The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Louisiana Lafayette page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Louisiana Lafayette

Conference:		SB
Expected RPI:		203.7
Current RPI:		234
Expected SOS:		234
Current SOS:		277
Current Record:		10-11
Expected Record:		13-14
Current Conf Record:		8-4
Expected Conf Record:		11-7
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		1-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-6
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-6
Current OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC Record:		2-7
Expected OOC RPI:		284
Expected OOC SOS:		262

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
16-11	151.4	1.18%
15-12	168.9	9.32%
14-13	186.6	25.63%
13-14	205.4	33.73%
12-15	224.9	23.03%
11-16	241.1	6.40%
10-17	256.2	0.70%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Louisiana Lafayette.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-14	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	H	72-79	L	0%	0.0
11-28	McNeese St. (285.0)	Slnd	A	58-60	L	0%	0.0
12-1	Louisiana St. (220.8)	SEC	A	58-66	L	0%	0.0
12-5	Sam Houston St. (79.9)	Slnd	A	95-85	W	100%	0.0
12-12	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	H	81-74	W	100%	0.0
12-15	Southern Mississippi (111.9)	CUSA	A	53-71	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Lamar (239.8)	Slnd	A	68-60	W	100%	0.0
12-21	Tulane (255.7)	CUSA	H	70-73	L	0%	0.0
12-23	Louisville (36.4)	BE	A	69-84	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Centenary (292.2)	Sum	H	68-73	L	0%	0.0
12-31	Western Kentucky (159.1)	SB	A	65-77	L	0%	0.0
1-2	Middle Tennessee (188.1)	SB	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
1-7	North Texas (158.4)	SB	H	74-72	W	100%	0.0
1-14	Denver (148.7)	SB	H	55-49	W	100%	0.0
1-16	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	A	69-76	L	0%	0.0
1-21	New Orleans (324.6)	SB	H	70-53	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Troy (170.2)	SB	H	69-54	W	100%	0.0
1-28	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	A	60-62	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	A	72-67	W	100%	0.0
2-4	Florida International (286.4)	SB	H	83-63	W	100%	0.0
2-6	Arkansas Little Rock (266.4)	SB	H	77-51	W	100%	0.0
2-11	Florida Atlantic (201.1)	SB	A	0-0		37%	-3.7
2-13	South Alabama (221.2)	SB	A	0-0		47%	-0.8
2-18	Arkansas St. (167.5)	SB	H	0-0		68%	5.1
2-20	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	0-0		85%	11.4
2-25	North Texas (158.4)	SB	A	0-0		38%	-3.3
2-27	Denver (148.7)	SB	A	0-0		37%	-3.5

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Louisiana Lafayette's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Louisiana Lafayette's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Louisiana Lafayette.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	26.43	26.38	48.28	50.99	-0.91	0.52
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	5.25	4.54	21.05	26.65	-3.04	-2.12
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	4.87	3.83	50.00	52.17	0.00	0.17
New Orleans	SB	3.21	2.89	23.81	23.73	-1.68	-1.52
Louisiana Monroe	SB	3.13	4.57	38.10	38.48	-0.75	-1.05
Florida International	SB	3.11	2.73	25.00	24.55	-1.55	-1.39
Arkansas St.	SB	3.09	4.54	55.00	56.38	0.31	0.58
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.08	2.69	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
Western Kentucky	SB	3.07	2.79	52.17	54.53	0.13	0.25
Denver	SB	3.03	4.55	63.64	61.67	0.83	1.06
North Texas	SB	3.02	4.51	65.00	66.31	0.91	1.47
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.97	4.40	47.62	48.74	-0.14	-0.11
Troy	SB	2.90	2.68	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.13
Tulane	CUSA	2.74	2.13	28.57	27.07	-1.17	-0.97
Lamar	Slnd	2.73	2.16	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.16
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.55	1.98	36.36	33.15	-0.69	-0.67
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.54	1.98	22.22	28.88	-1.41	-0.84
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.49	1.98	75.00	76.02	1.24	1.03
Centenary	Sum	2.44	1.92	23.81	24.40	-1.28	-0.98
Louisville	BE	2.43	1.88	63.64	60.81	0.66	0.41
South Alabama	SB	0.89	2.75	47.83	47.36	-0.04	-0.15
Mississippi	SEC	0.47	0.34	73.91	72.52	0.23	0.15
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.27	66.67	65.54	0.14	0.08
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.35	0.31	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.03
Rice	CUSA	0.34	0.33	31.82	30.34	-0.12	-0.13
Memphis	CUSA	0.30	0.31	69.57	69.99	0.12	0.12
UAB	CUSA	0.29	0.31	82.61	78.56	0.19	0.18
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.29	0.20	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.03
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.28	0.21	82.61	75.26	0.19	0.10
Texas St.	Slnd	0.24	0.21	36.84	36.82	-0.06	-0.06
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.24	0.24	77.27	75.69	0.13	0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.16	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.08
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.24	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.10
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.19	0.14	21.05	24.96	-0.11	-0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.19	0.14	68.42	67.04	0.07	0.05
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.19	0.17	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.03
