The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated Centenary page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Feb 7, 2010.

Centenary

Conference:		Sum
Expected RPI:		292.2
Current RPI:		284
Expected SOS:		245
Current SOS:		242
Current Record:		6-16
Expected Record:		7-20
Current Conf Record:		3-10
Expected Conf Record:		4-14
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:		0-0
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:		0-1
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:		0-6
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:		1-4
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:		7-8
Current OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC Record:		3-6
Expected OOC RPI:		218
Expected OOC SOS:		144

RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final Record	Expected RPI	Probability
11-16	241.1	0.07%
10-17	254.7	1.08%
9-18	268.5	8.86%
8-19	283.3	31.27%
7-20	297.8	41.04%
6-21	309.1	17.67%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Centenary.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

Date	Opponent (Expected RPI)	Conf	Loc	Score	Outcome	Prob(W)	Spread
11-13	Marquette (55.4)	BE	A	62-85	L	0%	0.0
11-17	Grambling (338.6)	SWAC	A	71-66	W	100%	0.0
11-27	Louisiana Monroe (269.6)	SB	H	94-84	W	100%	0.0
11-30	Northwestern St. (316.9)	Slnd	H	80-83	L	0%	0.0
12-3	Southern Utah (316.8)	Sum	H	93-85	W	100%	0.0
12-5	Missouri Kansas City (279.4)	Sum	H	83-84	L	0%	0.0
12-9	Oklahoma (79.8)	B12	A	62-86	L	0%	0.0
12-12	Louisiana Tech (61.3)	WAC	H	96-102	L	0%	0.0
12-19	Mississippi (42.6)	SEC	A	64-108	L	0%	0.0
12-22	Mississippi St. (64.8)	SEC	N	51-88	L	0%	0.0
12-28	Louisiana Lafayette (203.7)	SB	A	73-68	W	100%	0.0
12-31	North Dakota St. (269.1)	Sum	A	70-82	L	0%	0.0
1-2	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	A	59-89	L	0%	0.0
1-7	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	H	75-62	W	100%	0.0
1-9	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	H	50-88	L	0%	0.0
1-14	Western Illinois (307.7)	Sum	A	51-70	L	0%	0.0
1-16	IUPUI (106.7)	Sum	A	58-74	L	0%	0.0
1-23	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	H	56-87	L	0%	0.0
1-28	South Dakota St. (204.6)	Sum	H	75-81	L	0%	0.0
1-30	North Dakota St. (269.1)	Sum	H	62-73	L	0%	0.0
2-4	Oakland (72.6)	Sum	A	64-75	L	0%	0.0
2-6	IUPU Fort Wayne (241.9)	Sum	A	80-78	W	100%	0.0
2-11	IUPUI (106.7)	Sum	H	0-0		13%	-12.1
2-13	Western Illinois (307.7)	Sum	H	0-0		55%	1.2
2-16	Oral Roberts (122.0)	Sum	A	0-0		4%	-18.9
2-25	Missouri Kansas City (279.4)	Sum	A	0-0		24%	-7.8
2-27	Southern Utah (316.8)	Sum	A	0-0		39%	-3.2

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.

Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations

Centenary's RPI BROKEN DOWN BY CONTRIBUTION OF INDIVIDUAL TEAMS AND WINNING PERCENTAGES

Sorted by , Current Weight, End-Of-Season Weight, Current Help Index, Expected Help Index, and then Alphabetically.

Weights are percentages.

Centenary's winning percentage is the adjusted winning percentage (for home and away games) and the others are standard winning percentages excluding games against Centenary.

Help Ind is equal to 2*(Winning percentage - 50%)* Weight and measures how helpful an individual team is to the RPI.

For an explanation of this section read here.

