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Through games of Jan 22, 2018.


LIU Brooklyn

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:276.7
Current RPI:280
Expected SOS:321
Current SOS:318
Current Record:8-12
Expected Record:13-17
Current Conf Record:4-4
Expected Conf Record:9-9
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:2-5
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:10-11
Current OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC Record:4-8
Expected OOC RPI:296
Expected OOC SOS:325



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
18-12196.00.02%
17-13214.10.56%
16-14228.22.66%
15-15243.49.35%
14-16258.218.49%
13-17273.425.76%
12-18288.722.82%
11-19303.014.10%
10-20315.55.08%
9-21325.71.03%
8-22333.80.12%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for LIU Brooklyn.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-10Tulane (108.5)AmerA102-96L0%0.0
11-13Fordham (280.9)A10A81-68L0%0.0
11-17Miami OH (185.3)MACN74-78L0%0.0
11-18Hartford (253.6)AEN84-86W100%0.0
11-22UMass Lowell (309.2)AEA74-66L0%0.0
11-25Brown (260.9)IvyA94-86L0%0.0
11-28NJIT (276.2)ASunA73-69L0%0.0
11-30Hartford (253.6)AEH79-78W100%0.0
12-4Stony Brook (197.0)AEH75-71W100%0.0
12-10Fairfield (218.2)MAACH72-76L0%0.0
12-17Saint Peter's (240.0)MAACH56-71L0%0.0
12-22Binghamton (282.6)AEA66-74W100%0.0
12-29Fairleigh Dickinson (280.4)NECH71-82L0%0.0
12-31Mount St. Mary's (257.7)NECH71-57W100%0.0
1-4St. Francis PA (157.7)NECA85-68L0%0.0
1-6Robert Morris (152.6)NECA88-79L0%0.0
1-11Fairleigh Dickinson (280.4)NECA85-90W100%0.0
1-13Wagner (144.0)NECH69-67W100%0.0
1-18Bryant (330.9)NECH83-79W100%0.0
1-20Central Connecticut (253.0)NECA72-63L0%0.0
1-25Mount St. Mary's (257.7)NECA0-035%-4.2
1-27Central Connecticut (253.0)NECH0-064%4.0
2-1Sacred Heart (315.8)NECA0-042%-2.1
2-3Bryant (330.9)NECA0-055%1.5
2-8St. Francis PA (157.7)NECH0-040%-2.9
2-10Robert Morris (152.6)NECH0-042%-2.2
2-15St. Francis NY (283.4)NECA0-044%-1.8
2-17Wagner (144.0)NECA0-021%-8.8
2-22St. Francis NY (283.4)NECH0-066%4.6
2-24Sacred Heart (315.8)NECH0-065%4.3


