The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Central Florida page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 14, 2010.

Central Florida

Conference:		CUSA
Expected RPI:		191.0
Current RPI:		191
Expected SOS:		143
Current SOS:		143
Current Record:		14-17
Expected Record:		14-17
Current Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Conf Record:		7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-8
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		9-2
Current OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC Record:		7-6
Expected OOC RPI:		168
Expected OOC SOS:		189

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record		Expected RPI		Probability
14-17		191.0		100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Central Florida.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Massachusetts (176.0)	A10	H	84-67	W	100%	0.0
11-17	Howard (330.0)	MEAC	H	68-59	W	100%	0.0
11-20	Auburn (156.0)	SEC	N	84-74	W	100%	0.0
11-21	Niagara (130.0)	MAAC	N	46-63	L	0%	0.0
11-22	Drake (179.0)	MVC	N	59-50	W	100%	0.0
11-28	Albany (302.0)	AE	H	76-72	W	100%	0.0
12-6	Notre Dame (49.0)	BE	A	72-90	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Bethune Cookman (259.0)	MEAC	H	63-50	W	100%	0.0
12-16	South Florida (71.0)	BE	A	65-69	L	0%	0.0
12-20	Connecticut (64.0)	BE	A	51-60	L	0%	0.0
12-29	Liberty (232.0)	BSth	H	82-58	W	100%	0.0
12-30	Jacksonville (143.0)	ASun	H	51-61	L	0%	0.0
1-5	Mississippi (61.0)	SEC	A	56-84	L	0%	0.0
1-9	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	H	77-58	W	100%	0.0
1-13	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	H	75-81	L	0%	0.0
1-16	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	A	70-90	L	0%	0.0
1-20	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	A	78-71	W	100%	0.0
1-23	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	H	59-96	L	0%	0.0
1-27	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	A	43-65	L	0%	0.0
1-30	Tulsa (68.0)	CUSA	H	50-55	L	0%	0.0
2-2	East Carolina (231.0)	CUSA	A	67-56	W	100%	0.0
2-10	Memphis (58.0)	CUSA	A	70-76	L	0%	0.0
2-13	Tulane (282.0)	CUSA	H	62-54	W	100%	0.0
2-16	Houston (110.0)	CUSA	H	68-65	W	100%	0.0
2-20	Southern Mississippi (114.0)	CUSA	A	58-68	L	0%	0.0
2-24	UAB (45.0)	CUSA	H	49-53	L	0%	0.0
2-27	Marshall (67.0)	CUSA	A	115-121	L	0%	0.0
3-2	East Carolina (231.0)	CUSA	H	66-68	L	0%	0.0
3-6	Rice (311.0)	CUSA	A	66-59	W	100%	0.0
3-10	Southern Methodist (208.0)	CUSA	N	69-53	W	100%	0.0
3-11	Texas El Paso (38.0)	CUSA	N	54-76	L	0%	0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Central Florida's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Central Florida's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Central Florida.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Central Florida	CUSA	26.18	26.18	43.17	43.17	-3.58	-3.58
Tulsa	CUSA	4.00	4.00	64.52	64.52	1.16	1.16
Houston	CUSA	4.00	4.00	58.06	58.06	0.65	0.65
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.98	3.98	80.00	80.00	2.39	2.39
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.90	3.90	40.74	40.74	-0.72	-0.72
Rice	CUSA	3.89	3.89	25.00	25.00	-1.94	-1.94
East Carolina	CUSA	3.86	3.86	23.08	23.08	-2.08	-2.08
Marshall	CUSA	3.86	3.86	66.67	66.67	1.29	1.29
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.38	2.38	53.57	53.57	0.17	0.17
Memphis	CUSA	2.35	2.35	70.97	70.97	0.98	0.98
Tulane	CUSA	2.31	2.31	27.59	27.59	-1.04	-1.04
UAB	CUSA	2.28	2.28	73.33	73.33	1.06	1.06
Mississippi	SEC	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Notre Dame	BE	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
South Florida	BE	1.74	1.74	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Howard	MEAC	1.69	1.69	22.58	22.58	-0.93	-0.93
Auburn	SEC	1.69	1.69	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	1.69	1.69	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Connecticut	BE	1.69	1.69	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	1.66	1.66	53.12	53.12	0.10	0.10
Jacksonville	ASun	1.64	1.64	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Massachusetts	A10	1.64	1.64	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Liberty	BSth	1.64	1.64	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Albany	AE	1.61	1.61	22.58	22.58	-0.88	-0.88