BY CURRENT WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Centenary	Sum	26.58	26.51	27.78	28.02	-11.81	-11.65
Oakland	Sum	5.28	4.79	63.64	67.14	1.44	1.64
South Dakota St.	Sum	5.27	4.78	45.00	46.99	-0.53	-0.29
North Dakota St.	Sum	5.27	4.77	26.32	28.46	-2.50	-2.06
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	5.27	4.78	47.37	48.94	-0.28	-0.10
Oral Roberts	Sum	3.32	4.79	52.17	55.74	0.14	0.55
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	3.16	4.78	35.00	34.08	-0.95	-1.52
Southern Utah	Sum	3.16	4.78	20.00	19.74	-1.90	-2.89
IUPUI	Sum	3.16	4.79	63.64	65.05	0.86	1.44
Western Illinois	Sum	3.14	4.77	26.32	28.38	-1.49	-2.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.49	2.02	38.10	37.57	-0.59	-0.50
Grambling	SWAC	2.44	1.95	25.00	26.96	-1.22	-0.90
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.39	1.92	81.82	74.43	1.52	0.94
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.39	1.92	18.75	23.02	-1.49	-1.04
Marquette	BE	2.34	1.89	63.64	64.92	0.64	0.56
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.32	1.92	50.00	50.47	0.00	0.02
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.89	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Mississippi	SEC	2.32	1.91	72.73	71.58	1.06	0.82
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.32	1.91	68.18	67.43	0.84	0.67
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.33	0.35	21.05	24.96	-0.19	-0.17
Wisconsin	B10	0.32	0.20	78.26	78.92	0.18	0.12
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.31	0.26	23.81	28.38	-0.16	-0.11
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.27	0.24	26.32	31.51	-0.13	-0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.27	0.23	39.13	35.38	-0.06	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.26	0.21	60.87	59.58	0.06	0.04
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.23	0.13	22.22	26.51	-0.13	-0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.07
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.04	0.02
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.17	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.05
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.16	0.21	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.17
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.14	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
Gonzaga	WCC	0.16	0.10	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.07
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Fresno St.	WAC	0.16	0.13	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.16	0.13	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.16	0.10	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.16	0.10	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Troy	SB	0.16	0.10	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.20	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.12
Western Kentucky	SB	0.16	0.10	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.16	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.07
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.16	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.13	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.02
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.11	-0.06
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.06
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.13	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.08
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.04
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.11	22.73	24.05	-0.07	-0.05
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.12	-0.10
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.12	0.10	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Indiana	B10	0.12	0.07	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.14	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.05
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.07	8.70	10.09	-0.09	-0.05
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.07	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.14	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.11	0.10	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.01
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.10	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.14	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.04
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.13	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.07
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.07	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.07	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.04
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.04
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.06
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.19	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.03
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.04
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.06
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.08
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.04	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.03
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.06
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.07	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.04
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.07	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.04
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.03
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.04	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.01