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

LIU Brooklyn's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


LIU Brooklyn's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  LIU Brooklyn.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
LIU BrooklynNEC26.6426.4440.4842.94-5.07-3.73
Sacred HeartNEC0.804.4030.0032.56-0.32-1.54
WagnerNEC3.244.3968.7566.581.211.46
Central ConnecticutNEC3.344.3850.0047.190.00-0.25
BryantNEC3.054.3510.0016.76-2.44-2.89
St. Francis NYNEC0.614.3433.3334.44-0.20-1.35
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC5.454.3120.0031.18-3.27-1.62
St. Francis PANEC2.884.2850.0057.590.000.65
Robert MorrisNEC2.914.2655.0059.140.290.78
Mount St. Mary'sNEC2.914.2644.4445.92-0.32-0.35
HartfordAE5.473.7655.5649.330.61-0.05
UMass LowellAE2.982.1329.4131.42-1.23-0.79
Stony BrookAE2.851.9938.8946.80-0.63-0.13
BinghamtonAE2.761.9544.4441.36-0.31-0.34
BrownIvy2.821.9246.1542.94-0.22-0.27
Saint Peter'sMAAC2.721.8738.8944.16-0.60-0.22
NJITASun2.881.8535.2940.37-0.85-0.36
FordhamA102.641.7827.7826.58-1.17-0.83
Miami OHMAC2.761.7843.7539.29-0.34-0.38
FairfieldMAAC2.641.7635.2942.08-0.78-0.28
TulaneAmer2.641.7261.1156.410.590.22
MaineAE0.380.4310.5314.83-0.30-0.30
New HampshireAE0.330.3733.3340.10-0.11-0.07
AlbanyAE0.390.3471.4370.250.170.14
RutgersB100.590.3155.0046.650.06-0.02
UMBCAE0.190.2955.5655.550.020.03
VermontAE0.260.2975.0077.870.130.16
RiderMAAC0.390.2965.0065.330.120.09
SienaMAAC0.120.2228.5729.93-0.05-0.09
IonaMAAC0.350.2160.0064.130.070.06
QuinnipiacMAAC0.280.2035.0031.82-0.08-0.07
Seton HallBE0.360.1875.0067.910.180.07
AmericanPat0.210.1825.0026.03-0.11-0.09
MaristMAAC0.230.1821.0521.99-0.13-0.10
NiagaraMAAC0.210.1857.1453.040.030.01
ManhattanMAAC0.270.1750.0050.860.000.00
DartmouthIvy0.060.1721.4326.34-0.03-0.08
DuquesneA100.130.1770.0058.090.050.03
Boston CollegeACC0.180.1765.0054.600.060.02
Loyola MDPat0.270.1422.2228.66-0.15-0.06
BuffaloMAC0.200.1472.2274.940.090.07
CanisiusMAAC0.130.1461.9063.170.030.04
PrincetonIvy0.150.1352.9460.230.010.03
CornellIvy0.140.1233.3333.23-0.05-0.04
Florida Gulf CoastASun0.070.1257.8966.270.010.04
LehighPat0.140.1238.8944.74-0.03-0.01
North FloridaASun0.140.1231.5835.15-0.05-0.04
YaleIvy0.240.1241.1847.61-0.04-0.01
Holy CrossPat0.150.1230.0032.58-0.06-0.04
Notre DameACC0.070.1263.1661.000.020.03
NorthwesternB100.160.1255.0050.370.020.00
ProvidenceBE0.160.1270.0060.470.060.02
LouisvilleACC0.130.1278.9569.820.080.05
LafayettePat0.140.1222.2227.46-0.08-0.05
MonmouthMAAC0.070.1127.7841.03-0.03-0.02
OhioMAC0.070.1147.0648.43-0.00-0.00
NavyPat0.060.1160.0055.160.010.01
Coppin St.MEAC0.130.119.5217.86-0.10-0.07
East CarolinaAmer0.060.1142.1132.46-0.01-0.04
MemphisAmer0.130.1165.0058.540.040.02
St. John'sBE0.060.1147.3742.16-0.00-0.02
North Carolina St.ACC0.120.1165.0056.350.040.01
ColumbiaIvy0.070.0920.0032.24-0.04-0.03
PennIvy0.070.0964.7162.690.020.02
HarvardIvy0.070.0937.5046.70-0.02-0.01
JacksonvilleASun0.140.0933.3333.76-0.05-0.03
MarylandB100.210.0966.6763.130.070.02
MissouriSEC0.150.0966.6763.150.050.02
Penn St.B100.210.0961.9055.820.050.01
DaytonA100.070.0947.3750.94-0.000.00
ArmyPat0.070.0961.1160.440.010.02
Morgan St.MEAC0.130.0933.3340.35-0.04-0.02
DrexelCAA0.130.0830.0030.97-0.05-0.03
HoustonAmer0.140.0878.9573.000.080.04
La SalleA100.130.0840.0042.69-0.03-0.01
DePaulBE0.130.0842.1134.30-0.02-0.03
Norfolk St.MEAC0.130.0817.6534.76-0.08-0.03
Northern IllinoisMAC0.060.0841.1839.14-0.01-0.02
