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Through games of Feb 22, 2017.


LIU Brooklyn

Conference:NEC
Expected RPI:230.1
Current RPI:237
Expected SOS:338
Current SOS:341
Current Record:17-11
Expected Record:18-12
Current Conf Record:11-5
Expected Conf Record:12-6
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:3-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:15-8
Current OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC Record:6-6
Expected OOC RPI:217
Expected OOC SOS:316



RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
19-11216.39.66%
18-12225.843.64%
17-13236.946.69%

NEW!: Change any future/past game to a win/loss/prob(win) and see the resulting predicted RPI:


Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for LIU Brooklyn.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocationScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-16Loyola MD (190.7)PatH65-61W100%0.0
11-19Northeastern (136.9)CAAN78-74W100%0.0
11-20Boston University (191.3)PatA86-69L0%0.0
11-21Maine (328.5)AEN66-71W100%0.0
11-26UMass Lowell (302.1)AEA78-82W100%0.0
11-30Hartford (322.5)AEA68-75W100%0.0
12-3Incarnate Word (295.1)SlndA90-79L0%0.0
12-6North Carolina Central (193.5)MEACA79-56L0%0.0
12-11St. John's (130.7)BEN74-73W100%0.0
12-14Minnesota (20.9)B10A76-66L0%0.0
12-18Dartmouth (304.1)IvyH68-82L0%0.0
12-21Niagara (278.9)MAACH66-75L0%0.0
12-29Mount St. Mary's (154.6)NECH65-67L0%0.0
12-31Bryant (274.8)NECH74-63W100%0.0
1-5Robert Morris (260.7)NECA54-65W100%0.0
1-7St. Francis PA (284.5)NECA70-83W100%0.0
1-12Central Connecticut (345.1)NECH60-49W100%0.0
1-14St. Francis NY (347.8)NECH63-58W100%0.0
1-19Wagner (234.4)NECH76-69W100%0.0
1-21Fairleigh Dickinson (259.8)NECA83-66L0%0.0
1-26Sacred Heart (290.3)NECA57-60W100%0.0
1-28Central Connecticut (345.1)NECA61-52L0%0.0
2-2Robert Morris (260.7)NECH63-67L0%0.0
2-4St. Francis PA (284.5)NECH78-80L0%0.0
2-9Bryant (274.8)NECA85-88W100%0.0
2-11Fairleigh Dickinson (259.8)NECH75-69W100%0.0
2-15St. Francis NY (347.8)NECA45-82W100%0.0
2-18Sacred Heart (290.3)NECH83-82W100%0.0
2-23Mount St. Mary's (154.6)NECA0-028%-6.1
2-25Wagner (234.4)NECA0-033%-4.7


Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

LIU Brooklyn's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES


LIU Brooklyn's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against  LIU Brooklyn.

RPI Impact is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.



Click on any column to sort. Initially sorted by Future Weight.