Drake	MVC	1.61	1.61	43.75	43.75	-0.20	-0.20
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.24	0.24	26.67	26.67	-0.11	-0.11
Troy	SB	0.21	0.21	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.18	0.18	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.18	0.18	81.82	81.82	0.11	0.11
Cincinnati	BE	0.17	0.17	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.16	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
South Alabama	SB	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.14	0.14	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.13	0.13	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.13	0.13	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.12	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.09	0.09
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.11	12.00	12.00	-0.09	-0.09
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.11	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	25.93	25.93	-0.05	-0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.10	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.08	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.06	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Chicago St.	GWC	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Colorado	B12	0.05	0.05	44.83	44.83	-0.01	-0.01
Creighton	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Evansville	MVC	0.05	0.05	27.59	27.59	-0.02	-0.02
Florida International	SB	0.05	0.05	19.35	19.35	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Louisiana Tech	WAC	0.05	0.05	69.70	69.70	0.02	0.02
Manhattan	MAAC	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Marist	MAAC	0.05	0.05	3.33	3.33	-0.05	-0.05
Nebraska	B12	0.05	0.05	45.45	45.45	-0.00	-0.00
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.05	0.05	30.77	30.77	-0.02	-0.02
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.05	68.75	68.75	0.02	0.02
Oral Roberts	Sum	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.05	51.52	51.52	0.00	0.00
St. Peter's	MAAC	0.05	0.05	53.33	53.33	0.00	0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.05	0.05	59.26	59.26	0.01	0.01
The Citadel	SC	0.05	0.05	46.67	46.67	-0.00	-0.00
Wichita St.	MVC	0.05	0.05	72.73	72.73	0.02	0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.03	0.03	25.81	25.81	-0.01	-0.01
Tennessee St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	28.12	28.12	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Bakersfield	ind	0.03	0.03	24.14	24.14	-0.01	-0.01
Long Island	NEC	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Longwood	ind	0.03	0.03	29.63	29.63	-0.01	-0.01
Penn St.	B10	0.03	0.03	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.03	0.03	18.18	18.18	-0.02	-0.02
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.03	0.03	34.78	34.78	-0.01	-0.01
Baylor	B12	0.03	0.03	77.42	77.42	0.01	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.03	0.03	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Butler	Horz	0.03	0.03	87.50	87.50	0.02	0.02
California	P10	0.03	0.03	69.70	69.70	0.01	0.01
Centenary	Sum	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Cornell	Ivy	0.03	0.03	86.21	86.21	0.02	0.02
Dayton	A10	0.03	0.03	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.03	0.03	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Fordham	A10	0.03	0.03	7.14	7.14	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia Southern	SC	0.03	0.03	23.33	23.33	-0.01	-0.01
Grambling	SWAC	0.03	0.03	22.22	22.22	-0.01	-0.01
Holy Cross	Pat	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Kansas St.	B12	0.03	0.03	78.12	78.12	0.01	0.01
Michigan St.	B10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.03	0.03	55.88	55.88	0.00	0.00
Quinnipiac	NEC	0.03	0.03	71.88	71.88	0.01	0.01
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Samford	SC	0.03	0.03	28.57	28.57	-0.01	-0.01
Savannah St.	ind	0.03	0.03	31.82	31.82	-0.01	-0.01
St. Francis NY	NEC	0.03	0.03	37.93	37.93	-0.01	-0.01
Temple	A10	0.03	0.03	85.29	85.29	0.02	0.02
