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Below is the field of 65 projected to make the NCAA tournament.

Updated Every Day this Week

These projections are based on the "Dance Card" method of projecting the NCAA tournament field combined with the RPI forecast methodology of this webpage.
Dance Card was built using the old version of the RPI, so those are the forecasts I use.
Dance Card has not missed more than 3 teams in any year since its inception, but because I use forecasts, I expect to miss more early in the season.

As the season progresses, these forecasts should improve (assuming the selection committee continues to pick teams as they have in the past).
Because the automatic bids have not yet been decided, I picked the team from each conference which has the highest probability of winning the bid. Whether or not a team is included in the field is purely objective, but the seeds themselves are subjective.
Wondering why your team isn't on this page? Go here to see how all 347 of the teams stacked up.
Through games of Mar 2, 2009.

Rank	Auto Bid	Team	Conf	Dance Card	Prob(At-Large Bid)	Expected RPI Rank (Old Version)
1	X	Duke	ACC	8.3216	1.0000	2.5
1	X	Syracuse	BE	8.2742	1.0000	3.4
1	X	Texas	B12	7.9034	1.0000	5.0
1		West Virginia	BE	7.6430	1.0000	3.4
2		Kansas	B12	7.5196	1.0000	5.4
2	X	Tennessee	SEC	5.3277	1.0000	12.7
2		Louisville	BE	4.9803	1.0000	10.5
2	X	Memphis	CUSA	4.9351	1.0000	18.2
3		Georgetown	BE	4.7250	1.0000	14.1
3		Connecticut	BE	4.6588	1.0000	15.3
3		Villanova	BE	4.4670	1.0000	20.2
3		Texas A&M	B12	4.1887	1.0000	14.9
4	X	Purdue	B10	4.0938	1.0000	20.6
4		Clemson	ACC	3.9574	1.0000	20.1
4	X	Washington	P10	3.9320	1.0000	21.6
4		Florida	SEC	3.8060	0.9999	25.5
5		Mississippi	SEC	3.7464	0.9999	25.8
5		Marquette	BE	3.7436	0.9999	28.1
5	X	Nevada Las Vegas	MWC	3.7325	0.9999	24.4
5		Wisconsin	B10	3.4971	0.9998	22.4
6		Vanderbilt	SEC	3.4731	0.9997	22.5
6		New Mexico	MWC	3.4411	0.9997	26.7
6		North Carolina	ACC	3.2354	0.9994	27.2
6		Florida St.	ACC	3.1613	0.9992	23.2
7		Pittsburgh	BE	3.1502	0.9992	20.2
7		Cincinnati	BE	2.9467	0.9984	27.5
7		Kentucky	SEC	2.8799	0.9980	26.9
7	X	Gonzaga	WCC	2.8201	0.9976	36.5
8		Ohio St.	B10	2.8105	0.9975	34.8
8		Kansas St.	B12	2.7980	0.9974	22.6
8	X	Xavier	A10	2.5406	0.9945	34.7
8		Michigan St.	B10	2.2006	0.9861	35.9
9	X	Butler	Horz	2.1773	0.9853	37.0
9		Minnesota	B10	1.9801	0.9762	31.9
9		Missouri	B12	1.9327	0.9734	37.2
9		Brigham Young	MWC	1.7866	0.9630	42.0
10	X	Utah St.	WAC	1.6581	0.9513	46.2
10		Maryland	ACC	1.6030	0.9455	35.4
10		St. Mary's	WCC	1.5442	0.9387	42.9
10		Tulsa	CUSA	1.4175	0.9218	39.0
11		Oklahoma St.	B12	1.3603	0.9131	31.5
11		Miami FL	ACC	1.3113	0.9051	44.1
11		Arizona St.	P10	1.2079	0.8865	48.5
11		South Florida	BE	0.9105	0.8187	40.4
12		Rhode Island	A10	0.8061	0.7899	43.4
12		Virginia Commonwealth	CAA	0.6435	0.7400	56.3
12	X	Southern Illinois	MVC	-0.5723	0.2836	59.4
12	X	Old Dominion	CAA	-1.2615	0.1036	68.3
13	X	Cornell	Ivy	-1.5217	0.0640	75.7
13	X	Pacific	BW	-2.1055	0.0176	84.4
13	X	Siena	MAAC	-2.4667	0.0068	77.3
13	X	Belmont	ASun	-3.2110	0.0007	102.0
14	X	Murray St.	OVC	-3.6553	0.0001	109.0
14	X	Montana	BSky	-4.3097	0.0000	110.7
14	X	Western Carolina	SC	-5.3055	0.0000	123.2
14	X	IUPUI	Sum	-5.3106	0.0000	118.4
15	X	Ohio	MAC	-5.5859	0.0000	117.9
15	X	Texas San Antonio	Slnd	-5.9767	0.0000	128.2
15	X	Coastal Carolina	BSth	-6.0962	0.0000	141.1
15	X	Morgan St.	MEAC	-6.6979	0.0000	142.2
16	X	Mount St. Mary's	NEC	-7.6216	0.0000	144.4
16	X	Stony Brook	AE	-8.3659	0.0000	155.0
16	X	South Alabama	SB	-8.7274	0.0000	155.8
play-in	X	Holy Cross	Pat	-11.4495	0.0000	185.1
play-in	X	Prairie View A&M	SWAC	-15.5173	0.0000	253.2

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data, Jeff Sagarin for the use of PREDICTOR, and Jay Coleman for help with the Dance Card methodology.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com