Ohio St.B100.130.0881.8276.870.080.04
DukeACC0.070.0689.4785.240.060.04
Kennesaw St.ASun0.000.0616.6724.900.00-0.03
LipscombASun0.000.0652.9459.380.000.01
LongwoodBSth0.070.0616.6716.15-0.05-0.04
Saint Mary'sWCC0.070.0690.4888.970.060.05
San FranciscoWCC0.070.0650.0048.730.00-0.00
StetsonASun0.070.0633.3336.93-0.02-0.02
USC UpstateASun0.070.0611.1118.00-0.05-0.04
Rhode IslandA100.090.0683.3381.450.060.04
ColgatePat0.140.0650.0051.030.000.00
DenverSum0.000.0633.3336.470.00-0.02
West VirginiaB120.140.0680.0076.040.080.03
MassachusettsA100.070.0650.0046.810.00-0.00
AkronMAC0.000.0647.0644.920.00-0.01
Ball St.MAC0.140.0661.1158.710.030.01
Bowling GreenMAC0.150.0658.8249.740.03-0.00
Eastern MichiganMAC0.000.0646.6747.000.00-0.00
FIUCUSA0.130.0635.2935.54-0.04-0.02
GeorgetownBE0.070.0668.4254.080.020.00
Kent St.MAC0.070.0644.4444.91-0.01-0.01
MarquetteBE0.070.0668.4260.530.020.01
PittsburghACC0.070.0640.0030.88-0.01-0.02
PortlandWCC0.130.0627.7827.26-0.06-0.03
Western MichiganMAC0.070.0652.9452.250.000.00
Wright St.Horz0.140.0668.4269.260.050.02
ConnecticutAmer0.130.0652.6347.380.01-0.00
George MasonA100.070.0645.0041.29-0.01-0.01
South AlabamaSB0.130.0650.0045.850.00-0.00
DavidsonA100.070.0658.8261.440.010.01
Florida St.ACC0.130.0673.6869.660.060.02
Saint Joseph'sA100.070.0650.0051.640.000.00
SMUAmer0.130.0670.0070.610.050.02
South FloridaAmer0.000.0635.0026.130.00-0.03
TempleAmer0.070.0652.6351.740.000.00
TulsaAmer0.070.0655.0053.330.010.00
VCUA100.070.0660.0059.710.010.01
Cleveland St.Horz0.060.0520.0023.33-0.04-0.03
GeorgiaSEC0.060.0566.6755.900.020.01
Grand CanyonWAC0.060.0570.0071.220.020.02
Little RockSB0.060.0522.2225.19-0.03-0.03
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.060.0555.5657.250.010.01
San DiegoWCC0.060.0563.1657.530.020.01
Youngstown St.Horz0.060.0521.0523.52-0.03-0.03
Boston UniversityPat0.070.0350.0053.280.000.00
WisconsinB100.070.0350.0046.270.00-0.00
Austin PeayOVC0.070.0344.4446.01-0.01-0.00
BucknellPat0.070.0361.9068.000.020.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.070.0317.6519.29-0.04-0.02
Central MichiganMAC0.000.0362.5058.710.000.01
Delaware St.MEAC0.070.030.008.42-0.07-0.02
ElonCAA0.070.0352.6351.090.000.00
EvansvilleMVC0.070.0352.6347.500.00-0.00
Fort WayneSum0.070.0352.6351.680.000.00
Gardner WebbBSth0.070.0338.8940.78-0.02-0.01
HofstraCAA0.070.0357.8959.500.010.01
Houston BaptistSlnd0.070.035.8819.39-0.06-0.02
Michigan St.B100.070.0385.7183.760.050.02
Montana St.BSky0.070.0350.0047.650.00-0.00
Old DominionCUSA0.070.0378.9576.770.040.02
PurdueB100.070.0390.4888.390.060.02
ToledoMAC0.000.0366.6767.670.000.01
Western IllinoisSum0.070.0342.8635.22-0.01-0.01
Alcorn St.SWAC0.070.0317.6527.34-0.04-0.01
CincinnatiAmer0.000.0389.4785.550.000.02
Colorado St.MWC0.070.0345.0041.31-0.01-0.00
East Tennessee St.SC0.070.0377.7879.160.040.02
Florida A&MMEAC0.070.0310.0019.62-0.05-0.02
George WashingtonA100.000.0345.0043.490.00-0.00
Georgia St.SB0.070.0366.6765.550.020.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.070.0350.0051.390.000.00
North CarolinaACC0.070.0376.1972.570.030.01
RichmondA100.070.0331.5834.35-0.02-0.01
Saint LouisA100.000.0347.3746.930.00-0.00
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.070.0352.9455.030.000.00
SouthernSWAC0.070.0331.5840.82-0.02-0.01
St. BonaventureA100.070.0366.6768.750.020.01
UCFAmer0.000.0368.4260.830.000.01
Wichita St.Amer0.000.0378.9577.380.000.02