Houston	CUSA	0.19	0.17	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.19	0.11	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
East Carolina	CUSA	0.19	0.21	20.00	21.94	-0.11	-0.12
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.19	0.10	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.18	0.24	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.18	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.18	0.13	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.16	0.08
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.14	66.67	64.62	0.06	0.04
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.17	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.09
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.17	0.20	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.10
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.10	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.03
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.13	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.05
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.13	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.07	-0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.13	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.17	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Hawaii	WAC	0.12	0.07	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.12	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.10	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.06
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.17	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.08
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.04
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.05
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.10	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.10	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.04	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.04	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.04	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.00
Samford	SC	0.06	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.03	-0.01
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.07	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.07	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.04	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Albany	AE	0.05	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.09
American	Pat	0.05	0.07	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.17	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.09
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.12	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.03
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.10	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.05

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	26.43	26.38	48.28	50.99	-0.91	0.52
Louisiana Monroe	SB	3.13	4.57	38.10	38.48	-0.75	-1.05
Denver	SB	3.03	4.55	63.64	61.67	0.83	1.06
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	5.25	4.54	21.05	26.65	-3.04	-2.12
Arkansas St.	SB	3.09	4.54	55.00	56.38	0.31	0.58
North Texas	SB	3.02	4.51	65.00	66.31	0.91	1.47
Florida Atlantic	SB	2.97	4.40	47.62	48.74	-0.14	-0.11
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	4.87	3.83	50.00	52.17	0.00	0.17
New Orleans	SB	3.21	2.89	23.81	23.73	-1.68	-1.52
Western Kentucky	SB	3.07	2.79	52.17	54.53	0.13	0.25
South Alabama	SB	0.89	2.75	47.83	47.36	-0.04	-0.15
Florida International	SB	3.11	2.73	25.00	24.55	-1.55	-1.39
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.08	2.69	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
Troy	SB	2.90	2.68	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.13
Lamar	Slnd	2.73	2.16	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.16
Tulane	CUSA	2.74	2.13	28.57	27.07	-1.17	-0.97
McNeese St.	Slnd	2.54	1.98	22.22	28.88	-1.41	-0.84
Louisiana St.	SEC	2.55	1.98	36.36	33.15	-0.69	-0.67
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.49	1.98	75.00	76.02	1.24	1.03
Centenary	Sum	2.44	1.92	23.81	24.40	-1.28	-0.98
Louisville	BE	2.43	1.88	63.64	60.81	0.66	0.41
Mississippi	SEC	0.47	0.34	73.91	72.52	0.23	0.15
Rice	CUSA	0.34	0.33	31.82	30.34	-0.12	-0.13
Memphis	CUSA	0.30	0.31	69.57	69.99	0.12	0.12
UAB	CUSA	0.29	0.31	82.61	78.56	0.19	0.18
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.35	0.31	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.03
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.27	66.67	65.54	0.14	0.08
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.18	0.24	47.06	43.53	-0.01	-0.03
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.24	0.24	77.27	75.69	0.13	0.12
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.24	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.10
Texas St.	Slnd	0.24	0.21	36.84	36.82	-0.06	-0.06
East Carolina	CUSA	0.19	0.21	20.00	21.94	-0.11	-0.12
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.28	0.21	82.61	75.26	0.19	0.10
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.29	0.20	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.03
Northwestern St.	Slnd	0.17	0.20	23.53	26.10	-0.09	-0.10
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.13	0.17	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.19	0.17	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.03