TeamConfCurr WgtFut WgtCurr W/LExp W/LCurr ImpactExp Impact
LIU BrooklynNEC26.3726.3761.5960.986.125.79
Central ConnecticutNEC4.444.3216.0017.79-3.02-2.78
Mount St. Mary'sNEC2.774.3050.0051.500.000.13
Sacred HeartNEC4.424.3048.1547.00-0.16-0.26
BryantNEC4.424.2738.4639.80-1.02-0.87
WagnerNEC2.724.2654.1754.810.230.41
Robert MorrisNEC4.364.2537.0438.92-1.13-0.94
St. Francis NYNEC4.394.2411.5412.20-3.38-3.21
Fairleigh DickinsonNEC4.354.2437.5037.68-1.09-1.04
St. Francis PANEC4.354.2441.6743.41-0.72-0.56
UMass LowellAE2.142.0134.4834.48-0.66-0.62
HartfordAE2.101.9531.0330.19-0.80-0.77
MaineAE2.071.9217.8618.09-1.33-1.23
Boston UniversityPat1.981.8451.8551.700.070.06
Loyola MDPat1.911.8150.0050.850.000.03
DartmouthIvy1.911.7822.7323.12-1.04-0.96
NortheasternCAA1.881.7551.8550.180.070.01
MinnesotaB101.851.7574.0772.590.890.79
NiagaraMAAC1.821.6928.5729.32-0.78-0.70
St. John'sBE1.821.6944.4443.45-0.20-0.22
Incarnate WordSlnd1.791.6728.5730.30-0.77-0.66
North Carolina CentralMEAC1.791.6773.9176.240.850.87
BinghamtonAE0.350.3433.3334.84-0.12-0.10
BrownIvy0.290.2837.5037.60-0.07-0.07
LehighPat0.290.2859.2660.160.050.06
Stony BrookAE0.310.2860.7159.030.070.05
New HampshireAE0.320.2857.6958.050.050.05
YaleIvy0.260.2659.0960.220.050.05
AmericanPat0.200.2425.0025.07-0.10-0.12
ArmyPat0.260.2339.2938.46-0.06-0.05
FairfieldMAAC0.200.2351.8551.130.010.01
LafayettePat0.260.2325.9325.63-0.12-0.11
BucknellPat0.220.2273.3373.730.100.11
VermontAE0.250.2282.7682.940.160.15
AlbanyAE0.210.2258.6259.810.040.04
UMBCAE0.210.2261.5460.470.050.05
DuquesneA100.230.2035.7134.58-0.07-0.06
NavyPat0.220.2050.0048.770.00-0.00
ProvidenceBE0.160.2060.7160.840.030.04
TowsonCAA0.230.2064.2961.960.060.05
Holy CrossPat0.190.2050.0050.080.000.00
RutgersB100.230.2042.8642.33-0.03-0.03
FordhamA100.230.2044.4444.02-0.03-0.02
Saint Peter'sMAAC0.200.2057.1457.270.030.03
PennIvy0.170.1747.8350.32-0.010.00
Seton HallBE0.200.1762.9661.760.050.04
HarvardIvy0.170.1566.6765.300.060.04
Ohio St.B100.170.1453.5752.340.010.01
RiderMAAC0.130.1453.3353.310.010.01
CanisiusMAAC0.160.1458.6258.690.030.02
ConnecticutAmer0.100.1250.0049.270.00-0.00
LongwoodBSth0.140.1216.0016.19-0.09-0.08
CornellIvy0.140.1225.0025.31-0.07-0.06
ColgatePat0.130.1231.0332.74-0.05-0.04
MonmouthMAAC0.100.1282.7681.880.060.07
NJITASun0.130.1129.6330.60-0.05-0.04
IonaMAAC0.130.1162.0762.320.030.03
MarquetteBE0.130.1162.9661.410.030.03
MaristMAAC0.130.1124.1424.50-0.07-0.06
Boston CollegeACC0.130.1132.1430.40-0.05-0.04
Norfolk St.MEAC0.130.1146.1546.92-0.01-0.01
DrexelCAA0.120.1128.5729.06-0.05-0.05
HofstraCAA0.130.1142.8642.57-0.02-0.02
ManhattanMAAC0.130.1133.3332.68-0.04-0.04
VirginiaACC0.130.1166.6767.600.040.04
BuffaloMAC0.120.1150.0050.440.000.00
Michigan St.B100.130.1159.2657.930.020.02
QuinnipiacMAAC0.120.1135.7136.66-0.03-0.03
DePaulBE0.130.1132.1430.89-0.04-0.04
Morgan St.MEAC0.070.0944.0045.06-0.01-0.01
ColumbiaIvy0.110.0940.9140.59-0.02-0.02
MassachusettsA100.070.0948.1547.57-0.00-0.00
Delaware St.MEAC0.110.0925.9327.44-0.05-0.04
Savannah St.MEAC0.060.0933.3334.37-0.02-0.03
St. BonaventureA100.100.0962.9663.390.030.02
Notre DameACC0.100.0975.0074.370.050.04
Coppin St.MEAC0.070.0825.9326.05-0.03-0.04
HamptonMEAC0.100.0841.6743.49-0.02-0.01
North Carolina St.ACC0.100.0851.7249.530.00-0.00
CreightonBE0.060.0877.7875.390.040.04
NorthwesternB100.100.0871.4368.340.040.03
OaklandHorz0.090.0874.0773.500.050.04
ArkansasSEC0.060.0875.0071.920.030.04
MichiganB100.060.0864.2963.090.020.02
Penn St.B100.060.0850.0048.740.00-0.00
Southern IllinoisMVC0.060.0848.2848.17-0.00-0.00
UT ArlingtonSB0.060.0876.0076.570.030.04
Youngstown St.Horz0.090.0832.1431.91-0.03-0.03
Abilene ChristianSlnd0.040.0736.3636.47-0.01-0.02
Houston BaptistSlnd0.080.0742.8645.36-0.01-0.01
Nicholls St.Slnd0.040.0734.7833.41-0.01-0.02