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.03	0.03	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.03	0.03	23.08	23.08	-0.01	-0.01
Central Connecticut	NEC	0.03	0.03	40.00	40.00	-0.01	-0.01
Central Michigan	MAC	0.03	0.03	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Colgate	Pat	0.03	0.03	34.48	34.48	-0.01	-0.01
Detroit	Horz	0.03	0.03	57.58	57.58	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.03	0.03	80.65	80.65	0.02	0.02
Hofstra	CAA	0.03	0.03	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Kansas	B12	0.03	0.03	94.12	94.12	0.02	0.02
Loyola Chicago	Horz	0.03	0.03	42.86	42.86	-0.00	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.03	0.03	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Navy	Pat	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
NC Wilmington	CAA	0.03	0.03	29.03	29.03	-0.01	-0.01
Oakland	Sum	0.03	0.03	75.00	75.00	0.01	0.01
Pennsylvania	Ivy	0.03	0.03	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
Robert Morris	NEC	0.03	0.03	67.65	67.65	0.01	0.01
San Francisco	WCC	0.03	0.03	35.71	35.71	-0.01	-0.01
Southeast Missouri St.	OVC	0.03	0.03	20.69	20.69	-0.01	-0.01
St. Mary's	WCC	0.03	0.03	83.33	83.33	0.02	0.02
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.03	0.03	68.97	68.97	0.01	0.01
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.03	0.03	43.33	43.33	-0.00	-0.00
William & Mary	CAA	0.03	0.03	67.74	67.74	0.01	0.01
Yale	Ivy	0.03	0.03	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
Cal St. Northridge	BW	0.02	0.02	34.38	34.38	-0.01	-0.01
Drexel	CAA	0.02	0.02	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Iowa	B10	0.02	0.02	31.25	31.25	-0.01	-0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.02	0.02	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
North Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	21.43	21.43	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego St.	MWC	0.02	0.02	74.19	74.19	0.01	0.01
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.02	0.02	11.54	11.54	-0.02	-0.02
South Dakota	GWC	0.02	0.02	66.67	66.67	0.01	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.02	0.02	56.25	56.25	0.00	0.00
Bucknell	Pat	0.02	0.02	45.16	45.16	-0.00	-0.00
Idaho St.	BSky	0.02	0.02	18.52	18.52	-0.01	-0.01
Long Beach St.	BW	0.02	0.02	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
St. Francis PA	NEC	0.02	0.02	36.67	36.67	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.02	0.02	43.75	43.75	-0.00	-0.00

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Central Florida	CUSA	26.18	26.18	43.17	43.17	-3.58	-3.58
Tulsa	CUSA	4.00	4.00	64.52	64.52	1.16	1.16
Houston	CUSA	4.00	4.00	58.06	58.06	0.65	0.65
Texas El Paso	CUSA	3.98	3.98	80.00	80.00	2.39	2.39
Southern Methodist	CUSA	3.90	3.90	40.74	40.74	-0.72	-0.72
Rice	CUSA	3.89	3.89	25.00	25.00	-1.94	-1.94
East Carolina	CUSA	3.86	3.86	23.08	23.08	-2.08	-2.08
Marshall	CUSA	3.86	3.86	66.67	66.67	1.29	1.29
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	2.38	2.38	53.57	53.57	0.17	0.17
Memphis	CUSA	2.35	2.35	70.97	70.97	0.98	0.98
Tulane	CUSA	2.31	2.31	27.59	27.59	-1.04	-1.04
UAB	CUSA	2.28	2.28	73.33	73.33	1.06	1.06
Mississippi	SEC	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
Notre Dame	BE	1.74	1.74	66.67	66.67	0.58	0.58
South Florida	BE	1.74	1.74	61.29	61.29	0.39	0.39
Howard	MEAC	1.69	1.69	22.58	22.58	-0.93	-0.93
Auburn	SEC	1.69	1.69	46.67	46.67	-0.11	-0.11
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	1.69	1.69	48.28	48.28	-0.06	-0.06
Connecticut	BE	1.69	1.69	51.61	51.61	0.05	0.05
Niagara	MAAC	1.66	1.66	53.12	53.12	0.10	0.10
Jacksonville	ASun	1.64	1.64	60.00	60.00	0.33	0.33
Massachusetts	A10	1.64	1.64	36.67	36.67	-0.44	-0.44
Liberty	BSth	1.64	1.64	44.44	44.44	-0.18	-0.18
Albany	AE	1.61	1.61	22.58	22.58	-0.88	-0.88
Drake	MVC	1.61	1.61	43.75	43.75	-0.20	-0.20
North Carolina A&T	MEAC	0.24	0.24	26.67	26.67	-0.11	-0.11
Troy	SB	0.21	0.21	58.62	58.62	0.04	0.04
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.18	0.18	35.48	35.48	-0.05	-0.05
Mississippi St.	SEC	0.18	0.18	67.65	67.65	0.06	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.18	0.18	81.82	81.82	0.11	0.11
Cincinnati	BE	0.17	0.17	54.55	54.55	0.02	0.02
Tennessee	SEC	0.16	0.16	75.76	75.76	0.08	0.08