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.11	0.17	22.22	26.51	-0.06	-0.08
Houston	CUSA	0.19	0.17	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.05	0.17	22.73	24.05	-0.03	-0.09
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.17	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.09
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.16	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.08
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.19	0.14	21.05	24.96	-0.11	-0.07
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.19	0.14	68.42	67.04	0.07	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.14	66.67	64.62	0.06	0.04
Auburn	SEC	0.18	0.13	45.45	42.62	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.11	0.13	47.62	45.44	-0.01	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.13	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.05
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.12	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.18	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.03
Canisius	MAAC	0.19	0.11	44.00	45.15	-0.02	-0.01
North Florida	ASun	0.19	0.11	43.48	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.10	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Southern Methodist	CUSA	0.19	0.10	45.00	43.95	-0.02	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.11	0.10	23.53	25.88	-0.06	-0.05
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Southern Utah	Sum	0.12	0.10	19.05	20.55	-0.07	-0.06
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.05	0.10	0.00	5.15	-0.05	-0.09
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.10	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.04
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.10	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.16	0.08
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.16	0.10	25.00	34.68	-0.08	-0.03
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.10	0.09	39.13	43.30	-0.02	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.13	0.07	22.73	21.40	-0.07	-0.04
Montana St.	BSky	0.13	0.07	47.62	48.65	-0.01	-0.00
Albany	AE	0.05	0.07	23.08	25.77	-0.03	-0.03
American	Pat	0.05	0.07	30.43	32.39	-0.02	-0.02
Boise St.	WAC	0.06	0.07	45.45	45.95	-0.01	-0.01
Cal Poly	BW	0.11	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	0.11	0.07	42.86	45.31	-0.02	-0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.07	33.33	35.33	-0.02	-0.02
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	22.73	27.28	-0.03	-0.03
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	0.05	0.07	38.10	38.08	-0.01	-0.02
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
North Dakota St.	Sum	0.11	0.07	33.33	33.96	-0.04	-0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.07	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.06	0.07	27.27	25.82	-0.03	-0.03
Tennessee Martin	OVC	0.06	0.07	5.00	8.59	-0.05	-0.06
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.06	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Western Illinois	Sum	0.05	0.07	30.00	31.79	-0.02	-0.02
Hawaii	WAC	0.12	0.07	36.36	33.80	-0.03	-0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.12	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.06	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Wyoming	MWC	0.05	0.06	33.33	30.72	-0.02	-0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.05
Cleveland St.	Horz	0.07	0.04	45.45	46.81	-0.01	-0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.04	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.04	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.00
Georgia Southern	SC	0.06	0.04	17.39	20.11	-0.04	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.06	0.04	40.91	43.37	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Samford	SC	0.06	0.03	28.57	31.03	-0.03	-0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	20.58	-0.03	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.06	0.03	12.00	18.82	-0.04	-0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.05	0.03	33.33	39.38	-0.02	-0.01
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Howard	MEAC	0.05	0.03	25.00	26.64	-0.03	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Penn St.	B10	0.05	0.03	34.78	32.23	-0.02	-0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.05	0.03	8.70	9.54	-0.04	-0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.03	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.02
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.05	0.03	29.17	28.85	-0.02	-0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
James Madison	CAA	0.05	0.03	43.48	39.98	-0.01	-0.01
Monmouth	NEC	0.05	0.03	41.67	42.69	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
North Carolina Central	ind	0.05	0.03	4.76	9.78	-0.04	-0.02
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.03	22.73	22.60	-0.03	-0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.03	14.29	15.65	-0.04	-0.02
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	2.49	1.98	75.00	76.02	1.24	1.03
North Texas	SB	3.02	4.51	65.00	66.31	0.91	1.47
Denver	SB	3.03	4.55	63.64	61.67	0.83	1.06
Louisville	BE	2.43	1.88	63.64	60.81	0.66	0.41
Arkansas St.	SB	3.09	4.54	55.00	56.38	0.31	0.58
Mississippi	SEC	0.47	0.34	73.91	72.52	0.23	0.15
UAB	CUSA	0.29	0.31	82.61	78.56	0.19	0.18
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.28	0.21	82.61	75.26	0.19	0.10
Kentucky	SEC	0.17	0.10	95.65	88.67	0.16	0.08