Sam Houston St.Slnd0.080.0758.3359.220.010.01
Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.080.0752.1753.700.000.00
Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.040.0760.8762.050.010.02
McNeese St.Slnd0.080.0622.7323.17-0.04-0.03
HowardMEAC0.070.0619.2321.44-0.05-0.04
Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.070.0630.7733.71-0.03-0.02
North Carolina A&TMEAC0.040.060.003.38-0.04-0.06
PrincetonIvy0.040.0672.7374.040.020.03
CincinnatiAmer0.070.0688.8987.450.050.04
LipscombASun0.070.0655.5655.680.010.01
Texas A&MSEC0.070.0651.8551.660.000.00
Bethune CookmanMEAC0.030.0620.0022.21-0.02-0.03
Old DominionCUSA0.070.0661.5462.870.020.01
SyracuseACC0.060.0658.6257.910.010.01
College of CharlestonCAA0.060.0671.4372.700.030.03
DelawareCAA0.060.0637.0435.10-0.02-0.02
Eastern WashingtonBSky0.060.0664.0065.600.020.02
ElonCAA0.030.0655.5656.900.000.01
GonzagaWCC0.060.06100.0099.810.060.06
James MadisonCAA0.060.0625.0026.38-0.03-0.03
Louisiana MonroeSB0.060.0620.0021.74-0.04-0.03
OhioMAC0.060.0668.0068.550.020.02
UNC WilmingtonCAA0.030.0681.4881.510.020.04
UT Rio Grande ValleyWAC0.060.0628.0028.37-0.03-0.02
William & MaryCAA0.060.0652.0053.050.000.00
IndianaB100.060.0553.5752.940.000.00
Kent St.MAC0.060.0555.5655.100.010.01
ArizonaP120.060.0589.2987.680.050.04
ButlerBE0.060.0578.5777.620.040.03
George MasonA100.030.0562.9661.470.010.01
GeorgetownBE0.030.0550.0049.130.00-0.00
Iowa St.B120.030.0566.6764.750.010.02
Kansas St.B120.060.0560.7159.890.010.01
MarylandB100.060.0577.7876.990.040.03
North TexasCUSA0.060.0525.0025.84-0.03-0.03
Northern ColoradoBSky0.060.0529.1731.48-0.03-0.02
RichmondA100.060.0559.2659.930.010.01
Santa ClaraWCC0.060.0550.0049.560.00-0.00
SienaMAAC0.060.0548.2848.54-0.00-0.00
VillanovaBE0.060.0589.6688.760.050.04
West VirginiaB120.030.0578.5777.800.020.03
WisconsinB100.030.0581.4880.840.020.03
XavierBE0.060.0564.2964.300.020.02
Central ArkansasSlnd0.040.0327.5928.17-0.02-0.01
LamarSlnd0.040.0350.0052.050.000.00
Loyola MarymountWCC0.040.0346.1546.35-0.00-0.00
MemphisAmer0.040.0366.6763.170.010.01
New OrleansSlnd0.040.0359.0960.070.010.01
Northwestern St.Slnd0.040.0327.2728.66-0.02-0.01
RiceCUSA0.040.0364.0063.500.010.01
Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.040.0348.1548.38-0.00-0.00
TexasB120.040.0335.7134.84-0.01-0.01
Texas TechB120.040.0360.7159.310.010.01
UNLVMWC0.040.0335.7134.80-0.01-0.01
Cal St. BakersfieldWAC0.040.0369.5771.400.020.01
Coastal CarolinaSB0.040.0346.1547.50-0.00-0.00
East CarolinaAmer0.040.0346.4343.89-0.00-0.00
Florida A&MMEAC0.040.0320.0020.88-0.02-0.02
Jackson St.SWAC0.040.0337.5042.38-0.01-0.00
LSUSEC0.040.0333.3331.80-0.01-0.01
MarshallCUSA0.040.0353.8554.710.000.00
MissouriSEC0.040.0325.9325.77-0.02-0.01
Northern KentuckyHorz0.040.0362.9662.600.010.01
Rhode IslandA100.040.0366.6766.780.010.01
South Carolina St.MEAC0.040.0328.0029.86-0.02-0.01
Western CarolinaSC0.040.0322.2222.75-0.02-0.02
DukeACC0.030.0378.5776.170.020.01
Fort WayneSum0.030.0360.0060.590.010.01
LibertyBSth0.030.0357.6957.630.000.00
Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.030.0314.2918.10-0.02-0.02
Virginia TechACC0.030.0370.3769.250.010.01
Appalachian St.SB0.030.0325.0027.77-0.01-0.01
Arkansas St.SB0.030.0369.2368.600.010.01
Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.030.0343.4843.27-0.00-0.00
DavidsonA100.030.0353.8552.600.000.00
Florida St.ACC0.030.0378.5776.210.020.01
Georgia SouthernSB0.030.0357.6955.370.000.00
IllinoisB100.030.0355.5655.020.000.00
IowaB100.030.0353.5751.590.000.00
Louisiana LafayetteSB0.030.0356.0055.900.000.00
NebraskaB100.000.0344.0042.70-0.00-0.00
Northern IllinoisMAC0.030.0348.0047.41-0.00-0.00
PurdueB100.030.0382.1480.780.020.02
TulaneAmer0.030.0318.5218.47-0.02-0.02
VanderbiltSEC0.030.0353.5751.920.000.00
VCUA100.030.0382.1479.370.020.02