BY END-OF-SEASON WEIGHT: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Centenary	Sum	26.58	26.51	27.78	28.02	-11.81	-11.65
Oral Roberts	Sum	3.32	4.79	52.17	55.74	0.14	0.55
IUPUI	Sum	3.16	4.79	63.64	65.05	0.86	1.44
Oakland	Sum	5.28	4.79	63.64	67.14	1.44	1.64
IUPU Fort Wayne	Sum	5.27	4.78	47.37	48.94	-0.28	-0.10
Missouri Kansas City	Sum	3.16	4.78	35.00	34.08	-0.95	-1.52
South Dakota St.	Sum	5.27	4.78	45.00	46.99	-0.53	-0.29
Southern Utah	Sum	3.16	4.78	20.00	19.74	-1.90	-2.89
North Dakota St.	Sum	5.27	4.77	26.32	28.46	-2.50	-2.06
Western Illinois	Sum	3.14	4.77	26.32	28.38	-1.49	-2.06
Louisiana Monroe	SB	2.49	2.02	38.10	37.57	-0.59	-0.50
Grambling	SWAC	2.44	1.95	25.00	26.96	-1.22	-0.90
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.39	1.92	81.82	74.43	1.52	0.94
Louisiana Lafayette	SB	2.32	1.92	50.00	50.47	0.00	0.02
Northwestern St.	Slnd	2.39	1.92	18.75	23.02	-1.49	-1.04
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.32	1.91	68.18	67.43	0.84	0.67
Mississippi	SEC	2.32	1.91	72.73	71.58	1.06	0.82
Marquette	BE	2.34	1.89	63.64	64.92	0.64	0.56
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.89	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Central Arkansas	Slnd	0.33	0.35	21.05	24.96	-0.19	-0.17
Arkansas Little Rock	SB	0.31	0.26	23.81	28.38	-0.16	-0.11
McNeese St.	Slnd	0.27	0.24	26.32	31.51	-0.13	-0.09
Louisiana St.	SEC	0.27	0.23	39.13	35.38	-0.06	-0.07
Denver	SB	0.26	0.21	60.87	59.58	0.06	0.04
SIU Edwardsville	OVC	0.16	0.21	8.70	9.54	-0.13	-0.17
Wisconsin	B10	0.32	0.20	78.26	78.92	0.18	0.12
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.20	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.12
Auburn	SEC	0.10	0.19	45.45	42.62	-0.01	-0.03
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Hawaii	WAC	0.17	0.17	36.36	33.80	-0.05	-0.05
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.16	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.07
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.16	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Savannah St.	ind	0.11	0.14	30.00	31.19	-0.05	-0.05
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.14	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
North Dakota	GWC	0.16	0.14	15.79	27.84	-0.11	-0.06
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.14	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.04
Eastern Illinois	OVC	0.11	0.14	47.62	49.08	-0.01	-0.00
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.04	0.02
Nicholls St.	Slnd	0.23	0.13	22.22	26.51	-0.13	-0.06
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.13	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.07
Tennessee Tech	OVC	0.15	0.13	45.45	44.03	-0.01	-0.02
Fresno St.	WAC	0.16	0.13	47.83	48.98	-0.01	-0.00
Idaho	WAC	0.16	0.13	45.00	48.32	-0.02	-0.00
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.07
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.13	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Austin Peay	OVC	0.05	0.13	52.17	55.04	0.00	0.01
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Alcorn St.	SWAC	0.12	0.11	0.00	5.15	-0.12	-0.10
Houston Baptist	GWC	0.12	0.11	22.73	24.05	-0.07	-0.05
Alabama St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	33.33	39.38	-0.04	-0.02
Mississippi Valley St.	SWAC	0.12	0.10	22.73	27.28	-0.06	-0.05
Southeastern Louisiana	Slnd	0.12	0.10	50.00	55.36	0.00	0.01
Florida Atlantic	SB	0.11	0.10	45.45	47.48	-0.01	-0.01
New Orleans	SB	0.11	0.10	22.73	22.86	-0.06	-0.06
Troy	SB	0.16	0.10	47.62	50.38	-0.01	0.00
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Wisconsin Milwaukee	Horz	0.16	0.10	50.00	50.99	0.00	0.00
Gonzaga	WCC	0.16	0.10	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.07
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.16	0.10	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Texas Tech	B12	0.12	0.10	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.16	0.10	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.08
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.03
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.06
DePaul	BE	0.15	0.09	34.78	33.89	-0.05	-0.03
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.06
Houston	CUSA	0.15	0.09	47.62	50.82	-0.01	0.00
Texas Pan American	GWC	0.15	0.09	12.00	18.82	-0.11	-0.06
Alabama A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	28.57	36.52	-0.03	-0.02
Arkansas Pine Bluff	SWAC	0.07	0.07	33.33	46.80	-0.02	-0.00