Marshall	CUSA	0.41	0.27	66.67	65.54	0.14	0.08
Western Kentucky	SB	3.07	2.79	52.17	54.53	0.13	0.25
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.24	0.24	77.27	75.69	0.13	0.12
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.23	0.16	76.19	73.20	0.12	0.08
Memphis	CUSA	0.30	0.31	69.57	69.99	0.12	0.12
Tulsa	CUSA	0.22	0.24	77.27	70.93	0.12	0.10
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.17	0.17	79.17	78.03	0.10	0.09
Murray St.	OVC	0.10	0.06	86.96	85.47	0.07	0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.19	0.14	68.42	67.04	0.07	0.05
Tennessee	SEC	0.10	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.07	0.03
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.16	0.13	69.57	68.48	0.06	0.05
Missouri St.	MVC	0.17	0.14	66.67	64.62	0.06	0.04
Florida	SEC	0.11	0.10	73.91	67.72	0.05	0.04
Wright St.	Horz	0.18	0.11	62.50	65.32	0.05	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.12	0.07	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.01
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.05	0.06	91.30	88.21	0.04	0.05
Villanova	BE	0.05	0.03	90.91	82.52	0.04	0.02
Miami FL	ACC	0.11	0.10	68.18	62.73	0.04	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.05	0.03	86.36	82.20	0.04	0.02
Oakland	Sum	0.11	0.07	66.67	69.41	0.04	0.03
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.03	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.02
South Florida	BE	0.11	0.10	65.22	62.18	0.03	0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.06	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.03
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.05	0.03	78.26	71.72	0.03	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.07	72.73	66.85	0.03	0.02
Pittsburgh	BE	0.05	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.02	0.01
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.29	0.20	54.17	58.55	0.02	0.03
Maryland	ACC	0.05	0.07	71.43	67.85	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.10	0.09	60.87	56.49	0.02	0.01
Western Carolina	SC	0.05	0.03	71.43	69.51	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.06	0.07	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.05	0.03	70.83	73.80	0.02	0.01
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.19	0.17	55.56	58.32	0.02	0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.16	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.02	0.01
Alabama	SEC	0.16	0.13	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.11	0.10	59.09	51.13	0.02	0.00
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.07	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.02
Montana	BSky	0.05	0.06	68.18	70.35	0.02	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.05	0.03	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.01
IUPUI	Sum	0.05	0.07	65.22	67.00	0.02	0.02
Marquette	BE	0.05	0.06	65.22	66.09	0.02	0.02
Eastern Kentucky	OVC	0.05	0.03	65.22	64.71	0.01	0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.05	0.03	63.64	58.79	0.01	0.01
George Mason	CAA	0.05	0.03	62.50	57.74	0.01	0.00
Portland	WCC	0.05	0.06	61.90	65.68	0.01	0.02
Cincinnati	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.01	0.00
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.03	60.00	63.83	0.01	0.01
Colorado St.	MWC	0.05	0.06	59.09	52.85	0.01	0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.05	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.01	0.00
Western Michigan	MAC	0.07	0.04	54.55	56.62	0.01	0.00
North Carolina	ACC	0.05	0.03	56.52	51.96	0.01	0.00
Appalachian St.	SC	0.05	0.03	55.00	60.15	0.01	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.05	0.06	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.05	0.03	54.55	54.05	0.00	0.00
Rider	MAAC	0.07	0.04	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Radford	BSth	0.05	0.03	52.38	56.23	0.00	0.00
Arkansas	SEC	0.05	0.12	52.17	48.47	0.00	-0.00
Providence	BE	0.05	0.03	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.00	0.10	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.11	0.07	50.00	50.68	0.00	0.00
DePaul	BE	0.00	0.03	34.78	33.89	-0.00	-0.01
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.05	0.03	50.00	53.75	0.00	0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.00	0.03	37.50	38.45	-0.00	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	2.73	2.16	50.00	46.39	0.00	-0.16
Middle Tennessee	SB	3.08	2.69	50.00	53.33	0.00	0.18
Notre Dame	BE	0.00	0.03	70.83	63.39	0.00	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.11	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.00	0.03	30.43	29.01	-0.00	-0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.16	0.13	50.00	50.91	0.00	0.00
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.35	0.31	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.03
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	4.87	3.83	50.00	52.17	0.00	0.17
Syracuse	BE	0.00	0.06	95.83	91.37	0.00	0.05
Troy	SB	2.90	2.68	50.00	52.40	0.00	0.13
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.05	0.03	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Bowling Green	MAC	0.05	0.03	47.62	45.68	-0.00	-0.00
La Salle	A10	0.05	0.03	47.83	46.36	-0.00	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.06	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.05	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.00	-0.00
Hofstra	CAA	0.05	0.07	45.83	47.77	-0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00