Texas Christian	MWC	0.16	0.16	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.16	0.16	26.67	26.67	-0.07	-0.07
South Alabama	SB	0.16	0.16	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Norfolk St.	MEAC	0.15	0.15	36.67	36.67	-0.04	-0.04
High Point	BSth	0.14	0.14	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.14	0.14	35.71	35.71	-0.04	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.13	0.13	36.36	36.36	-0.04	-0.04
Florida Gulf Coast	ASun	0.13	0.13	27.59	27.59	-0.06	-0.06
Northern Iowa	MVC	0.13	0.13	87.50	87.50	0.10	0.10
Binghamton	AE	0.13	0.13	37.93	37.93	-0.03	-0.03
Arkansas	SEC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
North Florida	ASun	0.13	0.13	40.00	40.00	-0.03	-0.03
Hampton	MEAC	0.13	0.13	43.75	43.75	-0.02	-0.02
Georgetown	BE	0.13	0.13	69.70	69.70	0.05	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.12	0.12	87.50	87.50	0.09	0.09
Seton Hall	BE	0.12	0.12	61.29	61.29	0.03	0.03
Missouri St.	MVC	0.12	0.12	62.50	62.50	0.03	0.03
Iona	MAAC	0.12	0.12	67.74	67.74	0.04	0.04
North Carolina Central	ind	0.11	0.11	12.00	12.00	-0.09	-0.09
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.11	0.11	70.97	70.97	0.05	0.05
Old Dominion	CAA	0.11	0.11	76.47	76.47	0.06	0.06
Texas St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	40.74	40.74	-0.02	-0.02
Campbell	ASun	0.11	0.11	60.71	60.71	0.02	0.02
Charlotte	A10	0.11	0.11	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
George Washington	A10	0.11	0.11	53.33	53.33	0.01	0.01
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.11	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.11	0.11	25.93	25.93	-0.05	-0.05
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.11	0.11	46.67	46.67	-0.01	-0.01
Delaware St.	MEAC	0.11	0.11	53.85	53.85	0.01	0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.10	0.10	58.82	58.82	0.02	0.02
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.10	34.38	34.38	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Florida	SEC	0.10	0.10	63.64	63.64	0.03	0.03
South Carolina	SEC	0.10	0.10	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Canisius	MAAC	0.10	0.10	46.88	46.88	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.10	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.10	0.10	65.62	65.62	0.03	0.03
Rutgers	BE	0.10	0.10	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Villanova	BE	0.10	0.10	77.42	77.42	0.05	0.05
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.10	0.10	21.43	21.43	-0.06	-0.06
IUPUI	Sum	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
DePaul	BE	0.10	0.10	25.81	25.81	-0.05	-0.05
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.10	62.50	62.50	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.10	38.71	38.71	-0.02	-0.02
St. John's	BE	0.10	0.10	53.12	53.12	0.01	0.01
Oklahoma	B12	0.10	0.10	41.94	41.94	-0.02	-0.02
Fairfield	MAAC	0.10	0.10	68.75	68.75	0.04	0.04
Pittsburgh	BE	0.10	0.10	75.00	75.00	0.05	0.05
Nevada	WAC	0.10	0.10	61.29	61.29	0.02	0.02
Clemson	ACC	0.09	0.09	67.74	67.74	0.03	0.03
Winthrop	BSth	0.09	0.09	56.67	56.67	0.01	0.01
Charleston Southern	BSth	0.08	0.08	34.62	34.62	-0.03	-0.03
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	0.08	0.08	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
North Carolina	ACC	0.08	0.08	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.08	0.08	74.19	74.19	0.04	0.04
Buffalo	MAC	0.08	0.08	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
Harvard	Ivy	0.08	0.08	74.07	74.07	0.04	0.04
South Carolina St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	51.72	51.72	0.00	0.00
Texas	B12	0.08	0.08	72.73	72.73	0.04	0.04
Winston Salem St.	ind	0.08	0.08	32.00	32.00	-0.03	-0.03
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	46.43	46.43	-0.01	-0.01
La Salle	A10	0.08	0.08	40.00	40.00	-0.02	-0.02
East Tennessee St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	57.58	57.58	0.01	0.01
Georgia	SEC	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Mercer	ASun	0.08	0.08	45.16	45.16	-0.01	-0.01
Morgan St.	MEAC	0.08	0.08	75.00	75.00	0.04	0.04
Kentucky	SEC	0.08	0.08	94.12	94.12	0.07	0.07
