UCLA	P10	0.07	0.07	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.01
Iowa	B10	0.07	0.06	33.33	30.82	-0.02	-0.02
UC Davis	BW	0.12	0.06	35.00	33.21	-0.04	-0.02
Air Force	MWC	0.05	0.06	35.00	30.59	-0.01	-0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.06	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.01
Binghamton	AE	0.05	0.06	39.13	38.63	-0.01	-0.01
Boston University	AE	0.10	0.06	54.17	57.70	0.01	0.01
Chattanooga	SC	0.10	0.06	47.83	46.11	-0.00	-0.00
Davidson	SC	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.81	-0.00	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.10	0.06	17.39	20.11	-0.07	-0.04
Hartford	AE	0.10	0.06	30.43	32.48	-0.04	-0.02
Jacksonville	ASun	0.06	0.06	56.52	59.89	0.01	0.01
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.06	35.00	38.23	-0.02	-0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.06	0.06	72.00	73.54	0.03	0.03
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.06	68.00	67.20	0.02	0.02
Columbia	Ivy	0.10	0.06	40.00	39.13	-0.02	-0.01
Elon	SC	0.05	0.06	19.05	23.26	-0.03	-0.03
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.06	69.57	67.93	0.02	0.02
Temple	A10	0.11	0.06	79.17	77.57	0.06	0.03
Fordham	A10	0.10	0.06	9.52	8.87	-0.08	-0.05
Houston	CUSA	0.10	0.06	47.62	50.82	-0.00	0.00
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.05	0.06	5.00	8.59	-0.04	-0.05
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.06	54.17	58.55	0.00	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.06	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
UAB	CUSA	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.56	0.04	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.10	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.05	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.11	0.06	72.00	70.73	0.05	0.02
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.06	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.01
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.09	0.06	23.81	28.38	-0.05	-0.02
Centenary	Sum	0.10	0.06	27.27	27.20	-0.05	-0.03
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.09	0.06	22.73	22.60	-0.05	-0.03
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.09	0.06	52.38	49.31	0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
South Florida	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	62.18	0.02	0.01
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.06	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.06	90.91	82.52	0.08	0.04
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.06	79.17	77.30	0.03	0.03
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.05	0.06	60.87	57.71	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.10	0.05	61.90	56.12	0.02	0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.10	0.05	77.27	70.93	0.05	0.02
St. Mary's	WCC	0.05	0.05	86.96	84.62	0.03	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.05	0.05	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.05	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.05	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.05	0.05	66.67	64.02	0.02	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.07	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.04	0.01
Clemson	ACC	0.07	0.03	69.57	66.88	0.03	0.01
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.00	0.03	80.95	82.07	0.00	0.02
Colorado St.	MWC	0.07	0.03	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.00	0.03	20.00	21.94	-0.00	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.07	0.03	71.43	67.85	0.03	0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.00	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.00	0.00