Jackson St.	SWAC	0.07	0.07	47.62	49.36	-0.00	-0.00
Prairie View A&M	SWAC	0.07	0.07	47.06	53.78	-0.00	0.01
Southern	SWAC	0.13	0.07	19.05	20.58	-0.08	-0.04
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.03
Texas Southern	SWAC	0.07	0.07	45.00	54.19	-0.01	0.01
Lamar	Slnd	0.05	0.07	47.62	44.73	-0.00	-0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
North Carolina Central	ind	0.06	0.07	4.76	9.78	-0.05	-0.06
UC Davis	BW	0.11	0.07	35.00	33.21	-0.03	-0.02
Utah Valley	GWC	0.11	0.07	36.84	39.02	-0.03	-0.02
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Cal Poly	BW	0.10	0.07	36.36	36.06	-0.03	-0.02
Central Michigan	MAC	0.10	0.07	50.00	52.29	0.00	0.00
East Carolina	CUSA	0.10	0.07	20.00	21.94	-0.06	-0.04
Florida International	SB	0.11	0.07	24.00	23.74	-0.05	-0.04
Idaho St.	BSky	0.05	0.07	19.05	24.00	-0.03	-0.04
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.04
South Alabama	SB	0.05	0.07	47.83	47.55	-0.00	-0.00
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Toledo	MAC	0.11	0.07	8.70	10.09	-0.09	-0.05
UC Riverside	BW	0.05	0.07	33.33	36.45	-0.02	-0.02
Valparaiso	Horz	0.11	0.07	40.91	43.37	-0.02	-0.01
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.07	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.07	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Wyoming	MWC	0.10	0.07	33.33	30.72	-0.03	-0.03
Indiana	B10	0.12	0.07	40.91	34.84	-0.02	-0.02
Texas A&M Corpus Chris	Slnd	0.12	0.07	47.37	52.55	-0.01	0.00
Drake	MVC	0.05	0.06	44.00	43.20	-0.01	-0.01
Duquesne	A10	0.05	0.06	50.00	49.78	0.00	-0.00
Eastern Michigan	MAC	0.09	0.06	47.62	46.79	-0.00	-0.00
Georgia St.	CAA	0.05	0.06	37.50	38.45	-0.01	-0.01
Ohio	MAC	0.05	0.06	50.00	50.96	0.00	0.00
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
Seattle	ind	0.09	0.06	45.83	48.87	-0.01	-0.00
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Florida A&M	MEAC	0.05	0.06	19.05	22.94	-0.03	-0.03
Maryland Eastern Shore	MEAC	0.10	0.06	27.27	29.40	-0.05	-0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Providence	BE	0.10	0.06	52.17	46.62	0.00	-0.00
Stanford	P10	0.05	0.06	43.48	43.10	-0.01	-0.01
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.04
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.04
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Georgia	SEC	0.10	0.06	47.62	45.44	-0.00	-0.01
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
San Diego	WCC	0.10	0.06	33.33	33.43	-0.03	-0.02
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Boise St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	45.45	45.95	-0.00	-0.00
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
San Jose St.	WAC	0.10	0.06	50.00	48.14	0.00	-0.00
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Massachusetts	A10	0.07	0.04	31.82	31.64	-0.02	-0.01
Texas Arlington	Slnd	0.07	0.04	47.06	43.53	-0.00	-0.00
Texas San Antonio	Slnd	0.00	0.04	55.56	58.32	0.00	0.01
Texas St.	Slnd	0.00	0.04	36.84	36.82	-0.00	-0.01
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Tulane	CUSA	0.05	0.03	31.82	29.58	-0.02	-0.01
Central Florida	CUSA	0.05	0.03	47.62	44.47	-0.00	-0.00
Cincinnati	BE	0.00	0.03	60.87	55.54	0.00	0.00
Colorado	B12	0.00	0.03	42.86	40.56	-0.00	-0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Jacksonville St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	38.10	41.29	-0.01	-0.01
Michigan	B10	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.00	-0.00	-0.00
Mount St. Mary's	NEC	0.05	0.03	39.13	47.65	-0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
North Florida	ASun	0.05	0.03	43.48	45.31	-0.01	-0.00
Pittsburgh	BE	0.00	0.03	73.91	70.80	0.00	0.01
Presbyterian	BSth	0.05	0.03	12.50	15.31	-0.04	-0.02
Rutgers	BE	0.05	0.03	47.83	42.90	-0.00	-0.00
Seton Hall	BE	0.00	0.03	57.14	57.47	0.00	0.00
South Dakota	GWC	0.05	0.03	50.00	60.53	0.00	0.01
South Florida	BE	0.00	0.03	65.22	62.18	0.00	0.01
St. John's	BE	0.00	0.03	54.55	49.24	0.00	-0.00
Utah	MWC	0.05	0.03	45.45	44.32	-0.00	-0.00
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Miami OH	MAC	0.05	0.03	43.48	47.68	-0.01	-0.00
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
Northeastern	CAA	0.00	0.03	66.67	68.11	0.00	0.01
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Rider	MAAC	0.05	0.03	52.00	49.34	0.00	-0.00
St. Bonaventure	A10	0.05	0.03	40.00	42.64	-0.01	-0.00
Texas Christian	MWC	0.05	0.03	40.91	38.27	-0.01	-0.01
UCLA	P10	0.05	0.03	47.83	43.79	-0.00	-0.00
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01