Virginia	ACC	0.08	0.08	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Western Kentucky	SB	0.08	0.08	61.76	61.76	0.02	0.02
Kennesaw St.	ASun	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Georgia St.	CAA	0.08	0.08	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.08	0.08	6.45	6.45	-0.07	-0.07
Boston University	AE	0.08	0.08	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
Maine	AE	0.08	0.08	62.07	62.07	0.02	0.02
Stony Brook	AE	0.08	0.08	70.00	70.00	0.03	0.03
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Air Force	MWC	0.07	0.07	27.59	27.59	-0.03	-0.03
Marquette	BE	0.07	0.07	66.67	66.67	0.02	0.02
Akron	MAC	0.07	0.07	69.70	69.70	0.03	0.03
Duke	ACC	0.07	0.07	85.29	85.29	0.05	0.05
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	60.00	60.00	0.01	0.01
Loyola MD	MAAC	0.07	0.07	43.33	43.33	-0.01	-0.01
San Diego	WCC	0.07	0.07	32.26	32.26	-0.03	-0.03
Siena	MAAC	0.07	0.07	81.82	81.82	0.05	0.05
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.07	68.75	68.75	0.03	0.03
Iowa St.	B12	0.07	0.07	46.88	46.88	-0.00	-0.00
Southern Illinois	MVC	0.07	0.07	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Loyola Marymount	WCC	0.07	0.07	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Coastal Carolina	BSth	0.06	0.06	80.00	80.00	0.03	0.03
Gardner Webb	BSth	0.06	0.06	19.23	19.23	-0.04	-0.04
NC Asheville	BSth	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
NC Greensboro	SC	0.06	0.06	25.81	25.81	-0.03	-0.03
Presbyterian	BSth	0.06	0.06	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
Radford	BSth	0.06	0.06	58.62	58.62	0.01	0.01
South Dakota St.	Sum	0.06	0.06	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Virginia Military Inst	BSth	0.06	0.06	24.00	24.00	-0.03	-0.03
Wake Forest	ACC	0.06	0.06	65.52	65.52	0.02	0.02
George Mason	CAA	0.06	0.06	54.84	54.84	0.01	0.01
Army	Pat	0.06	0.06	46.43	46.43	-0.00	-0.00
College of Charleston	SC	0.06	0.06	65.62	65.62	0.02	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.06	0.06	75.00	75.00	0.03	0.03
Northeastern	CAA	0.06	0.06	62.50	62.50	0.01	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.06	0.06	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
New Orleans	SB	0.05	0.05	21.43	21.43	-0.03	-0.03
Arizona	P10	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00
Furman	SC	0.05	0.05	39.29	39.29	-0.01	-0.01
Miami FL	ACC	0.05	0.05	59.38	59.38	0.01	0.01
North Texas	SB	0.05	0.05	73.33	73.33	0.03	0.03
Sacramento St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	25.00	25.00	-0.03	-0.03
Santa Clara	WCC	0.05	0.05	30.00	30.00	-0.02	-0.02
Montana St.	BSky	0.05	0.05	48.15	48.15	-0.00	-0.00
Northwestern	B10	0.05	0.05	60.61	60.61	0.01	0.01
Coppin St.	MEAC	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Belmont	ASun	0.05	0.05	61.29	61.29	0.01	0.01
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.05	32.14	32.14	-0.02	-0.02
Lipscomb	ASun	0.05	0.05	55.17	55.17	0.01	0.01
Rhode Island	A10	0.05	0.05	71.88	71.88	0.02	0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.05	76.47	76.47	0.03	0.03
Saint Joseph's	A10	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.02	-0.02
South Carolina Upstate	ASun	0.05	0.05	20.69	20.69	-0.03	-0.03
Stetson	ASun	0.05	0.05	18.52	18.52	-0.03	-0.03
Davidson	SC	0.05	0.05	48.28	48.28	-0.00	-0.00
Indiana	B10	0.05	0.05	32.26	32.26	-0.02	-0.02
Kent St.	MAC	0.05	0.05	70.97	70.97	0.02	0.02
American	Pat	0.05	0.05	35.48	35.48	-0.01	-0.01
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Brigham Young	MWC	0.05	0.05	84.85	84.85	0.04	0.04
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.05	0.05	42.86	42.86	-0.01	-0.01
Hartford	AE	0.05	0.05	26.67	26.67	-0.02	-0.02
MD Baltimore County	AE	0.05	0.05	13.33	13.33	-0.04	-0.04
New Hampshire	AE	0.05	0.05	41.38	41.38	-0.01	-0.01
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.05	0.05	48.39	48.39	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Tech	B12	0.05	0.05	53.12	53.12	0.00	0.00
Vermont	AE	0.05	0.05	73.53	73.53	0.02	0.02
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.05	63.33	63.33	0.01	0.01
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.05	50.00	50.00	0.00	0.00
Bradley	MVC	0.05	0.05	51.61	51.61	0.00	0.00