BY CURRENT HELP INDEX: (top)

Team	Conf	Curr Wgt	Fut Wgt	Curr W/L	Exp W/L	Curr Help	Exp Help
Louisiana Tech	WAC	2.39	1.92	81.82	74.43	1.52	0.94
Oakland	Sum	5.28	4.79	63.64	67.14	1.44	1.64
Mississippi	SEC	2.32	1.91	72.73	71.58	1.06	0.82
IUPUI	Sum	3.16	4.79	63.64	65.05	0.86	1.44
Mississippi St.	SEC	2.32	1.91	68.18	67.43	0.84	0.67
Marquette	BE	2.34	1.89	63.64	64.92	0.64	0.56
Oklahoma	B12	2.32	1.89	57.14	49.45	0.33	-0.02
Wisconsin	B10	0.32	0.20	78.26	78.92	0.18	0.12
Oral Roberts	Sum	3.32	4.79	52.17	55.74	0.14	0.55
Syracuse	BE	0.14	0.09	95.83	91.37	0.13	0.08
Villanova	BE	0.15	0.09	90.91	82.52	0.12	0.06
Michigan St.	B10	0.20	0.13	79.17	76.61	0.12	0.07
Gonzaga	WCC	0.16	0.10	81.82	83.61	0.10	0.07
Kansas St.	B12	0.16	0.20	81.82	79.60	0.10	0.12
Wichita St.	MVC	0.16	0.14	79.17	77.30	0.09	0.08
Northern Colorado	BSky	0.16	0.13	79.17	78.03	0.09	0.07
Kansas	B12	0.09	0.09	95.65	91.32	0.09	0.08
Purdue	B10	0.10	0.07	86.36	81.80	0.08	0.04
Missouri	B12	0.15	0.16	73.91	70.60	0.07	0.07
New Mexico	MWC	0.10	0.09	87.50	83.52	0.07	0.06
West Virginia	BE	0.10	0.06	86.36	82.20	0.07	0.04
Denver	SB	0.26	0.21	60.87	59.58	0.06	0.04
Memphis	CUSA	0.14	0.13	69.57	69.99	0.06	0.05
Texas El Paso	CUSA	0.10	0.06	77.27	75.69	0.06	0.03
Texas A&M	B12	0.12	0.10	72.73	66.85	0.05	0.03
Utah St.	WAC	0.10	0.13	73.91	76.66	0.05	0.07
Kentucky	SEC	0.05	0.06	95.65	88.67	0.05	0.05
Wisconsin Green Bay	Horz	0.20	0.14	60.87	57.71	0.04	0.02
Texas Tech	B12	0.12	0.10	68.18	59.30	0.04	0.02
Sam Houston St.	Slnd	0.10	0.13	70.59	72.98	0.04	0.06
Murray St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	86.96	85.47	0.04	0.02
Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	0.05	0.07	81.82	80.91	0.03	0.04
Texas	B12	0.05	0.06	82.61	78.76	0.03	0.04
Tennessee	SEC	0.05	0.06	81.82	75.66	0.03	0.03
Louisville	BE	0.10	0.13	65.22	62.07	0.03	0.03
Washington St.	P10	0.11	0.07	63.64	58.79	0.03	0.01
Minnesota	B10	0.10	0.07	63.64	64.66	0.03	0.02
Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.05	0.03	77.27	77.12	0.03	0.02
Baylor	B12	0.05	0.06	76.19	72.73	0.03	0.03
Georgetown	BE	0.05	0.03	77.27	73.36	0.03	0.01
Vanderbilt	SEC	0.05	0.06	76.19	73.20	0.03	0.03
Tulsa	CUSA	0.05	0.06	77.27	70.93	0.03	0.03
North Texas	SB	0.11	0.14	61.90	63.69	0.03	0.04
Wake Forest	ACC	0.05	0.06	76.19	71.14	0.02	0.03
Richmond	A10	0.05	0.03	75.00	71.23	0.02	0.01
Stephen F. Austin	Slnd	0.07	0.07	68.42	67.04	0.02	0.03
Florida	SEC	0.05	0.06	73.91	67.72	0.02	0.02
Florida St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	73.91	69.49	0.02	0.01
Illinois St.	MVC	0.07	0.04	66.67	63.46	0.02	0.01
Nevada	WAC	0.15	0.13	57.14	60.54	0.02	0.03
Old Dominion	CAA	0.05	0.03	72.00	73.54	0.02	0.01
Iowa St.	B12	0.16	0.10	56.52	50.47	0.02	0.00
Nebraska	B12	0.16	0.17	56.52	50.42	0.02	0.00
Notre Dame	BE	0.05	0.09	70.83	63.39	0.02	0.03
Oklahoma St.	B12	0.05	0.06	69.57	63.55	0.02	0.02
Alabama	SEC	0.15	0.16	56.52	54.14	0.02	0.01
Xavier	A10	0.05	0.03	69.57	71.43	0.02	0.01
Arizona St.	P10	0.06	0.07	66.67	67.74	0.02	0.03
Morehead St.	OVC	0.05	0.03	68.18	67.88	0.02	0.01
Southern Mississippi	CUSA	0.16	0.10	55.56	55.85	0.02	0.01
Virginia	ACC	0.05	0.06	66.67	57.29	0.02	0.01
Arkansas St.	SB	0.10	0.13	57.14	57.10	0.01	0.02
Western Kentucky	SB	0.16	0.10	54.17	55.99	0.01	0.01
St. Louis	A10	0.05	0.07	61.90	56.12	0.01	0.01
Weber St.	BSky	0.05	0.07	61.90	65.04	0.01	0.02
Indiana St.	MVC	0.10	0.13	56.52	54.46	0.01	0.01
Wright St.	Horz	0.05	0.03	62.50	65.32	0.01	0.01
New Mexico St.	WAC	0.05	0.06	61.90	56.37	0.01	0.01
Connecticut	BE	0.05	0.03	60.87	56.49	0.01	0.00
South Carolina	SEC	0.05	0.06	59.09	54.41	0.01	0.01
Arkansas	SEC	0.20	0.15	52.17	48.47	0.01	-0.00
Oregon	P10	0.09	0.06	54.55	48.81	0.01	-0.00
North Carolina St.	ACC	0.05	0.03	58.33	54.32	0.01	0.00
Bethune Cookman	MEAC	0.05	0.03	55.00	53.61	0.00	0.00
Middle Tennessee	SB	0.11	0.07	52.17	54.94	0.00	0.01
Boston College	ACC	0.10	0.07	52.17	48.76	0.00	-0.00
Arizona	P10	0.10	0.06	52.17	53.65	0.00	0.00